Racing Chat-Tuesday 14th March.(Cheltenham Day 1)

Tedthewolf · March 13

2.50 CH- .5 e/w THE WOLF 40/1 corals bog 5places- .5 e/w ICEO MADRIK 50/1 Bet 365 bog 6places. 2pts invested P/L 1.22pts

The wolf has been running well enough and is on a nice low weight now while the pipe horse having first run since arriving from france could be anything some decent runs in decent races over there the softer gound the better both very big prices and worth e/w bets imho.

Edited March 13 by Tedthewolf

Zilzalian · March 13

Date needs changing on this thread @MCLARKE

Wildgarden · March 13

4 day ACCA cheltenham

Wildgarden · March 13

Will be on singles too

Zilzalian · March 13

A Different View From a Quirky Eye.

130 (4 places bet365)

Of the shorter prices I think it would be foolish to assume Facile Vega ran a race last time out so is the obvious winner to these eyes however if connections have sorted its quirks out I think High Definition is a good ew play of the English runners I prefer Strong Leader at the prices. Footnote after I wrote this I notice it has been cut from 50/1 to 25/1. Remember these are novices.

210 (3 places)

Again bear in mind that these are novices, Jonbon beat El Fabiolo and I always think that the loser has more to prove than the winner so Jonbon of the shorter prices, at the bigger prices I think Straw Fan Jack is well overpriced at 100/1.

250 (6 places bet365)

For me is a pin sticker other than Corach Rambler who's connections were lucky to get away with schooling in public last time out, 2nd fav for the grand national this one stands out to me. Cloudy Glen at 20/1 is a good price for the EW.

330.

Even these eyes can see Constitution Hill but we all know what can happen so no bet for me

410.

Some people will kick themselves silly if Honeysuckle wins this at the 4/1 on offer at the time of writing.

450 (6 places)

I think we are looking for a couple of EW chances in this and I will put up two with an addendum. Shared 50/1 has done little wrong and Ludus 33/1 for shrewdie Elliott, Oddly enough both my selections are ex Roger Charlton Horses, I initially suggested a bet on another ex Charlton horse in Amir Kabir also trained by Elliot but that one is a no show. The addendum is that Jessica Harrington has only brought 4 horses to the festival so Mighty Mo Missouri is also worth a consideration.

520 (3 places)

We shouldn't fear one horse but I don't see the fav as particularly strong to be odds on, it loses far more than it wins but we have amateur Jockeys so who knows, Codd (chemical energy) has a great record in this type of race but im going to risk a few small sheckles on Coolvalla 22/1 and Bellatrixsa 100/1 at these prices.

Whatever you pick and whatever you bet on I hope you have a good and enjoyable day.

richard-westwood · March 13

3 hours ago, Tedthewolf said:

2.50 CH- .5 e/w THE WOLF 40/1 corals bog 5places- .5 e/w ICEO MADRIK 50/1 Bet 365 bog 6places. 2pts invested P/L 1.22pts

The wolf has been running well enough and is on a nice low weight now while the pipe horse having first run since arriving from france could be anything some decent runs in decent races over there the softer gound the better both very big prices and worth e/w bets imho.

Yes I'm on the wolf ew ....I think he's overpriced .....

LEE-GRAYS · March 14

Little lucky 31

Offramp · March 14

This is an outstanding month. I watched the French hammer the Sassenachs at Twickers. Then the Paddies beat the Jocks in a tough match at Murrayfield.

I am going to be 60 at the end of this month, and 3 close friends from school have birthdays mid-March.

I have two first cousins who have their 60th birthday about now; all O'Briens. I have a feeling that this is going to be a great meeting.

Today I have a strong feeling for MISTER COFFEY in the 17:30.

kensland · March 14

Cheltenham

Singles.

1.30. Chasing Fire 28/1

£1 ew.

2.25. Happygolucky 16/1

£1 ew.

Good luck all

jonjo · March 14

Some at prices from over the water; Good luck on day one whatever you do.

The Goffer (IRE)	2.50 Cheltenham	18/1
Top Ville Ben (IRE)	2.50 Cheltenham	33/1
Brandy Love (IRE)	4.10 Cheltenham	8/1
Echoes In Rain (FR)	4.10 Cheltenham	10/1

Tekao (FR)	4.50 Cheltenham	100/30

Doctor Bravo (FR)	1.30 Cheltenham	18/1
Facile Vega (IRE)	1.30 Cheltenham	2/1
Il Etait Temps (FR)	1.30 Cheltenham	5/1
Inthepocket	1.30 Cheltenham	10/1
Marine Nationale (IRE)	1.30 Cheltenham	5/1
Echoes In Rain (FR)	4.10 Cheltenham	10/1
Honeysuckle	4.10 Cheltenham	11/4
Queens Brook (IRE)	4.10 Cheltenham	22/1
Shewearsitwell (IRE)	4.10 Cheltenham	28/1
Byker (IRE)	4.50 Cheltenham	9/1
Ludus	4.50 Cheltenham	33/1
Mighty Mo Missouri (IRE)	4.50 Cheltenham	33/1
Risk Belle (FR)	4.50 Cheltenham	14/1
Sir Allen	4.50 Cheltenham	14/1

Alley Cat Glover · March 14

At home for the racing all week, actually going on Friday, so Lucky 15 to hopefully get some money back.

1.30 Dark Raven 28/1 4 places at B365 (hopefully softer going will be a plus won’t be far away from Inthepocket which was my choice for the Bally)

2.50 Nassalam 9/1 6 places (Soft ground going for the step up to bring improvement, some Cheltenham form)

4.50 Risk Belle 12/1 6 places (Lottery I think something will be well in somewhere question of finding it, run in high company)

5.30 Tenzing 9/1 in the last race again soft going and distance get see the fav being beat but got to try

jonjo · March 14

1 hour ago, Offramp said:

This is an outstanding month. I watched the French hammer the Sassenachs at Twickers. Then the Paddies beat the Jocks in a tough match at Murrayfield.

I am going to be 60 at the end of this month, and 3 close friends from school have birthdays mid-March.

I have two first cousins who have their 60th birthday about now; all O'Briens. I have a feeling that this is going to be a great meeting.

Today I have a strong feeling for MISTER COFFEY in the 17:30.

A 'Sassenach;' is actually a Scotsman! It was the name given by the Highlanders to the Lowanders of Scotland all those years ago.

maxironchin · March 14

14.50 Cloudy Glen 3pt EW.

Ground, distance and type of race all suit. The selection would appear to be be the best of Ms Williams ' three runners in this race. It's the type of race she trains her horses for.

black rabbit · March 14

Top Ville Ben 2 50 Chl/ 1/40th of a pt ew 40/1

Brandy Love 4 10 Chl/ 1/10th of a pt win 10/1

Afadil 4 50 Chl/ 1/40th of a pt win 25/1

Samuel Spade 4 50 Chl/ 1/40th of a pt win 22/1

Zilzalian · March 14

Super boost Constitution Hill to 1/1 constitutes a free bet doesn't it? 🙂

Budgie 65 · March 14

14 hours ago, richard-westwood said:

Yes I'm on the wolf ew ....I think he's overpriced .....

oli bell the morning line likes the wolf and hes good

Budgie 65 · March 14

1 minute ago, Zilzalian said:

Super boost Constitution Hill to 1/1 constitutes a free bet doesn't it? 🙂

if i had grand id bang it on

azzybear · March 14

doctor bravo 1.30 ew tea clipper 2.50 ew Vauban 3.30 zanahyir 3.30 ew

azzybear · March 14

yup backed 2 ew in the 3.30

azzybear · March 14

shewearsitwell 4.10 ew

MCLARKE · March 14

1 hour ago, Budgie 65 said:

if i had grand id bang it on

Max bet of £10 I'm afraid, still a cracking bet though

harry_rag · March 14

1 hour ago, Zilzalian said:

Super boost Constitution Hill to 1/1 constitutes a free bet doesn't it? 🙂

On that to the tenner allowed. Also on (allowed somewhat less) the evens for any Irish trained winner on day one at evens with Betway. Boosted from 1/100 apparently!

MinellaWorksop · March 14

Thanks to @MCLARKE and his excellent trends articles. I have decided to pick four favourites each day and stick them in six £1 doubles.

I used an initial shortlist of the top two forecast horses in each race and rated them on Michael's trends of which out of the 14 points he mentions there were 9 positive points and 5 negative points here's how the shortlist scored. Final score in brackets