Wildgarden

15p deduction estimated ( I did on exchange in the end 13% deduction there) 2nd for the place 

My poem wins at tidy price 10.5 taken and 3.5 place / 7-1 sp.

Also fits the criteria of my handicap system, always good to have other evidence to back it up.

My poem wins at tidy price 10.5 taken and 3.5 place / 7-1 sp.

My poem wins at tidy price 10.5 taken and 3.5 place / 7-1 sp.

Personally I don't like to have more than 1 selection in a race as I find it less enjoyable watching more than 1 horse. If I have more than 1 selection I tend to go for the shortest in the odds, the market is the best predictor of a race.

My poem wins at tidy price 10.5 taken and 3.5 place / 7-1 sp.

My poem wins at tidy price 10.5 taken and 3.5 place / 7-1 sp.

My poem wins at tidy price 10.5 taken and 3.5 place / 7-1 sp.

I didn't realise that Punters Lounge was so influential !

I agree, unless you expect the horse to lose (relative to the odds) there isn't any logic in laying it.
The only reason would be from a psychological perspective. Some people would prefer to make a profit of £10 a day for 5 days rather than lose £10 a day for 4 days and then a profit of £100 on the 5th day even though the latter option gives the highest profit overall.
I think the psychologists call it loss aversion. It suggests that the impact of a loss is twice as powerful as the impact of a gain.
It helps to explain why returns in the stock market are higher than in theory they should be. 

11-1 lay exchange. Unless trading, never lay a back just because odds gone in... Overall ud be up more with original bet than winning a lay and paying commission ... U already have value in fact horse has moved in.

You are welcome. Yes, the method applies only to jump racing. I treat the 2 codes completely separately, I concentrate on the jumps from November to April and the flat from May to October.
In the 12.55 I have backed NIKAP because at the time it was the only one of the 3 that BET365 or BOYLESPORTS were offering the best odds on. These are the only bookies that I can use that offer BOG the night before racing. It was 13/2 but has now drifted out to 18/1.
I don't worry too much about the odds although I don't back anything where the forecast odds are less than 2/1.
I will continue to post selections on a daily basis, my nap and £20 daily challenge selections are also from this selection process.
I will summarise my results at the end of each month. It was very profitable last year but systems often have a short shelf life.
I now notice that BUSHYPARK is best priced 8/1 (from 16/1). I don't personally but would anybody lay this on Betfair to guarantee a profit ?

Held up and couldn't get there to unplace.

Todays selections

15:30 Hexham Costly Dream 18:00 Newcastle Stealing Silk 19:00 Newcastle Etikaal 20:05 Newcastle Lord Of The Glen  

A positive day on the place backs with Dora De Janeiro placing at a very healthy 4.22. Chitra ran well, came into 2.22 from an opening SP of 6.2 but died off on the run in.
Place bank +€811
Win bank +€3,971

Here are todays selections;

12:30 Market Rasen Shiroccsmyworld 12:40 Sedgefield Skyhill 18:00 Kempton Shady McGee 20:00 Kempton Bird For Life 20:30 Kempton My Boy Sepoy

Going with some once-raced 2 year olds ....
Kemp 4.20 - Camassia 9/2 and Deep Sigh 13/2
Kemp 4.50 - River Chorus 9/2 and Girl From Ipanema 8/1
prices bet365 bog
4 x £5 doubles
in the market The Girl From Ipanema is walking . ........... aah!

Todays selections

13:10 Redcar Real Smooth 16:07 Newcastle Howzer Black 16:07 Newcastle Alfred Richardson 16:10 Redcar Jackamundo 17:15 Newcastle Sugar Angel 17:45 Newcastle Stonegarth  

A day of near misses yesterday with Tathmeen trading into 1.08 only to be beaten, also Palavecino hit 1.5 in-running but didn't close it out and Takeonefortheteam traded to evens to win only to fail to place!
Place Bank +€959
Win Bank +€4,771
 
 

Nice few selections today to kick off the week for us

13:50 Kempton Beau Geste 13:50 Kempton Takeonefortheteam 15:30 Kempton Corazon Espinado 15:40 Plumpton Talkingpicturestv 16:35 Kempton Tribal Craft 16:35 Kempton Palavecino 17:50 Wolverhampton Minhaaj 18:50 Wolverhampton Tathmeen 19:50 Wolverhampton False Id 19:50 Wolverhampton Cafe Sydney  

500 Wolverhampton - rockesbury 11/4 paddy power / others
Race between my pick and frow since Stella Barclays horses are terrible on all wetaher.
Siding with rockesbury had okay 4th recently and looked at the running at 7f now down in distance to stop frow who is up 8lb.

1.55 Ascot , Capeland 11/4
3.05  Ascot,  Malaya , 11/2
 
two singles and the double 

??????????????? ?16 claps , very well done , good start to your weekend ?

this month +469.88
Looking at the two big staying chases today
2.25 Down - Delta Work 5/2 and Presenting Percy 10/3
3.20 Weth - Ballyoptic 13/2 and Sam Spinner 15/2
prices bet365 bog
4 X £5 doubles

340 ascot 
Adrien Dupont 355
What more 353 
Black corton 353 
These  3 are a bit clear of the next horse and tbh I cant separate them because each has good and bad points....prices allow so I'll back all 3 
What more 5pt win 6/1 bet365 
Black corton 5pt win 13/2 betvic 
Adrien Dupont 5pt win  12/1 betvic 
6x2pt win doubles with above race