salmonman

Easy weekend I'd say  I work for bookies and this guy at our place had two giant winning accas, one 345/1 and another 990/1. Unbelievable.

Love the price on Newcastle, shocked the bookies have Southampton as favourites even with Shelvey injured, Merino is a good player. I'm on Newcastle 0AH at 1.95 with betvictor as there is a pretty good chance of a draw, cant see Newcastle losing though.

Scores from last 'mini season'

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New Divisions

              

If anyone has any reason not to back Man City tonight I'd love to hear it. After Sundays cup final it looks pretty much nailed on.

2/1 with betway, think there's value in that, Im thinking 3-1 Man City

RB Leipzig v Porto

In the last gameweek I opposed RB Leipzig on what was their maiden away match in European competition - however I can find a few reasons to support them as they return to home surroundings;
The graphic below contains some information about when German sides have hosted Portuguese sides in UEFA competitions since 2011/12. The first thing that jumps out is the German sides have a record of 9-2-2 in 13 meetings. The second thing that jumps out is that only twice in those 13 meetings have the German side been available at odds against. 

Looking back at matches played last season (matches 2 and 3) Dortmund were priced at 2/7 and 2/5 to beat Benfica and Sporting respectively. Starting with the Portuguese sides I hink it's a fair assumption to make that there isn't too much between Benfica, Porto and Sporting, so if Dortmund were playing one of those sides tomorrow I'd expect to see them around 4/11 or 1/3. Last season Leipzig finished above Dortmund and they won away in Dortmund this past weekend and over the past year there isn't too much between them on my shots ratings with Dortmund being slightly favoured, I still think Dortmund are a better side the RB Leipzig but I don't think they are being paid enough respect here - I think they should be odds on.

Since 2011/12 German teams at home in UEFA competitions have a record of 79-35-36, Portuguese teams have a record away from home of 29-34-62



Bet

RB Leipzig to win @ 21/20 bet365

i have to go on birmingham tonight. cardiff are hanging on the by a thread and their form is bound to slip especially in this away game. they even failed to score at home against derby last time. if that's not a hint then i don't know what is. the motivation is with birmingham and i think a reaction to heavy 6-1 defeat will be fresh in their minds. i just can't see birmingham not picking up at least a point tonight. calling it 1-0 to hosts

I'll try and post these here at regular intervals... shot ratings for the Championship, League One, League Two, Scottish Premiership, Scottish Championship, Scottish League One & Scottish League Two;

All teams have payed 7 matches...

@jamiedavies02
I am a dunce when it comes to stats, is it possible to explain what the various categories are in your table?

Mayweather may be a little old, but come on! He has done this his entire life, his body still a punching machine, and his defense abilities hasn't gone away. He's untouchable, I don't think he'll let Mc gregor win for rematch and more money, the guy is swimming in money already, he must have a damn money pool at home. 

MAIN Tipsters section here
https://forum.punterslounge.com/forum/235-football-tipster-challenge-competition/
 
Just reply below to register your interest.
Basic details are there will be eight divisions with mini seasons within a full UK/European season (possibly extending to all year round with other leagues). There will be promotions and relegation each mini season, with cash more weighted in the top divisions giving motivation to get promoted and stay there.  
Rules Here
Prizes
Prizes
First Season: (all divisions) Pay first three  £50, £20, £10

Seasons 2,3 & 4:
Div 1: £70, £45, £25
Div 2: £60, £40, £20
Div 3: £50, £30, £20
Div 4: £40, £25, £15
Div 5: £35, £25 (2 Places)
Div 6: £30, £20 (2 Places)
Div 7: £25, £15 (2 Places)
Div 8: £20, £10 (2 Places)

Is someone going to ban this prick?
 

I know right! Should be more like 1 million to 1!

€200 to €10,000 Betting Log
Thread betting guidelines
Football bets only.
I will assign an estimated win percentage for each bet.
I will choose the best price from a range of bookmakers: Bet365 | BetFred | BetVictor | Paddy Power | Stan James | Ladbrokes | Coral | William Hill
Each bet stake will be for 5%, 10% or 15% of the current bank amount.
*Should the betting log be completed successfully I will donate €500 of the winnings to Concern Worldwide - a charity that works with the world’s poorest people to transform their lives.

I will kick the betting log off with the game of the week, Liverpool v Arsenal, which could have a big bearing on the Champions League places in the English Premier League.
Starting Balance: €200
English Premier League
Liverpool v Arsenal
Bet: Both Teams To Score @ 1.67 Paddy Power
Estimated Win Percentage: 74.4%
Stake €20

Hope a few of you guys got on this. 2.5 for them to qualify!? It's now at 1.21.
Add in the odds you could find Juve at and the ridiculous odds on Madrid tonight and it's fair to say the bookies have taken a pounding this round! 

I dont think its ah, +1 ah is 1.33 best price

At those odds, you have to back Port Vale. Value with a capital V.

Newcastle 1.79 to beat Birmingham, Newcastle are much better away from home with a record of 13W, 3D, 3L, Birmingham have been very poor since Zola's appointment with a record of 2W, 5D, 11L. I think 1.79 for Newcastle is a very back able price.

nice one , I had the same nearly apart from the roma game was BTTS and had Monchengladbach to win , they fell apart!

Besiktas
Roma
Anderlecht
Genk vs Gent BBTS
 
6.84

Think Stevenage at 3.6 are a decent price away to Blackpool. Stevenage are in very good form going undefeated in there last 9 matches winning 8 of them, they've also won half of there away matches so far this season. Blackpool are also in decent form only losing once in there last 12 however have drawn 8, there home record reads 6w, 8d, 3l, 30f, 19a. I think Stevenage +0.5 at 1.81 is a very good bet.

Not a fan of historic H2H at all, i only look at the last H2H, unless both teams have had the same managers for a while then its a lot more important imo. I also agree with Icongene in saying that Barnsley are good value, you can get DNB at 2.80 with 888sport!