BillyHills Posted November 1, 2018 Share Posted November 1, 2018 4.00 Flemington: November 6th 2m Lexus Melbourne Cup (Group 1 Handicap) (3yo+) Previous winners Trends 9/10 Aged 6 or less 8/10 Drawn lower than 15 9/14 Australian trained 9/10 Ran within 28 days 7/10 Carried 53kg or more 14/20 Had won a Group 1 race 11/20 Won last time out 0/10 Mares have won Weights There are a range of different factors that handicappers use to determine the weights for the Melbourne Cup. The age, sex and previous career performance all factor into the equation. A mare (female) nominated will automatically receive a 2kg allowance from it’s male competitors. The Melbourne Cup field also has a required minimum topweight. The topweight must carry 58kg and once the final field is released if the topweight is less than 58kg, the weights for all horses will be raised. The minimum weight one can carry in the Melbourne Cup is 49kg. kg- pounds 1 - 2.205 eg: (Rekindling carried 8st 2lb last year) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 1, 2018 Author Share Posted November 1, 2018 5 day Decs Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 1, 2018 Author Share Posted November 1, 2018 Bet365 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Striker Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 Will have some small each way plays at big prices on Vengeur Masque @ 66-1 Rostropovich @ 20-1 Youngstar @ 20-1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted November 2, 2018 Share Posted November 2, 2018 im very sweet on The cliffsofmoher e/w i think it has has been trained for the race has had a great prep 16/1 is a really good price in my world decent e/w bet for me in a really great race. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 3, 2018 Author Share Posted November 3, 2018 Final Decs and Draw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillyHills Posted November 3, 2018 Author Share Posted November 3, 2018 Trends9/10 Aged 6 or less We lose Who Shot Thebarman, Auvray, Nakeeta, Plus no 3yo has won recently so we lose Cross Counter, Rostropovich8/10 Drawn lower than 15 We lose Sound Check, Ace High, Yucatan, A Prince Of Arran, Zacada9/14 Australian/NZ trained We lose Best Solution, The Cliffsofmoher, Chestnut Coat, Muntahaa9/10 Ran within 28 days We lose Magic Circle, Marmelo, 7/10 Carried 53kg or more We lose Runaway, Youngstar14/20 Had won a Group 1 race &11/20 Won last time out We lose Avillus, Finche, Red Cardinal, Vengeur Masque, Sir Charles Road Selection 1pt EW Ventura Storm, 25/1 (Coral 1st 5) skylark2009 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 3, 2018 Share Posted November 3, 2018 Ran through spreadsheet Cliffs of moher 334 Best solution 332 Runaway 327 These 3xclear of rest and decent prices so I'll go ew 5pts 11/1 ...14/1 and 50/1!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 *CONDITIONS APPLY. EXCL VIC, NSW, SA & WA. GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY MELBOURNE CUP 2018 FIELD RACE TIME: 3:00 PM NOVEMBER 6, 2018 3200M RACE AT FLEMINGTON RACECOURSE 1. Best Solution (6) (IRE) J: PAT COSGRAVE T: SAEED BIN SUROOR W: 57.5KG Best Odds: $13 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Caulfield Cup winner who produced a career best to win the race. The Caulfield Cup is the traditional lead up, but in recent years it hasn't been the right form reference. 57.5kg is the ask, but he relaxes, he can sustain a run and is in form so there is enough boxes ticked to respect him. Out of the main hopes he has drawn well which puts him in good stead. 2. The Cliffsofmoher (9) (IRE) J: RYAN MOORE T: AIDAN O'BRIEN W: 56.5KG Best Odds: $17 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: I thought Bowman gave him every chance in the Caulfield Cup but wanted to lay in badly when put under pressure. I can't see him turning the tables on Best Solution and is a clear query at 3200m. Drawn well should get every chance. 3. Magic Circle (17) (IRE) J: COREY BROWN T: IAN WILLIAMS W: 56KG Best Odds: $9.00 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: This horse has clearly turned the corner since joining Ian Williams, winning 2/2 by six lengths each time where he has produced a slashing turn of foot which is needed to win the Melbourne Cup. Has looked sharp in work at Werribee. Stays and has a turn of foot. That's a winning formula for the Melbourne Cup. Looks the horse to beat despite an awkward draw. 4. Chestnut Coat (4) (JPN) J: YUGA KAWADA T: YOSHITO YAHAGI W: 55.5KG Best Odds: $41 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Clear forgive run in the Caulfield Cup. Wide no cover for the trip and was a beaten horse on the turn. Didn't handle the wet track either. The step up in trip and on a bigger track, he can bounce back for sure as long as the rain stays away. Should get a good run from the barrier. 5. Muntahaa (13) (IRE) J: JIM CROWLEY T: JOHN GOSDEN W: 55.5KG Best Odds: $11 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: He's the horse on everyone's lips. Visually, the Ebor win was outstanding. But what did he beat? There has been 21 subsequent runs from the race for just one win since. That's the negative, plus the form prior was just fair, and that he's a highly strung animal, but if he puts everything together and gets things to suit, he can certainly win with a little luck from the draw. 6. Sound Check (16) (GER) J: JORDAN CHILDS T: MICHAEL MORONEY W: 55.5KG Best Odds: $34 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: He was another forgive in the Caulfield Cup. He was out the back and pulling his head off. Looked drunk around the turn but balanced up and his last 100m was encouraging. Big track, 3200m and a more genuine tempo could see him cause problems if he can get some luck from the wide barrier. 7. Who Shot Thebarman (18) (NZ) J: BEN MELHAM T: CHRIS WALLER W: 55.5KG Best Odds: $41 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: A grand old campaigner who will likely sit on speed and make his own luck. Would be a shock to see him win, but his Moonee Valley Cup run was encouraging and I think he's a top 10 contender at big odds. 8. Ace High (22) J: TYE ANGLAND T: DAVID PAYNE W: 55KG Best Odds: $71 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Put a line through his run in the Caulfield Cup. Leading isn't his go, he wasn't happy on the surface and regular rider Tye Angland wasn't on. He will be much better at Flemington where he won the Derby last year. Two miles will be no issue if ridden with cover and will appreciate any rain that hits the track in lead up to the race. Can bounce back with some luck from the wide barrier. 9. Marmelo (10) (GB) J: HUGH BOWMAN T: HUGHIE MORRISON W: 55KG Best Odds: $16 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Horses who fail in a previous attempt at a Cup, generally struggle to improve at subsequent attempts. But this horse has got the ability to win so i am happy to give him another shot. If the race was a few hundred metres shorter he would be the horse to beat so if its a slow tempo he will be very hard to hold out. One of the main contenders after drawing well. 10. Avilius (11) (GB) J: GLYN SCHOFIELD T: JAMES CUMMINGS W: 54.5KG Best Odds: $13 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Earned his spot in the field via a narrow win in the Bart Cummings. Well held in the Cox Plate and IMO looks a clear risk at 3200m. He has been a up a fair while as well so it would take a great training effort from James Cummings. If he runs the distance he is right in the race but a risk at the price seeings he is likely to be stuck a bit wide. 11. Yucatan (23) (IRE) J: JAMES MCDONALD T: AIDAN O’BRIEN W: 54.5KG Best Odds: $6.00 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: If he runs up to the Herbert Power effort, he will go very close. But the price is very short and you're being asked to take $4.50 to see if he can run 3200m. There is enough evidence to suggest he may not and at the price, you couldn't back him. But anything similar to that win and he'll look the winner. Just needs to run the trip and get some luck from the horror barrier. 12. Auvray (1) (FR) J: TOMMY BERRY T: RICHARD FREEDMAN W: 54KG Best Odds: $81 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Hasn't raced in just under a month and was plain in what looked a weak race. Happy to let him go through to the keeper despite drawing the inside gate. 13. Finche (15) (GB) J: ZAC PURTON T: CHRIS WALLER W: 54KG Best Odds: $27 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: I think he is 6-12 months away from showing his best. Geelong Cup run was good but I don't think that's the right form for the Melbourne Cup. Not this year anyway and will likely do it tough from the draw. 14. Red Cardinal (5) (IRE) J: DAMIEN OLIVER T: DARREN WEIR W: 54KG Best Odds: $41 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Visually, the Moonee Valley Cup run was just plain, but it was a rock hard track and he hates that. Wants a track with give in it and the forecast is for a shower or two. If the rain comes his chances get a massive boost and the barrier definitely helps. 15. Vengeur Masque (2) (IRE) J: PATRICK MOLONEY T: MICHAEL MORONEY W: 54KG Best Odds: $67 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Handy stayer for Michael Moroney but I thought he was just fair in the Caulfield Cup. Would need to produce a career best run do go close and I don't think he has that in him despite a good draw. 16. Ventura Storm (7) J: MARK ZAHRA T: D & B HAYES AND T DABERNIG W: 54KG Best Odds: $26 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Got his way into form with a Moonee Valley Cup win, but I'm putting that down largely to an absolute peach of a steer from Mark Zahra. He does normally save his best for Flemington though. Can he win? I doubt it, but he should be included in multiples with a likely good run from the gate. 17. A Prince Of Arran (20) (GB) J: MICHAEL WALKER T: CHARLIE FELLOWES W: 53KG Best Odds: $17 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: It is always tough to win the Lexus Stakes on a Saturday then back-up to win the Melbourne Cup on the Tuesday but the horses who try always run well. Of the Lexus winners in recent years A Prince Of Arran looks like one who can win the Cup with plenty of improvement in him as well as being a rock hard stayer but the barrier will make it tough. 18. NAKEETA (3) (GB) J: REGAN BAYLISS T: IAIN JARDINE W: 53KG Best Odds: $81 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Just snuck into the Field late on Saturday when Red Verdon was ruled out of the race. She was the last one into the race and will likely be the last one home in the race. Pass 19. Sir Charles Road (14) J: DWAYNE DUNN T: O’SULLIVAN AND SCOTT W: 53KG Best Odds: $91 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Was game in the Bendigo Cup on Wednesday but that race was won by a near rank outsider. Here to make up the numbers. 20. Zacada (24) J: DAMIAN LANE T: M BAKER & A FORSMAN W: 53KG Best Odds: $126 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Had no chance the way the track played in the Geelong Cup but his form prior isn't good enough to win a Melbourne Cup. 21. Runaway (12) J: STEPHEN BASTER T: G WATERHOUSE AND A BOTT W: 52KG Best Odds: $35 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Aided by bias to win the Geelong Cup, but he led all the way and will be out of trouble on speed. Leading all the way in a Melbourne Cup is saved for champions. 22. Youngstar (8) J: CRAIG WILLIAMS T: CHRIS WALLER W: 51.5KG Best Odds: $16 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Thought she was the best run in the Caulfield Cup. Loved the way she attacked the line off a moderate. Start prior ran similar splits to Winx in the Turnbull. Very confident she'll run the two miles and is clearly in the mix. 23. Cross Counter (19) (GB) J: KERRIN MCEVOY T: CHARLIE APPLEBY W: 51KG Best Odds: $9.50 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: Very progressive gelding for Charlie Appleby. Thought he was very good during the York Carnival when beaten a lip. Has had a setback or two at Werribee but appears over them. Have to respect the stable and their record down under. 24. Rostropovich (21) (IRE) J: WAYNE LORDAN T: AIDAN O’BRIEN W: 51KG Best Odds: $27 Rating: BET NOW COMMENT: He was just okay in the Cox Plate. Sat on speed and fought on well. But his form at 2400m is suspect, so has to be a query at 3200m despite being trained by Aidan O'Brien. MELBOURNE CUP 2018 UPDATES 4/11/2018 - The Final Field of 24 horses has been announced with the favourites all drawing wide barriers. $600 BONUS BET Sign-up and get your first bet matched with up to $600 in racing bonus bets* $700 BONUS BET Join BetEasy, deposit $500 and you'll receive $700 in racing Bonus Bets! *CONDITIONS APPLY. EXCL VIC, NSW, SA & WA. GAMBLE RESPONSIBLY Melbourne Cup Information The Melbourne Cup always approaches fast, with the 2018 edition commencing at 3pm, Tuesday 6th November. The race that stops a nation is more exciting than ever this year, with a number of celebrations taking place both inside and outside the racecourse. While the $7.3 million Lexus Melbourne Cup is the centrepiece of the Melbourne Cup Carnival, there are plenty of additional races and social events to keep everyone busy. There are a total of ten races taking place throughout the day, with varying race distances and prize values on offer. While the 3200 metre Lexus Melbourne Cup is by far the most prestigious event on the Australian racing calendar, the entire Melbourne Cup day spectacle is organised as a complete and enthralling package. Rekindling, Melbourne Cup Everyone knows just how much people enjoy getting dressed up and having a bet for this special day, with women wearing their most extravagant hats and most colourful dresses. A number of marquees are set up for VIP guests, with fashion parades and other entertainment also taking place throughout the day. Corporate marquee and dining packages are already available for bookings, with shared marquees also available for hire. A General Admission Season Pass is being offered this year for the 2016/17 racing season, permitting access to general admission areas of all VRC race meetings, including the Melbourne Cup Carnival. This pass is being sold for $200, with a total value of $564. There are a range of other ticketing options available to choose from, including general admission, reserved grandstand seating, corporate dining, restaurant dining, and a variety of members options. The Melbourne Cup is the second richest prize in Australian sport, contested by horses from all over the world. It is amazing when you think that Australia stops to a standstill to listen to and watch the big event, with a 100,000 plus crowd also expected to witness the race live. It’s not all about the racing however, with a wide range of fashion, dining, and entertainment also on offer. The Flemington Racecourse will come alive again this November with fashion shows, music, and the best selections of food and beverages that money can buy. Frequently Searched Questions What time is the 2018 Melbourne Cup? The 2018 Melbourne Cup will be run at 3:00pm on Tuesday, 6th November 2018 at Flemington Racecourse in Melbourne, Victoria, Australia. How many horses are there in the Melbourne Cup? The Melbourne Cup field is made up of 24 horses with no emergencies. Each year hundreds of horses will nominate for the race and based on the balloting system and handicapping it is reduced to 24 after the running of the Lexus Stakes on Derby Day. Who will win the 2018 Melbourne Cup? This is a hard question to answer but be sure to check back here when the final field is announced to view our free tips and bets for the race. Last year we tipped the winner at $16 as well as the Quinella at $151 and Trifecta at $550. We hope to do this again in 2018. Melbourne Cup 2018 View our guide to watching the 2018 Melbourne Cup: 2018 Melbourne Cup live Stream The Melbourne Cup this year will be run on November 6th 2018 which is the first Tuesday in November. The race will be run at Flemington racecourse and the start time for the race is at 3pm. The final field for the Melbourne Cup 2018 will be decided on Saturday 3rd November after the running of the Lexus Stakes which will decide the last remaining spot in the Melbourne Cup field. Out of the twenty four runners in the Melbourne Cup Field there is prize money for the first ten horses to cross the finish line in a race with a total prize pool of $7.3million dollars. View the amounts given to each position on our Prizemoney page or view the information on the iconic trophy. We have also compiled replays of the last five Melbourne Cup’s including last years edition in which international runner Protectionist won. View our the Melbourne Cup replays. The last two Melbourne Cups have been won by international horses which is seen to have increased the amount of international runners heading to Australia during the Spring to tackle the race. Melbourne Cup betting The Melbourne Cup is the biggest race in Australia both for viewer count and for betting turnover. Host by the Victoria Racing Club the Melbourne Cup last year had a turnover of around $80 million dollars with the TAB alone. If you are thinking about having a bet on the Melbourne Cup than we advise you view our Melbourne Cup betting page to get information on the different bet types. Want to place a bet on the Melbourne Cup? We explain the easiest way to bet on the Melbourne Cup. The odds Melbourne Cup betting odds basically goes hand in hand with Melbourne Cup betting although there are some small differences. The term betting refers to the overall market in a race where as the term ‘odds’ refers to each of the horses individual price when betting. Each horse in the race will have different betting odds, the horse with the lowest odds is believed to be the race favourite. Betting odds are determined by whom the bookmaker feels has the best chance of winning and betting moves from punters. Often horses will open up at a certain price and either get backed into lower odds or drift to higher odds. Betting tips Melbourne Cup is the largest betting event in Australia each year and it’s common for work and family banter to be around who their Tip is. As we don’t know the official field for the race we cannot give any tips as of yet but we can provide the best methods for you to select you own tips. So view our Tips page to find out more. Melbourne Cup day Melbourne Cup day is always on the first Tuesday in November every year. The meeting consists of ten races all together with the Cup always being the seventh race of the day at a time slot of 3pm. It is accustom for most businesses and schools to stop work at this time to tune into their tv’s or radios to listen to the race which has been branded ‘the race that stops a nation’. Melbourne Cup always draws a big attendance to Flemington racecourse view more information on attendances HERE. We provide as much information about the Melbourne Cup as we can below covering a wide range of topics regarding the Melbourne Cup 2018 including how to get to Flemington on Melbourne Cup day Travel. Melbourne Cup field Each year hundreds of horses are nominated by their connections for the Melbourne Cup. Leading up to the race there are different levels of acceptances which connections need to pay a fee to continue with their quest to make the Melbourne Cup Field. The field is determined by horses who have won Group races worldwide over the distance of 2400m+ which has caused some debate to the ease of some international runners making the field. There are currently 67 horses still nominated for the race you can view them on our nominations page. You can also view our page showing the weights for each of the nominated runners in the 2018 Melbourne Cup. Melbourne Cup Stats There are plenty of different factors in picking a winner in the Melbourne Cup with a likely field size of 24 horses it can often come down to the ride of the jockey on the horse, we take a look at the most successful Melbourne Cup jockeys with Damien Oliver and Glen Boss having ridden the most winners at 3 each. Flemington racecourse The Melbourne Cup is held annually at Flemington racecourse and has so since its inaugural year in 1864. The Circumference of the racecourse is 2,312 metres. The racecourse and surrounding areas is a total of 1.27km. Some fun facts Do you want to learn some interesting facts about the Melbourne Cup? View our Facts page where we list some of the most interesting facts and statistics. Interested in the history of the Melbourne Cup? Then view our page on the Early Years of the Cup. Melbourne Cup Carnival The 2018 Melbourne Cup Carnival goes for a full week and is comprised by four race days. The race days are Victoria Derby day, Melbourne Cup day, Crown Oaks day and the last day of the carnival is Lexus Stakes day which is our recommended day for families. The 2018 Carnival starts on the 3rd of November and runs until the 11th of November with the race itself being run on the 6th of November. The Fashion The Melbourne Cup Carnival isn’t all about the horses. A lot of racegoers head to Flemington each year simply for the fashion that is on showcase whether that be Women or Mens fashion with the latter becoming more competitive each year in what use to be a Female dominated focus until recent years. We take a look at the Melbourne Cup Fashion on our fashion page. Melbourne Cup barrier draw The barrier draw for the Melbourne Cup takes place on Victoria Derby day which this year is the 4th of November. The Lexus Stakes run on Derby day is the last race in which Melbourne Cup hopefuls can get a spot in the final field thus the barrier draw must commence after this time. It is accustom that the VRC announces the final Melbourne Cup Field and barriers at 5.30pm. Melbourne Cup order of entry The Melbourne Cup attracts hundreds of nominations each year but the final field is only twenty four runners meaning a majority of nominated horses wont get a start in the race. We take a look at this years current order of entry. We also explain the Melbourne Cup balloting system as well as list the ballot exempt races for the Melbourne Cup. We have also made a page outlining the Qualification requirements. Melbourne Cup Sweep Each year thousands of people across Australia will take part in a Sweep on the Melbourne Cup which provides a cheap and fun way to experience ‘the race that stops a nation’. We provide some information on what a sweep is and how you can organise one for your office. It’s simple to do, fun and exciting so be sure to take part in a Work Sweep this year! Melbourne Cup International runners The Melbourne Cup is the most watched horse race in Australian racing, contested by three year old horses and above over a distance of 3200 metres. The Melbourne Cup is held annually at Flemington Racecourse on the first Tuesday in November, and has become known as “the race that stops a nation”. Throughout its long history that stretches back to 1861, a number of international horses have won this prestigious event. Learn more on our page about International horses that have raced in the Melbourne Cup The best winners It takes a very good horse to win a Melbourne Cup and each winner goes into the history books although there are some horses who have won the race on multiple occasions which with increase in weights and conditions takes an exceptional horse to do so. Makybe Diva has won the Melbourne Cup on three occasions with other notable Melbourne Cup winners being Archer who won the first two editions of the race and arguably Australia’s most well known horse Phar Lap who won the race in 1930. How to live stream the 2018 Melbourne Cup Have you backed our Best Bet 'Magic Circle' and want to know how you can watch the 2018 Melbourne Cup? The Melbourne Cup is scheduled to be run at 3:00PM on November 6, 2018 so sign up to any of the compatible online bookmakers below and stream the race for free! View the table below to work out which online bookmaker will live stream the Melbourne Cup. Bookmaker VIC NSW QLD SA WA TAS NT Sign Up Live Steam! Live Steam! Live Steam! Live Steam! Melbourne Cup Replay Melbourne Cup Tips Best Bet: Magic Circle $9.00 Best Long Shot: Marmelo $16 Melbourne Cup Winners Year Winner 2017 Rekindling 2016 Almandin 2015 Prince Of Penzance 2014 Protectionist 2013 Fiorente 2012 Green Moon 2011 Dunaden 2010 Americain 2009 Shocking 2008 Viewed 2007 Efficient 2006 Delta Blues 2005 Makybe Diva 2004 Makybe Diva 2003 Makybe Diva Melbourne Cup Odds Melbourne Cup Field Odds 1. Best Solution $13 2. The Cliffsofmoher $17 3. Magic Circle $9.00 4. Chestnut Coat $41 5. Muntahaa $11 6. Sound Check $34 7. Who Shot Thebarman $41 8. Ace High $71 9. Marmelo $16 10. Avilius $13 11. Yucatan $6.00 12. Auvray $81 13. Finche $27 14. Red Cardinal $41 15. Vengeur Masque $67 16. Ventura Storm $26 17. A Prince Of Arran $17 18. NAKEETA $81 19. Sir Charles Road $91 20. Zacada $126 21. Runaway $35 22. Youngstar $16 23. Cross Counter $9.50 24. Rostropovich $27 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 HOME HORSE RACING MELBOURNE CUP 2018 Melbourne Cup form guide: horses, odds, field, who will win, Simon Marshall’s tips MELBOURNE CUP November 4, 2018 8:11pm by SIMON MARSHALL Source: FOX SPORTS Simon Marshall's 2018 Melbourne Cup form guide.Source: FOX SPORTS FORMER champion jockey and 15-times Group 1 winner Simon Marshall gives us his insights into all the runners in the 2018 Melbourne Cup. 1. BEST SOLUTION (Barrier 6) Approx win/place odds: $15 / $4. Gutsy Caulfield Cup winner who’s drawn perfectly in gate six. It was a terrific win at Caulfield, and came after back-to-back of Group 1 wins in Germany. Those three wins were over 2400m, but he’s never raced beyond that trip. He’ll settle in the front half and look the winner at some stage, but has to carry topweight of 57.5kg in his first test over this distance. Will need to prove himself every bit as tough as that Caulfield win suggests. Maybe more. FOR THE LATEST ODDS THIS SPRING CARNIVAL VISIT SPORTSBET.COM.AU WHY YOUR HORSE CAN/CAN’T WIN THE CUP OFFICE TOOL: MELBOURNE CUP SWEEP GENERATOR 2. THE CLIFFSOFMOHER (9) $15 / $4. Turned in a fantastic run in the Caulfield Cup when third, when he kept coming despite looking under pressure a long way out, after a good fourth in the Caulfield Stakes over 2000m. He’s got a nice alley, one of the world’s best jockeys in Ryan Moore, a master trainer in Aidan O’Brien, and brings good form from some of the biggest races in England. However, it’s his first go beyond 2400m, he hasn’t actually won a lot of races, with three from 17, and he’s got a big weight in 56.5kg. Still, I wouldn’t talk anyone out of backing him. MELBOURNE CUP 2018 ULTIMATE GUIDE: EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW Melb cup draw is out 0:47 MORE READING ‘IT HAS NO RIVAL’: MELBOURNE CUP ULTIMATE GUIDE MELBOURNE CUP FULL FIELD WITH BARRIERS 1 FROM 1: MASTER TRAINER WINS $2M VICTORIA DERBY AT FIRST ATTEMPT 3. MAGIC CIRCLE (17) $9.50 / $3. He’s got great English form, winning his last two by six lengths. Last start was in a 3264m Group 3 at Sandown, beating Red Verdon, who was rated a good chance for this race before being ruled out by injury. The start before he blitzed ‘em in the Chester Cup, when he really attacked the line well at the end of 3749m. The barrier’s a worry, but he’ll contend with that better than most, and the trip’s no problem. Good chance. 4. CHESTNUT COAT (4), $51 / $12. Japanese stayer who went well over 3200m in the Group 1 Tenno Sho in Kyoto three runs back when a close-up fifth, beaten 1.8 lengths. Has a great barrier in four, which hatched last year’s winner Rekindling. He’ll get the trip but he’s a bit hard to recommend on his last-start 13th in the Caulfield Cup. Muntahaa wins The Sky Bet Ebor at York Racecourse in August.Source: Getty Images 5. MUNTAHAA (13), $11 / $3. Prepared by one of England’s great trainers in John Gosden, and has a very good jockey in Jim Crowley, who got his eye in with a winning double on Bendigo Cup day last week. He ran only fourth behind Best Solution two starts back over 2414m in a Group 2 at Newmarket, but was left flat-footed when they quickened. But last start he was very impressive winning by 3.25 lengths over the 2816m of the Ebor Handicap at York, usually a good guide to this race. First go at this trip but he’s a big bloke who should get a good spot from barrier 13, and he’s been working well at the Werribee training centre. Strong chance. 6. SOUND CHECK (16), $41 / $10. German import now with a top trainer in Mike Moroney, who won the Cup with Brew in 2000. Chased home Best Solution two starts back in a 2400m Group 1 in Germany, but dudded in the Caulfield Cup next start when 12 th . Did win a 3200m G2 in Germany four starts back, beating the very handy Nearly Caught. He can run the trip but will need luck from his barrier. 7. WHO SHOT THEBARMAN (18), $51 / $12. Having his fourth go at this race, and he always gives an honest account of himself. He finished on well when fourth last start in the Moonee Valley Cup. He’s 10 years of age, so it was an amazing effort from him and his master trainer Chris Waller when they won the 3200m Sydney Cup last autumn. But he’s 10 years of age. They just don’t win this race. 8. ACE HIGH (22), $81 / $20. Aiming to emulate Efficient by winning this race after taking the Victoria Derby a year before, but he disappointed in the Caulfield Cup when 15 th after leading. Mind you, that was on soft ground, which he doesn’t like, and it should be good going in this race. He looks like he’ll stay the trip, though he hasn’t been past 2500m, but still you’d like to have seen him do more at Caulfield. Also has an awful barrier here. The France-based Marmelo will have jockey Hugh Bowman in the saddle.Source: News Corp Australia 9. MARMELO (10), $18 / $4. Now here’s an interesting France-based runner. Last year he flew home for sixth in the Caulfield Cup, but then disappointed in this race as equal-favourite when ninth. The stable said he didn’t back up well from Caulfield last year, so he’s coming in with no Australian lead-up run this time. He’s been in good form with wins over 2800m and two seconds over 3000m at his past four starts. Should get nice cover from barrier 10, and has the two Hughs behind him — jockey Bowman, who’s a genius, and trainer Morrison, who’s a great trainer of stayers. With not too bad a weight, at 55kg, this one’s a chance. 10. AVILIUS (11), $13 / $4. Ticks lots of boxes. Adapted to Australia very well after joining the James Cummings stable from Europe, with wins in his first four Australian starts. The latest of those was over 2500m at Flemington in The Bart Cummings, where he beat Jaameh, who ran a good third on Saturday. Avilius’ last start fourth in the Cox Plate was a very good effort when he finished on. In France, he ran second to the great Cracksman over 2400m last year, with another Cup runner, Finche, third. However, Avilius hasn’t raced beyond the 2500m of The Bart Cummings, and wobbled in under pressure at the end of that race, which doesn’t bode well for the 3200m. But he’s a classy type with great acceleration, which you need at the end of this race. Chance. 11. YUCATAN (23), $4.80 / $2. Here he is, our clear Cup favourite. He brained ‘em in his lead-up run, in the 2400m Herbert Power Stakes, when he could’ve won by eight lengths if not eased up. That was a much better run than Protectionist turned in when fourth in that race before winning the 2014 Melbourne Cup. However, Yucatan didn’t beat great horses in that last start of his. And he hasn’t been beyond 2400m, and will have to overcome a horror barrier draw here and step up to the 3200m. He deserves to be favourite on his last run, but … that barrier! Yucatan is the clear favourite but will have to overcome a tought barrier draw.Source: Getty Images 12. AUVRAY (1), $126 / $30. Honest eight-year-old and good on him for getting a run. Has won at 3000m, but that was in France four years ago. Not keen. 13. FINCHE (15), $31 / $8. This bloke might’ve got under the radar a bit. Joined the Chris Waller stable from France recently and turned in a terrific first-up Australian run when finishing on strong for third in the 2400m Geelong Cup, which is usually a good guide for this. Has impressive European form, including winning over 2500m at Deauville last start, beating Tiberian, who was seventh in last year’s Melbourne Cup. Six starts back he finished third behind Cracksman, and the start before that he beat Avilius into third over 2000m. Tricky barrier but has a gun jockey to help in Zac Purton. I quite like him. 14. RED CARDINAL (5), $101 / $25. Won twice over 3200m in group races in America and Germany last year, but that seems a long time ago now. Last start ran poorly when 11 th in the Moonee Valley Cup. Has a good barrier, and Damien Oliver picks up the ride late on, but that’s about all you can say for him. 15. VENGEUR MASQUE (2), $67 / $15. He’s an honest type who always seems to finish on, like when he made ground late to come ninth, beaten less than five lengths, in the Caulfield Cup. Still, he’s unplaced in his past six runs, and barrier two might be the best thing about him. 16. VENTURA STORM (7), $31 / $8. Comes in after winning the 2600m Moonee Valley Cup, finally cracking it for a win after 17 Australian starts since coming from Europe. Prince Of Penzance finished second in that race before winning the Cup in 2015. However, this bloke has failed at two 3200m runs in Australia, in last year’s Melbourne Cup and then the Sydney Cup, so the distance is a query. Still, trainer David Hayes is very bullish about his chances. Race that stops the world? 3:04 17. A PRINCE OF ARRAN (20), $16 / $4. Tough English stayer who surged into contention, and into this field in fact, with a terrific lead-up run in winning the Lexus Stakes over 2500m on Saturday, after a third in Yucatan’s Herbert Power. He’s won over 3200m on the turf in Dubai, and placed over the trip in America and England before coming here. The question mark with the Lexus winner is always the quick back-up, though Shocking did it to win the Cup in 2009. In his favour, he’s only had two runs this preparation. Shocking barrier though. 18. NAKEETA (3), $126 / $30. Scotland’s hope who ran well for fifth in this race last year. Doesn’t seem to be in that kind of form now though, after his poor 13th in the Moonee Valley Cup. Looking elsewhere. 19. SIR CHARLES ROAD (14), $101 /$25. Fought on when third in last week’s Bendigo Cup, but that’s probably not a great recommendation for the Melbourne Cup. Might give this one a miss. 20. ZACADA (24), $201 / $50. Came second over this trip in the Sydney Cup last autumn, but his form this preparation has been awful. Last start 12 th in the Geelong Cup. As if that wasn’t bad enough, he’s drawn the outside barrier. 21. RUNAWAY (12), $41 /$10. Great to see Gai Waterhouse with another runner, who came into contention by leading all the way in the Geelong Cup. That was a peach of a ride from Stephen Baster, who’s on again here. First go at this trip but did lead throughout to win the 2800m VRC St Leger here last autumn, so should get the distance. Will probably lead and should give you a run for your money for a long way if you’re on him. Youngstar is a classy stayer from the Chris Waller stable.Source: AAP 22. YOUNGSTAR (8), $19 / $4. Very classy stayer from the Chris Waller yard who gave the great Winx a run for her money when second in the Turnbull Stakes two starts back. She then ran on well in the Caulfield Cup when seventh, running the fastest last 200m of the race, despite having lost a shoe. It’s hard for a four-year-old mare to win this race though, but she’ll give an honest account, and from a good barrier, with a tiny weight. 23. CROSS COUNTER (19), $11 / $3. Now here’s a horse I like, one of these English stayers getting in with only 51kg on his back. Great trainer in Charlie Appleby, and great jockey in Kerrin McEvoy, who’s won this race twice, and is a man you want in the saddle if you’ve drawn barrier 19. Strong last start second in a 2400m Group 2 at York, and third-placegetter Kew Gardens has since won the 2800m St Leger. Start before, won a 2400m Group 3 at Goodwood in track record time. I’ve watched his English races and he’s got the tactical speed to overcome his wide alley, and has been training the house down at Werribee. The one I’d want to be riding. 24. ROSTROPOVICH (21), $26 / $5. Another lightweight chance from the O’Brien stable, who rate him highly. Showed good speed to lead in the Cox Plate before finishing fifth. That catches your attention: a European horse, having a lead-up run for this, in the Cox Plate. It’s unusual, and suggests he must have needed it, and will take benefit from it. Moonee Valley might not have suited him that day either, because he’s a big boy. He’s lightly raced, with just 13 starts, and it’s his first go past 2400m, but you think he’ll be better suited by the open spaces of Flemington. Barrier 21 is a worry though. TIPS 1. CROSS COUNTER 2. MUNTAHAA 3. AVILIUS 4. FINCHE Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted November 4, 2018 Share Posted November 4, 2018 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 My top 2 rated current best prices both @ Unibet 20pts staked win only Cross Counter 11.16pts @ 17/2 Best Solution 8.84pts @ 11/1 richard-westwood and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 .....set the clocks lads its an early start tomorrow.... 2 more for me e/w with skybet who are paying 7 places 1/5 SOUND CHECK 33/1 isnt out of this and is way on best 2mile form overpriced imo as is 50/1 shot RED CARDINAL was fancied for this last year but was drawn in the carpaek great draw this time and frist run this year at this trip can leave poor form behind and run a big race two outsiders with half decent chances imo. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 A punter will be letting a massive racing multi-bet ride into Tuesday’s Melbourne Cup to collect over $1 million dollars from just a $60 outlay. The punter placed a $60 three leg racing multi at Ladbrokes in August with two of the legs already saluting over the weekend and they are now only sweating on Magic Circle to win the Melbourne Cup to collect whopping $1,030,200. Multi: Leg 1: Sunlight to win the Coolmore Stud Stakes at $10Leg 2: Extra Brut to win the Victoria Derby at $101Leg 3: Magic Circle to win the Melbourne Cup at $17 Magic Circle has been the best backed runner in lead up to the race and could even vie for favouritism if the money continues, he is currently an $8 chance in Melbourne Cup odds with favourite Yucatan drifting since the barrier draw from $4.50 out to $6.00. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted November 5, 2018 Share Posted November 5, 2018 Best Solution 11/1 paddy power Ventura Storm 25/1 paddy power Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 21 hours ago, Valiant Thor said: My top 2 rated current best prices both @ Unibet 20pts staked win only Cross Counter 11.16pts @ 17/2 Best Solution 8.84pts @ 11/1 Good call ......dramatic race too Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Valiant Thor Posted November 6, 2018 Share Posted November 6, 2018 21 hours ago, Valiant Thor said: My top 2 rated current best prices both @ Unibet 20pts staked win only Cross Counter 11.16pts @ 17/2 Best Solution 8.84pts @ 11/1 Never in doubt Getting the hang of this big handicap lark Tedthewolf and BillyHills 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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