yogg

If evans wins, then 2-1 sounds correct.. Nishikori should be able to grab atleast one set.. It makes sense to me. I won't be betting on this match.. good luck brother! ?

Indian Wells (USA)
Nishikori K. Vs Evans D. - Evans to win 2 sets to 1 @ 5.50 with BetVictor.
I'm quite surprised Dan is the underdog here as i think he's just the better player nowadays.
there was no shame in his defeat by Norrie last week in San Diego, Norrie going on to win that event.
Kei had a very tough match against Joao Sousa and Dan is fresh so I'm going to have a punt on Dan Evans to win 2 sets to 1 @ 5.50 with BetVictor.
good luck all. 

Indian Wells (USA)
Nishikori K. Vs Evans D. - Evans to win 2 sets to 1 @ 5.50 with BetVictor.
I'm quite surprised Dan is the underdog here as i think he's just the better player nowadays.
there was no shame in his defeat by Norrie last week in San Diego, Norrie going on to win that event.
Kei had a very tough match against Joao Sousa and Dan is fresh so I'm going to have a punt on Dan Evans to win 2 sets to 1 @ 5.50 with BetVictor.
good luck all. 

sorry to all you racing fans.
my tips can now be found here:
https://forum.punterslounge.com/topic/168924-value-tips/?tab=comments#comment-2701331

In this thread I'll attempt to make a profit with just one bet a day. They'll be no loss chasing, just level stakes betting. Odds will usually be at least 2.00 (EU Odds). All sports may be used but mainly Horse Racing and Football (Soccer) including all leagues worldwide. All types of bets will be considered too.
Staking Plan: Starting Bank £150.00 / 30 = £5 which will be the stake for the first 100 bets. After 100 bets if I manage to increase the bank to say £180.00 then I'll divide it by 30 again (£6) and this will be the stake for the next 100 bets. This should speed up profits, if any. This is a slightly modified version of a plan that can be found here: http://cdsystems.uk.com/sports.htm
I actually started this in the wrong thread six days ago with some success here: https://forum.punterslounge.com/topic/163589-£20-daily-challenge-all-welcome/page/73/?tab=comments#comment-2701305
All tips will be online at least 2 hours before the event starts. Tip posts will not be edited.
If you back my tips it's at your own risk, you know the drill.
Good luck with your betting
-----------------------------------------------------------
Starting Bank: £150.00 - Live Bank: £123.95
-----------------------------------------------------------
Full Results in the Fourth Post
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Bank doubled in six bets!
Betting Bank                        100.00
1)27/04/19 - WON +24.00 - 124.00
2)28/04/19 - WON +37.60 - 161.60
3)29/04/19 - Lost -20.00   - 141.60
4)30/04/19 - WON +39.20 - 180.80
5)01/05/19 - Lost -20.00   - 160.80
6)02/05/19 - WON +41.60 - 202.40
I realize I've posted this in the wrong thread so I'll be starting again in the Glory Hunters thread.

1 pick for tomorrow match:

WTO MOROCCO RABAT MERTENS-FLIPKENS 2:0 SETS @ 1.63 pinnacle
Mertens is a defending champion in this tournament and she is in a good form this year. Flipkens prefers fast surfaces. Mertens is much more consistent from the baseline and has better game for clay.

Marterer to beat Londero 2.47
Marterer‘s price has drifted heavily due to his retirement in Francaville on Friday I guess. I didn’t see that match but I could imagine he didn’t give his best effort with bigger rewards waiting this week in Munich. The fact that he played doubles today shows that whatever injury he might carry it can’t be of serious nature. Admittedly Maxi has not had the best year so far but he made the semis in Munich last time and is accustomed to the conditions. Londero has finally made it to the ATP Tour after some excellent showings in his home country but I have my doubts whether he can replicate that level outside of Argentina. This matchup should be priced closer to even money.
 

Enrico Dalla Valle to beat Ricardo Ojeda Lara at 2.04 with betsson
Italian Enrico Dalla Valle toyed with his italian compatriot Julian Ocleppo yesterday and won deservedly by 6-2 6-2. Enrico could very likely toy again with the opposition tomorrow. The risk is surpassing when he faces spaniard Ricardo Ojeda Lara. Ricardo is only favourite by name and ranking here. Not by the fact that he's got next to none in form.
Ricardo is a player who for a few months were ranked top 200 around october 2017 till july 2018. He's a player who won a clay challenger title in 2017 and reached a semi in another clay challenger the week after and he reached the quarters of Pune 2018.
These two also met last season in july when all form had started to wear off Ricardo and Enrico won 6-7 6-1 6-3. All points Ricardo has had to defend this season and last season he couldn't defend. He's like up as a sun and down like a pancake. 
However Enrico is playing really solid right now and I highly doubt Ricardo to have any answer to the game the Enrico is playing right now.
Enrico is ranked 438, not a high ranking and his career high is 430 in february this year but you shouldn't stare your eyes blind on a ranking when a player like Enrico in this case is playing so well. Climbing on the ranking can go fast if you make a few good results. If you've seen Enrico playing in the qualies early monday you know he's got good chances of winning in round 1 of Ostrava maindraw.

Taylor Fritz to beat Alejandro Davidovich Fokina at 2.09 with Pinnacle
Opelka was able to defeat Sousa in the conditions yesterday, Fritz could very well do the same against Fokina today. Plenty has been said about how he isn't able to play on clay, but his recent results show that he came to Europe prepared this time around. Don't see a reason for Fokina being the favorite here, I'd have the odds the other way around at the very least.

Some bets i like tomorrow & i have taken
Ostrava Challenger
David Poljak @4.70 188bet 4/10
I probably wouldn't bet Poljak in any other case but here i have to try it at least. He's from Ostrava so this is basically his Grand Slam final each year, playing in his home town in front of his fans and friends. Even better to bet on him against a guy like Vavassori who is - to be honest - one of the worst players i have seen playing on that level regulary as he's playing Challengers most of the time. He has a big serve, i give him that, but from the baseline he's pretty much an error machine with weak consistency. I think if Poljak has solid day he can make it close.
Seoul Challenger
Y.-S. Kim/H.-C. Lim @9.50 Betfair 2/10
Just a try. Kim/Lim had few solid results in 2018 on Challenger level: 46 63 2-10 vs. Hsieh/Rungkat; 67 36 vs. Wu/Zhang; 46 46 vs. Roelofse/Smith. Those teams are pretty solid Challenger level guys. Furthermore we have two Korean teams here so might be a bit less competitive atmosphere, more friendly. Kim/Lim +30 matches together, Chung/Lee on the other side have played one match together in the past and both are not well known for taking doubles too seriously in the past (both not ranked inside Top 400).
Savannah Challenger
Cannon Kingsley @3.28 Pinnacle 4/10
I don't rate Johannes Haerteis. I know him very well as i followed his career in detail, especially at younger age and i think he reached his maximum already. Don't think he can go further on Challenger level. This is a good matchup for Kingsley who is one of the better prospects in the US. He's a Top 10 Junior right now and showed some decent stuff on the higher level recently, winning sets vs solid clay court player Velotti and Ritschard + had close match with Schnur in New York earlier this year. I would make this a pick em match.

Nobody seems to want to post anything from Estoril and Munich today or Rabat and Prag but we still have Danielle Collins to wait for at least but there's a bit to few posts today for my liking here about the main tournaments this week.

Well I don't see any coming back from Enrico Dalla Valle in first set as he's a double break down. He'll probably lose the match in straight sets two since he's playing quite awful and Ricardo Ojeda doesn't have to do mutch to win the points.

WTA Prague - Collins D.R. v Brady J.
I believe Danielle is a much better player than Jennifer although the clay will probably bring them a bit closer but given that Brady hasn't played for six weeks (seven weeks on clay) I see Collins taking this in straight sets @2.60 with Unibet.
good luck all
nb: I've now found out that Jennifer played a Fed Cup doubles match last week, sorry guys.

Parlay at 6.61 with betsson
Alex de Minaur to beat (-1.5 games) Joao Domingues at 1.89
Alex comes back after some time off court with I plan here I hope.
Brydan Klein to beat (+4.5 games) Alexander Ritschard at 1.83
I agree with @CzechPunter here about Brydan and his serve and the surface that should allow him to get some easy service holds. Enough to cover 4.5 at least.
Sandro Ehrat to beat (-1.5 games) Martin Cuevas at 1.91
Martin the younger brother of the mutch better player Pablo Cuevas is up again. Let's see what Martin is up to this time. Saw Sandro playing in Tallahassee last friday and boy did he do great or did he do great. He pushed Tennys Sandgren with his first serve like a bat out of hell. Gonna be something quite difficult for Martin to break here and I suspect Martins serve will be asked some questions by Sandro since it isn't exactly built upon big first serves. Sandros serve did bite in Tallahassee and I don't think Savannahs surface is mutch different, pretty mutch the same acctually as far as I know.

WTA Prague - Collins D.R. v Brady J.
I believe Danielle is a much better player than Jennifer although the clay will probably bring them a bit closer but given that Brady hasn't played for six weeks (seven weeks on clay) I see Collins taking this in straight sets @2.60 with Unibet.
good luck all
nb: I've now found out that Jennifer played a Fed Cup doubles match last week, sorry guys.

WTA Prague - Collins D.R. v Brady J.
I believe Danielle is a much better player than Jennifer although the clay will probably bring them a bit closer but given that Brady hasn't played for six weeks (seven weeks on clay) I see Collins taking this in straight sets @2.60 with Unibet.
good luck all
nb: I've now found out that Jennifer played a Fed Cup doubles match last week, sorry guys.

Dominic Thiem/Daniil Medvedev under 21.5 games at 2.02 with Unibet
Dom is the rightful favourite in this match and none of his matches so far in Barcelona has gone over 21.5 games. Only Rafa came close to sending the match over 21 games but he was never close to break back in either set and lost his serve pretty early in second set to so there never was any worries about the match going under 21.5 games. Daniil is not as good as Rafa, maybe he is even with Rafa right now but Dom is in another league here.

Thiem did well!
Beatriz Haddad Maia to beat Jil Belen Teichmann at 1.71 with Pinnacle
The only bet that's caught my eye for tomorrow. Haddad did well in Prague two years ago, but she was unlucky to run into the in-form Buzarnescu last year. She likes the conditions though and she's been performing slightly above Teichmann all year long in my opinion, so I'd have her at 1.57 here. Slight value I'd say.

I am hoping we are going to see a few big priced winners on Easter Monday as I have some monster prices among the 9 teams I am putting up.
Aldershot v Havant
Two relegated teams and both have only won one of their last 10 games, but Havant were able to go 3 up against Ebbsfleet on Friday and they aren't a bad side. As Lee Bradbury said after they were relegated they were very competitive in all bar 2 of their games this season and that is backed up by how many they have lost by a single goal. This is a Hampshire derby and I am sure they would love to get one over an Aldershot side who have had a terrible season. Havant just shouldn't be as big as 3/1 to win this.
Chesterfield v Boreham Wood
Chesterfield were poor on Friday against Gateshead and sadly for us seemed the players seemed to have their minds on the beach which surprised me. Whilst they were losing Boreham Wood gave Salford a massive scare coming from 2 down to level it at 2 all before conceding a winner late on. That effort might leave a mark, but given Chesterfield went through the motions on Saturday, if Wood can back that effort up then they have a chance here. At 18/5 they are well worth taking a risk with.
Eastleigh v Maidenhead
Eastleigh are doing their best to blow their play-off spot having lost 4 out of their last 6 games. Losing 2-0 at Dagenham on Friday was another poor effort and although Maidenhead couldn't quite recover from a poor first half against Barrow on Saturday they did get a point. It wouldn't surprise me at all if they won this this and at 19/5 they are worth backing.
Ebbsfleet V Dover
Ebbsfleet are the closest side to Eastleigh in 8th yet they have hit the buffers a little in the last couple of weeks. As mentioned above they got away with coming from 3 down on Friday to get a point. Prior to that they lost to Dagenham and before that it was a point at Gateshead. Dover are unbeaten in their last 7 now and in the last 10 form table only the 3 title contenders are above them. They might have nothing to play for, but they would love to get one over their Kent rivals and at 5/1 they look overpriced.
Harrogate v Gateshead
I'm slightly surprised to be putting up Gateshead, but although it was only a penalty that defeated Chesterfield they more than deserved the win. It showed they still have a bit of fight in them and Harrogate aren't exactly doing great things at the moment with their only win in 7 was against Havant. Given they have to chase down Eastleigh Gateshead have suddenly given themselves a chance of the play-offs again and although the early 5s has gone the 4s is still decent value.
Guiseley v Darlington
Darlington have hit form as they win against Bradford Park Avenue on Friday was the first time they have won 3 on the bounce all season. The only time Guiseley have won in their last 10 was when I opposed them against Curzon, but that was the start of Curzon's downturn in form so it doesn't say much. I don't think the away side should be over 2/1 to win this and they are well worth a bet.
Bath City v Oxford City
The home side looked good for the play-offs 6 games ago, but they then haven't won in 6. To be fair they have picked up 4 draws in that spell, but they only drew 0-0 against relegation threatened Hungerford on Friday. Oxford lost to Slough, but they are flying at the moment and it was 2 late goals which defeated them 3-1. They have won 4 of their last 6 and winning at Concord in their previous game is decent form. I just don't see how on earth they can be priced up at 9/1 to win this and although a draw is a concern they are simply too big not to back.
Hemel Hempstead v Weston-Super-Mare
Granted Weston weren't great when I put them up on Saturday, but Hemel have looked really poor of late and now Weston have finally been relegated it wouldn't surprise me if they went and won this now they have the pressure off. Weston have picked up 1 more point than Hemel in their last 10 games and it is just crazy why the bookies have stuck the away side in at 7/1 in what is a pretty even game for me.
Leatherhead v Dorking
One bet at step 3 and it is for the Bostik Premier Champions Dorking. Dorking haven't let up since they won the league winning every game since and they have lost just once in their last 20 games, a run which started against Leatherhead. They have already beaten 3 teams still in the play-off hunt in their last 3 games so to beat another one here wouldn't surprise at all. Leatherhead are 2 points off the play-offs although they are only 9th. They lost their 1st game in 7 at the weekend so they had been in good form, but Dorking have picked up 87 points, Haringey in 2nd are on 71 and Leatherhead are on 62. That's how much better than the rest they have been so to be able to back them at over 2/1 just because their hosts need a win looks worth taking advantage of.
Havant 1pt @ 3/1 with BetVictor
Boreham Wood 1pt @ 18/5 with BetVictor
Maidenhead 1pt @ 19/5 with William Hill, Marathon and BetVictor
Dover 1pt @ 5/1 with William Hill
Gateshead 1pt @ 4/1 with Bet365 and BetVictor
Darlington 1pt @ 11/5 with Bet365
Oxford City 1pt @ 9/1 with William Hill and Bet365
Weston-Super-Mare 1pt @ 7/1 with Bet365
Dorking 2pts @ 103/50 with Marathon

So we finally reach the last day of the regular season. It was nice to get a profit on Monday with Weston, Dover and Dorking all landing at big odds. This season has been very up and down although still be a decent enough season. The ante-post stuff will show a nice profit and we are basically waiting on who wins the Evo-Stik Southern Premier as Weymouth and Taunton were both covered. I really need it to be Weymouth to help land a lumpy mid-season acca I put on (although Farsley aren't home and hosed yet either), but at least I have Taunton covered. Hopefully it can be a profitable end of the season on the match betting front where I have some big prices again.
AFC Fylde v Halifax
It doesn't really matter if Fylde come 4th or 5th and I reckon they might rest a few players in this match with the play-off matches coming thick and fast next week. They are guaranteed a home tie in the first round of matches and will be away in the next tie if they get through anyway so with that in mind Halifax are worth a bet here at 11/2. They beat Wrexham 2-1 on Easter Monday who are the team in 5th at the moment so there is no reason why they can't repeat the same sort of performance here.
Boreham Wood v Eastleigh
The home side gave it a good go at Chesterfield for us on Monday, but ended up going down 3-2 after having a man sent off. Eastleigh made sure of their play-off spot by beating Maidenhead and like Fylde it doesn't really matter if they finish 6th or 7th because they will be away in both the possible games anyway and I can imagine that they will rest key players. This gives Wood a chance especially as they have performed well in recent weeks so are worth backing at just over 2/1.
Bromley v Ebbsfleet
God knows what is happening behind the scenes at Ebbsfleet, but the players still haven't been paid and it is hard to see how they are going to be overly motivated to put in a performance here for a club that is in a right mess off the pitch. The loss to Dover on Monday meant they can no longer finish in the play-offs so there really is nothing to play for and they were poor in that game as it was. Bromley have drawn 3 of their last 4 so still seem to be trying and they beat Leyton Orient 5 games ago. They should be favs for this and 7/4 looks a huge price.
Hartlepool v Salford
Taking a bit of a chance here, but I am backing the home side. I just wonder if Salford will decide to concentrate on the play-offs given they are highly unlikely to catch Leyton Orient. If Orient go in front early on then Salford will know their number is really up and they wont want to be risking injuries ahead of the play-offs. Hartlepool aren't exactly ending the season in great form but they did beat Halifax on Good Friday. Team news could be key, but it might just pay to be ahead of the game here and have a small investment at a big price in the hope Salford have one eye on the play-offs.
Curzon Ashton v Spennymoor
Not that long ago Spennymoor were in poor form, but they have won 4 of their last 5 games and are setting themselves up nicely for the play-offs. They got a huge win against at the time league leaders Chorley on Easter Monday and they will be trying here as if they can overtake Brackley then they will have one less game in the play-offs. As I have mentioned a few times of late Curzon have stopped for the season based on their performances and odds against on the away side picking up another win is a big price.
Eastbourne v Concord
I really don't get the price of Concord here. I think the bookies are basing it on the fact they are basically certain of a play-off spot, but what they have missed is the fact that they can finish 4th or 5th and that would mean a home tie in the first round of the play-offs. Given how strong they have been at home this season that would be huge if they could overtake Bath and or Chelmsford. God knows where Eastbourne's 6-0 drubbing of Dartford came from given it had been a very long time since they last won prior to that. They then drew with Slough 1-1 on Monday which was a decent effort as well. They are safe now though and with Concord still having something to play for they just should be 9/2.
Woking v Gloucester City
I suspect if Gloucester had not come from 2 down to beat Chippenham 3-2 on Monday then Gloucester would not have been such a big price for this because they still would have been fighting for their survival. Fortunately for me and my fellow City supporters we are now safe for another season, but I think we can go out on a win. Our away form has been much stronger than our home form this term, but the key point is that Woking have nothing to play for. They can only finish 2nd now and I really can't believe that they won't be resting players ahead of the play-offs. Why would Alan Dowson risk his key players in a meaningless game a few days ahead of trying to win promotion? 21/5 looks a big price on an away win to me.
Halifax 1pt @ 11/2 with Ladbrokes and Coral
Boreham Wood 1pt @ 101/50 with Marathon
Bromley 2pts @ 7/4 with Marathon
Hartlepool 1pt @ 21/4 with BetVictor
Spennymoor 2.5pts @ 21/20 with Marathon
Concord 1pt @ 9/2 with Bet365 and Betfred
Gloucester 1pt @ 21/5 with BetVictor

Amazing as always Darran. RIP that guy who thought he was too good for your tips.

Amazing stuff today Darran, i only went with your 2 main predictions but won nicely off them. I know nothing about Non-League football and just by following your predictions each week have ended up well in profit for the season. Hope you know even the likes of me who doesn't post much here appreciates what you do 

You know, the best thing about what you do Darran, is that you don't come at it with the big " I am ". You win, you lose, but you don't over celebrate the former, or over horse-whip yourself over the latter.

A great day all round.  I hope you personally profit(t)?ed well yourself, but more than that, what a nice guy to share your knowledge on a very niche aspect of football betting ( non-league ).

Please continue to do what you do. We all like a punt, but a well-informed punt is particularly what we all like to invest in. We know we can't win every time. Thank you for your altruistic approach of sharing. It would be easy to just keep it to yourself, but thankfully your motivations lie elsewhere.

Happy punting and sharing Darran. I didn't follow your ante-post tips, but it sounds as though they're going very well.

Respect and much thanks to the best tipper online. .  Have a great  ( close season ) summer and just a small voice to let you know how many people appreciate what you do.
 

Thank you very much. It's always nice to read messages from people who follow my stuff either on here or on Twitter. I am very lucky that in all the years I have been tipping now that I have very rarely had nasty comments even when things are going tough. I think that says a lot about how realistic people are who follow my stuff and I really appreciate the fact that people are like that. It is bad enough when you are losing your own money, but when you know that there are others who are putting their hard earned cash on selections you are putting up it can be very tough mentally when things aren't going well. It is also very easy in this day and age for people to start slagging you off when things aren't going well, but its great that people who follow me are in it for the long term and don't jump to rash conclusions on the back of a poor spell. At the end of the day if I wasn't confident in my ability to make people money then I wouldn't even bother. I have to fit all this around work and my home life and sometimes I am up writing previews at 2am because that is the only chance I have to stick something up. Days like this make it worthwhile to put the time and effort in to write the previews.
It isn't quite all done yet as I will be putting up bets for the play-offs and something should be up on Monday once betting is up.