TheImp Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins EIGHT minutes of extra time in the Notts County game and four in the Darlington game....they like to drag this out! Last minute corner to Kidderminster...fingers crossed it stays out... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheImp Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Woohoo! What's your tipple Bairn? 13.00 for the double I had a tenner on - £130 back..first time I've tried your tips/system and I'm over the moon. :cow Certainly more than made up for the weekend for your profits! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winningbin Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Done, win both !:nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ilovetowin Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins i have followed your selections almost from the start of this thread and i am up a nice bit . another great win tonight thanks! By any chance could you email me the basics of your system? i understand is you want to keep it to yourself. thanks again Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillwallPunter Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins i also backed both of these selections with £10 each and also £2.50 on the double. £108 returns. :cow:cow:cow Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dr Hook Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins I managed to jump on the bandwagon with these 2 including a £2 near 13-1 double. :clap I hope you're having a wee dram Bairn. I owe you one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fungasface Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Ha ha i seen the teams were losing near the end the games so didnt chek the results and didnt check me account until i seen the celebrations on this thread :clap ,cheers bairn another 2 value bets in the bag :notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
asenix Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Amazing :cheers:cheers. Respect bro. Keep this job. :clap Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ofcourseitwas Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Amazing :cheers:cheers. Respect bro. Keep this job. :clap no, quit your job....excellent results past and present for your system, keep it up :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
howid Posted April 19, 2011 Share Posted April 19, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins :cheers Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zharsanyi72 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thank you! Amazing job! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShanghaiPunter Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins i think the below smilie says it all :notworthy Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemmiwinks Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Many thanks bairn. Keep up the good... sorry great work! I truly appreciate the effort you put in to this system and also the fact you share your findings. Nice one! :clap :notworthy :nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
terak69 Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Will there be a presence from other leagues during the european close season ?? - just to keep the momentum (& profits :dude) going :drums Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 20, 2011 Author Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Top night!... DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 19/04/2011 Tranmere 0 - 1 Notts County 3.4 +£24.00 +£415.40 19/04/2011 Kidderminster 1 - 2 Darlington 4.33 +£33.30 +£448.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 20, 2011 Author Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Will there be a presence from other leagues during the european close season ?? - just to keep the momentum (& profits :dude) going :drums I wouldn't rule it out at the moment, but I don't believe the data I need for this is readily available for other leagues. Depending how much spare time I have in a month or so's time, I'll try and investigate this further, but given the time it takes to get the data in the correct format, backtest it, etc., then it's looking likely that I won't be running the system over the summer months. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillwallPunter Posted April 20, 2011 Share Posted April 20, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins As long as you come back in the new season with more profit i don't mind a summer break. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 21, 2011 Author Share Posted April 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins One for tomorrow... 22/04/2011 | Exeter v Oldham | Away Win | 4.33 (General) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hy. I watched your progress and it actually blow me off my sit :loon. It is pretty interesting that you managed to discover such good formulas for away win. What caught my eye was the fact that I too tried to make a system based on formulas for some value home wins ( I mean with odds between 1.90 and maybe 2.50 ), but I got stuck at the middle. I tried to implement home strength and away poorness, and the recent form, how close they are in the league, and so on, but it didn't work. I wouldn't get results, and with a little back-testing it proved to not working. I saw that you have edited your first post for secure measurements and I am totally agreeing with you. I also saw that you could offer some insight to you system ( not formulas or so ), and I thought if I could receive also some details. :unsure The fact that I want to see is from which point of view you actually analyze a match and maybe see what I did wrong in my search. If it is possible. Thank you. Keep up the great work. :loon P.S.: I forgot to include the e-mail address as I saw that this is the only way to send the info (since I don't have 50 posts already). [email protected]. Thank you. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stan1962 Posted April 21, 2011 Share Posted April 21, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Wow just read this thread for the first time and must congratulate you on your system My first thoughts were on looking at tomorrows match is Home Win but it does seem that Oldham may be better when they play away and therefore must come into the reckoning based on the fact that there appears not to be much between the teams overall in relation to each other.Certainly the odds look reasonable. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
discovery Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins @Bairn Have you considered a system based on draws using your formula? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stan1962 Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi Bairn , I have re-read your posts this morning but do not quite understand the difference between using your performance and and points based ratings If you rate the away team stronger with your performance ratings than the home team I can understand that this could be considered a likely away win. But I am confused because you then say that if the points based system produces a lower score for the away team then away win becomes the selection. Surely it becomes less likely as an away win if the home score is higher ? Or is it because it then means that the odds offered are going to be better for the away team. Sorry if this sounds a bit dim. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UsManyDead Posted April 22, 2011 Share Posted April 22, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks. :loon Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 23, 2011 Author Share Posted April 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins DateMatchOddsP/LP/L Cum 22/04/2011 Exeter 2 - 0 Oldham 4.33 -£10.00 +£438.70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 23, 2011 Author Share Posted April 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins @Bairn Have you considered a system based on draws using your formula? Hi there, I have tried to find a system that picks out draws using the same ratings, but unforunately I haven't yet been able to find anything that's shown good profit when back-testing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 23, 2011 Author Share Posted April 23, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Hi Bairn , I have re-read your posts this morning but do not quite understand the difference between using your performance and and points based ratings If you rate the away team stronger with your performance ratings than the home team I can understand that this could be considered a likely away win. But I am confused because you then say that if the points based system produces a lower score for the away team then away win becomes the selection. Surely it becomes less likely as an away win if the home score is higher ? Or is it because it then means that the odds offered are going to be better for the away team. Sorry if this sounds a bit dim. Hi there, There's a bit more too it, which, for reasons already mentioned on this thread, I'm afraid I don't want to give away, but I think you're understanding it correctly - even if it does seem confusing! Bascially it is looking for fixtures where the odds on an away win are bigger than I think they should be. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stan1962 Posted April 24, 2011 Share Posted April 24, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Thanks for reply.Your system seems very interesting. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bairn1 Posted April 25, 2011 Author Share Posted April 25, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins 2 picks today... 25/04/2011 | Peterboro v Yeovil | Away Win | 7 (Stan James) 25/04/2011 | Sheffield Weds v Swindon | Away Win | 4 (Blue Square) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted April 25, 2011 Share Posted April 25, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins Sooooooo close today. Unlucky bairn Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemmiwinks Posted April 26, 2011 Share Posted April 26, 2011 Re: Bairn's Value Away Wins You just couldn't make it up with the Yeovil match. :eek Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
.thumb.JPG.8c5a15b710f7a4188ce438df64354c1e.JPG)
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.