liquidglass
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Posts posted by liquidglass
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5 hours ago, CzechPunter said:
Going for many more after giving all the matches a think. Good luck to everyone who will be betting!
Back Pauline Parmentier to beat Caroline Garcia at 4.00 with Skybet
The problems keep on piling for Garcia, who hasn't been her usual self since Wimbledon. She has plenty of personal issues, plenty of results issues and the fact that the French tennis association is now against her isn't going to help things either, so she shouldn't be a 1.25 fav against pretty much anyone and much less against someone who can do damage in the Grand Slams and who has beaten her before. It was almost painful to see her play against Flipkens in New Haven, so I'll take my chances here.
Back Nao Hibino to beat Kristina Mladenovic at 3.40 with BetVictor
Have already gone against Mladenovic a couple of times with good results and I'm happy to do that again at odds like this. She got absolutely crushed by Rogers in her last match and she hasn't been able to string wins together for quite some time now, which is worrying given that she is all about momentum. Chances are that she also isn't the right place mentally now that she's got suspended by the French tennis federation over some petty issues, so Hibino has a real chance here imo.
Back Montserrat Gonzalez to beat Danka Kovinic at 3.25 with Paddy Power
A realistic chance for an upset here imo, with an in-form player facing an out-of-form one. Gonzalez has upset three strong players in the qualifiers, including Ivana Jorovic, while Kovinic hasn't had a good win since June, where she won a small ITF tournament in Marseille. She's also never done well in the US Open, so to have her above 3.00 looks a bit stupid. Gonzalez is living a dream in a sense and it doesn't have to stop in the first round.
Back Gilles Muller to beat Gael Monfils at 4.00 with Skybet
Monfils didn't show up for his last match due to back issues and we all know how much his career is getting derailed with those, while Muller has been at his ultra-solid best recently. He's always a danger for the seeds thanks to his serve that's both big and consistent - it's just really hard to get back to a set against him if you drop a serve even just once. Muller won their only previous hard-court match, might just be the fitter of the two at this point of time, and he has had his fair share of big scalps in the US Open as well (Roddick, Davydenko, Haas, Youzhny - all in their primes).
Back Kyle Edmund to beat Richard Gasquet at 4.33 with Skybet
Needs to be taken with a bookie that doesn't void retirements such as Skybet, as those who saw Gasquet-Millman will know that the Frenchman is far from being out of the woods injury-wise. He's still a level above Edmund in terms of quality, but he's never been the fittest guy around and the injury seems to be getting worse rather than better, so I wouldn't be surprised to see Edmund outlast him.
Back Vasek Pospisil (-2.5) to beat Jozef Kovalik at 1.85 with BetVictor
Pospisil has certainly seen better days singles-wise, but I feel that a lot of his results had to do with bad draws - for example, he's had to face Monfils twice recently and the Frenchman isn't a player most guys would be able to beat in his current form. Even with that, however, Pospisil is still competing with the best week in and week out, while Kovalik is yet to make it from the Challenger circuit. Importantly, he's never won a GS match before and he's here only thanks to some lucky loser luck, so I really don't see him winning.
Back Paul-Henri Mathieu (-5.5) to beat Christian Harrison at 2.00 with Paddy Power
Mathieu isn't losing this unless he gets injured, plain and simple. Christian Harrison shouldn't even be here to be honest, he's had tremendous luck during the qualifiers, with Diez somehow managing to lose and Kravchuk retiring. So far in this season, he hasn't even made it to a Challenger main draw, while Mathieu is having a super-solid one by his standards and there's no reason for him to tank this after looking alright against Robert in the week before. I appreciate that Harrison has nothing to lose here, but the quality gap is massive here. Probably the biggest mis-match of the first round in all honesty.
Maybe that is the intriguing thing about grand slams especially - the fact that if you are able to think it clearly and mathematically, then it probably is not right. I agree with you totally about Harrison, it is just important to also note that these next two factors are probably more important than everything else you have mentioned. Harrison is a wild card and he is at home. He also has a current winning streak(whatever it is worth) win or lose, I feel quite certain that he will give the out-of-date Mathieu a real scare Remember he played well to subdue kravchuk before he retired. Nothing was given to him easy. Harrison holds a potent chance here to progress!!
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1 hour ago, delfino said:
Kerber to beat Keys @1.53 offered by bet365
10/10 selection. Who is Keys? Are we serious? I watched her recently against Halep and trust me, this woman has minor mental status
Kerber is my favorite this year, always strong and reliable especially against mentally weak opponents as Keys is
go go Kerber! gimme gimme the money!
10/10
Mr Delfino, I can see clearly that you have somewhat of a little bone to pick with Keys over some issue not related to this match. Still, you have to be a little more realistic when dispensing advice as what you say goes on to affect the decision making of others, which could be serious at times. You are talking about a player who has the potential to be No1 in the world???
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1 hour ago, Fader said:
Although I have a small punt on Pouille to go far, he didn't fill me with too much confidence against Gomez. 2 for me today :
2.5pts R.Ram to beat L.Pouille 12/5 Bet365
4pts K.Anderson to beat D.Thiem 6/4 Bet365Ram did exactly what I expected of him, as did Gulbis and Ram came through relatively easy in the end. If Pouille makes any mistakes then Ram will be there to take them. Rams serving well enough to hold the majority of times and I thought Pouille didn't return well enough in patches against Gomez and also handed a few opportunities to Gomez. Anderson, on the hard, I think should be favourite in that match. Head-2-head shows 4 matches, all on the hard and all won by Kevin. Not to mention, Thiem is coming from the clay and so the 1st set could be over in a flash if Anderson serves well.
Brilliant picks yesterday suggests you might be on top form. Like the pick on Ram against Pouille who should be fizzling out now after his recent busy campaign. Thiem is a player I respect a lot for his mental resistance to adversity. He is the only player out there with the Djokovic mentality. Real grafter. I really cannot see Kevin take him out especially after coming close in their last encounter. Gl however.
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8 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:
I agree the price on Murray is low but I think that's patriotic betting. I'm not convinced he will win in straight sets. Raonic is improving as the months go by but as it has been mentioned before he can be mentally frail. It's been a tough tournament for Murray though. He's been pushed to the limit on more than one occasion so he could be fatigued. I think a 3-1 win to Murray is a decent shout. I can't see Raonic winning though.
12 hours ago, delfino said:Murray is 1.25 odd to lift the trophy. I was expecting 1.50 minimum.
Every day we have hundreds of betting options. Personally i would not place money on such odds, especially in tennis events
As whole planet think, me too i rate Murray as absolutely favorite here. But not with my money. Watch and have fun only. If someone wants definitely to invest money, the only logical option is the 3-0 victory for Murray. To be honest, if Federer was one year younger....hehehe Raonic no chance to win a single set. The Canadian showed weakness in several occasions, mind weakness
ciao!
You seem to have contradictory feelings from what you say. Your head pulling you one way, and your heart pulling you the other way, not sure of where you should stand. You say Murray is 1.25 yet you think he should be 1.50. Why? Because of the respect you have for Raonic and the feeling inside you that tells you that he has a decent chance of winning. Raonic played Murray at the Australian open losing in 5 tight sets. Recently at queens Murray won 2-1, an indication that Raonic is closing and inching forward. So to conclude with Raonic losing 3-0 is to be frustrated with the mixed feelings that you are getting. It is the reason you cannot back Murray with your hard earned money. You know that it is riddled with risks. Djokovic would have been the only person to stop Murray until he surprisingly crashed out making Murray new favourite. That came with a sudden shift in the weight of expectation as was evident against Tsonga. Murray has a too obvious decoy perhaps exposed by odds that do not stack up well. I have no plausible explanation; but the setting just seems right to crown our new champ tomorrow. Maybe not really resulting from anything other than it just happened to be Rapnic"s day. Good luck to all who find the heart to punt!!!!!
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2 hours ago, clubgowi said:
Wimbledon: Tomas Berdych - Andy Murray
Andy Murray also took five sets to find a way past the hugely popular Jo Wilfried Tsonga, he did it almost in reverse fashion, taking the first two sets and looking likely to win in three and was then a break up in the fourth, before running away with the decider.
Berdych has passed under the radar this fortnight to reach his second Wimbledon semi and sixth last four slam appearance of his career. That is not a fantastic record for a player who has been a "contender" for a decade and he is often cited in "best player never to have won a slam " lists. He did win his previous semi here , beating Djokovic in three (!) , he had already seen off Federer in four in the quarters, but lost in the final in straight sets to Nadal. That was a hugely impressive run and who was going to beat Nole, FedEx and Rafa back to back in any slam tournament in 2010 !
You could argue that overall he has underperformed in those semis, but in addition to beating Djoko in 3, he took Robin Soderling who was playing out of his skin to five at Roland Garros, lost to Murray in NY ( 9-7 in 4th set tie break), to Wawrinka in 4 sets when Stan won his first slam in Australia , losing the last two on tie breaks and then to Murray in four, again in Melbourne. That was probably the easiest defeat, but he battled hard in each and all those defeats could have worked out a little differently.
Murray leads the h2h 8-6 but was behind in this series until early last year, the British player has won four in a row since, starting with that win at the Aussie Open and he has taken the last nine sets and all without the need of a tie break and it might be that he now has Berdych's number. But this is their first ever meeting on grass and the first time since his debut slam semi that Berdych has arrived in the last 4 without having met a top 5 player in the last 8 and he could have a freshness edge, especially after Murray's battle with JWT and runs to finals in Madrid, Rome, Roland Garros and Queen's all back to back and in build up . If Berdych is not mentally sacred by those recent h2h defeats, this should be close and I would not totally rule out an upset.
I think there is a little ill feeling, if not with Murray, then with his coach Ivan Lendl, Berdych said “I approached Ivan when he stopped with Andy the first time and asked him to work with me. “He basically said that he doesn't have the time and he didn't want to be involved in tennis. "Then he came back to Andy, so that's how it is.” That can always be a motivating factor, but I doubt he needs it.
The Czech player has looked very relaxed and spent an hour or two with the people queuing at Wimbledon last week and it feels like there is very little pressure on him, other than what he puts on himself and he seems that he is unwilling to do that .....“At the end of the day, the most important thing is that you can stand and say, okay, I've tried everything that I possibly can, I've done all what was there . “If you make it one day, great; if not, what can you do? “I mean, there are so many other guys that they have never reached a final, at least. "So that's how it is. "I still have some time. "I'm having another good run and I will try to continue that.”
I think the total games line is set too low at 36, that could be covered in three sets and Berdych has won at least one in all five previous slam semis and in three slam meetings with Murray.
over 36 games 1.917 Pinnacle Sports /Sportmarket Pro. I feel pretty much all the "over" lines are set too low
Where did you get over 36.5 games? That line has always been at 34.5
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I would have been able to understand the need for the Vesnina orgasmic screams if she was hitting the life out of the ball and getting somewhere. But to have the right to express such liberty and not be able to hit the ball past mid-court, is a travesty.
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HALEP VS KERBER
This certainly last the main course of the day with the others being respectable appetisers. However I feel the most competitive/interesting game will come from Williams/Shvedova. Back to my subject of discussion, this has all the traits of being very hard to call having exhausted all forms of reasoning. Of course when I get in this sort of situation, I use an elimination process that has worked for me over 75% of times. I expect it to work today as well in all honesty. I always make it a point of duty daily to check four main sources for their tips, punters lounge being one of them, to help me reach my conclusions. It is a personal activity understood by me alone as a result of following certain established traits among all that in the end moves me towards the winner. One of my sources is the tennis column in the racing post. The others are hidden online which I will not be naming. One of them is so scarily precise with its picks and has gone with Kerber. The racing post hits about 32% or lower on average and has gone with Halep. I conclude this way: There is a belief by most people that Kerber"s best surface is grass because she hits flat out and all the other positives that are always thrown in. I do not totally agree. She is comfortable playing on grass, but I really do not think she plays on it any better than she plays on clay. Just like Federer too, who I believe his best surface is clay. He was made King of Grass simply because he could not bear the title of a kingdom been governed by another ruler. Had Rafa not been in the same era, Fed would have been gov of clay. His forehand and backhand are testament to this point. Others may disagree. In the WTA unless you are extremely rubbish on a particular surface, all the top seeds seem to be equal all rounders. That is really the case here with the exception of Serena who operates with that extra mustard in her serve. Halep has always been a player that so much has been said about not the least being a potential no1....well, it was said at some point. She has proved that she can play well on grass at least to hold her own. It matters not whether keys made 1000 errors or whether she gifted Halep the game, what matters is that Halep is on the move. Every champion will tell you that it has to require an element of luck to win titles. Halep also has the advantage of playing as the outsider for once against a player she knows she can beat. With the bigger handicaps carried by my other three sources, including my beloved punters lounge and even my Mr perfect who also went with Krrber on this occasion, I am going with the racing post 32% or less to confirm my pattern that has been delivering largely. Halep for the gusty win!!!!
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48 minutes ago, Torque said:
Novak Djokovic to beat Sam Querrey @ 1.67 Sportingbet (1 pt)
I'm on Djokovic in the outright market so the situation against Querrey is slightly concerning, but the truth is we've been here before. Djokovic was in exactly the same situation last year at this tournament against Anderson - two sets down and staring down the barrel. Can the Serb do what he did then and win three nil from here and thus make the next round? I think so. The break will give him a chance to look at what's gone wrong so far and what he needs to do to turn things around, whilst for Querrey the break gives him a chance to think about how he's so close to a massive win which I don't think will be helpful for him. If the winning line does hove into view I expect the American to crumble and I think that it will be Djokovic that will win the most important point in tennis matches - the last one.
Things always have a real funny way of working out against the expected perhaps by some kind of weird supernatural intervention most times. Simply put, I would more than likely expect Djokovic to come back and win from such an abyss, but now it's been mentioned in a couple of places expect Querrey to win. It was same with Barton every ones no hoped. He covered the handicap with ease. Let's see what happens. Might just be the right time to back Federer as he begins to creep in.
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6 hours ago, potus said:
Ricardas Berankis.......
You are in a Grand Slam and somehow you end up with a match against someone ranked over 700(!!!) places below you. That is a total gift of a draw and if you can't win a match like that then unfortunately you need to ask serious questions of your career choice. Goes without saying that he's cost me a fair bit of money there.
Optus, I hear what you say, but you have to realise that grand slams are the typical F.A cups of tennis with a few contestants entering at marks the could many times give a false indication of their potential. It is for this reason that I always take all grand slam qualifiers very seriously. I saw Willis and Dart and followed them like a hawk through the qualifiers. More positively was his price drop overnight. I took him to win a set at 4/7 worried that the qualifiers might have drained him a bit.
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HERBERT VS KOHLI - On the face of it Kohlschreiber looks to have the advantage having beaten Herbert a couple of times. Herbert himself has a big serve and a game well suited to grass. KOHLI has been in good form, Herbert the fresher, Herbert to win at least one set 4/6 with a huge possibility of flooring Kohli
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DJOKOVIC VS MURRAY
So at last we finally turn into the home straight of what has really been a bizarre tournament by any iota of reasoning; and I must say that expectation levels are soaring. Murray has somehow finally managed to find his niche on clay in a way that has surprised many. Well, he was bred on red dirt and seemed to have lost his sense of origin Only momentarily till he was finally able to synchronise finesse, arrogance and fitness into one handy package. But you really would have to be abreast with all the minute details of this meeting to really having any chance of arriving at the right conclusion. Djokovic is in exactly the same situation Serena was in yesterday, trying to achieve something much higher than he has ever achieved - winning the last slam of the four grand slams, a feat that eluded Sampras and Lendl with deep felt consequences. Murray on recent form would appear to have narrowed the gap between himself and the Djoker, especially considering he won last time out comfortably by 2-0. I for one was not sucked in by the hyped up victory as I felt and believed that the Djoker took a dive in that match to keep his preparation plans for the French Open in order. The huge advantage for Djokovic, is that he has really timed his preparation to absolute perfection - Not playing too many matches before, amid a brilliant piece of time management in the total hours spent on court so far. Another very big concern for the Djoker is the fact that he saw a new star being born over the course of this tournament in the name of Dominic Thiem. I believe that Thiems clay kingdom could be fully established as early as next year making it even more difficult for the Djoker to ever win the French, which is why the best player in the world will and must take this chance. Murray on the other hand has spent almost double court time, a penalty that the Djoker will certainly make him pay for. Expect Djokovic to live in wall-mode thought the duration with enough balls coming back over the net. I also predict a 6-2 and under set for DJ ensuring that the -4.5 handicap becomes a reality. Expect a crisp and faultless display from the number 1 player in the world. I fully expect Murray to switch to option 2 early which is his habitual drop shot routine after his baseline play draws blanks. That itself will be suicidal as the Djoker will be alert to any and everything. VERDICT Djokovic -4.5 to win with dominating arrogance and wanton confidence. It really should be a mesmerising performance in prospect. Good luck all!!!!
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Serena vs Muguruza - Hmmm! Even before the 2016 French Open was conceived, before Muguruza found any sort of form or fluke, she was always on my mind to win this for some reason. And now just like Wawrinka before her, she has now been called upon to authenticate her form which really is, and has been nothing extraordinarily special. Kuznetsova and Stosur although decent players, now belong to a Static bunch of players, who in all fairness make it very difficult to put an accurate gauge on Muguruzas current level. Muguruza got out of jail against Schmieldova, a player without current form but certainly with the best potential of the beaten bunch. Muguruza also struggled and just rolled over the winning line against Rogers. My one worry is that Serena has not been playing well which speaks in favour of Serena. However Muguruza is way too short to suggest a piss-take by the bookies for callous pricing. Her price is such that it could somehow cause Serena to roar to victory.Yes, Muguruza has beaten Serena before, but not because it was clay or because of some sort of strong pointer we can now lean on for direction. Muguruza just won that match catching Serena cold. Simple! When I think of the way Serenas career will end, I get a similar picture to Federer and Tyson. They all decayed mentally albeit their bodies being in prime shape. Last year Serena in a similar modus operandi to this cocooned the atmosphere with a veiled expression of hopelessness in the way of vomiting her way to victory. It would appear quite similar here with rumours of her carrying an injury. Regardless of all the factors mentioned, Serena now attempts to achieve a feat perceptively more important than the first grand slam she ever won, of course with the added pressure of facing a Spanish terrier intent on keeping her on the back foot for the duration of play. Muguruza has peaked at the right time and I think any rendition of a hoodini escape for Serena is unlikely. Muguruza to lift the title in a match that might fall way short of quality and razzmatazz!!! Good Luck
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50 minutes ago, potus said:
I don't see how you think those 7/1 and 9/2 bets represent good value? If you just waited until the final would you not get better odds than 3/1 on Djokovic winning 3-1 anyway?
I can't believe SkyBet have priced those up so short and they must be laughing all the way to the bank if people are actually betting them. Am I missing something here?
What I find most interesting is not really about the pricing of the matches stated, but rather about the danger of diverting people to price and possibly buy goods that do not exist. The men's final has been covered both ways I presume. However knowing this indulgence well enough, I would say that there is a much bigger chance of any anybody else in the final on the women's side than just taking Serena/Muguruza for granted. Stosur/Bertens are still very much in this. There has to be one more twist at least before the end of what has been a bizzare tournament.
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Djokovic Vs Thiem - Thiem must really be made of metal considering how far he has come with fatigue as a guest on his back. What a beast of a player! I really would be backing Thiem to win the tournament if it was not now all about the recent miles on his clock. To put it bluntly, he really has no chance against the Djoker tomorrow with the handicap he is carrying. I am going Djokovic -6.5 with the maximum confidence. I really and definitely expect Djoker to win a 6-1 or 6-0 set as his opponents fatigue begins to set in. Thiem should only win a set if he is gifted It. I very much doubt his slayer will be in the mood for niceties!!! Don't you dare retire!!!!!
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Adrianjafitimo vs Wang
Just as I wished and imagined, I got off to a brilliant start scoring with Edmunds, and Thompson in style, Thompson winning easily as expected. Fingers crossed, the plan will be to try and keep it going for as long as possible considering the intense unravelling that I have to undergo to reach some of these conclusions. The games today look plentiful with most of them "tagged" as usual for maximum difficulty(Whatever that means, for those who can phanthom the depths of reasoning) lol! I really had a few games to write about and trying to just focus on one, has been like been faced with a buffet and asked to just pick one thing from the menu. Wang here is the more accomplished player but really does not have a liking for this surface as she plays mostly on hard and more in Asia. Tessah on the other hand, a 1998, babe, looks to be going the right way and seems to be currently in a good place for a match of this nature. I really believe Tessah should win in the end, but to keep this winning streak going as is my intention, Adrianfitimo to win a set is the strong recomendation!!!!
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LASO DJERE VS JORDON THOMPSON
Djere has played three very good qualifying matches which really puts him in prime position for progress to the next stage. I remember expecting Pavlasek to beat him in that last round match, however he seemed to extricate himself from what was clearly a tight corner. Pavlasekon the other hand, finished strongly and although he did not make it in the end perhaps knowing that he would automatically qualify, is what has prompted me to bring Djere under scrutiny. On the surface of things, one can readily be influenced by the seeming weight of evidence on offer in believing that Djere looks the man to do the business, and convincingly so, until you let the dust settle and apply what I would term as intense microscopic analysis. H2h reads 1-0 with Djere winning that match on clay in 2014. I do not really see that as majorly significant here considering that a lot has happened to Jordan in the last 2years. Jordan is much higher ranked and would seem the certain pick even if aided by blindfolds. If I had not seen Djere play the qualifiers and suddenly found him in the draw against Thompson, where Thompson was favorite, I really do not think I would even be considering anything further. Jordan has also played enough games on clay this year to hold no fears for this encounter. In fact, considering Djere already had some tough matches in the qualifiers, it tends to bode well for the chances of Thompson. Even when all is said and done, the player with the best pedigree of the two has to be Jordan. I really feel quite strongly about this pick especially with Djere shortening further from 8/13 to 8/15 as the final nail to the coffin. I cannot elaborate on the last comment from a lack of time, but it is a very high indication of a Thompson win in my books. My pick is Thompson to win well. Good luck all!!!!!
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BASILASVILI VS EDMUND
It is nice to see all our regular tipsters back on board at the start of what should be an interesting marathon. I on my part will try and start strong and try and maintain a strong winning tempo. Without any long rap Basilashvili is playing well as has been rightfully mentioned. The two players seem to be on a similar level, but I really think Edmund stands out in terms of being the better player by pedegree. He is also the fresher and more resolute. Basilasvili may try to hang on somehow, but I see Edmund finally pulling away. I really think if Edmund gels well here early, he could really build a command some decent respect for himself. Britain all the way here!!!
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ZVEREV VS SOUSA
On the face of things Zverev looks the most likely to progress based on current form and also the way he dug deep to get out of jail against Simon. However I have come to realize that it takes more than superficiality and impressionisms to arrive at the winner in an indulgence that gets more complex by the minute. I will go with my own little theory to prevail over every other theory that has been put forward - Zverev has more to gain from the French Open than Sousa. Winning one or two more games at the cost of an early exit, can not really be an appropriate plan going into next week and with barely two days to go. This has Sousa's name written all over it who is a total different proposition from the very passive Simon. I even still think Sousa wins without the already made excuses for Zverev. I will take Sousa to win comfortably . Good luck!!
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1 hour ago, janekda said:
Kasatkina - Pliskova Karolina 2.34
Pliskovas game is well suited for faster surface because of her service, flatter fh and bh. Last 10(50) results on clay 7:3(38:12) x 6:4(30:20). Who has better record? Kasatkina. Even with the hardest opponents she could play tight game - Azarenka, Errani. Pliskova has to be big favorite to win on clay.
So in the End did you take kasatkina or both?? Hmm!
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TIG VS STOSUR Tig has really ridden on a crest of a wave this week with some superb tennis beating a long A list of players. She is a tall Begu-type of girl with a consistent game and no real major weapons. This game reminds me of the biblical story of Peter successfully walking on water to Jesus till he looked up and suddenly found himself drowning. The Kind of game that could really arrest the Tig game, was what Keys brought yesterday but did not manage to execute. I expect Stosur's experience to tell largely here especially after ousting the Home girl Navarro regardless of whatever health issues. I expect Tig to come back down to earth with a routine loss to Stosur. Stosur 2-0 Verdict.
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Monfils Vs Lorenzi This is one match-up that looks pretty straight-forward on paper and rightly so, but only in respect to the final outcome. H2H is 1-0 Monfils, however Lorenzi returns to his bread and butter surface having already acquitted himself very well in his first round match. I expect him to play much better today going down with a decent fight. Lorenzi over 7.5 games 1/1 @ paddypower is the tip. Gl Everybody!
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Azarenka Vs Muguruza This really has to be the match of the day by all standards of expectation, and rightly so. Azarenka currently is red hot and seemingly untouchable compiling an 18-1 W-L record with titles in Brisbane and Indian Wells whilst never really having had to get out of fourth gear in most cases. She has not dropped a set since beating Pliskova at Indian Wells and commencing this latest clean run with the pulverization of Serena. On the other Hand Muguruza has been out of sorts for quite some time now, but looks like she has served notice and is beginning to re-emerge from the shadows. I really thought she played well enough against Gibbs yesterday to suspect that there should be more to come.
This will be the first matchup between both players with no previous scars to use as indicators, apart from a bit of clear reasoning, which only becomes employed in most cases after the facts have manifested in the physical. Really and truly, womens tennis has come a long way from what it used to be when immortals could dominate the game for three or four tournaments in a row like it was a right. Even now, the last immortal in the women's game, Serena has lost her invisibility due to the relentless pressure from the chasing bunch. She now seems to have settled for what I call sectional domination - which is what women's tennis is all about now. It therefore means that certain players will be expected to play well and win tournaments at some point during the year as others cool out and wait for their turns again. I just feel Muguruza's turn has come. She will play well today for certain. Whether she can win the tournament is another matter. In thinking about this match-up, my mind quickly drifted to some incompatible and odd matchups over the years that have been hard to explain but have something in common with this one. Serena/Sharapova, Pliskova/Ivanovic, and just to reinforce my point by example Barcelona/Arsenal (lol) etc. These are all players that like to dominate and cannot play on their back foot where one has to give.
There are not many better ball strikers than Muguruza when she is in top form - in fact only Serena and Sharapova belong to that class. Not just senseless ball bashing, but thoughtful, aggressive and deep penetrating shots cocooned by a high level of consistency - which is the major difference between Vandeweghe and the rest. Vandeweghe has the sort of game to rule the world minus the consistency which really boils down to a mental dysfunction.
I will expect Azarenka to find problems holding her ground in the mist of the aerial bombardment that I would expect to come from Muguruza. Azarenka is also vulnerable on the second serve which I expect Muguruza to eat up. Muguruza is a gentle and viscious bully that does well at bullying bullies. I expect her game to come to the fore tonight with a convincing win on the cards tonight. There could not be a better opportunity to oppose Azarenka and the odds look very gifty!! My tip for investment purposes will be Muguruza to win a set 9/10. Good luck!!!
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MONFILS VS RAONIC I have to admit that Raonic has improved a lot over the last few months bringing a lot of oomph and variety to his game and there is a feeling in the air that he is knocking on the door of a slam which should come through sooner than later. In beating Berdych yesterday, I thought his game was spot on and will expect more of the same today, although I certainly will be expecting a much sterner resistance from Monfils. Raonic is a player who I believe Monfils has his number in some sort of major way. The h2h is 2-1 in favor of monfils; however I feel the important thing of note is the fact that in the 2 Monfils victories, he beat Raonic with a lot to spare. You will normally expect anyone that is lucky to take a set off Raonic, to take it mostly in a tie-break or 7-5 at the most. Monfils has achieved this with ease everytime he has played Raonic and it should be no different here.
I thought Monfils never really got going in the Australian open and just never was able to bring to the table the kind of tennis we expect from him. Still he managed to make it competitive by nicking that set. I expect him to have his eye on revenge especially being in top form himself. The bookies must be bunkers to put the overs at 22.5 which I very much like at 8/11. But there is an even better bet that I like at maximum stakes Raonic over 12.5 games at 1/2. This is simply because I expect Raonic to somehow win a set and perhaps hold his serve in most cases to go past the 12.5 target for sure. Expect Monfils to be fully into this game. He really should take a set and more in my guesstimation. Fasten your seat belts!!!! GL
US Open 2016
in Tennis Betting Tips & Predictions
Posted
Every one has a different way of reading games. I think group 5 is your best selection. I worry about Gianessi though that has gone fully public. Kudla might spring to life. Might, otherwise good