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Valiant Thor

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  1. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in Rolling back time   
    Never in doubt   
    Misty Bloom BOG @ 2/5 profit 2.28
    Elysees @ 4/7 Profit 3.25
    Runners 6
    Wins 6
    Sr 100%
    Bank 119.62
    Next stake 5.98

  2. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in Is an odds on favourite less likely to win the more horses in the race?   
    0-5 runners @ evens or less ROI 95.33% ROI approx loss of 5p in the pound (from 16381 races)
    7-8 runners @ evens or less ROI 92.80% ROI approx loss of 7p in the pound (from 42651 races)
    9-10 runners @ evens or less ROI 90.28% ROI approx loss of 10p in the pound (from 3366 races)
    11-12 runners @ evens or less ROI 89.55% ROI approx loss of 11p in the pound (from 1734 races)
    13-14 runners @ evens or less ROI 71.66% ROI approx loss of 29p in the pound (from 901 races)
    15-16 runners @ evens or less ROI 74.51% ROI approx loss of 26p in the pound (from 595 races)

  3. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Rolling back time   
    Didnt post much on there  mainly on Gummy Board
    sig was Engineer
  4. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in EW SINGLES   
    B365 pays 6 places @ 1/4 odds
    Buzz placed 5th @ 8/1....  winner winner chicken dinner
    Staked 2
    Returned 3
    Profit 1
     
     
  5. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in EW SINGLES   
    B365 pays 6 places @ 1/4 odds
    Buzz placed 5th @ 8/1....  winner winner chicken dinner
    Staked 2
    Returned 3
    Profit 1
     
     
  6. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Zico10 in EW SINGLES   
    B365 pays 6 places @ 1/4 odds
    Buzz placed 5th @ 8/1....  winner winner chicken dinner
    Staked 2
    Returned 3
    Profit 1
     
     
  7. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Zico10 in EW SINGLES   
    After being inundated by requests to put up more systems (well 1 request actually by @Xtc12 but who's counting)
    This system selects 1 a day ew bet as long as certain qualifications are met, was a sensation when it first arrived on the scene back in 2000/2001 with a good sr and getting as many winners as placed horses @ odds ranging from 7/2  to 16/1
    so will give it a trial run , all selections to be backed ew
    Todays selection 1pt ew
    3.15 Donc  Buzz @ 8/1 B365

  8. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in EW SINGLES   
    After being inundated by requests to put up more systems (well 1 request actually by @Xtc12 but who's counting)
    This system selects 1 a day ew bet as long as certain qualifications are met, was a sensation when it first arrived on the scene back in 2000/2001 with a good sr and getting as many winners as placed horses @ odds ranging from 7/2  to 16/1
    so will give it a trial run , all selections to be backed ew
    Todays selection 1pt ew
    3.15 Donc  Buzz @ 8/1 B365

  9. Thanks
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in Rolling back time   
    The staking plan states a 10% rolling bank never decreasing , Im doing a 5% rolling bank giving me a max of 20 losses as a safety net
    Apart from that the selection system is exactly the same
  10. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in Rolling back time   
    Windsor Avenue wins easily 5.1 @ 1.4 = 2.14 profit
    Runners 2
    Wins 2
    Sr 100%
    Bank 104.28
    Next Stake 5.21
  11. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in Rolling back time   
    Going through some pen drives of mine yesterday I found some old systems from the now defunct Racing-Systems forum (some may remember it some not)
    Anyway this one states approx 80% sr from selections , it must have had some substance / logic about it or else I wouldn't have saved it .
    Going to give it a re-run to see how it fares , prices wont be great but as long as Im getting over 1/4 then if the sr holds up then yo ho ho as the fat guy in red says.
    As I rarely bet on horses in twig hopping season this might add a bit of interest (as long as the selections dont keep falling over things like most of them do), Not going to go mad so I'll risk a max drawdown of £100 so @ 5% rolling bank per bet so its a 20 bets or out,
    First bet
    3.50 Sedge Im To Blame £5 @ 1.57 B365
  12. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in Rolling back time   
    Windsor Avenue wins easily 5.1 @ 1.4 = 2.14 profit
    Runners 2
    Wins 2
    Sr 100%
    Bank 104.28
    Next Stake 5.21
  13. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Zico10 in Rolling back time   
    Well it won but a R4 so £2.14 returned,....... coining it in
    Bank £100
    returned £2.14
    New bank £102.14
    next stake £5.10
  14. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Pirate53 in Rolling back time   
    Yep spot on, A guy called BRAN posted it, it similar to the JamesStanley one a day Formula.
    thats the criteria most tipped horse in RP with a max of 1 horse against min odds 1/4,
    Was proofed on R-S and over the time span gave 79% ish strike rate so thought id give it a new lease of life see how it goes 16yrs on .
    Gives me something to do
  15. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in Rolling back time   
    Yep spot on, A guy called BRAN posted it, it similar to the JamesStanley one a day Formula.
    thats the criteria most tipped horse in RP with a max of 1 horse against min odds 1/4,
    Was proofed on R-S and over the time span gave 79% ish strike rate so thought id give it a new lease of life see how it goes 16yrs on .
    Gives me something to do
  16. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in Rolling back time   
    Going through some pen drives of mine yesterday I found some old systems from the now defunct Racing-Systems forum (some may remember it some not)
    Anyway this one states approx 80% sr from selections , it must have had some substance / logic about it or else I wouldn't have saved it .
    Going to give it a re-run to see how it fares , prices wont be great but as long as Im getting over 1/4 then if the sr holds up then yo ho ho as the fat guy in red says.
    As I rarely bet on horses in twig hopping season this might add a bit of interest (as long as the selections dont keep falling over things like most of them do), Not going to go mad so I'll risk a max drawdown of £100 so @ 5% rolling bank per bet so its a 20 bets or out,
    First bet
    3.50 Sedge Im To Blame £5 @ 1.57 B365
  17. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from Tedthewolf in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends   
    Never in doubt
    Getting the hang of this big handicap lark 

     
  18. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends   
    Never in doubt
    Getting the hang of this big handicap lark 

     
  19. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends   
    My top 2 rated

    current best prices both @ Unibet 20pts staked win only
    Cross Counter  11.16pts @ 17/2
    Best Solution 8.84pts @ 11/1
     
     
  20. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from richard-westwood in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends   
    My top 2 rated

    current best prices both @ Unibet 20pts staked win only
    Cross Counter  11.16pts @ 17/2
    Best Solution 8.84pts @ 11/1
     
     
  21. Haha
    Valiant Thor reacted to BillyHills in Naps - Sunday Oct 21st   
    Thanks for not pointing out that mine fell at the first
  22. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in KO Cup - Semi Finals (Sat 2pm Deadline)   
    Couldnt find anything on the flat I thought would have a good chance of winning with the ground being soft
    and Sherwood was best of a bad bunch for current 14 day stats,

    Its all numbers game 2 runners 1 winner on the day
                 
  23. Like
    Valiant Thor reacted to Trotter in 2018 Cesarewitch H'Cap - Tips & Trends   
    York 3.15
    Gone for 
    single figure draw
    D winner
    aged 4/5
    that's left me with 3 runners and two of them are CD winners so I'll go with them...…….
    Golden Apollo 9/1
    Major Jumbo 18/1
  24. Like
    Valiant Thor reacted to BillyHills in KO Cup - 2nd Round (Sat 2pm Deadline)   
    Well done to the 4 winners

  25. Like
    Valiant Thor got a reaction from corky in KO Cup - 2nd Round (Sat 2pm Deadline)   
    Newm 1.50 SIDNEY OPERA HOUSE @ 15/8 Slybet
    Newm 2.25 PERSIAN KING @ 7/4 B365
    Chep 3.35 MONBEG LEGEND @ 5/2 Coral
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