neilovan

I think you could add Konteveit to the list. She played like a zoombie.

In the men's not many surprises on the cards on a day where most results look straight forward. 
Watched the Cilic v Norrie match, and even though Norrie was injured, Cilic just hit the ball incredibly well. Played with a smile on his face and really enjoyed himself. It was so atypical, but was a joy to watch. You can see that he is a nice person. Was a purple patch, and if he plays like that again he is almost unbeatable ... he was that good! Maybe just a strange combination of the right surface, balls, mental state, temp, bio rhythms. Some of his backhands were amazing!
For me Wawrinka may just be out of gas against Novak, and I would be tempted to go Djoko in straight sets. 2 wins back to back may just be too much physically, emotionally and mentally. The odds of 1.21 are pretty poor though.
Shapavalov could take a set off Nadal (he did last year), when Nadal won a very close match, so I am tempted to go over 19.5 games which has odds of 2. I think the left hander v left hander nullifies Nadal's hook to the 'backhand' side and creates unusual problems for him. For me probably the best value bet of the day at even money.
I refuse to back Ruud who has dropped the ball as a favorite just too often for me (1.2 against Lajovic, 1.3 against van de Zandschulp, 1.4 against Carreno-Busta all lost from the 22nd April to now). He is not in form and not value at such low odds.  
The only real question here is how to get the max out of a day in which the favorites are going to win almost all the matches? Open to suggestions... 
I am probably taking Zverev, SInner, Tsitsipas, Djokovic 2:0, Nadal Over 19.5, as one medium sized bet which should be around 3.7 to 1 .
In the WTA Swiatek plays Azarenka which should be a straight forward win. Swaitek, defending champion, who seems to love it in Rome. Hard to forget her 6-0 6-0 demolition of Pliskova in the final last year. Would be going for the straight sets win for Swiatek here (odds around 1.4) or the under 20 games (6-4 6-3 score).
Sakkari played Gauff last year in this tournament (a strange match of 6-1 sets). I think she has improved and is a better player this year. Serve is a weapon now, miles better than last year. Has Gauff's game developed as much? I don't think so and expect a Sakkari win here.
I will also take a treble of Collins to beat Anisimova, Tiechmann to beat Rybakina and Swiatek under 20 games. I feel that Tiechmann is very suited for clay. Moves well, serves well and could just be too physical for Rybakina, who is over-reliant on her serve. Rybakina also moves poorly, especially on clay.  If Collins can get the better of Halep, she has a very good chance against Anisimova, especially with another match played. 
For me the Sabalenka, Teichmann, Anisimova matches are all gonna be close. All 6 players are playing well, and I find it almost impossible to call winners here. Again not sure what to do. Maybe one has to be betting over game totals?
 
 

I think you could add Konteveit to the list. She played like a zoombie.

In the men's not many surprises on the cards on a day where most results look straight forward. 
Watched the Cilic v Norrie match, and even though Norrie was injured, Cilic just hit the ball incredibly well. Played with a smile on his face and really enjoyed himself. It was so atypical, but was a joy to watch. You can see that he is a nice person. Was a purple patch, and if he plays like that again he is almost unbeatable ... he was that good! Maybe just a strange combination of the right surface, balls, mental state, temp, bio rhythms. Some of his backhands were amazing!
For me Wawrinka may just be out of gas against Novak, and I would be tempted to go Djoko in straight sets. 2 wins back to back may just be too much physically, emotionally and mentally. The odds of 1.21 are pretty poor though.
Shapavalov could take a set off Nadal (he did last year), when Nadal won a very close match, so I am tempted to go over 19.5 games which has odds of 2. I think the left hander v left hander nullifies Nadal's hook to the 'backhand' side and creates unusual problems for him. For me probably the best value bet of the day at even money.
I refuse to back Ruud who has dropped the ball as a favorite just too often for me (1.2 against Lajovic, 1.3 against van de Zandschulp, 1.4 against Carreno-Busta all lost from the 22nd April to now). He is not in form and not value at such low odds.  
The only real question here is how to get the max out of a day in which the favorites are going to win almost all the matches? Open to suggestions... 
I am probably taking Zverev, SInner, Tsitsipas, Djokovic 2:0, Nadal Over 19.5, as one medium sized bet which should be around 3.7 to 1 .
In the WTA Swiatek plays Azarenka which should be a straight forward win. Swaitek, defending champion, who seems to love it in Rome. Hard to forget her 6-0 6-0 demolition of Pliskova in the final last year. Would be going for the straight sets win for Swiatek here (odds around 1.4) or the under 20 games (6-4 6-3 score).
Sakkari played Gauff last year in this tournament (a strange match of 6-1 sets). I think she has improved and is a better player this year. Serve is a weapon now, miles better than last year. Has Gauff's game developed as much? I don't think so and expect a Sakkari win here.
I will also take a treble of Collins to beat Anisimova, Tiechmann to beat Rybakina and Swiatek under 20 games. I feel that Tiechmann is very suited for clay. Moves well, serves well and could just be too physical for Rybakina, who is over-reliant on her serve. Rybakina also moves poorly, especially on clay.  If Collins can get the better of Halep, she has a very good chance against Anisimova, especially with another match played. 
For me the Sabalenka, Teichmann, Anisimova matches are all gonna be close. All 6 players are playing well, and I find it almost impossible to call winners here. Again not sure what to do. Maybe one has to be betting over game totals?
 
 

In the men's not many surprises on the cards on a day where most results look straight forward. 
Watched the Cilic v Norrie match, and even though Norrie was injured, Cilic just hit the ball incredibly well. Played with a smile on his face and really enjoyed himself. It was so atypical, but was a joy to watch. You can see that he is a nice person. Was a purple patch, and if he plays like that again he is almost unbeatable ... he was that good! Maybe just a strange combination of the right surface, balls, mental state, temp, bio rhythms. Some of his backhands were amazing!
For me Wawrinka may just be out of gas against Novak, and I would be tempted to go Djoko in straight sets. 2 wins back to back may just be too much physically, emotionally and mentally. The odds of 1.21 are pretty poor though.
Shapavalov could take a set off Nadal (he did last year), when Nadal won a very close match, so I am tempted to go over 19.5 games which has odds of 2. I think the left hander v left hander nullifies Nadal's hook to the 'backhand' side and creates unusual problems for him. For me probably the best value bet of the day at even money.
I refuse to back Ruud who has dropped the ball as a favorite just too often for me (1.2 against Lajovic, 1.3 against van de Zandschulp, 1.4 against Carreno-Busta all lost from the 22nd April to now). He is not in form and not value at such low odds.  
The only real question here is how to get the max out of a day in which the favorites are going to win almost all the matches? Open to suggestions... 
I am probably taking Zverev, SInner, Tsitsipas, Djokovic 2:0, Nadal Over 19.5, as one medium sized bet which should be around 3.7 to 1 .
In the WTA Swiatek plays Azarenka which should be a straight forward win. Swaitek, defending champion, who seems to love it in Rome. Hard to forget her 6-0 6-0 demolition of Pliskova in the final last year. Would be going for the straight sets win for Swiatek here (odds around 1.4) or the under 20 games (6-4 6-3 score).
Sakkari played Gauff last year in this tournament (a strange match of 6-1 sets). I think she has improved and is a better player this year. Serve is a weapon now, miles better than last year. Has Gauff's game developed as much? I don't think so and expect a Sakkari win here.
I will also take a treble of Collins to beat Anisimova, Tiechmann to beat Rybakina and Swiatek under 20 games. I feel that Tiechmann is very suited for clay. Moves well, serves well and could just be too physical for Rybakina, who is over-reliant on her serve. Rybakina also moves poorly, especially on clay.  If Collins can get the better of Halep, she has a very good chance against Anisimova, especially with another match played. 
For me the Sabalenka, Teichmann, Anisimova matches are all gonna be close. All 6 players are playing well, and I find it almost impossible to call winners here. Again not sure what to do. Maybe one has to be betting over game totals?
 
 

What I meant to say was "can any of the above matches win?" 

Two top players make their starts in the Tournament tomorrow. Badosa and Konteveit.
Badosa has the game to win this tourn, especially now that her serve is improving. You can see it in the serve break stats, and they are getting better. Serving is not just getting the ball in, but understanding where your opponent is going to return the ball (if it comes back). It's like playing chess. You need to be a couple of moves ahead, and then you can start playing to patterns that suite your strengths. At this point you start to become more proactive, playing aggressive 1st strike tennis. Badosa has too much game for Sasnovich here.
Konteveit just looked burned out and exhausted in her last few matches. A decent break at home, chilling and recharging the batteries does not hurt, and was exactly what was needed. For me, Martic gets overpowered and blown off the court here.
Halep plays Collins, and I think it will be Collins first match in Europe this Summer. So not yet match ready (in my opinion), or acclimatized. I think this rust, helps Halep get over the line here.
In the WTA in Paris Claire Lui plays Anastasia Gasanova and I think that game is a pretty easy one sided victory. Lui was a world #1 junior and she is going places. Which this space!
I will take all four as a quad legged bet..
I'm not sure that Zverev can just brush off his demolition in Spain last week (it's only 3 days ago). That was a proper beating, and it has to bruise the mind. Baez will look at that and be thinking 'hey, I can do that to him as well'. Baez is a tough youngster, and I would be going over 20 games here, with a small bet.
Gotta be going with Wawrinka to beat Djere.  Young players and players coming back from injury suffer from the same thing. Inconsistency! But Stan can definitely bring it, even though he does not look to be in the greatest of shape (but that is his body type). I thought that Coric could have beaten Djere but he also showed some weakness, which is expected on the comeback trail. Again not a huge bet.
Carreno-Busta just has too much for Khackanov on clay, and I expect the Spaniard to have a regulation win. For me a double with Wawrinka at odds around 3.5 to 1 is fair enough.

Two top players make their starts in the Tournament tomorrow. Badosa and Konteveit.
Badosa has the game to win this tourn, especially now that her serve is improving. You can see it in the serve break stats, and they are getting better. Serving is not just getting the ball in, but understanding where your opponent is going to return the ball (if it comes back). It's like playing chess. You need to be a couple of moves ahead, and then you can start playing to patterns that suite your strengths. At this point you start to become more proactive, playing aggressive 1st strike tennis. Badosa has too much game for Sasnovich here.
Konteveit just looked burned out and exhausted in her last few matches. A decent break at home, chilling and recharging the batteries does not hurt, and was exactly what was needed. For me, Martic gets overpowered and blown off the court here.
Halep plays Collins, and I think it will be Collins first match in Europe this Summer. So not yet match ready (in my opinion), or acclimatized. I think this rust, helps Halep get over the line here.
In the WTA in Paris Claire Lui plays Anastasia Gasanova and I think that game is a pretty easy one sided victory. Lui was a world #1 junior and she is going places. Which this space!
I will take all four as a quad legged bet..
I'm not sure that Zverev can just brush off his demolition in Spain last week (it's only 3 days ago). That was a proper beating, and it has to bruise the mind. Baez will look at that and be thinking 'hey, I can do that to him as well'. Baez is a tough youngster, and I would be going over 20 games here, with a small bet.
Gotta be going with Wawrinka to beat Djere.  Young players and players coming back from injury suffer from the same thing. Inconsistency! But Stan can definitely bring it, even though he does not look to be in the greatest of shape (but that is his body type). I thought that Coric could have beaten Djere but he also showed some weakness, which is expected on the comeback trail. Again not a huge bet.
Carreno-Busta just has too much for Khackanov on clay, and I expect the Spaniard to have a regulation win. For me a double with Wawrinka at odds around 3.5 to 1 is fair enough.

Two top players make their starts in the Tournament tomorrow. Badosa and Konteveit.
Badosa has the game to win this tourn, especially now that her serve is improving. You can see it in the serve break stats, and they are getting better. Serving is not just getting the ball in, but understanding where your opponent is going to return the ball (if it comes back). It's like playing chess. You need to be a couple of moves ahead, and then you can start playing to patterns that suite your strengths. At this point you start to become more proactive, playing aggressive 1st strike tennis. Badosa has too much game for Sasnovich here.
Konteveit just looked burned out and exhausted in her last few matches. A decent break at home, chilling and recharging the batteries does not hurt, and was exactly what was needed. For me, Martic gets overpowered and blown off the court here.
Halep plays Collins, and I think it will be Collins first match in Europe this Summer. So not yet match ready (in my opinion), or acclimatized. I think this rust, helps Halep get over the line here.
In the WTA in Paris Claire Lui plays Anastasia Gasanova and I think that game is a pretty easy one sided victory. Lui was a world #1 junior and she is going places. Which this space!
I will take all four as a quad legged bet..
I'm not sure that Zverev can just brush off his demolition in Spain last week (it's only 3 days ago). That was a proper beating, and it has to bruise the mind. Baez will look at that and be thinking 'hey, I can do that to him as well'. Baez is a tough youngster, and I would be going over 20 games here, with a small bet.
Gotta be going with Wawrinka to beat Djere.  Young players and players coming back from injury suffer from the same thing. Inconsistency! But Stan can definitely bring it, even though he does not look to be in the greatest of shape (but that is his body type). I thought that Coric could have beaten Djere but he also showed some weakness, which is expected on the comeback trail. Again not a huge bet.
Carreno-Busta just has too much for Khackanov on clay, and I expect the Spaniard to have a regulation win. For me a double with Wawrinka at odds around 3.5 to 1 is fair enough.

Two top players make their starts in the Tournament tomorrow. Badosa and Konteveit.
Badosa has the game to win this tourn, especially now that her serve is improving. You can see it in the serve break stats, and they are getting better. Serving is not just getting the ball in, but understanding where your opponent is going to return the ball (if it comes back). It's like playing chess. You need to be a couple of moves ahead, and then you can start playing to patterns that suite your strengths. At this point you start to become more proactive, playing aggressive 1st strike tennis. Badosa has too much game for Sasnovich here.
Konteveit just looked burned out and exhausted in her last few matches. A decent break at home, chilling and recharging the batteries does not hurt, and was exactly what was needed. For me, Martic gets overpowered and blown off the court here.
Halep plays Collins, and I think it will be Collins first match in Europe this Summer. So not yet match ready (in my opinion), or acclimatized. I think this rust, helps Halep get over the line here.
In the WTA in Paris Claire Lui plays Anastasia Gasanova and I think that game is a pretty easy one sided victory. Lui was a world #1 junior and she is going places. Which this space!
I will take all four as a quad legged bet..
I'm not sure that Zverev can just brush off his demolition in Spain last week (it's only 3 days ago). That was a proper beating, and it has to bruise the mind. Baez will look at that and be thinking 'hey, I can do that to him as well'. Baez is a tough youngster, and I would be going over 20 games here, with a small bet.
Gotta be going with Wawrinka to beat Djere.  Young players and players coming back from injury suffer from the same thing. Inconsistency! But Stan can definitely bring it, even though he does not look to be in the greatest of shape (but that is his body type). I thought that Coric could have beaten Djere but he also showed some weakness, which is expected on the comeback trail. Again not a huge bet.
Carreno-Busta just has too much for Khackanov on clay, and I expect the Spaniard to have a regulation win. For me a double with Wawrinka at odds around 3.5 to 1 is fair enough.

Just for the match starting now between Auger Aliasimme and Davidovich Fokina. Fokina can more than match Felix physically, and I think he wins a close one. I think Felix has such a limited game. It's stand on the baseline and hit it as hard as possible, which just won't win matches against tough physical opponents. He needs to develop a drop shot (ala Alcaraz), and a little more finesse,  which will open up the court and set his game up. At the moment I don't think his is capable of doing this, so I give the edge to Davidovich here.

Two totally inform players today. Jessica Pegula going up against Samsonova should be very comfortable.  Pegula making the final in Madrid, should have too much clay court prowess.
Second match is Alexandrova to beat Stephens. Stephens knocked out 1st round in Madrid,  Alexandrova with a great run in Madrid and with excellent form. My 3rd low priced match of the day is Jabeur to beat Cirstea. At this stage Jabeur and Swiatek are probably the best two woman's clay court players.
Will take these three as a treble.
If I had too go longer shot I do like Bronzetti to beat Osario. Nothing much between them in the rankings and results and I tend to go with the longer odds in these matches.
I think Andreescu beats Radacanu. Radacanu just so over hyphed after a US Open that was beyond anything imaginable. Yet her current form is lousy. Quite interesting her comments on Alcaraz, where she said his 'consistency' is amazing. It is something that seems very elusive for her at this moment. Radacanu probably guilty of overthinking it, but she really has no coaching base or real guidance. She won is the US but there was no real method to the madness.
One guy I would not touch with a bargepole is Casper Ruud. He has had a terrible clay court Summer so far. I think his record is 4-4 and he is up against Botic who beat him in straight sets at Bavarian open (7-5  6-1). Would def be going with van de Zandschulp here.
Also think Pedro Martinez is worth a shout against Sinner. That is a seriously good player, with excellent fitness and ball striking. Would be going over 20.5 games here, in what could be an upset or very close match.

Two totally inform players today. Jessica Pegula going up against Samsonova should be very comfortable.  Pegula making the final in Madrid, should have too much clay court prowess.
Second match is Alexandrova to beat Stephens. Stephens knocked out 1st round in Madrid,  Alexandrova with a great run in Madrid and with excellent form. My 3rd low priced match of the day is Jabeur to beat Cirstea. At this stage Jabeur and Swiatek are probably the best two woman's clay court players.
Will take these three as a treble.
If I had too go longer shot I do like Bronzetti to beat Osario. Nothing much between them in the rankings and results and I tend to go with the longer odds in these matches.
I think Andreescu beats Radacanu. Radacanu just so over hyphed after a US Open that was beyond anything imaginable. Yet her current form is lousy. Quite interesting her comments on Alcaraz, where she said his 'consistency' is amazing. It is something that seems very elusive for her at this moment. Radacanu probably guilty of overthinking it, but she really has no coaching base or real guidance. She won is the US but there was no real method to the madness.
One guy I would not touch with a bargepole is Casper Ruud. He has had a terrible clay court Summer so far. I think his record is 4-4 and he is up against Botic who beat him in straight sets at Bavarian open (7-5  6-1). Would def be going with van de Zandschulp here.
Also think Pedro Martinez is worth a shout against Sinner. That is a seriously good player, with excellent fitness and ball striking. Would be going over 20.5 games here, in what could be an upset or very close match.

Two totally inform players today. Jessica Pegula going up against Samsonova should be very comfortable.  Pegula making the final in Madrid, should have too much clay court prowess.
Second match is Alexandrova to beat Stephens. Stephens knocked out 1st round in Madrid,  Alexandrova with a great run in Madrid and with excellent form. My 3rd low priced match of the day is Jabeur to beat Cirstea. At this stage Jabeur and Swiatek are probably the best two woman's clay court players.
Will take these three as a treble.
If I had too go longer shot I do like Bronzetti to beat Osario. Nothing much between them in the rankings and results and I tend to go with the longer odds in these matches.
I think Andreescu beats Radacanu. Radacanu just so over hyphed after a US Open that was beyond anything imaginable. Yet her current form is lousy. Quite interesting her comments on Alcaraz, where she said his 'consistency' is amazing. It is something that seems very elusive for her at this moment. Radacanu probably guilty of overthinking it, but she really has no coaching base or real guidance. She won is the US but there was no real method to the madness.
One guy I would not touch with a bargepole is Casper Ruud. He has had a terrible clay court Summer so far. I think his record is 4-4 and he is up against Botic who beat him in straight sets at Bavarian open (7-5  6-1). Would def be going with van de Zandschulp here.
Also think Pedro Martinez is worth a shout against Sinner. That is a seriously good player, with excellent fitness and ball striking. Would be going over 20.5 games here, in what could be an upset or very close match.

Two totally inform players today. Jessica Pegula going up against Samsonova should be very comfortable.  Pegula making the final in Madrid, should have too much clay court prowess.
Second match is Alexandrova to beat Stephens. Stephens knocked out 1st round in Madrid,  Alexandrova with a great run in Madrid and with excellent form. My 3rd low priced match of the day is Jabeur to beat Cirstea. At this stage Jabeur and Swiatek are probably the best two woman's clay court players.
Will take these three as a treble.
If I had too go longer shot I do like Bronzetti to beat Osario. Nothing much between them in the rankings and results and I tend to go with the longer odds in these matches.
I think Andreescu beats Radacanu. Radacanu just so over hyphed after a US Open that was beyond anything imaginable. Yet her current form is lousy. Quite interesting her comments on Alcaraz, where she said his 'consistency' is amazing. It is something that seems very elusive for her at this moment. Radacanu probably guilty of overthinking it, but she really has no coaching base or real guidance. She won is the US but there was no real method to the madness.
One guy I would not touch with a bargepole is Casper Ruud. He has had a terrible clay court Summer so far. I think his record is 4-4 and he is up against Botic who beat him in straight sets at Bavarian open (7-5  6-1). Would def be going with van de Zandschulp here.
Also think Pedro Martinez is worth a shout against Sinner. That is a seriously good player, with excellent fitness and ball striking. Would be going over 20.5 games here, in what could be an upset or very close match.

Two totally inform players today. Jessica Pegula going up against Samsonova should be very comfortable.  Pegula making the final in Madrid, should have too much clay court prowess.
Second match is Alexandrova to beat Stephens. Stephens knocked out 1st round in Madrid,  Alexandrova with a great run in Madrid and with excellent form. My 3rd low priced match of the day is Jabeur to beat Cirstea. At this stage Jabeur and Swiatek are probably the best two woman's clay court players.
Will take these three as a treble.
If I had too go longer shot I do like Bronzetti to beat Osario. Nothing much between them in the rankings and results and I tend to go with the longer odds in these matches.
I think Andreescu beats Radacanu. Radacanu just so over hyphed after a US Open that was beyond anything imaginable. Yet her current form is lousy. Quite interesting her comments on Alcaraz, where she said his 'consistency' is amazing. It is something that seems very elusive for her at this moment. Radacanu probably guilty of overthinking it, but she really has no coaching base or real guidance. She won is the US but there was no real method to the madness.
One guy I would not touch with a bargepole is Casper Ruud. He has had a terrible clay court Summer so far. I think his record is 4-4 and he is up against Botic who beat him in straight sets at Bavarian open (7-5  6-1). Would def be going with van de Zandschulp here.
Also think Pedro Martinez is worth a shout against Sinner. That is a seriously good player, with excellent fitness and ball striking. Would be going over 20.5 games here, in what could be an upset or very close match.

Really interesting to hear the buzz in the crowd. Atmosphere is electric. Lucky to have a ticket.

Two totally inform players today. Jessica Pegula going up against Samsonova should be very comfortable.  Pegula making the final in Madrid, should have too much clay court prowess.
Second match is Alexandrova to beat Stephens. Stephens knocked out 1st round in Madrid,  Alexandrova with a great run in Madrid and with excellent form. My 3rd low priced match of the day is Jabeur to beat Cirstea. At this stage Jabeur and Swiatek are probably the best two woman's clay court players.
Will take these three as a treble.
If I had too go longer shot I do like Bronzetti to beat Osario. Nothing much between them in the rankings and results and I tend to go with the longer odds in these matches.
I think Andreescu beats Radacanu. Radacanu just so over hyphed after a US Open that was beyond anything imaginable. Yet her current form is lousy. Quite interesting her comments on Alcaraz, where she said his 'consistency' is amazing. It is something that seems very elusive for her at this moment. Radacanu probably guilty of overthinking it, but she really has no coaching base or real guidance. She won is the US but there was no real method to the madness.
One guy I would not touch with a bargepole is Casper Ruud. He has had a terrible clay court Summer so far. I think his record is 4-4 and he is up against Botic who beat him in straight sets at Bavarian open (7-5  6-1). Would def be going with van de Zandschulp here.
Also think Pedro Martinez is worth a shout against Sinner. That is a seriously good player, with excellent fitness and ball striking. Would be going over 20.5 games here, in what could be an upset or very close match.

Really interesting to hear the buzz in the crowd. Atmosphere is electric. Lucky to have a ticket.

I disagree. When you are an elite athlete, and in your teens you have energy to burn. Alcaraz will recover quickly, and will be ready. Playing a final in front of his own fans, will make him close to unbeatable.  I think Alcaraz will cover the -2.5 easily, while Zverev could go through another racquet bashing episode.
 
People were wondering where the future of tennis would go ..., but Alcaraz is it. Very hard to not like him. Infectious smile and great attitude, and has been handled exceptionally well by Juan Carlos Ferrero.

I disagree. When you are an elite athlete, and in your teens you have energy to burn. Alcaraz will recover quickly, and will be ready. Playing a final in front of his own fans, will make him close to unbeatable.  I think Alcaraz will cover the -2.5 easily, while Zverev could go through another racquet bashing episode.
 
People were wondering where the future of tennis would go ..., but Alcaraz is it. Very hard to not like him. Infectious smile and great attitude, and has been handled exceptionally well by Juan Carlos Ferrero.

Not really sure how Tabener can be a favorite over Harris, giving his last clay court match. He has no really pedigree, and Harris should have too much for him, if he brings 3/4 of his game. Tabener just got slaughtered in his last outing and Harris is showing some of his ability, after a slow start to the year.
I don't really rate John Millman, and I think he also loses today (against Gerasimov). Just has a vanilla game and is on the wrong side of his career. Gerasimov coming into this match off a demolition (6-1, 6-1) over T Monteiro, and another win that included a 6-1 set over Cerundolo. Did Millman get in here as a lucky loser?

I think Busta will do to him what Tsitsipas did to Alcaraz to win the 2nd set in the previous  round. Just be very consistent and wear him down. Lol gotta love Tabenerer, gets destroyed 1 and 3. 

Comes the end of the week, and the betting just gets more difficult. Players get to  the semis for many reasons. A little luck, a hot streak, an opponent who played a really tough match earlier in the day etc. But whoever gets there deserves it, and it is very difficult to pick winners here, and make money.
Here Swiatek is basically unbackable. She was 1 to 100 yesterday versus Radacanu, and today is 7 to 100 against Samsonova. Really! That is not even a market. 
Even  looking at ATP Munich qualifying matches, there is not much happening there. Only match I like there is up and coming Jiri Lehecka to beat Dzumhur. Will take it in a treble, Badosa to beat Sabalenka and Djokovic to win the tournament outright in Serbia (1.75).

Probably only 4 contenders for the title. Alcaraz, Tsitsipas, Djokovic and Nadal. Just depends on how they get drawn, because Djoko is #1 and Medvedev 2, but are they really gonna seed Nadal #3?