** March Poker League Result : =1st Bridscott, =1st Like2Fish, 3rd avongirl **
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in Rolling back time
Never in doubt
Misty Bloom BOG @ 2/5 profit 2.28
Elysees @ 4/7 Profit 3.25
Runners 6
Wins 6
Sr 100%
Bank 119.62
Next stake 5.98
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in Is an odds on favourite less likely to win the more horses in the race?
0-5 runners @ evens or less ROI 95.33% ROI approx loss of 5p in the pound (from 16381 races)
7-8 runners @ evens or less ROI 92.80% ROI approx loss of 7p in the pound (from 42651 races)
9-10 runners @ evens or less ROI 90.28% ROI approx loss of 10p in the pound (from 3366 races)
11-12 runners @ evens or less ROI 89.55% ROI approx loss of 11p in the pound (from 1734 races)
13-14 runners @ evens or less ROI 71.66% ROI approx loss of 29p in the pound (from 901 races)
15-16 runners @ evens or less ROI 74.51% ROI approx loss of 26p in the pound (from 595 races)
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Rolling back time
Didnt post much on there mainly on Gummy Board
sig was Engineer
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in EW SINGLES
B365 pays 6 places @ 1/4 odds
Buzz placed 5th @ 8/1.... winner winner chicken dinner
Staked 2
Returned 3
Profit 1
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in EW SINGLES
B365 pays 6 places @ 1/4 odds
Buzz placed 5th @ 8/1.... winner winner chicken dinner
Staked 2
Returned 3
Profit 1
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Zico10 in EW SINGLES
B365 pays 6 places @ 1/4 odds
Buzz placed 5th @ 8/1.... winner winner chicken dinner
Staked 2
Returned 3
Profit 1
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Zico10 in EW SINGLES
After being inundated by requests to put up more systems (well 1 request actually by @Xtc12 but who's counting)
This system selects 1 a day ew bet as long as certain qualifications are met, was a sensation when it first arrived on the scene back in 2000/2001 with a good sr and getting as many winners as placed horses @ odds ranging from 7/2 to 16/1
so will give it a trial run , all selections to be backed ew
Todays selection 1pt ew
3.15 Donc Buzz @ 8/1 B365
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in EW SINGLES
After being inundated by requests to put up more systems (well 1 request actually by @Xtc12 but who's counting)
This system selects 1 a day ew bet as long as certain qualifications are met, was a sensation when it first arrived on the scene back in 2000/2001 with a good sr and getting as many winners as placed horses @ odds ranging from 7/2 to 16/1
so will give it a trial run , all selections to be backed ew
Todays selection 1pt ew
3.15 Donc Buzz @ 8/1 B365
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in Rolling back time
The staking plan states a 10% rolling bank never decreasing , Im doing a 5% rolling bank giving me a max of 20 losses as a safety net
Apart from that the selection system is exactly the same
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in Rolling back time
Windsor Avenue wins easily 5.1 @ 1.4 = 2.14 profit
Runners 2
Wins 2
Sr 100%
Bank 104.28
Next Stake 5.21
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Xtc12 in Rolling back time
Going through some pen drives of mine yesterday I found some old systems from the now defunct Racing-Systems forum (some may remember it some not)
Anyway this one states approx 80% sr from selections , it must have had some substance / logic about it or else I wouldn't have saved it .
Going to give it a re-run to see how it fares , prices wont be great but as long as Im getting over 1/4 then if the sr holds up then yo ho ho as the fat guy in red says.
As I rarely bet on horses in twig hopping season this might add a bit of interest (as long as the selections dont keep falling over things like most of them do), Not going to go mad so I'll risk a max drawdown of £100 so @ 5% rolling bank per bet so its a 20 bets or out,
First bet
3.50 Sedge Im To Blame £5 @ 1.57 B365
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in Rolling back time
Windsor Avenue wins easily 5.1 @ 1.4 = 2.14 profit
Runners 2
Wins 2
Sr 100%
Bank 104.28
Next Stake 5.21
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Zico10 in Rolling back time
Well it won but a R4 so £2.14 returned,....... coining it in
Bank £100
returned £2.14
New bank £102.14
next stake £5.10
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Pirate53 in Rolling back time
Yep spot on, A guy called BRAN posted it, it similar to the JamesStanley one a day Formula.
thats the criteria most tipped horse in RP with a max of 1 horse against min odds 1/4,
Was proofed on R-S and over the time span gave 79% ish strike rate so thought id give it a new lease of life see how it goes 16yrs on .
Gives me something to do
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in Rolling back time
Yep spot on, A guy called BRAN posted it, it similar to the JamesStanley one a day Formula.
thats the criteria most tipped horse in RP with a max of 1 horse against min odds 1/4,
Was proofed on R-S and over the time span gave 79% ish strike rate so thought id give it a new lease of life see how it goes 16yrs on .
Gives me something to do
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from gbettle in Rolling back time
Going through some pen drives of mine yesterday I found some old systems from the now defunct Racing-Systems forum (some may remember it some not)
Anyway this one states approx 80% sr from selections , it must have had some substance / logic about it or else I wouldn't have saved it .
Going to give it a re-run to see how it fares , prices wont be great but as long as Im getting over 1/4 then if the sr holds up then yo ho ho as the fat guy in red says.
As I rarely bet on horses in twig hopping season this might add a bit of interest (as long as the selections dont keep falling over things like most of them do), Not going to go mad so I'll risk a max drawdown of £100 so @ 5% rolling bank per bet so its a 20 bets or out,
First bet
3.50 Sedge Im To Blame £5 @ 1.57 B365
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from Tedthewolf in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends
Never in doubt
Getting the hang of this big handicap lark
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends
Never in doubt
Getting the hang of this big handicap lark
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends
My top 2 rated
current best prices both @ Unibet 20pts staked win only
Cross Counter 11.16pts @ 17/2
Best Solution 8.84pts @ 11/1
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from richard-westwood in 2018 Melbourne Cup - Tips & Trends
My top 2 rated
current best prices both @ Unibet 20pts staked win only
Cross Counter 11.16pts @ 17/2
Best Solution 8.84pts @ 11/1
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Valiant Thor reacted to BillyHills in Naps - Sunday Oct 21st
Thanks for not pointing out that mine fell at the first
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from BillyHills in KO Cup - Semi Finals (Sat 2pm Deadline)
Couldnt find anything on the flat I thought would have a good chance of winning with the ground being soft
and Sherwood was best of a bad bunch for current 14 day stats,
Its all numbers game 2 runners 1 winner on the day
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Valiant Thor reacted to Trotter in 2018 Cesarewitch H'Cap - Tips & Trends
York 3.15
Gone for
single figure draw
D winner
aged 4/5
that's left me with 3 runners and two of them are CD winners so I'll go with them...…….
Golden Apollo 9/1
Major Jumbo 18/1
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Valiant Thor reacted to BillyHills in KO Cup - 2nd Round (Sat 2pm Deadline)
Well done to the 4 winners
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Valiant Thor got a reaction from corky in KO Cup - 2nd Round (Sat 2pm Deadline)
Newm 1.50 SIDNEY OPERA HOUSE @ 15/8 Slybet
Newm 2.25 PERSIAN KING @ 7/4 B365
Chep 3.35 MONBEG LEGEND @ 5/2 Coral