Robinnho

i am also on Osta to beat Vondro 2.33 @  pinnacle
 

 

@darko08 this is a terrible spot for vondrosouva, And there is absolutely no value at all with those odds. 
My fault for spam quoting the post

Jelena ostapenko to beat Vondrousova @2.33 - 10 units

Johanna Konta to beat Varvara Flink at 1.37 with Paddy Power
Not a fan of short odds, but this is an elite player against someone who's never been in the top 100, so I'll take what's on offer.

@money44 Andreescu has only played 2 matches this month, i don't expect her to tank this. I have not considered her matches against left handed players  but she is now playing a high level tennis and the last results of Teichmann are not good.. Do you think Teichmann can trouble her? I think that her momentum is too much high to be cut by Teichmann (the only 2 players that have won her in the last 3 months are Gorges and Sevastova, both matches in 3 sets)

Bianca Andreescu (2-0) to beat Jil Belen Teichmann at 1.70 with 888
What can I say about Bianca… she’s absolutely impressive. In this 2019 she’s in a win/loss record of 17-2. She did final in Auckland, winning there against Kucova, Fourlis, Siegemund, Babos, Wozniacki, Venus Williams and Hsieh and losing the Final against Gorges in a 3 set match. After that, she lost in a 3 set match in the second round of the AO against Sevastova (she won against Osuigwe in the first round and Grammatikopoulou, Katie Swan and Smitkova in the qualy) and won the Title in her previous tournament in Newport Beach, winning there against Volynets, Bouzkova, Bouchard, Tatjana Maria and Pegula. The record of Andreescu on hard outdoor courts is 63-22. Teichman has a record of 35-33 on hard outdoor courts and her last results are very poor. She lost in the first round against Silvia Soler (6-4, 6-3) in Auckland, against Golubic also in the first round in the AO (6-2, 6-4), against Bouchard in the second round in Newport Beach (6-2, 6-2), against McHale in the first round in a ITF tournament played in the USA (6-3, 3-6, 3-6) and in the second round against Bonaventure (7-5, 7-5) in Budapest, her last tournament (played on indoors). Considering the results of this year Teichmann is on win/loss record of 2-5 in front of the 17-2 record of Andreescu. Is important to remark that the best surface of Teichmann is clay while the best surface for Andreescu is hard outdoor, by far.
I EDIT because i forgot that Andreescu played 2 matches in the Fed Cup, against Arantxa Rus and Hogenkamp (she won both matches in straight sets so her win/loss record for this year is 19-2 not 17-2)

This week is so annoying. Going to have a quiet weekend if Begu throws it away after that good first set.

@wisebettor Hi and welcome to PL!
Irina Begu to beat Marketa Vondrousova at 2.38 with Pinnacle
Vondrousova looked pretty tired at the end of the match yesterday and she hasn't had a lot of match practice lately, so I wouldn't be surprised to see the fatigue catching up with her today. Begu is a quality opponent anyway, she's not likely to just roll over and not pose any resistance.

Stefanos Tsitsipas to beat (-4.5) Sergiy Stakhovsky at 2.04 with Unibet
Should be an easy win for Stefanos. Sergiy has been riding his luck to get to the quarterfinal and it's where it ends most likely with a loss by more than five games margin. Something like 6-2 6-4. What I seek here is the doublebreak by Stefanos and that is very possible that he can achieve, he's after all ranked 12 and Sergiy 100+ nowadays and it was a long long time ago since Sergiy even won a challenger title.

I was also looking at this matchup and I like your pick. Since the odds are so high, I am happy to take my usual set handicap, trying to remain on the "safe"  side.
Back Pauline Parmentier (+1.5 set handicap) to beat Ekaterina Alexandrova at 1.91 with BoyleSports

Back Felix Auger Aliassime to beat Jaume Munar at 2.40 with Expekt
As expected the clay court specialist Spanish guy moved to South America after the AO, rather than "wasting" his time on indoor tournaments. His results were quite good by reaching the quarter-final both in Cordoba and Buenos Aires. During this period he played 5 three-setters, so I would expect him to show signs of tiredness once again in the QF. Moreover, in the form of Auger Aliassime, he will face a difficult opponent. After easily eliminating Fognini in the first round, the young Canadian prodigy took revenge on Garin yesterday, who defeated him in Buenos Aires a week ago. Albeit losing to Munar twice last season (both time on clay), I really fancy his chances in this matchup and I consider the odds favorable as well.

Pablo Cuevas to beat (-1.5 sets) Aljaz Bedene at 2.75 with Unibet
Pablo is his usual self this week. Aljaz hasn't been impressive to start this season and he lost 3-0 in Roland Garros to Pablo last season and Pablo wasn't even good last season so that result is very worrying for Aljaz. Pablo has been steamrolling in first two matches. Sure he had some difficulties to find a way to break Malek Jaziris serve in first set but he routinely turned the tie-break around and needed only one setpoint to win first set and after that it was all Pablo who cruised to a straight sets win. When he beat Facundo Bagnis he didn't face any breakpoints at all but he was broken at 5-1 last match but broke serve straight after to win the match and it's excusable to get broken when you're 5-1 up and serving for the match especially when you break serve straight after. Anyways Pablo is just too solid on the South American golden swing to even lose a set to an out of form Aljaz when he's in this kind of form. Just because Aljaz beat Fabio Fog it doesn't make him an in-form player to me and even if he had decent form he could lose this in straight sets because Pablo is just too solid and whatever he does when he's serving it works for him.

SOFIA ATP R16
Struff vs Tsitsipas
Bet on Tsitsipas -2.5 @ 1.90
The uprising 20-year-old has a H2H of 1-0 and is fast improving.  He should win this match-up.

 
 

Cheers, I was just about to post that! A truly bizarre twist !

Marton Fucsovics advance to the SF with a walkover.

Marton Fucsovics advance to the SF with a walkover.

SOFIA ATP R16
Struff vs Tsitsipas
Bet on Tsitsipas -2.5 @ 1.90
The uprising 20-year-old has a H2H of 1-0 and is fast improving.  He should win this match-up.

 
 

SOFIA ATP R16
Struff vs Tsitsipas
Bet on Tsitsipas -2.5 @ 1.90
The uprising 20-year-old has a H2H of 1-0 and is fast improving.  He should win this match-up.

 
 

Kotov won by 6-4 2-6 6-3
 
You're so brave to be with Baghdatis. Hope you'll be lucky today.
What do I think about it?
I don't know what will be the motivation of Pouille for an ATP250 tournament in his country.
But what about Baghdatis? I have a particular theory about him: he cannot play more than 3 games in a row in a good level. Maybe it's about his age (33), maybe for some other things.
Last year for example he was in 1/8 in Indian Wells but he retired before beggining the match and in Saint Brieuc Challenger he lost in Semifinals against Lestienne in 2 sets.
If I had to bet, I'll bet on the @aussietennisexpert . Anyway, good luck also to @four-leaf

In particular, we have Bolton's game with West Brom and we will support the best team. This is West Brom, which ignores the joy of winning for three races, enough for her momentum and goals. Today, however, he has the opportunity to return to the three-pointer after a long while as he faces a subordinate team. From the most commercial points with a West Brom victory
BOLTON WANDERERS vs WEST BROMWICH ALBION @@ WEST BROMWICH ALBION, odds 1.80

K.Nishikori/P.Carreno-Busta - Over 3.5 sets at 2.00 with Bet365
PCB did disappoint me big time in the first round, but he has improved since then, while Nishikori has produced just one reasonably good performance and should've been gone against both Majchrzak and Karlovic. PCB doesn't have the serve of those two guys, but he has a better groundgame than all three guys Nishikori has faced so far and I fancy him to really take the fight to Nishikori. I was expecting the overs to be set at 1.72 here, so 2.00 looks like value to me.

To everyone: The deciding tiebreak at the AO in the fifth set at 6-6 will be played to 10. New rule.

+ Struff is playing the double as well I think.
 

Ashleigh Barty (-2,5 games) to beat Kiki Bertens at 1.83 with 888
Finally, I will post one bet for this week. I think Barty is better player in this surface than Kiki. He has played against Ostapenko (6-3, 6-3), Halep (6-4, 6-4) and Mertens (6-3, 6-3). Kiki has played only 2 matches against easier players, Bernarda Pera (7-5, 6-4) and Putintseva (6-2, 6-2). Barty dominates 2-0 the h2h against Kiki (6-3 and 6-1 in the Canadian Master 2018 and 2-6, 6-3 and 7-5 in Brisbane 2014), both matches played in hard. The last reason is that Barty plays at home so the crowd will be with her.

Cameron Norrie to beat Taylor Fritz at 2.20 with Unibet
This is the one pick that's standing out for me the most today, especially with Unibet going a bit higher than others. Norrie is in a splendid form, having beaten Tsitsipas in the Hopman Cup and then two tough opponents in Auckland, while Fritz was hardly convincing against Copil before beating Isner in two boring TBs. Norrie is a better defender than both of those and should have a good chance of winning in the current form.