neilovan

Gotta say that JHB is a bit chilly, when compared to the Northern hemisphere at this time (16c), but it is good to be home. Life is far from terrible here! Between the jet lag and them eating too much in America, and I do feel slightly toxic. Will take a week for the body to adjust. 

So finally back from the USA.
Quite strange to watch Wimbledon and the French Open from there, with the time difference. 
For me , Lajovic should be well beaten by Musetti in Hamburg. Musetti just too good on clay, while Lajovic has lost 10 of his last 12 clay court matches.  Will take it onto two low priced favorites.  Molcan to beat Topo and Krecikova to beat Lamens.  The 3 legged parlay should give about 12 to 10 which is a decent medium staked bet for me.
 
In play I do like Peterson who is a set and a break up and is 1.7 to 10.

I watched the 1st set tie breaker and Zverev really didn't do a lot wrong. Nadal simply played 4 or 5 ridiculous points, that were so good it was insane. The one point with the crazy dig on the backhand followed by a running cross court pass was probably the best point of the tournament. I watched 1 rally that was 42 shots which was also off the charts. Nadal to beat Medvedev in Australia was a far bigger task than having to beat a 1st time finalist on his favorite surface.
Zverev, being tall was able to hit his two handed backhand though the Nadal hook/topspin. It's a very tricky shot, but you need height, great footwork, and must take the ball on the rise. This nullified Nadal's forehand. Ruud simply does not have the ability to do this, and Nadal will grind his backhand into the ground. The Nadal forehand to the Ruud backhand will determine the outcome, and I expect Ruud to have very few answers.
 

A lot going on here, so my first post in a while. 
Been watching a lot of the tennis, but is tough because the matches start East coast time (6am). My feeling is that Zverev didn't play a great match. Alcaraz gave it away.  He just started so badly, with so many unforced, stupid mistakes. Had about 7 after 2 games.
I think the Swiatek v Kasatkina match is just one way traffic. Kasatkina just can't hurt anyone on the court. Steady, not making mistakes, high looping shots, probably plays right into Swiatek's game. Her serve is a liability ... Kudermetova actually ate it for breakfast, but has a nothing serve herself (on clay).  Cannot see beyond a straight sets victory for Swiatek, in what should be a 1 sided spanking. Probably 2 and 2 or 2 and 3. If Kasatkina suffers some nerves, and Swiatek gets the momentum this one could be embarrassing.
Trevisian has a decent chance against Gauff. Has to pressure the Gauff forehand and hope she has a slight nerves/off day. I have a strange feeling someone runs away with the 1st set here and then it gets tight and close.
I can't access my betting account so no bets for a week,  

A lot going on here, so my first post in a while. 
Been watching a lot of the tennis, but is tough because the matches start East coast time (6am). My feeling is that Zverev didn't play a great match. Alcaraz gave it away.  He just started so badly, with so many unforced, stupid mistakes. Had about 7 after 2 games.
I think the Swiatek v Kasatkina match is just one way traffic. Kasatkina just can't hurt anyone on the court. Steady, not making mistakes, high looping shots, probably plays right into Swiatek's game. Her serve is a liability ... Kudermetova actually ate it for breakfast, but has a nothing serve herself (on clay).  Cannot see beyond a straight sets victory for Swiatek, in what should be a 1 sided spanking. Probably 2 and 2 or 2 and 3. If Kasatkina suffers some nerves, and Swiatek gets the momentum this one could be embarrassing.
Trevisian has a decent chance against Gauff. Has to pressure the Gauff forehand and hope she has a slight nerves/off day. I have a strange feeling someone runs away with the 1st set here and then it gets tight and close.
I can't access my betting account so no bets for a week,  

A lot going on here, so my first post in a while. 
Been watching a lot of the tennis, but is tough because the matches start East coast time (6am). My feeling is that Zverev didn't play a great match. Alcaraz gave it away.  He just started so badly, with so many unforced, stupid mistakes. Had about 7 after 2 games.
I think the Swiatek v Kasatkina match is just one way traffic. Kasatkina just can't hurt anyone on the court. Steady, not making mistakes, high looping shots, probably plays right into Swiatek's game. Her serve is a liability ... Kudermetova actually ate it for breakfast, but has a nothing serve herself (on clay).  Cannot see beyond a straight sets victory for Swiatek, in what should be a 1 sided spanking. Probably 2 and 2 or 2 and 3. If Kasatkina suffers some nerves, and Swiatek gets the momentum this one could be embarrassing.
Trevisian has a decent chance against Gauff. Has to pressure the Gauff forehand and hope she has a slight nerves/off day. I have a strange feeling someone runs away with the 1st set here and then it gets tight and close.
I can't access my betting account so no bets for a week,  

A lot going on here, so my first post in a while. 
Been watching a lot of the tennis, but is tough because the matches start East coast time (6am). My feeling is that Zverev didn't play a great match. Alcaraz gave it away.  He just started so badly, with so many unforced, stupid mistakes. Had about 7 after 2 games.
I think the Swiatek v Kasatkina match is just one way traffic. Kasatkina just can't hurt anyone on the court. Steady, not making mistakes, high looping shots, probably plays right into Swiatek's game. Her serve is a liability ... Kudermetova actually ate it for breakfast, but has a nothing serve herself (on clay).  Cannot see beyond a straight sets victory for Swiatek, in what should be a 1 sided spanking. Probably 2 and 2 or 2 and 3. If Kasatkina suffers some nerves, and Swiatek gets the momentum this one could be embarrassing.
Trevisian has a decent chance against Gauff. Has to pressure the Gauff forehand and hope she has a slight nerves/off day. I have a strange feeling someone runs away with the 1st set here and then it gets tight and close.
I can't access my betting account so no bets for a week,  

A lot going on here, so my first post in a while. 
Been watching a lot of the tennis, but is tough because the matches start East coast time (6am). My feeling is that Zverev didn't play a great match. Alcaraz gave it away.  He just started so badly, with so many unforced, stupid mistakes. Had about 7 after 2 games.
I think the Swiatek v Kasatkina match is just one way traffic. Kasatkina just can't hurt anyone on the court. Steady, not making mistakes, high looping shots, probably plays right into Swiatek's game. Her serve is a liability ... Kudermetova actually ate it for breakfast, but has a nothing serve herself (on clay).  Cannot see beyond a straight sets victory for Swiatek, in what should be a 1 sided spanking. Probably 2 and 2 or 2 and 3. If Kasatkina suffers some nerves, and Swiatek gets the momentum this one could be embarrassing.
Trevisian has a decent chance against Gauff. Has to pressure the Gauff forehand and hope she has a slight nerves/off day. I have a strange feeling someone runs away with the 1st set here and then it gets tight and close.
I can't access my betting account so no bets for a week,  

A lot going on here, so my first post in a while. 
Been watching a lot of the tennis, but is tough because the matches start East coast time (6am). My feeling is that Zverev didn't play a great match. Alcaraz gave it away.  He just started so badly, with so many unforced, stupid mistakes. Had about 7 after 2 games.
I think the Swiatek v Kasatkina match is just one way traffic. Kasatkina just can't hurt anyone on the court. Steady, not making mistakes, high looping shots, probably plays right into Swiatek's game. Her serve is a liability ... Kudermetova actually ate it for breakfast, but has a nothing serve herself (on clay).  Cannot see beyond a straight sets victory for Swiatek, in what should be a 1 sided spanking. Probably 2 and 2 or 2 and 3. If Kasatkina suffers some nerves, and Swiatek gets the momentum this one could be embarrassing.
Trevisian has a decent chance against Gauff. Has to pressure the Gauff forehand and hope she has a slight nerves/off day. I have a strange feeling someone runs away with the 1st set here and then it gets tight and close.
I can't access my betting account so no bets for a week,  

Amazing, I think Radacanu is the biggest fluke in woman's tennis. I back her opponents all the time. Today I don't and Sasnovich cleans her up 1 and 1 in the last 2 sets ?
 
Two bets I like today would be Baez to probably win a set against Zverev and cover the +6.5 handicap. They were very close at the Italian Open, and I am hoping that Baez will play those close points better this time.
I think Korda is gonna lose to Gasquet. The French crowds have been very vocal, got Gaston over the line yesterday. I think it will boost Gasquet, who is playing deceptively well.

Amazing, I think Radacanu is the biggest fluke in woman's tennis. I back her opponents all the time. Today I don't and Sasnovich cleans her up 1 and 1 in the last 2 sets ?
 
Two bets I like today would be Baez to probably win a set against Zverev and cover the +6.5 handicap. They were very close at the Italian Open, and I am hoping that Baez will play those close points better this time.
I think Korda is gonna lose to Gasquet. The French crowds have been very vocal, got Gaston over the line yesterday. I think it will boost Gasquet, who is playing deceptively well.

Thanks, I'm ready and packed.
Hopefully the rest of the French is very profitable for everyone ?

Thanks, I'm ready and packed.
Hopefully the rest of the French is very profitable for everyone ?

Thanks, I'm ready and packed.
Hopefully the rest of the French is very profitable for everyone ?

It's annoying, but the whole thing is not a sprint. It is one endless bet, where if you apply an edge, over time you will be in profit. Very much like poker. In the short term anything can happen.
I probably won't post tomorrow or Thurs. Off to the USA for 6 weeks vacation. Should be good but 16 hours in cattle class row 48 could be brutal. Just need a huge person next to me and a screaming baby to top it off ?

It's annoying, but the whole thing is not a sprint. It is one endless bet, where if you apply an edge, over time you will be in profit. Very much like poker. In the short term anything can happen.
I probably won't post tomorrow or Thurs. Off to the USA for 6 weeks vacation. Should be good but 16 hours in cattle class row 48 could be brutal. Just need a huge person next to me and a screaming baby to top it off ?

It's annoying, but the whole thing is not a sprint. It is one endless bet, where if you apply an edge, over time you will be in profit. Very much like poker. In the short term anything can happen.
I probably won't post tomorrow or Thurs. Off to the USA for 6 weeks vacation. Should be good but 16 hours in cattle class row 48 could be brutal. Just need a huge person next to me and a screaming baby to top it off ?

It's annoying, but the whole thing is not a sprint. It is one endless bet, where if you apply an edge, over time you will be in profit. Very much like poker. In the short term anything can happen.
I probably won't post tomorrow or Thurs. Off to the USA for 6 weeks vacation. Should be good but 16 hours in cattle class row 48 could be brutal. Just need a huge person next to me and a screaming baby to top it off ?

It's annoying, but the whole thing is not a sprint. It is one endless bet, where if you apply an edge, over time you will be in profit. Very much like poker. In the short term anything can happen.
I probably won't post tomorrow or Thurs. Off to the USA for 6 weeks vacation. Should be good but 16 hours in cattle class row 48 could be brutal. Just need a huge person next to me and a screaming baby to top it off ?

I like the Garcia pick. Gotta factor in the crowd which will give her a lift and hopefully get her over the line.

Play about to start so will have to be brief. After Nadal and Djokovic got good wins yesterday, Alcaraz has drifted and so I'm now going to back him. Tsitsipas has also drifted so I'm going to put a bit more on him. There's only one match I like which is Garcia to beat Townsend. She hasn't played since Miami but tends to come alive here, so I think she's worth taking a risk on. Finally I'm taking one short odds treble of Sonego, Rublev and Carreno-Busta. Not much to say about that except they should all get the job done, maybe not in straight sets but I'll be surprised if they don't all win.
 
15pts Alcaraz to win ATP French Open @ 3.94 Betfair Exchange
10pts Tsitsipas to win ATP French Open @ 7.08 Betfair Exchange
15pts Garcia to beat Townsend @ 2.50 365
10pts Sonego (vs. Gojowczyk) x Rublev (vs. Kwon) x Carreno-Busta (vs. Simon) @ 1.25 365

Only 3 low priced matches today;
5/24/2022  de Minaur v H Gaston             A de Minaur   0.16 5/24/2022  Collins v Tomova             Collins   0.12 5/24/2022  Pegula v Q Wang             Pegula, Jessica 0.2 Collins is very good on clay and I expect her to win easily. I would be going for the Collins win and under 18.5 games which is even money on bet365. I will also take in form Claire Lui to win against Zidansek and take these two as a double (2.0*1.8) -1 = 2.6 to 1.
In another upset I think Mayer Sherif beats Marta Kostyuk. Kostyuk all over the place, inconsistent, with the Ukrainian war occupying her mind at the moment.
Looking at how Wang has been beaten on clay, the serve is definitely weak. Will also take Pegula -5 handicap.
 
 

Only 3 low priced matches today;
5/24/2022  de Minaur v H Gaston             A de Minaur   0.16 5/24/2022  Collins v Tomova             Collins   0.12 5/24/2022  Pegula v Q Wang             Pegula, Jessica 0.2 Collins is very good on clay and I expect her to win easily. I would be going for the Collins win and under 18.5 games which is even money on bet365. I will also take in form Claire Lui to win against Zidansek and take these two as a double (2.0*1.8) -1 = 2.6 to 1.
In another upset I think Mayer Sherif beats Marta Kostyuk. Kostyuk all over the place, inconsistent, with the Ukrainian war occupying her mind at the moment.
Looking at how Wang has been beaten on clay, the serve is definitely weak. Will also take Pegula -5 handicap.
 
 

Rain delay is brutal. Laaksonen on a roll and stopped. Begu on a roll and stopped. Very annoying.

Rain delay is brutal. Laaksonen on a roll and stopped. Begu on a roll and stopped. Very annoying.