Neubs

I´m also on a Combo with the Wins from Leipzig and Hoffenheim....
Leipzig today against Hannover - who have new Coach, but for me New Coach Doll isn´t that good Coach and also the problem is the squad. Who is not good enough for Bundesliga. Leipzig want to play CL next Season - so this is must Win.
Leipzig+Hoffenheim @ 2.33 5/10 interwetten

There aren't many Non-League games this midweek and the only team I really had in mind to back was Billericay at Slough. I went through the prices on Sunday night saw they were odds on when I was hoping for at least 5/4 and obviously left it alone. I then got a message on Twitter last night saying were Billericay value at 2/1 and couldn't believe what had happened with the odds. Clearly the Asians have got involved again and Billericay are now as big as 11/4 with Bet365 whereas Slough are odds on. Quite frankly the prices are ridiculous and the home side are massive value. Dean Brennan's time at the club came to an end after the loss to Chippenham which wasn't a surprise as their form had gone down massively. Yes players had left and quite a few new faces appeared and I think it meant the side had become a bit disjointed. Harry Wheeler has now returned though and they got a very good win against Welling on Saturday in his first game back in charge. Prior to that they had got a very good draw at Concord whose home form is very strong this season. Wheeler returning seems to have improved the team as Saturday's performance was their best for a few weeks and I think they can build on that here.
Slough are a solid side but have been pretty inconsistent this season and I can't see them breaking their way into the play-offs. They have actually only won once in their last 6 games and the results of their last two matches have not been good. First of all they blew a 2 goal lead against Chippenham and then on Saturday they lost 2-0 to bottom of the table Weston who as I have mentioned on here are a truly dreadful side. Now to be fair to Slough they were the better team and the Weston keeper won man of the match, but it is still worrying they couldn't find the net against them and still conceded twice. Slough are capable on their day, but Billericay have the better team and like I say I would have backed them at 5/4 so at 11/4 it really is a must bet. It is about time the Asian market got it wrong again and hopefully that will be the case tonight.
Billericay 2.5pts @ 11/4 with Bet365 

On first View for Tomorrow´s Games i must say all here are No Bet Games - but take a better View now and i see in most of the Games some good Bets.
Let´s Start with Fulham - Brighton - I take here the Fulham Win - more Time to Focus on this Game - with Brighton have Fa Cup at Weekend and must go on Repley next Midweek - so that isn´t that good for them to have 2 Midweek Games in a Row. Also for me at Home this is a MUST WIN game for Fulham. Ranieri also said this - that this Game is such important for the whole club. So even if Brighton have won last 3 Games at Craven Cottage i see Fulham to win this - because it´s very important for them + the Squad isn´t such bad + Brighton with now much more Games in a row then Fulham + the Away Form isn´t so good...
Other Bets for me are:
West Ham - Wolves a Both 2 Score and also i see with small Stakes a Over 2.5 Goals here.
In Arsenal - Cardiff Game i expected a low Scoring Game. Arsenal will do this but Cardiff will park the Bus and Arsenal will have at Weekend important Game against Man City - so why the should made a big Offensive Performance - maybe some rotation for them to win 2-0 or 3-0...
For me also Huddersfield will not Lose to Everton. New Coach - bad Squad  is the Situation here. But maybe they can turn a positive Vibe to the Team and let´s be Honest. Everton is in really bad Shape. Why should Huddersfield not grab one Point or all 3. Maybe the Team from Everton are not on Coach Silva´s Side and want a new Coach - who know´s it - for me it´s try to worth the AHC+0.5 on Huddersfield....
Also i think we can play with Medium Stake the Win´s from the Fav´s - Man City + Man U and Arsenal....

Not so much Time today, but i think we can made some Profit today because Fixtures and first Matchweek after Winter-Break are good for todays bet.
For me today i like Hoffenheim to Win. I´ve wrote it in last Weeks Preview against Munich. Hoffenheim in full of Fitness after Winter Break and made a good Game against Munich. Freiburg on other Side only 1 Lose at Home against Hoffenheim in all Time but for me today and what i see on first Game after Break - Hoffenheim can win this.
Then for me i play Away Win on Leverkusen but only on DNB. Leverkusen lost First Game at Home againts Gladbach, but they shouldn´t lose such a Game. Leverkusen with many Chances and today agaisnt Wolfsburg who for me are a not the Same Quality like Gladbach. Think now after Winter Break Wolfsburg will slip slowly down in Table.
Also i see Dortmund will smash Hannover today - simple Reason here is - that Hannover´s Squad isn´t good Enough. Should become 4-5 Goals from Bremen last Week, but they didn´t score only once. So i think Dortmund with his quality can made this heavy today.

Hoffenheim @ 2.10 3/10 interwetten
Leverkusen AHC 0 @ 1.98 5/10 bet365
Dortmund AHC -2 @ 1.79 5/10 unibet

Not so much Time today, but i think we can made some Profit today because Fixtures and first Matchweek after Winter-Break are good for todays bet.
For me today i like Hoffenheim to Win. I´ve wrote it in last Weeks Preview against Munich. Hoffenheim in full of Fitness after Winter Break and made a good Game against Munich. Freiburg on other Side only 1 Lose at Home against Hoffenheim in all Time but for me today and what i see on first Game after Break - Hoffenheim can win this.
Then for me i play Away Win on Leverkusen but only on DNB. Leverkusen lost First Game at Home againts Gladbach, but they shouldn´t lose such a Game. Leverkusen with many Chances and today agaisnt Wolfsburg who for me are a not the Same Quality like Gladbach. Think now after Winter Break Wolfsburg will slip slowly down in Table.
Also i see Dortmund will smash Hannover today - simple Reason here is - that Hannover´s Squad isn´t good Enough. Should become 4-5 Goals from Bremen last Week, but they didn´t score only once. So i think Dortmund with his quality can made this heavy today.

Hoffenheim @ 2.10 3/10 interwetten
Leverkusen AHC 0 @ 1.98 5/10 bet365
Dortmund AHC -2 @ 1.79 5/10 unibet

Not so much Time today, but i think we can made some Profit today because Fixtures and first Matchweek after Winter-Break are good for todays bet.
For me today i like Hoffenheim to Win. I´ve wrote it in last Weeks Preview against Munich. Hoffenheim in full of Fitness after Winter Break and made a good Game against Munich. Freiburg on other Side only 1 Lose at Home against Hoffenheim in all Time but for me today and what i see on first Game after Break - Hoffenheim can win this.
Then for me i play Away Win on Leverkusen but only on DNB. Leverkusen lost First Game at Home againts Gladbach, but they shouldn´t lose such a Game. Leverkusen with many Chances and today agaisnt Wolfsburg who for me are a not the Same Quality like Gladbach. Think now after Winter Break Wolfsburg will slip slowly down in Table.
Also i see Dortmund will smash Hannover today - simple Reason here is - that Hannover´s Squad isn´t good Enough. Should become 4-5 Goals from Bremen last Week, but they didn´t score only once. So i think Dortmund with his quality can made this heavy today.

Hoffenheim @ 2.10 3/10 interwetten
Leverkusen AHC 0 @ 1.98 5/10 bet365
Dortmund AHC -2 @ 1.79 5/10 unibet

Disappointing that Telford couldn't get the win last week, but at the end of the day I am confident it was the right bet to have and it was just one of those results which defies logic and goes against us. If Blyth had scored an injury time penalty then we would have been in profit for the day as well despite the max bet losing. At the moment I am just putting the one bet up but there will be more to follow tomorrow at some point.
Dagenham & Redbridge v Aldershot
If Gary Waddock can keep Aldershot up I think it will be the biggest achievement of his managerial career because they are awful. It isn't all his fault because there have been budget cuts at the club, but you have to fear that if they go down to Step 2 they won't be coming back in a hurry. It has been 10 games since they last won in the league and they have picked up just 3 points in that spell. That last win also came against bottom of the table Braintree. Scoring goals is a huge problem for them as they have scored just 24 all season and if we narrow that down to the last 10 games then they have only scored 5, 3 of which came in the 4-3 loss to Maidenhead on Boxing Day. Away from home it is a really grim picture as they have won just once, drawn twice and lost 11. Dagenham didn't play well against Maidstone last week, but Maidstone basically gifted them all 3 goals thanks to some shocking defending. Given how much I have written about Dagenham of late there is no real point of repeating myself, but at the very least they should be no bigger than 4/6 for this and probably even shorter than that. I just can't understand how they are only very slightly odds on for this. Dagenham ought to only need 1 goal given how goal shy Aldershot and they look a cracking bet.
Dartford v Concord Rangers
Concord will be keen to get the 3 points they have lost for fielding an illegible player here, but I think the home side offer a bit of value. Dartford's home form has been very impressive as they have lost just twice. Wealdstone beat them early on in the season when they weren't in great form anyway and the only other team to beat them is Torquay and they played well that night despite losing. They have got themselves into play-off contention and it is mainly thanks to their performances at home. Concord's away form has picked up of late having drawn at Bath and won at East Thurrock and Welling before losing their last away game to Hungerford. Take the Welling win away though and the only teams they have beaten on their travels are Dulwich, East Thurrock and Weston all of whom are struggling. Dartford are nearly as big as 6/4 to win this with Marathon and that represents value to me.
Dulwich Hamlet v Chelmsford City
I'm hoping to get to this game on Saturday and it will be my first visit to Champion Hill since Dulwich returned their last month. Usually I want them to win, but given Gloucester are in a relegation battle with them I'm not sure I really do (although I do hope both survive) and I think Chelmsford are worth backing to win. I have only seen Dulwich in the flesh twice this season both when they played Gloucester. Back in August Gloucester beat them 1-0, but I was really impressed with Dulwich and thought there is noway they would struggle this season. Then just before Christmas they looked a completely different side and not a very good one at that. It is hard to know what has gone wrong really, but I suspect that the team had got used to winning games of football and now they aren't they are finding it very tricky to play their usual passing style of football because they don't have the confidence to do so. I thought returning to Champion Hill would see a big improvement in form, but after winning on Boxing Day in their first game back they have picked up just 1 point in their next 5 games and that game in a desperate affair at East Thurrock last Saturday. Having seen East Thurrock earlier this month I can imagine how bad a game it was. Chelmsford are much better than East Thurrock and although their good away form from earlier in the season has left them I would say out of the 4 defeats in their last 6 on the road the only poor loss was to East Thurrock. I'm surprised to see Chelmsford on the drift as Dulwich look really low on confidence at the moment and at just over 6/4 with Marathon the away side look a solid bet.
Southport v AFC Telford
No doubt Telford will go and win now I am taking them on, but Southport are worth a bet despite losing their unbeaten record at Altrincham last week. They certainly played well and I can seem bouncing straight back here. Telford might be very strong at home, but it has been a very different story on their travels. They have only won 3 away games and two of those came against FCUM and Nuneaton and both of those are in the bottom 3. Following Southport has been pretty profitable for us in recent weeks and I am surprised they have drifted out to 121/100 with Marathon as I would have them nearer even money myself.
Whitehawk v Carshalton
Those of you who have been following me for a while may remember that a year or so again backing Whitehawk became a rather profitable system despite the fact they were bottom of the table and still ended up going down and I just wonder if they are about to go on another good run of form. They have improved the side this month and their last two results have been superb. First of all they got a draw against Dorking who are 2nd in the table and then last week they were really impressive in beating Kingstonian last week. If they can repeat those two efforts then they should be more than capable of beating a Carshalton side who have only won 2 of their last 8 league games and have lost 5 on the bounce away from home. Every chance they will have one eye on their FA Trophy match at Barnet next week as well. At 19/10 with BetVictor they are well worth backing.
Dagenham & Redbridge 4pts @ 49/50 with Marathon
Dartford 1pt @ 147/100 with Marathon
Chelmsford 2pts @ 38/25 with Marathon
Southport 1pt @ 121/100 with Marathon
Whitehawk 2pts @ 19/10 with BetVictor
 
Not surprisingly the price has come in on Dagenham although I still think the price is on the right side of value.

Last Saturday wasn't good, but it does seem to be one bad day followed by one good day at the moment so hopefully that means it will be a profitable weekend. I have 6 bets in the 3 National League's this Saturday.
Maidenhead v Solihull
Maidenhead have only lost one of their last 5 games, but they haven't played anyone as good as Solihull in that spell. They lost to bottom side Braintree, Got 4 points in their two games against Aldershot, beat a severely weakened Gateshead 1-0 and then on Tuesday night beat Maidstone. So they have played 3 of the 4 teams below them in the table and a one team who were struggling to put 11 fit men on the pitch. Solihull are now in 3rd place and are just 3 points off Leyton Orient. They did need a replay on Tuesday night to overcome Halifax in the FA Trophy, but obviously with Maidenhead also playing on Tuesday that shouldn't come into it. They also landed the max bet against Gateshead in their last game easier than the 2-1 scoreline suggests. They should be odds on to win this so 11/10 with Betway looks a big price.
Maidstone v Dagenham & Redbridge
I was half tempted to put Maidstone up as a bet on Tuesday night, but thankfully was put off in the end as they lost 4-2 to Maidenhead. That made it 11 losses at home in the league with just the one victory. Whoever comes in as manager has to improve that home form fast. It is often said that a 3G pitch is an advantage for the home team, but it clearly isn't in this case as Maidstone have won 6 times away from home. Dagenham caused us a painful lost a couple of weeks ago after coming from 3-0 down to go 4-3 up and then draw 4-4 with Boreham Wood. Since Dagenham scored two very late goals to beat Hartlepool I have put them up 3 times as a bet and they have failed to win each time. Fair to say they owe us won again and they do look a cracking be here. Their away form has been strong winning 4 of their last 6 and only losing 1-0 to Sutton and Orient. They performed with credit at Salford in the FA Trophy last weekend and they should be favourites to win this. At Marathons' 83/50 they look a really good bet.
Salford v Gateshead
Salford have certainly bounced back from their tricky spell where it looked like they may have fallen out of contention for the title. So on the back of 4 losses on the bounce they then went and beat Wrexham and Leyton Orient without conceding a goal, which was important for them as defensively they had looked very suspect in recent weeks. Gateshead might not be quite as weak as they were against Maidenhead or Solihull, but they have lost manager Steve Watson to York in the meantime. This could hardly be a tougher game for the new manager given Salford have only conceded 13 goals at home losing just one and obviously they have such an impressive team. I think this could be a fairly easy win for the home side as I don't think Gateshead are anywhere near to a side who are 8th in the table at the moment. I think they can overcome the -1 handicap which is 17/10 with Betway.
Bradford Park Avenue v Blyth Spartans
Picking up just 1 point in their last four have meant BPA have fallen from the top spot in the National League North table. It was a poor loss last week to FCUM as well given they are in the relegation zone and had a few players missing. This game should be even harder as well given Blyth haven't lost in 10 league games now. Strangely enough their last defeat was to FCUM. They were superb in the FA Trophy last week beating Boreham Wood and they have recovered nicely after a very poor start to the season. I would have these two much closer together in the betting than the bookies have them and the 23/10 with BetVictor is well worth taking.
AFC Telford v Kidderminster
Telford have very similar home form to Salford in that they have only lost once and conceded just 12 goals. Their away form looks like it will stop them being possible title winners, but they are obviously bang in the play-off hunt. The one team they lost to at home was Bradford whilst they were flying so there is nothing wrong with that at all and they really ought to be shorter than the 8/5 they are with William Hill. The prices make little sense really given Kiddie are 6 points behind their hosts having played a game more. As I have mentioned a few times on here in recent weeks they have been in awful form for weeks now. They have lost 5 of their last 6 games and a win over lowly Hereford was the positive result in that spell. Not surprisingly they sacked their manager last week, but they still lost to Boston and they really do look in free fall at the moment. In my view Telford should be close to even money to win this so they look a fantastic bet.
Truro v Weston-Super-Mare
Ignore the fact Truro lost 5-0 to Stockport in the FA Trophy last Saturday as they played a strong team in good form plus they were pretty much down to the bare bones. They had players cup-tied as well as injured and suspended and they will be able to put out a much stronger team on Saturday. Not only that but Weston are a million miles away from being Stockport. These two teams played each other in the previous round of the FA Trophy and Truro won 4-0. That was their first game back in Truro and they are now there full time. Truro are pulling themselves away from the relegation zone and I think they will be safe. They have won 5 of their last 10 games and their 4 defeats were against Oxford City, Torquay twice and Welling. Weston are nowhere near the level of those 3 and I would be shocked if they didn't go down. There is just enough in the price at Marathon of 53/50 to make the home side a play here.
Solihull 2.5pts @ 11/10 with Betway
Dagenham & Redbridge 2.5pts @ 83/50 with Marathon
Salford -1 1pt @ 17/10 with Betway
Blyth 1pt @ 23/10 with BetVictor
AFC Telford 5pts @ 2/1 with Bet365
Truro 2pts @ 53/50 with Marathon
 
So on Twitter and the message below people have been letting me know about the Telford drift. I have been told that Kidderminster were also heavily backed last Friday before the Boston game and we obviously know how well that gamble turned out! Telford were backed after I tipped them up so some people have got a bigger price on Kidderminster thanks to me. This is far from the first time it has happened to one of my strong bets and it will be Asian money. The Asians base their bets purely on data and I actually like it when they have a different view to me mainly because it allows us to get a bigger price, but also because I am usually on the right side of the result. One that sticks out is last season when I was big on Aldershot to win at Dagenham in a teatime game on TV. This was the week when Dagenham announced they were in trouble and had sold a few players. Clearly the Aisian's took none of this into account as on Saturday afternoon all the money was on Dagenham. Aldershot duly won. Now I obviously can't guarantee Telford will win tomorrow, but what I can guarantee is they are huge value at 2/1 which is freely available with a few bookies including Bet365. I have had two Kidderminster fans on Twitter tell me they have no idea why anyone would want to back them and the fact they are even money for an away game at a team who have only failed to win 4 games at home season is just bizarre especially when you add into the mix their current form. What on earth the Asians use to come up with their bets I don't know but they would be better off doing more homework. 
I don't usually go in again when the price drifts, but plenty of punters do and there is nothing wrong with going against the crowd (given I often back the outsider it works for me) or in this case going against a few people in Asia! Based on the current price I am now bumping Telford up to a max bet. Basically if they had been 2/1 last night when I did my preview I would have put them up as a max bet so I am now adding a further 2 points on them. They might not win, but that price is a huge error and Telford should be the 11/10 shots.

After last Saturday I certainly needed a night like Tuesday and it was great to land the max bet with Solihull. I know I caused the price to collapse fairly quickly so I doubt most could get on at the bigger prices, but I never thought the price stopped being value and most importantly it was a winning bet. Spennymoor won as well but annoyingly Oxford City ended up only winning in extra time. I am leaving the FA Trophy alone this weekend as there doesn't seem to be much value. You could argue Dagenham are a big price, but Salford put out a strong team in the last round so it seems they are taking the competition seriously. Instead I have 5 bets in the league action that remains. 
Southport v Leamington (National League North)
It won't surprise you to read that I am tipping the home side to win here. They bounced back well from only getting a point against Nuneaton last Saturday by beating Guiseley on Tuesday night. I know I keep saying it but it is so frustrating that they started the season so badly because really they should be in contention for the title on what they have shown in recent weeks and given I put them up ante-post it is annoying. Granted Leamington have been very hard to beat. They have only lost 1 in their last 10 games although they have got a touch of the Chesterfield's because they have drawn 6 of their last 7 games. Despite that I think Southport are value here to get the 3 points at Marathons 21/20 although I would want to chase the price down too much.
Billericay v Chippenham (National League South)
Billericay finally got back to winning ways last Saturday after having a poor Christmas. Despite some players leaving they still have a strong side and a decent budget and I fancy them to get another 3 points here. Chippenham are having a bit of an injury crisis at the moment and it hasn't been helped by an illness going through the team either. They are trying to make additions the the side, but it looks likely they will come in the form of young loanees. In addition to that they are also in poor form at the moment. Their only win in their last 7 games came against a Hampton & Richmond side who are badly out of form and they lost to an Eastbourne side who hadn't exactly been doing a great deal last weekend. Billericay have been backed but they are still value for me at just over evens with Marathon.
Gloucester City v Hungerford (National League South)
It pains me to write these words, but I think Gloucester will go down this season. We haven't won in the league since September 1st and have scored just 17 goals in the league this season. I was at the East Thurrock game last week and we could still be playing now and we wouldn't have scored. Chris Todd's appointment didn't work and he was sacked, but in his place we now have a coaching team of 5 ex players heading by Mike Cook who was assistant manager about 15 years ago and hasn't been a manger for a long time either. Obviously I hope it works, but I have my doubts. Last Saturday we only had 10 fit players and duly lost to a bad East Thurrock side. Two of those players have left since then and I am expecting new signings to come in ahead of Saturday, but unless it is hard to see how the squad can be improved much in the space of a few days. Hungerford aren't great either, but crucially they have won their last two games against Oxford City and Concord which certainly isn't to be sniffed at and they are showing a hell of a lot more than Gloucester are at the moment. What is most strange about this game is that Gloucester are being backed and Hungerford are a huge 21/10 with Bet365. It is only going to be a small bet for now, but I might upgrade it depending on what players we sign ahead of Saturday. Naturally I hope I lose my money here, but the price is too good to turn down.
Walton Casuals v Hartley Wintney (Southern League South)
The home side are very hard to beat at home. They have won all bar two of their last 9 league matches and home and just one of those was a defeat where the keeper was sent off when it was only 1-0. Wintney have only one won of their last 7 away from home and that was at a struggling Basingstoke side. I think there is definite value with going for another Casuals home win at 13/10 with Marathon.
Tonbridge Angels v Kingstonian (Bostik Premier)
Tonbridge annoyingly came from 2 down against Brightlingsea last Saturday to defeat our bet on them (frustratingly Brightlingsea were impressive winners on Tuesday against Bognor), but they face a tougher game here when 2nd place Kingstonian are the opponents. Kingstonian were one of my ante-post picks for this league and like Southport they were looking embarrassing picks early on, but they have zoomed up the table and like I say are now in 2nd place. The only game they have lost in their last 9 was to leaders Haringey and I think they look a good bet to continue the run against a struggling Tonbridge.
Southport 1pt @ 21/20 with Marathon
Billericay 2.5pts @ 26/25 with Marathon  
Hungerford 1pt @ 21/10 with Bet365
Walton Casuals 1pt @ 13/10 with Marathon
Kingstonian 1pt 38/25 with Marathon

I´ve now played Stoke with medium Stakes. I got feeling, that now things will change positive for them. Luton Coach Jones are Favorite of the Job - but however the New Coach will be - this Game against Brentford is only a Game against Former Coach Rowett - i think. And they want to show him - how "easy" it´s going with this Team...

Rowett sacked today for Stoke... So now i think Players will be happy with this... Think they will now show positive Reaction against Brentford. Squad is good enough and now they will show it.

I like Reading here... Playing really well against Man United and against QPR... Only the result against Swansea in there last Home Game makes me little bit scary. But for me against Nottingham who have to many Up´s and Down´s by there Performances - i think a Bet on Reading DNB are try to worth...
I´m also looking on the Away Wins or DNB´s on Swansea and Blackburn.
Swansea in last Games in superb Form and specially very dangerous in Away Games.

One Week to go, but on first View here this could be a nice Weekend in PL Fixtures for us.
On first view i like here the Win from Arsenal against WestHam. WestHam in last Games didn´t impressed me and on other Side Arsenal with now in next 4 Games with 2 MUST WIN´s... They play against WestHam,Cardiff and Chelsea + Man City. So if they want a small chance of Place 4 they must win for sure against WestHam and Cardiff.
Also i like the Both2Score in Burnley-Fulham Game...
Fulham must show reaction after that terrible out of FA-Cup today and if they have some quality then in my view it is in the Offensive.
Burnley on other Hand at Home hard to play and in last Games with good Performances. Last H2H with many Goals...
 

I´ve now played Stoke with medium Stakes. I got feeling, that now things will change positive for them. Luton Coach Jones are Favorite of the Job - but however the New Coach will be - this Game against Brentford is only a Game against Former Coach Rowett - i think. And they want to show him - how "easy" it´s going with this Team...

I must admit I am surprised Slough have been backed into odds on across the board and couldn’t put anyone off backing Bath at the current prices .

Yes, surely there will be an immediate improvement from Stoke. Cost me big money 3 times this season, the useless git - it finally dawned on me that he wasn't going to get them playing. If Stoke hadn't already cost me I'd be tempted @2/1.
Forest have had a poor run but I'd still fancy us to beat Reading, a few players likely to be back including a CB and Grabban. But no value at the prices.
I don't really fancy anyone else, maybe a chance for a rare Rotherham away win considering how bad Ipswich have been.

Rowett sacked today for Stoke... So now i think Players will be happy with this... Think they will now show positive Reaction against Brentford. Squad is good enough and now they will show it.

Saturday's results were rather painful and to not end up with at least 1 winner after the way the games had gone was pretty unfortunate. I can only remember 1 team I have backed blowing a 3 goal lead previously and then to have another blow a 2 goal lead on top of that is pretty tough to take. Anyway we move on to the mid-week action and I have 3 bets including the first max bet of the season.
Gateshead v Solihull
Gateshead lost their 1st home game since September against Maidenhead on Saturday and I think they will lose another one on Tuesday night. The home side are having all sorts of injury problems at the moment which means they can't even fill properly fill a subs bench at the moment and that includes 2 goalkeepers and a youth coach who had to come out of retirement to go on the bench against Maidenhead. The fact they only brought 1 sub on and that was in the 84th minute proves how badly they are suffering from injuries. They have recalled 1 player from a loan and have another coming back from suspension, but they are only a small squad and there is every chance a busy period with so few players is also going to play a factor here. The fact they lost to a truly dreadful Maidenhead on Saturday is also prove that this will be a tough game for them. Maidenhead only managed 1 shot on target the whole game and their keeper didn't have to make a proper save all afternoon either. Solihull are a hell of a lot better than Maidenhead and importantly their away form has been pretty strong of late. If you took the last 10 away league games then Solihull come out on top having lost just 3 in that time. Whilst Gateshead were struggling to muster a meaningful shot Solihull were putting 4 past Eastleigh. It was a very impressive performance and if they preform like that again then there will only be one winner. William Hill are biggest about an away win at 9/5 and I think that is massive because they should be favs given the strength of the team Gateshead will be able to put out. I suspect if Gateshead had played a better team than Maidenhead on Saturday it would have been a heavier defeat and Solihull and like I say they are much better than Maidenhead so hopefully they can do the business.
Spennymoor v Kidderminster
Kiddie sacked their manager on Monday which isn't a surprise given they have been struggling for wins over the last couple of months and suffered a heavy 3-0 defeat on Saturday at Darlington. They were really poor as well and this is a very tough game back in the North East. Spennymoor did lose to AFC Telford on Saturday, but that was only their 2nd defeat in their last 10 games and they look in much better shape than their opponents coming into this game. I would make them home side a shade of odds on to win this so 27/25 with Marathon looks a fair enough price.
Maidenhead v Oxford City 
There are 3 FA Trophy replays on Tuesday. I did put Havant up against Dover when the game was originally meant to be played before Christmas as Dover had put out a weakened side in the first game, but it is hard to know what sort of side Dover might put out given the busy festive period is now over so I will leave it for now. This game is sort of a replay because Oxford were in front before the game had to be abandoned so they are having to start again on Tuesday. I put City up that afternoon and I am doing so again and the surprising drift to 16/5 is very appealing. I can only imagine Maidenhead are being backed because they beat Gateshead on Saturday, but as mentioned above their is much more to the bare result. Oxford lost 1-0 to St Albans on Saturday, but they ought to have won really and St Albans were making it 7 games unbeaten. They did lose to Hungerford surprisingly on New Years Day, but prior to that they were unbeaten in 7 having won 6 of them. Given Maidenhead look a National League South side there is every chance Oxford can get back to winning ways here which will be deserved after having the first game abandoned about 15 minutes from the end.
Solihull 5pts @ 91/50 with Marathon
Spennymoor 2pts @ 27/25 with Marathon
Oxford City 1pt 19/5 with Marathon

Today i think Away Teams are good Choice. For me i have Oldham +1.5 and small the Oldham win. No really BIG Surprises here in this Round, so maybe Oldham can made it....
Also i´m on Under 3 Goals in Sheffield-Barnet Game and on DC of the Away Teams in Preston-Doncaster and Milwall-Hull Games....
And also my Main Bet for today is a Combo from Watford AHC-1.5 and Leicester to Win... First Leicester i´m afraid off, but after there good Games in League and without any danger about relegation they can take this serious today and will made it...

Today i think Away Teams are good Choice. For me i have Oldham +1.5 and small the Oldham win. No really BIG Surprises here in this Round, so maybe Oldham can made it....
Also i´m on Under 3 Goals in Sheffield-Barnet Game and on DC of the Away Teams in Preston-Doncaster and Milwall-Hull Games....
And also my Main Bet for today is a Combo from Watford AHC-1.5 and Leicester to Win... First Leicester i´m afraid off, but after there good Games in League and without any danger about relegation they can take this serious today and will made it...

@Tiffy
Nice Opinions from you, but why you not fancy Shrewsbury. Most Players of Stoke are against Coach Rowett and Bojan and Bauer, both Players made this "offical" in Social Media. Lost against Birmingham and Bristol - and made a Draw against Bolton. In all 3 Games they played very poor. The quality is for sure very High, but maybe they didn´t want show it, because of Rowett.
So i  think if Rowett will not get sacked today i will play in the evening a Double Chance here.

New Year's Day could hardly have gone any better and it was a cracking start to 2019. Hopefully that will continue on the first Saturday of the year and I have 6 bets.
Chesterfield v Ebbsfleet
Martin Allen may have gone, but Chesterfield have gone back to drawing again. They have now drawn both games since he got the sack after losing 4-0 to Solihull. I don't think they will go down as any team who can go unbeaten for so long can't be that bad, but they clearly need to start picking up 3 points. I don't think they will do that here and I fancy Ebbsfleet. As I mentioned on New Year's Day Ebbsfleet are flying at the moment and were really impressive in beating Braintree on Tuesday. Granted they are the worst side in the division, but even so the way they went about beating them was particularly impressive. They are top of last 10 games form table at the moment and I think they should be favourites to win this. 
Dagenham & Redbridge v Boreham Wood
Backing Dagenham a week ago didn't pay off, but they are again a bizarrely big price to win this. They did lose 1-0 to Barnet and then lost by the same scoreline to Orient on Tuesday, but they are clearly still in good form despite those two defeats. I can't understand why they aren't favs for this. Boreham Wood have only won 2 away games all season and the last of those was back on September 18th. Granted they have drawn the same they have lost (6) and they have drawn 5 of their last 6 on their travels, so some people might want the draw onside here. In my view though Dagenham are overpriced to win the game and I am happy to take them to get the 3 points. 
Blyth Spartans v Alfreton (National League North)
Blyth have been flying in recent weeks and haven't lost in 9 games in the league. They had a tough start to the season, but all of a sudden they now look play-off contenders. They have won 6 of their last 8 and the two draws came in the two games against Spennymoor over Christmas. Alfreton have shown a little more since their 7-1 thrashing by Spennymoor. They drew against Stockport, got 4 points over the two Boston games and also lost to Southport. That's not a bad return, but with Blyth in such good form they really should have the edge in this one.
Tonbridge Angels v Brightlingsea Regent (Bostik Premier)
I opposed Tonbridge on Boxing Day when Folkestone beat them 3-1 at a big price and they then went on to lose 3-0 to Carshalton last Saturday. I think it is worth opposing them again here especially as they face an in form team in the shape of Brightlingsea. Those two defeats for Angels mean they have lost 7 of their last 8 games and Regent have won 5 of their last 6. It seems to me that this is one of those games where bookies have priced it up on league positions rather than actual form because it is pretty hard to make a case for the home side at such short odds and they are well worth taking on again.
Kings Lynn v Leiston (Evo-Stik Southern Premier Central)
I make it 15 games unbeaten for Kings Lynn now and it is a shame for them that they had the wrong manager at the start of the season and that Kettering and Stourbridge have pulled away, because they clearly should be in the title battle. They are up to 3rd but they look too far behind the other two to catch them. Still it wont stop them trying and they should be more than capable of beating Leiston. Granted they haven't lost in 5, but on the other-hand they have only won 2 of their last 9 games and they now face one of the best teams in the division.
Bamber Bridge v Grantham (Evo-Stik Northern Premier)
Fair to say it has been a bit of an up and down season for Grantham. They were very good at the start then woeful and at the moment they have re-found their form again having only lost one of their last 5. They have won 3 of them including beating Basford and Gainsborough which were decent efforts. I think they are over priced here to beat a Bamber Bridge side who have only won two of their last ten and have only won one of their last 5 games at home
Ebbsfleet 1pt @ 2/1 with Marathon
Dagenham & Redbridge 1pt @ 101/50 with Marathon
Blyth Spartans 2.5pts @ 103/100 with Marathon
Brightlingsea Regent 1pt @ 21/10 with BetVictor
Kings Lynn 3pts @ 24/25 with Marathon
Grantham 1pt @ 21/10 with BetVictor

@Tiffy
Nice Opinions from you, but why you not fancy Shrewsbury. Most Players of Stoke are against Coach Rowett and Bojan and Bauer, both Players made this "offical" in Social Media. Lost against Birmingham and Bristol - and made a Draw against Bolton. In all 3 Games they played very poor. The quality is for sure very High, but maybe they didn´t want show it, because of Rowett.
So i  think if Rowett will not get sacked today i will play in the evening a Double Chance here.

I´m today on this Bet: Tottenham to Win with Total of Under 3.5 Goals....
Spurs will field a strong team said Pochettino, but he will rotate. So i think some offensive Players like Kane, Alli or Eriksen will sit on the Bench. Last Season Tottenham must go in Replay Games against Newport and Rochdale, so i think that they didn´t want this scenario again. They will take this Match serious, but i think they will look with One Eye on next Mideweek Semi Final Game against Chelsea. So Pitch also will not be the best and Tranmere Team will be high Motivated but they are limited in quality. So i expected a Spurs Team which dominate the Game but maybe without some important Offensive Players and with this one Eye on next Game agains Chelsea i expected some FT-Results about 0-2 or 0-3

I´m on a Double here today.
I will go with the Fav´s and bet on Wins from Arsenal and Spurs.
Both with MUST WIN´s today, i think both Coaches want the win´s and they have in my opinion perfect Opponents.
Both teams can rotate at Weekend in FA Cup, so i think today Gunners and Spurs will field strong (maybe strongest) possible Starting XI. Spurs will face Cardiff, where i personal think they are to weak in Offensive, to make trouble in Spurs defensive.