four-leaf

I think you are overreacting with the Zverev racket smashing episode. Racket smashing is a very acceptable part of the game depicting a release of bad energy which fans love. It is just another game assessory like groaning, a loud short scream at the end of a brutally fought out point or even smashing a ball out of the stadium in annoyance. Players react differently. Then again, we have never even seen Nadal express any outward emotion of any sort. He just gets on with the game in his own way.

Interestingly, in an interview, Toni Nadal spoke about the reason his nephew has never smashed a racquet. ... “Nadal has never broken a racquet. It would be showing a lack of respect to people who actually have to buy the equipment to play the sport,” said Toni.04 Aug 2021

Garin also coming off 2 five setters in a row. Monfils has excllent returning ability, and that leads to serve breaks . He's crushed the -8.5 game spread in his first 2 matches, by 13 games both times.

Was looking at the weather forecast and it is going to be a lot hotter tomorrow than it was today. Up in the low 30's. Straaight away I would be thinking of betting against Alison van Uytvanck, who will struggle in the heat.
A few potential upsets.
I like Pedro Martinez to beat Garin.  Martinez, young, up and coming 24 year old from Spain. Solid player will be tough. He is heading in an upward path.
Jessica Pegula not playing particularly well. Lost two warm up matches and should have lost first round. Pera easily capable of causing an upset here.
van Uytvank (as mentioned above) not great in the heat and she will struggle tomorrow.
Just have a feeling that Maria Sakkari is going to grind, not in particularly good form and looked quite nervous in the 1st round.
 

Nick Kyrgios (+2.5 sets) to beat Daniil Medvedev at 1.98 with Unibet
Looks like a huge price to me honestly. It's just a set we need here and Kyrgios looked in good shape against Broady given he was off for such a long time. His serve is devastating against everyone and Medvedev sometimes responds poorly to adversity, which is what he'll get plenty of from Nick. I'd have this at 1.57.

It’s evens now and 21/20 if you “uniboost” it. I’ve followed for 20 points.

Radu Albot vs Vukic Radu is in good form beginning the year winning all his qualifiers inclusing a comprehensive first round win against Nishioka. Remember he beat Bautista Agut here last year and clearly loves the green courts here in melbourne. Vukic though in form as well will have to get ready for the biggest match of his life including the pressure from being the favorite amidst a lot of media attention. Albot looks overpriced here and I am picking him here for the upset.
Kecmanovic vs Paul Both are in good form. Kecmanovic is 2-0 on the head to head albeit one being an exhibition. I believe he is ready to continue with the promise that first took him on the tennis scene. Kecmanovic to win at least 2 sets @11/10 Bet 365
Brengle Vs Osaka There is a reason why this match has been saved for prime time morning. Find out yourself. Brengle +5.5 handicap bet 365

Hello Guys, 
Welcome to the first Grand slam of the year and I am sure you are all as excited as I am that we can all begin to get involved in our one passion again. Let me say this before I get into the games proper that it takes a combination of factors to do well and make profits in the slam because one is always open to one too many temptations that will eventually turn out to be banana skins and cause severe havoc. So I would say that a great deal of care and experience is needed to aid your decision-making process in deciding to take a bet. Knowing what bet to take and what bookmaker to take it with is so very crucial to your success. For the grandslams I always make sure that I have my major betting accounts on standby namely Ladbrokes, Bet365 and Paddypower. The reason is that they all provide me with different betting options to help maximise my tennis knowledge and thus increase productivity. For example only paddy power provides the alternative total games and alternative handicap options. I cannot begin to tell you how instrumental this has been for me over the last 20 or more years. This should give you a rough idea about my age and the wealth of experience that I will be trying to share with you here. I have always done extremely well in the early rounds of slams and I will be expecting this to be no different. I never really go for outright winners most times because I believe that there is more value in the game menu with numerous markets available.
Rune vs Kwon (Alternative handicaps over 35.5 games @8/15 paddy power) Both are young tennis hopefuls who have already met once in Marbella last year on clay playing a tight 3 setter which Kwon won. They both have started they year well and have played 4 matches each to give the indication that they are both in competitive mood. I just cannot see a runaway winner here and have rightly chosen a very attainable mark for them on the alternative handicap market.
Basilashvili vs Murray
Head to Head is 0-2 Murray where both matches have been highly competitive. Their most recent was in Sidney this year where Murray won in three physically exhausting sets. Murray considering the amount of tennis that he played last week and the gauge of what should be left in his natural energy levels career-wise, leaves the door open for a more than likely first round upset. I have always gone by a principle that it is always so very difficult to beat a player that you are basically on the same level with twice in a space of 1-2 weeks. Verdict: Basilashvili to win a set 1/4 @Paddy Power. If you are playing on @bet 365, Basilashvili to win at least 2 sets @5/6.
Arianne Hartorio is a player that I have been monitoring closely. I really like the way that she took out Niemeyer in that final qualifying match and feel that she has got a lot more to offer in the first round if Anisimova's flat hitting style does not catch her out. I think it is worth the caculated risk in the way that I have decided to take this bet. Considering that the markets have also favored her with a slash in her odds of 6/1 t0 11/2, I think that she is a positive bet here. 
Arianne Hartorio vs Amanda Anisimova over 17.5games @ 4/7 (Alternative total Paddy Power)
Stefano Tsitsipas is certainly not in the best of form.....I take that back to say...not in form judging from his dismal form to close the 2021 season out. My guess is that it would be hard to expect much from him in this tournament considering that he is also recovering from surgery and could take a few tournaments more to recover. They have already mey twice with Tsitsipas beating M. Ymer very badly in straight sets. I am willing to forget whatever the reasons for those defeats were considering that Ymer is in very good form and the markets have recently shown the green lights in his favor slashing his price from 6/1 to 9/2 and now 4/1
Tsitsipas vs Mikael Ymer: Mikael Ymer to win a set @ 4/6 Paddypower. I have chosen this option as the best investment option that looks very very likely. I also believe that the outright win is very advisable on a single. Worth a risk in a slam of this nature considering the surprises that we are bound to expect from the covid effect generally.
Finally, I really like the way that Sasnovic has started the year positively recently losing in the melbourne final to Anisimova . I feel she comes into this grand slam fully charged up and at the right level to give her career a considerable uplift. 
Sasnovic vs Anisimova: I expect this to be a tasty competitive hard fought battle from two players on the assendency. Qinwen Zheng is the real deal and has the firepower to be of relevance in the womens game. She has a game that unveils no obvious weaknesses and I am hoping that the difference between the two players will be the amount of court time already spent by Zheng at melbourne and the qualifiers collectively. Verdict: over 20.5 games @4/7 (alternative handicaps paddy power.) Good luck!
 

Alright, guys! We’re just in time for the first Grand Slam of the new season and I’d like to wish everyone the best of luck! The lead-up has been largely overshadowed by the Djokovic saga, but that’s just how it was bound to be given what he triggered by his antics. It’s also a big bother for the pre-tournament betting, as he shouldn’t play, but who knows – the lawyers might score a good one and have it overturned just in time.
For that reason, I’m not going to place any long term bets just yet, especially since there are still two finals to go in a few hours. Andy Murray has recovered nicely from the Bagnis debacle and is now in the finals against Karatsev, while Kokkinakis is living the Aussie dream. As for the match bets, I’m decided on these so far:
Yulia Putintseva (-4.5) to beat Harmony Tan at 1.89 with Unibet
Putintseva is yet to play in this season, but she should be way too strong for Harmony Tan if she’s reasonably fit. I saw Tan lose against Potapova and she just looked like a walking bye in that match, horrible movement, poor unforced errors, bad everything. She had some decent results at the very end of the previous season in Linz, but she also lost to unknown players a bit before that. I don’t trust her at all and Putintseva is a player that will draw unforced errors from her.
Su Jeong Jang to beat Danka Kovinic at 1.95 with Pinnacle
Kovinic is playing with no belief these days and she’ll be up against Jang, who I was impressed with during the qualifiers. I saw her against Errani and Masarova and she looked very decent in both matches. She can run all day from the back of the baseline, she basically beat Errani at her own game in their showdown.
Katie Volynets to beat Beatriz Haddad Maia at 2.03 with Pinnacle
Above evens for a 6-0 qualifier? Count me in! I admit that I haven’t seen Haddad Maia recently, but she didn’t crush a 900-ranked player and then lost a set against Dabrowski, who’s a doubles specialist. That’s not a good start to the season and it just shows that she’s still struggling. Volynets has nothing to lose here, she has plenty of form and she beat Haddad Maia in Wimbledon last year. I don’t see a reason to have her as the underdog here.
Priscilla Hon (+6) to beat Marketa Vondrousova at 1.84 with Pinnacle
Yeah, Vondrousova is the favourite and I’ll be rooting for her, but +6 is a disrespectful handicap honestly. Hon should believe in herself after beating Kvitova and then troubling Azarenka for a large chunk of the match, while her loss against Cristian was very tight as well. Vondrousova is yet to get going this year, she had two hard-fought matches so far and 6 games is a lot to cover imo.
Heather Watson to beat Mayar Sherif 1.73 with William Hill
Watson is not the above average player she once was anymore, but she still has enough power to outplay Sherif, who has no real weapons. This is just a wrong match-up and, unless Watson goes missing big time, she should be comfortable in this one.
Matteo Berretini (-1.5 sets) to beat Brandon Nakashima at 1.83 with Sbobet
The only one I like in men’s in the first round so far. Berretini might be 1-2 for the season, but he played very well against Medvedev and Humbert, while Nakashima folded quite tamely against Opelka. Beating Fognini and Vesely, well, let’s just say that this doesn’t count for that much these days.

Men's seeds
1.  
2. Daniil Medvedev (RUS): +225WON
3. Alexander Zverev (GER): +380WON
4. Stefanos Tsitsipas (GRE): +3000
5. Andrey Rublev (RUS): +3000WON
6. Rafael Nadal (ESP): +1100WON
7. Matteo Berrettini (ITA): +3500WON
8. Casper Ruud (NOR): +5000
9. Felix Auger-Aliassime (CAN): +4000
10. Hubert Hurkacz (POL): +5000WON
11. Jannik Sinner (ITA): +2500WON
12. Cameron Norrie (GBR): +5000  CALLED THIS ONE
13. Diego Schwartzman (ARG): +13000WON
14. Denis Shapovalov (CAN): +10000WON
15. Roberto Bautista Agut (ESP): +8000WON
16. Cristian Garin (CHI): +40000WON
17. Gael Monfils (FRA): +20000WON
18. Aslan Karatsev (RUS): +10000WON
19. Pablo Carreno Busta (ESP): +10000WON
20. Taylor Fritz (USA): +15000
21. Nikoloz Basilashvili (GEO): +8000
22. John Isner (USA): +15000
23. Reilly Opelka (USA): OTBWON
24. Daniel Evans (GBR): +10000
25. Lorenzo Sonego (ITA): +13000
26. Grigor Dimitrov (BUL): +20000WON
27. Marin Cilic (CRO): +15000WON
28. Karen Khachanov (RUS): +10000WON
29. Ugo Humbert (FRA): +8000 UNEXPECTED LOSS
30. Lloyd Harris (RSA): +20000 UNEXPECTED LOSS ? Ridiculous to play no warm up matches
31. Carlos Alcaraz (ESP): +4000WON
32. Alex de Minaur (AUS): +10000
Norrie has a very tough draw against Korda. Could be done first round.
De Minaur playing against Musetti could see an upset.
Basilashvili gets a quick chance at revenge against Murray, who will prob be too strong.

He's playing in the new range of striped pajamas ? 
Looking at the woman's seeds. DO any of them look weak?
1. Ashleigh Barty (AUS): +275
2. Aryna Sabalenka (BLR): +1800
3. Garbiñe Muguruza (ESP): +1000
4. Barbora Krejcikova (CZE): +2000WON
5. Maria Sakkari (GRE): +2500WON
6. Anett Kontaveit (EST): +1400WON
7. Iga Swiatek (POL): +1200WON
8. Paula Badosa (ESP): +1600WON
9. Ons Jabeur (TUN): +4000 WITHDRAWAL
10. Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (RUS): +3000WON
11. Sofia Kenin (USA): +5000 LOST
12. Elena Rybakina (KAZ): +1600WON
13. Naomi Osaka (JPN): +500WON
14. Simona Halep (ROU): +1200
15. Elina Svitolina (UKR): +4000WON
16. Angelique Kerber (GER): +4500
17. Emma Raducanu (GBR): +2500
18. Coco Gauff (USA):  UNEXPECTED LOSS
19. Elise Mertens (BEL): +5000WON
20. Petra Kvitova (CZE): +5000LOST 
21. Jessica Pegula (USA): +6000WON
22. Belinda Bencic (SUI): +3000WON
23. Leylah Fernandez (CAN): +3000UNEXPECTED LOSS
24. Victoria Azarenka (BLR): +3000WON
25. Daria Kasatkina (RUS): +5000WON
26. Jelena Ostapenko (LAT): +8000
27. Danielle Collins (USA): +4000
28. Veronika Kudermetova (RUS): OTBWON
29. Tamara Zidansek (SLO): +15000
30. Camila Giorgi (ITA): +5000WON
31. Marketa Vondrousova (CZE): +5000WON
32. Sara Sorribes Tormo (ESP): +20000WON
If you exclude the bold'ed players, could you easily win 26  of 32 bets in the first round? Would you make money?
Definitely see Kenin losing to Keys
Pegula struggling with Kalinina
Kvitova has a tough opponent in Cirstea who beat her last time out.
Mertens probably loses to Zvonareva
Radacanu loses to Stephens
Vondrousova losing to Hon. None of the above 6 has been playing particularly well.
Outsider to go go go deep. Clara Tauson

As tournaments reach the last four stage, I'm adding a few more outrights. I'm replacing the Paul bet with a bet on Kokkinakis - as I've said before I'm not convinced by him, but at the same time I don't trust Monfils to beat him at such a short price. If Kokkinakis makes the final, the outright price will look good. Ahead of the last ATP Cup semi-final, I'm going to back Spain to take the title. If Canada beat Russia - and I think there's a good chance of that - then the price for Spain to win should drop. I don't have any strong feeling about who'll come out on top in Melbourne, except that Nadal is a vulnerable favourite based on performances so far. Having said that I'm not convinced Ruusuvuori will be able to beat him. Cressy has done well this week and his serve and volley style has caused problems for everyone he's played, so I'm putting a small stake on him.
In Adelaide, I'm already on Barty but I want to cover that with a bet on Rybakina who's in the other half of the draw. She should make the final and I'll be hoping it's against Barty, but if it isn't then at least I'll have an interest in the final. Last of all I'm going back in on Halep in Melbourne as she's still a nice price to win bearing in mind she's favoured to win her semi - perhaps it's to do with her struggles in the last round - and she's more than capable of giving Osaka a match if that's who she meets in the final. If it's Kudermetova, Halep should be the favourite.
 
10pts Kokkinakis to win ATP Adelaide @ 7.08 Betfair Exchange
45pts Spain to win ATP Cup @ 1.89 Betfair Exchange
2pts Cressy to win ATP Melbourne @ 12.27 Betfair Exchange
25pts Rybakina to win WTA Adelaide @ 4.00 Betfair Sportsbook
60pts Halep to win WTA Melbourne Summer Set 1 @ 2.88 Betfair Exchange

Things start to get quieter now as tournaments head towards their conclusions, but there's still a few bets I like the look of. First of all I want to add some cover to my Paul outright bet in Adelaide by backing Khachanov from the other half of the draw - that way a Paul-Khachanov final would guarantee a return. I've gone for Khachanov because I can't see him losing to Gerasimov in his next match and then after that he'll probably play Cilic for a place in the final. Cilic has been in decline for a couple of seasons now, so you'd fancy Khachanov to win that and make the final. I'm also going to dip my toe into the ATP Cup, by backing both underdogs in the outright market. I don't think there's all that much between the remaining teams and Canada in particular have played well, particularly in knocking out Germany in the last round. 
I'm also taking Barty to prevail in Adelaide, as I think she's the one to beat in home conditions. That said, she has a tricky match next up against Kenin who beat her in the AO a couple of years ago. It's fair to say though that Kenin isn't operating at that level just now and so Barty should find a way to win like she did against Gauff in the last round. After that she would play either Vika or Swiatek and from my perspective hopefully Swiatek who I'm still not convinced by on hard courts. The final - if she makes it that far - could turn out to be the easiest match to win to take the title, as the other half of the draw is the weakest one. I'm sure Barty wouldn't mind facing Rogers in the final, after losing to her at the US Open last season.
Over in Melbourne, it looks as though all the remaining players have a realistic chance of taking the title but I'm going to take a punt on Tauson because of her strong record in tournaments like this during last season. There's also a single in Melbourne that I want to play which is Anisimova to beat Begu. Anisimova should kick on this season after a disrupted couple of years and this is a winnable match against a veteran who plays best on clay, despite some good recent results on hard. I'd have Anisimova as a slightly bigger favourite for this and so I think she's worth backing.
 
30pts Khachanov to win ATP Adelaide @ 4.33 Betfair Sportsbook
10pts Canada to win ATP Cup @ 4.50 Betfair Sportsbook
10pts Poland to win ATP Cup @ 6.50 365
20pts Barty to win WTA Adelaide @ 2.80 Betfair Sportsbook
25pts Tauson to win WTA Melbourne Summer Set 2 @ 4.33 Betfair Sportsbook
40pts Anisimova to beat Begu @ 1.62 Boylesports
 

Murray is more to fade or stay away nowadays

There's two I like on the Men's side in Melbourne. Baez is the first and he plays against Ruusuvuori, who broke out a couple of seasons ago but has stagnated slightly since. Baez on the other hand is on a nice upward curve and gave a good account of himself at the Next Gen, which suggests he might not just be a player for clay. The other player I want to take a chance on is Hijikata, who plays against Cressy. Both have come through qualifying by winning two matches, but Hijikata beat better players in Kudla and Laaksonen. Cressy should be the favourite, but he's way too erratic for me and if his serve fails him then Hijikata should have every chance and especially if he can get to grips with Cressy's unorthodox style.
15pts Baez to beat Ruusuvuori @ 2.75 365
20pts Hijikata to beat Cressy @ 3.20 365

@Fader backed you on Heta most 180s 

Wow nice finish by Rob Cross at last checkout 170 with bullseye to end it. Thanks @Fader for Cross.

Merry Christmas everyone!

https://antidoping.itftennis.com/news/322959.aspx
Alejandro Gomez is suspended by ITF.

https://antidoping.itftennis.com/news/322959.aspx
Alejandro Gomez is suspended by ITF.

That's the Darts action over until 27th Dec. Good see Dobey come back and win. What a match that's going to be, Dobey Vs MVG!!
Level for the evening. +9pts for the day
Worlds +112pts
Happy Christmas all ?

@Fader backed you on Soutar and Noppert win+checkout+180s in singles so thanks for todays dart. Also won some on my own with Goudong in snooker so this years last day before christmas has been very good for me.

2/1 comes in with Noppert but 4-fold is dead at the 2nd stage with a pretty embarrassing performance from Williams. 75 average. I reckon I could give him a game. Blindfolded.
 

Evening Session :
Noppert Vs Heaver
Clemens Vs Williams
Cross Vs Van Barneveld
Dobey Vs Rusty Rodriguez
I have to get through these fast as I'm out for the next couple hours. I'll take Noppert to beat Heaver. I reckon he may hit the match treble too. Heaver beat Mathers but only managed 2 180s and an 84 average. I think Noppert wins 3-0/3-1. Williams has every chance against Clemens. Williams scored decent with a 93 average and 3 180s in his last match and Clemens CAN be inconsistent so there is a small chance on Williams coming through.
I think Cross beats Barney. Barney had a really good performance in the win over ilagan but he only managed 2 180s and I think Cross with the most 180s is the bet for me here. Finally, Quarter tip Dobey gets his tournament underway and has Rusty Rodriguez. It's a tough match for Dobey but I'm hoping he turns up. 
3pts Noppert to beat Heaver, hit most 180s and highest checkout 2/1 paddypower
3pts Cross to beat RVB and hit most 180s 2/1 paddypower
2pts Williams to beat Clemens 5/2 paddypower
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
1pt 4-fold - Noppert to win and hit most 180s / Cross to win and hit most 180s / Willaims 14/1 paddypower
 

⏏️ Session 1 ⏏️ Part 10 / Level 2
? Suljovic Win v Soutar
28u @1,44