richard-westwood

Yes I'm on the wolf ew ....I think he's overpriced .....

Yes I'm on the wolf ew ....I think he's overpriced .....

Yes I'm on the wolf ew ....I think he's overpriced .....

Yes I'm on the wolf ew ....I think he's overpriced .....

4 day ACCA cheltenham 

My top 3 rated 
Corach rambler  9.0 7/1 
Into overdrive   8.8 8/1 
Big breakaway  8.5  18/1 
I think ground will play a big part ......top 2 go on soft/heavy  ....Having a go at big wins this year so I'm having 10pt ew doubles all top 3 here with top 2 in supreme (il etait temps ...marine national...11/2 13/2 )

My top 3 rated 
Corach rambler  9.0 7/1 
Into overdrive   8.8 8/1 
Big breakaway  8.5  18/1 
I think ground will play a big part ......top 2 go on soft/heavy  ....Having a go at big wins this year so I'm having 10pt ew doubles all top 3 here with top 2 in supreme (il etait temps ...marine national...11/2 13/2 )

soft at the moment or when i rated but will look tommorow..anythimg wins if heavy

See ....this is exactly what I was on about above ....natural tendency is to back the highest form horses so it'll be interesting to just see how this one plays out ...downside is ground is heavy so that adds another factor 

Only man o work ( already backed 10pts 15.0) ....djelo and Hardy de seuil left so That makes it easy I'll back all 3 and hope lady luck lends a hand ...lots of dangers though  
Edit ..got 16.0 on other two 

It's that lull before the storm of Cheltenham....but my friend said he's not managed to get the winner of the imperial cup in 9 years lol ....so has tasked me with breaking the hoo doo and try and fill the coffers before the fest 
Firstly ....we had to look at what's making it so hard ....looking at the race you just find the form horse ....lots of experience etc etc .....but nooooo.....if you look at previous winners of this race it always seems to be the hiding under a blanket ....probably hasn't shown anything or maybe won a lowly race ....in essence the usual winner improves 10lb on the day blitzing anything its done before so your looking for the proverbial unexposed superimprover 
So ....I tasked the computer to give small bonuses to horses that fitted the profiles of previous winners as well as having shown enough base form to be good enough to maybe win this if improving a bit and out of current 30 runners (only 22 will run ) it threw back the following 
Man o work 
Djelo 
Holetown hero 
Hardy de seuil
Nickle back 
Paramount 
Winner may be on this list ...maybe not .....but Computer is saying these 6 are the nearest horses holding the required level of form and fitting the profile of previous winners 
I can't narrow down any further .....I've had 10pt on man o war at 15.0 ....purely because one of my notes I made said watch out for a irish horse coup ( They seem to aim at this )...and his price looked a bit crazy ....as long as he runs ...
What I need is help trying to shorten this list  ....do anyone have any of these horses on their trackers or notebooks as potential big improvers or big race potentials ?????
 

It's that lull before the storm of Cheltenham....but my friend said he's not managed to get the winner of the imperial cup in 9 years lol ....so has tasked me with breaking the hoo doo and try and fill the coffers before the fest 
Firstly ....we had to look at what's making it so hard ....looking at the race you just find the form horse ....lots of experience etc etc .....but nooooo.....if you look at previous winners of this race it always seems to be the hiding under a blanket ....probably hasn't shown anything or maybe won a lowly race ....in essence the usual winner improves 10lb on the day blitzing anything its done before so your looking for the proverbial unexposed superimprover 
So ....I tasked the computer to give small bonuses to horses that fitted the profiles of previous winners as well as having shown enough base form to be good enough to maybe win this if improving a bit and out of current 30 runners (only 22 will run ) it threw back the following 
Man o work 
Djelo 
Holetown hero 
Hardy de seuil
Nickle back 
Paramount 
Winner may be on this list ...maybe not .....but Computer is saying these 6 are the nearest horses holding the required level of form and fitting the profile of previous winners 
I can't narrow down any further .....I've had 10pt on man o war at 15.0 ....purely because one of my notes I made said watch out for a irish horse coup ( They seem to aim at this )...and his price looked a bit crazy ....as long as he runs ...
What I need is help trying to shorten this list  ....do anyone have any of these horses on their trackers or notebooks as potential big improvers or big race potentials ?????
 

You'll enjoy this then Richard !
 

My top 2 rated for supreme 
Il etait temps   9.0  7.8 
Marine national   8.7  4/1 
It's early but odds will plummet the closer we get ....my idea of winner is il etait temps if he runs and I can't see why not  ....the way he won last time suggests more to come and Marine has a 100 day layoff to overcome which is a big negative  but I'll try 10 pt wins both ? 

My top 2 rated for supreme 
Il etait temps   9.0  7.8 
Marine national   8.7  4/1 
It's early but odds will plummet the closer we get ....my idea of winner is il etait temps if he runs and I can't see why not  ....the way he won last time suggests more to come and Marine has a 100 day layoff to overcome which is a big negative  but I'll try 10 pt wins both ? 

3rd and 4th good runs but no cigar ..ew money strike

Difficult today and my selections are in races with over 10 runners so I will only choose three races.
3.45 Leop Indie Belle 1 pt win at 5.2
3.55 Ffos Mr Craftsman 0.50 ew at 25/1
5.05 Ffos Walk In The storm 1 pt win at 8.4
Total stakes = 3 pts
Missed two winners 2.15 Wex Secret Rock from a tipster on a losing run of 13 and Le Tuer in the 2.25 at Hunt as I feared the Brigadier's Nap
Indie Bell very disappointing
4.55 Leop Birchdale 1 pt win at 5.0
4 points staked today 
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No winners today so - 4 points.  Makes my MTD -0.99 & YTD -96.26

ADEFILL remember the name.
Super king ran well for a debut on dirt but was unplaced.
But adefill got up from an impossible position which would suggest he's a group horse in waiting. As the commentator said " if you've tossed your ticket away go find it and go collect!!"

335 hunt 
The big lense  7.8 20/1 
Strike a pose   7.6  8/1 
Strange race .....only 8 runners but computer is telling me to back 20/1 outsider of the 8 .....I'll play along and back top 2 ew as they must be value 
5pt ew both 
 

335 hunt 
The big lense  7.8 20/1 
Strike a pose   7.6  8/1 
Strange race .....only 8 runners but computer is telling me to back 20/1 outsider of the 8 .....I'll play along and back top 2 ew as they must be value 
5pt ew both 
 

335 hunt 
The big lense  7.8 20/1 
Strike a pose   7.6  8/1 
Strange race .....only 8 runners but computer is telling me to back 20/1 outsider of the 8 .....I'll play along and back top 2 ew as they must be value 
5pt ew both 
 

2nd and 1st ....nearly a double ....and ew 4th raffertys .....overall 70pt return ...outlay 48v....22pt profit .....I'll take that ?

Colonel ew 2nd ...close