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** April Poker League Result : 1st Like2Fish, 2nd McG, 3rd andybell666 **

opole

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  1. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Boxing Tips: April/May/June 2019   
    Keith Hunter by Decision or Technical Decision @5.50 Redzone 4/10
    Robert Parzeczewski by Decision or Technical Decision @3.65 5dimes 5/10
    Two solid bets for the weekend. Hunter dropped to 2.5-2.3 but i think we've got more value on the decision bet. His opponent is crafty and strong and i doubt Hunter will stop him. But Hunter has big advantage in terms of height & reach so i can see him outboxing the Uzbek who is nothing special by the way. 
    Parzeczewski should beat Chudinov who looked shot in his recent fights but Chudinov still a tough and solid opponent and odds on decision are way too high here. Chudinov only stopped by Eubank Jr who is definitely hitting harder than Parzeczewski. 
  2. Like
    opole got a reaction from MaliMisko12 in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Monte Carlo qualification
    Mischa Zverev vs. Julian Ocleppo @3.35 Pinnacle 8/10
    Zverev in horrendous form and shape. Looked horrible vs. Daniel in Marrakech. Clay was always his worst surface. Don't see him winning many matches next few weeks. Might cash out some bigger tournaments though and looking forward to grass court. I doubt you can make him a favorite right now vs any decent claycourt player out there. Ocleppo looking solid enough to take advantage of Zverevs bad form. Ocleppo once was a good prospect, beat guys like Auger-Aliassime or Yibing Wu as a junior for example.
  3. Thanks
    opole got a reaction from DrO in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Monte Carlo qualification
    Mischa Zverev vs. Julian Ocleppo @3.35 Pinnacle 8/10
    Zverev in horrendous form and shape. Looked horrible vs. Daniel in Marrakech. Clay was always his worst surface. Don't see him winning many matches next few weeks. Might cash out some bigger tournaments though and looking forward to grass court. I doubt you can make him a favorite right now vs any decent claycourt player out there. Ocleppo looking solid enough to take advantage of Zverevs bad form. Ocleppo once was a good prospect, beat guys like Auger-Aliassime or Yibing Wu as a junior for example.
  4. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Don't see that tbh. Bryan bros looking good recently and their record in Houston is strong. But good luck. 
  5. Like
    opole got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    I like Skupski/Skupski @ 2.25 5dimes 6/10 in Houston later this evening.
    Opponents are Chardy / Martin. Chardy lost in singles to Garin and he'll play in Monte Carlo next week. He's still focusing on singles and i can see him being happy losing today in doubles so he can be in MC on Saturday or Sunday. Big +++ here is that he's playing with his friend Martin. Those doubles combos always having some "unwritten rules" to follow if one player has to leave early for another tournament. Martin might get the full prize money without splitting it. 
  6. Sad
    opole got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Yes and cherry on the top is Kokkinakis gave a Walkover today in the next round hahahaha....
  7. Like
    opole got a reaction from South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    I like Skupski/Skupski @ 2.25 5dimes 6/10 in Houston later this evening.
    Opponents are Chardy / Martin. Chardy lost in singles to Garin and he'll play in Monte Carlo next week. He's still focusing on singles and i can see him being happy losing today in doubles so he can be in MC on Saturday or Sunday. Big +++ here is that he's playing with his friend Martin. Those doubles combos always having some "unwritten rules" to follow if one player has to leave early for another tournament. Martin might get the full prize money without splitting it. 
  8. Like
    opole reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    I took raja/nedu team in dubs opole
  9. Like
    opole got a reaction from Stevecw in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    I like Skupski/Skupski @ 2.25 5dimes 6/10 in Houston later this evening.
    Opponents are Chardy / Martin. Chardy lost in singles to Garin and he'll play in Monte Carlo next week. He's still focusing on singles and i can see him being happy losing today in doubles so he can be in MC on Saturday or Sunday. Big +++ here is that he's playing with his friend Martin. Those doubles combos always having some "unwritten rules" to follow if one player has to leave early for another tournament. Martin might get the full prize money without splitting it. 
  10. Like
    opole got a reaction from Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    I like Skupski/Skupski @ 2.25 5dimes 6/10 in Houston later this evening.
    Opponents are Chardy / Martin. Chardy lost in singles to Garin and he'll play in Monte Carlo next week. He's still focusing on singles and i can see him being happy losing today in doubles so he can be in MC on Saturday or Sunday. Big +++ here is that he's playing with his friend Martin. Those doubles combos always having some "unwritten rules" to follow if one player has to leave early for another tournament. Martin might get the full prize money without splitting it. 
  11. Like
    opole got a reaction from erny86 in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    Giulio Zeppieri vs. Thanasi Kokkinakis @6.50 5dimes 4/10
    Kokkinakis missed last three months due to same shoulder injury he had years ago. He was hitting the practice courts again in February but his shoulder didn't react well to the stress so he missed another two months because of that. Now he's starting at clay and we'll see how his shoulder react in a competitive match. He will be rusty for sure and i doubt we gonna see him playing near his best in the next few weeks. Considering clay was his worst surface (1-4 record since 2016) since having a good run on it in 2015 i am not even betting against him because of the clay. Fact is we don't know how his shoulder reacts here and his opponent is for real, Zeppieri is one of the biggest prospects in Italy right now behind Lorenzo Musetti who is also playing the tournament. 
  12. Like
    opole got a reaction from aussietennisexpert in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    H2H between Pablo and Delbonis is malicious.
    5-0 Pablo only tells the half of the story.
    Delbonis was up a set and a break in the last three encounters and he regained some momentum, form and confidence after having a good run in Miami + he usually plays very good in Morocco (won the tournament in Marrakech in 2016). He was struggling a lot with the lefty serve in the past vs. Delbonis IMO and it was probably PRIME Pablo who had those problems....
    Now Pablo is getting old. You can see that He was struggling with athletic players who let him run a lot like Martinez Portero or Domingues and he played two full weeks (10 matches in 12 days, only three days off in last two weeks).
    I think this is a bit of a trap: Andujar defending title + 5-0 H2H....i would not bet on Pablo here tbh. I would wait for inplay odds and then deciding what to bet after seeing Andujar on court. Could be literally deadly tired and looking awful. 
  13. Like
    opole got a reaction from Robinnho in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    H2H between Pablo and Delbonis is malicious.
    5-0 Pablo only tells the half of the story.
    Delbonis was up a set and a break in the last three encounters and he regained some momentum, form and confidence after having a good run in Miami + he usually plays very good in Morocco (won the tournament in Marrakech in 2016). He was struggling a lot with the lefty serve in the past vs. Delbonis IMO and it was probably PRIME Pablo who had those problems....
    Now Pablo is getting old. You can see that He was struggling with athletic players who let him run a lot like Martinez Portero or Domingues and he played two full weeks (10 matches in 12 days, only three days off in last two weeks).
    I think this is a bit of a trap: Andujar defending title + 5-0 H2H....i would not bet on Pablo here tbh. I would wait for inplay odds and then deciding what to bet after seeing Andujar on court. Could be literally deadly tired and looking awful. 
  14. Like
    opole got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 8 - April 14   
    we've got interesting prospect playing in murcia tomorrow.
    carlos lopez montagud born 200km away from murcia, had some good success in murcia last month on itf tour level where he reached the semifinal and lost to alvaro lopez san martin in three sets. lopez san martin beat bagnis this week in alicante. looked also like a great prospect.
    his opponent is roberto ortega-olmedo who is more adapted to hardcourt, he didn't do much on clay last year. he looks in bad shape in monterrey vs young, i think he was a bit off because he didn't play for few weeks recently.
    i think lopez montagud could be a living dog here, i am risking a bet on him
    carlos lopez montagud @3.15 5dimes 4/10
  15. Like
    opole got a reaction from aussietennisexpert in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    solid day in the office. ouahab lost a close match in three sets but fiona ganz saved me with a nice bagel in the final set. she's looking like a decent prospect. odds dropped to 1.4 on her, the opening odds were absolutely unreal. 
    we've got interesting prospect playing in murcia tomorrow.
    carlos lopez montagud born 200km away from murcia, had some good success in murcia last month on itf tour level where he reached the semifinal and lost to alvaro lopez san martin in three sets. lopez san martin beat bagnis this week in alicante. looked also like a great prospect.
    his opponent is roberto ortega-olmedo who is more adapted to hardcourt, he didn't do much on clay last year. he looks in bad shape in monterrey vs young, i think he was a bit off because he didn't play for few weeks recently.
    i think lopez montagud could be a living dog here, i am risking a bet on him
    carlos lopez montagud @3.15 5dimes 4/10
  16. Like
    opole got a reaction from Stevecw in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    solid day in the office. ouahab lost a close match in three sets but fiona ganz saved me with a nice bagel in the final set. she's looking like a decent prospect. odds dropped to 1.4 on her, the opening odds were absolutely unreal. 
    we've got interesting prospect playing in murcia tomorrow.
    carlos lopez montagud born 200km away from murcia, had some good success in murcia last month on itf tour level where he reached the semifinal and lost to alvaro lopez san martin in three sets. lopez san martin beat bagnis this week in alicante. looked also like a great prospect.
    his opponent is roberto ortega-olmedo who is more adapted to hardcourt, he didn't do much on clay last year. he looks in bad shape in monterrey vs young, i think he was a bit off because he didn't play for few weeks recently.
    i think lopez montagud could be a living dog here, i am risking a bet on him
    carlos lopez montagud @3.15 5dimes 4/10
  17. Like
    opole got a reaction from Torque in Boxing Tips: April/May/June 2019   
    Claressa Shields @ 1.25 various books 10/10
    Not quite on womens boxing and obviously the prize doesn't look great BUT....
    For me it's great parlay material and i expect Shields to drop next few days.
    IMO Shields will win that definitely. She will land the eye catching power shots. Hammer isn't bad, she's really good moving boxer with nice footwork but she lacks power AND output to trouble. Shields will fighting at home and she will land the bombs on Hammer, american judges like that and so i really can't see how Hammer will be able to win even close rounds as Shields will win them by simply landing the harder shots. Shields received some favorable decisions in the past and i doubt it'll be different this time. Considering she was 1.00 or 1.01 in the past this 1.25 looks great to mix some 1.6xxx odds with that.
    I know not the best prize but value isn't always at the higher odds. I give Shields about 90-95% to win. I don't think Hammer can win any kind of decision here in the US with her style and the 5-10% on her are a lucky punch which ko's Shields. I don't think that happens but a small % is always given.

    Good luck anyway. I'll take Shields in several parlays.
  18. Like
    opole got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Boxing Tips: April/May/June 2019   
    Keith Hunter won by Split decision 
    Good win! Odds were totally off 
  19. Like
    opole got a reaction from South_African_Punter in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    ATP Marrakech qualification
    Lamine Ouahab vs. Adrian Menendez-Maceiras @2.34 Pinnacle 5/10
    SPaniard in a slump for months now, he didn't do much on clay over the last years...Ouahab will go full beast mode here i think, had a good weekend in Marrakech in Davis Cup winning one single match and one doubles match losing only the second singles rubber vs. tricky Berankis...Ouahab should be fav here! Nice matchup for him, MM has nothing to hurt him on clay.
  20. Like
    opole got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    ATP Marrakech qualification
    Lamine Ouahab vs. Adrian Menendez-Maceiras @2.34 Pinnacle 5/10
    SPaniard in a slump for months now, he didn't do much on clay over the last years...Ouahab will go full beast mode here i think, had a good weekend in Marrakech in Davis Cup winning one single match and one doubles match losing only the second singles rubber vs. tricky Berankis...Ouahab should be fav here! Nice matchup for him, MM has nothing to hurt him on clay.
  21. Like
    opole got a reaction from SkillzThatKillz in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    ATP Marrakech qualification
    Lamine Ouahab vs. Adrian Menendez-Maceiras @2.34 Pinnacle 5/10
    SPaniard in a slump for months now, he didn't do much on clay over the last years...Ouahab will go full beast mode here i think, had a good weekend in Marrakech in Davis Cup winning one single match and one doubles match losing only the second singles rubber vs. tricky Berankis...Ouahab should be fav here! Nice matchup for him, MM has nothing to hurt him on clay.
  22. Thanks
    opole got a reaction from aussietennisexpert in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    we're good here, galdos/varillas won 75 62
  23. Like
    opole got a reaction from Stevecw in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    we're good here, galdos/varillas won 75 62
  24. Thanks
    opole got a reaction from DrO in Poland. II Liga 2018/19   
    2-1ft for skraaaa woooon 
  25. Like
    opole got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 1 - April 7   
    we're good here, galdos/varillas won 75 62
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