Fedar
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13
Minyor - Chernomorets 0-1 Loko Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa 0-1 :cigar One last game tomorrow - the derby of the round between CSKA and Ludogorets in Sofia. Both teams are very messy and not in good shape, but while CSKA is alternating good and poor performances, Ludogorets are very stable and consistent - they have played very poor in every game in the spring so far. CSKA is priced at 2.35 in most bookies and this is way too high - at their own stadium, CSKA shouldn't be priced so high against any other team in the country, except for their arch-rivals Levski. Ludogorets, as I wrote, play very poor and they just struggle to create chances and score goals. 4 goals in 5 games, most of which against weak opposition, is just far too poor. For this game they have two importan absentees - both full-backs Minev and Keicara are suspended. These two guys have started 19 out of 20 total matches of Ludogorets this season, and their replacements will be players with very little experience. This will surely be a huge blow to Ludogerts and will offer CSKA many chances to explore on the flanks. CSKA also have one important absentee - Brazilian attacker and top-scorer of the team Platini is suspended. However, I definitely believe that the visitors absentees are of much bigger importance, because they don't have equal replacement. While Platini will be replaced by Kamburov, who despite being a bit older, has the reputation of the best goal-scorer in A PFG. Also Platini, as most Brazilians is a very moody player, who can be the best when in the right mood, but can also be a huge liability for his team when he "doesn't feel like playing". Another missing in CSKA is central defender Stoyanov, but this is actually one of the biggest advantages of CSKA and one of the main reason why I think they will win. Stoyanov hadn't been playing football for more than an year, when the new coach (supposedly closed friend of Stoyanov) decided that he will break the already established centre-defense couple and put Stoyanov as a starter. The outcome was that the best defense in Bulgaria before that turned into a complete joke and conceded whole 3 goals in the last game against Botev Vratsa. Fortunately, Stoyanov is sick (and maybe the coach was also influenced by the strong public uproar against his performance) and will miss this game, so I think CSKA defense will again return to its normal stable condition. CSKA @ 2.35 (William Hill)Loko Sofia - Slavia 1-0 FT :D Fat, tasty 2.50 coming in! Now, let's see what we got tomorrow: 1) Loko Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa Under 2.5 @ 2.10 (bet 365) 2) Minyor - Chernomorets Chernomorets @ 2.40 (bet 365) -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13
Loko Sofia - Slavia 1-0 FT :D Fat, tasty 2.50 coming in! Now, let's see what we got tomorrow: 1) Loko Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa No idea why the bookies insist on treating Loko Plovdiv like a heavy goal-scoring favorite, as they are clearly not so strong and definitely not so prolific up-front for nearly an year already. Here we got two of the most underish, tight and boring teams in the league playing each other, and still the price for under 2.5 is whole 2.10! Just look at the last games of both teams: - Loko Plovdiv went over 2.5 only once this spring (and this was away to Litex which is naturally very bound to overs opponent) in contrast to 4 under games. In the last ten games in A PFG they got 3 overs, only one of which happened at their stadium. Out of eleven home games of Loko Plovdiv, just three went over 2.5! - Botev Vratsa did had goal fests in the last two games - 13 goals scored in total, but don't get misled by this. Before that, they had 10 consecutive unders, starting from the game with Ludogorets (21.10.2012) and finishing at 10.03.2013 after 1:2 with Pirin. It is interesting that Botev Vratsa had 10 games this season which went under 1.5 goals and 4 goal-less games - more than any other team in the league. H2H, 2 out of three games between these two were under 2.5, only one finished with precisely three goals. Loko Plovdiv, who is rightly the favorite here, doesn't have the good and prolific goal-scorers they used to have in the recent past. Their current attackers are not experienced enough and aren't a big threat. I expect close and boring game, where Botev will be happy with a precious point, while Loko Plovdiv will be more than satisfied with a minimal victory. Under 2.5 @ 2.10 (bet 365) 2) Minyor - Chernomorets I backed Minyor last weekend not to lose at home and they barely escaped the defeat vs Loko Plovdiv. This time, however, Minyor will have to try harder to attack and aim at the three points, because draws are not going to take them out to safety zone. However, against them they have a team that loves to counter-attack, and a team which just won this weekend thus interrupting a black series of several consecutive defeats. Chernomorets were a very good and solid team in the autumn, but started the spring session in a nightmare fashion. After 4 consecutive defeats, they finally won on Saturday, and now they breath freely and without tension. I feel we are going to witness an upward trend in the following few games of Chernomorets. Minyor is definitely less classy than them, and as I expect Minyor will give it a go and try to win this one, Chernomorets will feel extremely comfortable doing counter-attacks in empty spaces. And let's not forget that Chernomorets are coached by a wonderful specialist - Dimitar Dimitrov, who is one of the best in the business in Bulgaria and should surely lift his team back up. At the current price, away win is totally worth the shot. Chernomorets @ 2.40 (bet 365)Loko Sofia @ 2.50 (bet365) -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Today the mid-week round in Bulgaria starts with the mini-derby of Sofia between Loko Sofia and Slavia. Last weekend I trusted Loko to get the victory away to Etar, but they finished with a draw, although according to reports, Loko were by far the better and dominant team. I continue to trust them and expect them to deliver, because they are a good team with many experienced players and a good coach, and they don't deserve their current place at the table.Their schedule in the spring hasn't been the most favorable, but I am certain they will gradually catch up with points, and I find it very likely that they start it by winning today. Realistically, the motivation level of both teams is completely different. Slavia is stuck in the middle of the table and is mainly concerned about the national cup tournament where they qualified for the semi-finals. Loko, on the other hand, needs desperately points in order to save themselves in the elite. I totally expect Loko to offer a very harsh battle to this game, to which Slavia most likely won't be mentally prepared to respond. Last but not least, these two teams are known to have been involved in a few very questionable games between each other in the recent past. The owners of these clubs haven't changed since then, so I don't exclude the possibility that this game also isn't completely fair. And if this assumption actually turns true, then almost certainly Lokomotiv will be the team to benefit from any arrangement (because they are the team in need). Of course, don't get me wrong - I am not basing my tip on such assumption of non-fairplay. I have exposed my argument as to why I believe Loko have very decent chances of winning this game and is totally worth at 2.50. The possibility of some sort of arrangement, is only an extra argument in favor of backing Lokomotiv. Loko Sofia @ 2.50 (bet365)
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Re: Manchester United v Manchester City > Mon 8th April
I am sorry, mate, but have you checked the table lately or you, by mistake, wanted to post this one year earlier?! Man United has got 15 points advantage with only few games left to play. From what you wrote, one would think there is one or two points separating the two rivals. I don't think that either Untied have any worries about the title, nor that City have any aspirations for it any more. This is going to be purely a game of honor and prestige. And I can assure you that Alex Ferguson won't be "happy with the draw", but he will want more than anything his team to beat, and if possible, to humiliate their city rivals.This game is HUGE. Manchester needs to avoid defeat to stay on course for the 20th title. Citeh desperately needs to win to keep their dreams alive of retaining the championship. There is everything to play for, everything to win, and everything can be lost here. This will be a tense encounter where every mistake could turn the championship tide in favour of the mighty reds or even the blues. With Manchester still holding a commanding lead in the championship table, I think Fergie will be quite happy to take a draw here. He'll pack the midfield and look to throttle the life out of Citeh. With the stakes so high, I definitely don't see many goals here. The pressure will be just too much to see an open and exciting game. It will be much like last season's final league encounter which Citeh edged 1-0. But this time, I can see United getting the 0-0 they wanted a year ago to leave Citeh far away from retaining the championship. My Picks: Correct Score: 0-0 Over/Under 2.5 goals: Under -
Re: Bundesliga > 5th - 7th April
So, we should play over 2.5, right?! :rollin Very sorry for off-topic!Well they are starving' date=' and that could be reason for [b']them to attack randomly at any time. -
Re: La Liga > 5th - 8th April
:notworthyHallo. Plez excose my anglesh, as I am from foreign cuntry. I like football bet in espange as i enjoy to be taking moneys off book macer. for me i like to put many on Mallorca as it is is they who have higher energy and happier team because barcelona is not so happy at his moment. Also for me barcelona are very hungry for champion lig and mallorcas wants to be happy in the la lgga as they henjoy there foot in spain division highest. so my first bet will be mallorca -1 as they are more hungry and happy. Sacondly i like the odd of Messi to score a hat rick because he hurt his leg against Pgs during the champion lig adventure and now he isthirstly to notbe asore and to score many goal, for this reason i will make fre moanys off the book macer. Finally i like the odd of barcelona 3 Mallorca 5 as the score at end of match as both teams enjoy to score goal and make fan happy. like ALSO Victor valdes to get a yellow card today as he is not happy and is angry because PGS score 2 goals against him and this makes him angry . thanks you -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13
Etar - Loko Sofia 2:2 :\ Minyor - Loko Plovdiv 1:1 :) Not so good today.1). Etar - Lokomotiv Sofia Loko Sofia @ 2.55 2.Minyor - Loko Plovdiv Minyor or Draw @ 1.80 (Marathon) -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 Bookies seem to have done good job this weekend and cut-off most profiting opportunities. Hariton is right that Litex have some important problems before visiting Ludogorets, but I personally wouldn't touch home win at 1.85, given that Litex plays the best football and the moment and Ludogorets is very much out of shape. My two tips for this round are: 1). Etar - Lokomotiv Sofia I consider this the tip of the week and am fairly confident Loko will win this. It is an absolute must win for them if they want to survive (and this is a team with strong tradition which hasn't gone down for decades), they are in good form at the moment and have bright mood after defeating CSKA in the national cup. The match will be played at neutral venue in Sliven, so no home factor involved. Loko have better team than Etar, they are absolutely motivated, and as no home factor is involved, they must have at least 60% chance of winning here, which is way above the price assigned by bookies. Loko do have two important players suspended, but I don't think this will be decisive. Etar, together with Minyor, are the two worst teams in the league. They are a very weird case, as their owners are Turks, almost all their players are non-Bulgarians (however, not classy ones, but just some guys from lower level and amateur leagues), they play their "home" games at neutral venues, the supporters of Etar in Veliko Turnovo actually hate this team and its current owners and don't support them. Etar changed practically all their squad during the winter and showed some improvement over the first few games, but they will definitely go down. I also question their motivation for this game, especially in comparison with Loko's, as their players are non-Bulgarian, most of them will be probably leaving in the summer, and there's no support/pressure from the stands. Loko Sofia @ 2.55 2.Minyor - Loko Plovdiv I underestimated a lot Minyor because they got no salaries for months and most of their players from last season left the team. However, they do put up resistance and seem they are not such a bad team as I assumed. Their coach is decent, and I liked their performance in Sofia against CSKA last round. They play with strong fighting spirit, defend well (for the standards of the bottom of the league) and have some fast players up-front. Minyor are definitely not going to leave A PFG without fight. The match at home with Loko Plovdiv is mandatory for them to grab some points. I expect them to use a lot of aggression and engage in physical football with a lot of clashes and tackling. The weather is bad, and so will be the pitch, which is a factor in their advantage, as Loko is the more technical and less physical team. Loko is like a perfect opponent for Minyor at the moment, because they are stuck in the middle of the table and basically have nothing to play for. I strongly question their motivation for this game, as I expect Minyor to be very physical and aggressive, and don't feel that Loko Plovdiv is mentally prepared for a tough battle away from home, given their comfortable table position. I also don't feel that Loko will match the physical football of Minyor and risk injuries in a meaningless for them match. Yet, I am not taking straight home win, as Minyor are no world-beaters and definitely have problems scoring goals. But I think it is very unlikely they will lose this one, so will stick with double chance. Minyor or Draw @ 1.80 (Marathon)
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Re: Tottenham Hotspur v Everton > Sun 7th April And not to forget that Spurs performance yesterday was disastrous in any respect (including Bale). I agree that maybe they were conserving their energy for PL, but their defense was a complete joke, and a team with better finishing than Basel would have beaten Spurs with a few goals deference. Plus, their defenders and midfielders had big problems dealing with deep pressure exercised by Basel, and we all know that Everton do press deep in opposition's half. I personally feel Spurs will once again fail massively in the last part of the season and will miss Champions League, and think their regress will start this Sunday. Everton 4.33
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Re: Europa League > Thurs 4th April
As I follow Anzhi closely (for betting reasons), I should say that Anzhi's form has been terrible ever since the start of spring session. I don't know what you mean by "it was fine before Newcastle match" - before Newcastle, they played only two games with Hannover, managed to win the home tie (though Hannover are notoriously weak on the road this season) and were very close to elimination in the return leg. All the games of Anzhi in the Russian league has been a complete disaster so far. Having said that, I think this game is not worth playing. Benfica is definitely a stronger team and they are tremendous at home, but I think they will get a narrow victory (and 1.50 is not a good price if one feels it will be a narrow win).I think you're downplaying the Anzhi result a bit. Anzhi's form is poor now, but it was fine before the Newcastle match. Make no mistake, knocking Anzhi out was very impressive. -
Re: Real Madrid v Galatasaray SK > Wed 3rd April
:cigar Should have tried the correct scores as well....... All in all, I see an easy "2:0" or "3:0" home win. Real win to nil @ 1.90 (bet 365) -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13
CSKA - Loko Sofia 0-1 Litex - Levski 2-1 The good run continues! :) See you with more picks before the weekend.1/4 Finals for the Bulgarian Cup tomorrow. Here are my two tips: 1) CSKA - Lokomotiv Sofia Under 2.5 @ 2.20 (bet 365) 2. Litex - Levski Litex @ 2.20 (William Hill) -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 1/4 Finals for the Bulgarian Cup tomorrow. Here are my two tips: 1) CSKA - Lokomotiv Sofia First game finished 0:0. CSKA is without arguments the better side. However, I don't think they will win easily and without resistance. Lokomotiv Sofia so far has had only unders in the spring session - 5 games out of which 4 went under 1.5 and one - under 2.5. The result in the first leg leaves no doubt regarding Loko approach - they will park the bus and look to bring the game into extra time. They are team that possesses very physical and aggressive players, and despite that on overall the team under-performs, it is very difficult to score goals against them. CSKA have two key missings for this game. Brazilian midfielder Sacha and fullback Bandalovsky. Sacha is, in my view, the best midfielder in the team, and the one who's got vision and excellent passing. Bandalovsky, despite being nominally a defender, is one of the best dribblers in the team, and he is certainly far better and more dangerous up-front than his counter-part winger Priso. So, these two missings will have fundamental effect on CSKA attack. CSKA doesn't score a lot and most of their games are unders. Last Sunday, against the weakest team in the league, they barely managed to get over the 2.5 goals border. The team lacks creativity and feels much more comfortable when they play away from home and are left with more empty spaces to explore. Besides, during manager Radukanov's previous spell with the team, it was typical that CSKA would score more goals away from home than at their own stadium. Under 2.5 @ 2.20 (bet 365) 2. Litex - Levski William Hill offers the huge 2.20 price for home win which in my opinion is very good value (for instance, bet 365 gives only 2.0). Litex, under Hristo Stoichkov, are without any doubt the best playing team in Bulgaria at the moment. They also form the back-bone of the Bulgarian national team. Litex generally have excellent H2H against Levski in Lovech. The first game in Sofia was like one-way traffic where Litex entirely dominated their hosts which were lucky to score with their only good chance. This game was marked by a huge scandal after the ref disallowed a regular goal for Litex in the extra time. This caused huge public outburst and will most likely raise the tensions about this return leg. As a matter of fact, games between Litex and Levski, especially in Lovech, have been very tense and very charged, and the two teams have strong rivalry since mid 1990s. Levski are amidst total mess in the moment. The team plays very poorly and they failed to win in the last three games in the league. The media and supporters pressure on the manager and players is almost unbearable. The micro-climate in the dressing room is under question, as the captain of the team has been taken out of the squad for disciplinary motives, and there are reports that the team is split into groups, some of which supporting the manager, and others disapproving of him. The biggest problem for Levski, in my view, is that their team lacks aggression and doesn't have good fighting spirit. They are very soft and easily break-down under pressure. And to get good result in Lovech against extremely motivated and very well playing Litex, you need a team with strong character and spirit - something that Levski desperately misses. Litex @ 2.20 (William Hill)
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Re: Real Madrid v Galatasaray SK > Wed 3rd April It is really difficult to find a good perspective on this game, as I think bookies have done their homework and have locked most value opportunities very well. If we look only at stats, one would think there should be value on Galata on some sort of handicap. They lost only one out of four away games in CL - 1:0 at Old Trafford. Meanwhile, Real won two out of 4 at home, covering the -1.5 handicap only once - against Ajax. However, as I know very well both teams and have seen quite a lot of them this year, and with all due respect for Galata, I don't give them any chance to survive at Bernabeu. They are a decent team, but at least a class below Madrid, and what is crucial here - their defense is very weak for this stage of CL. I believe that a weaker team than Real can surprise them in Madrid only if they possess very good defense. And Galata's defense has been constantly exposed in the Turkish League, even against much lesser sides. Moreover, they are just not a defense-minded team and they cannot park the bus, which is the most reasonable tactics here. Nevertheless, bookies probably share similar reasoning to mine, thus they price home handicaps very low. 1.45 is a bit too low for a CL 1/4 finals. Hence, I will be looking for other markets where some sort of popular exaggeration might occur. I think such area is the away goal market. Indeed, Galata scored in all their away games and they have the hot-form Burak. Nevertheless, I think there is very good chance that Real wins this one without conceding for the following reasons: - Real's defense now is in excellent condition and have nothing to do with the same defense two months ago. All key players are available and in form, young Varane has turned into a super star within the last months and has build up huge composure and confidence. - Real might often leak an odd goal at home against lesser sides at Primera Division, but Mourinho's approach to CL knock-out is very pragmatic. He will surely be looking at a two-goal (at least), clean-sheet win. - Galata lacks speed in attack and on the wings. Their attack relies mostly on physics and gradual build-up. However, in my opinion, Real's defense at Bernabeu would be much more vulnerable against fast counter-attacking side like Borussia than a slower and physical side like Galata. The likes of Pepe, Ramos and Varane are very well-suited for physical encounters and are much more prone to errors against fast counter-attacking units. All in all, I see an easy "2:0" or "3:0" home win. Real win to nil @ 1.90 (bet 365)
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Re: FC Bayern München v Juventus > Tue 2nd April
In my view this percentages are more or less correct. Bayern's success rate at home in any competitions is striking. The loss to Arsenal bears very little relevance to this game. I think they have advantage over Juve in most departments, particularly in attack where their quality is by far superior. Just to remind to those who have forgotten - Bayern still haven't lost a single point in the Bundesliga in 2013! I have many arguments to say that Bundesliga is superior league to Serie A. If I was a bookie, I would definitely rate the chances of Bayern to win this game higher than those of a draw or Juve win combined. Yet, as I said, odds are correct so it means little to no value in home win. But I strongly disagree that the price on Juve is undeserved and too long. It's the normal price for a team that has less quality, is playing away from home, and that in the end may even end up being satisfied with a minimal loss in this leg. If I spot minimal value here, it is definitely in the goals market. Unders look way more likely to me, but bookies still price them around 1.90. At Marathon it is 2.0 at the moment, and this is a wonderful price. The game will be surely tight, and unless Juve takes the lead, I don't see any of the two teams over-exposing itself. Most likely results are 1:0 or 2:0 home wins. Under 2.5 @ 2.00 (Marathon)Percentage chance from Betfair odds Bayern 61% Draw 24% Juve 16% Where's the value? Do Bayern have more than a 61% chance of winning the game? Alternatively, do Juventus have more than a 40% chance of winning or drawing the game? Do Juve have more than a 16% chance of winning? -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13
Loko Sofia - Ludogorets 0-1 :nana After a sloppy start of the spring session, I am finding my shape now. I will deliver new tips for the upcoming Cup fixtures.2. Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Another game where the pitch condition will be key factor. The game is played at neutral venue in Svoge, which is probably the worst pitch in A PFG, which very surprisingly (and undeservedly) holds license for professional football. As I wrote, the weather is very bad, and it will make the conditions even worse for the more skillful and pro-active visiting teams. Loko Sofia are also fighting against serious relegation thread. In the last 8 games, they had 7 unders, and after the winter break all their 4 games have been unders (only 3 goals scored in total for these 4 games - less than a goal per game). Their tactic for this game needs no guessing - parking the bus and waiting for some chances on the break or after set pieces. Ludogorets themselves are in bad scoring form this season. All three games they played after the winter break went under 2.5, featuring just 4 goals in total. And two of these games were at home against outsiders. Ludogorets will have many difficulties scoring in this game, and if they do and take the lead, they will surely try to slow down the game and keep the score. Under 2.5 @ 1.70 -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13
Cherno More - Levski 1:1 :cow Good start, both bets coming in!So, in brief, my tips for the upcoming round: 1) Cherno More - Levski A bit short price on unders, but I would still take it, because I personally wouldn't price unders here higher than 1.35-1.40. The arguments are in the post above. I will also take another bet - double chance on home team. They lost only once to Levski in Varna in the last 6 games. They desperately need points from this game, because the relegation threat is immense. They are going to use any dirty tactics, and the bad pitch will be another home advantage, as they play physical and direct football, and Levski are definitely more technical. Cherno More's coach Georgi Ivanov is a former Levski player and manager, but he's got a serious personal conflict with the current director of Levski - Borimirov, and their coach - Iliev, so it will be an extra motivation for him. Levski are simply not good at the moment and the pressure upon them is too big, so they can hardly handle it. The micro-climate in the team is ruined, as their captain was taken out of the squad for indefinite period following last game's failure and he was publicly humiliated by the management. There are many infos about internal conflicts in the dressing room. The coach resigned but then decided to stay with the team, but I think that he has little authority in the dressing room and little respect among the supporters, and his days are counted. Cherno More or Draw @ 2.62 (bet365) Under 2.5 @ 1.65 (bet 365) -
Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 So, in brief, my tips for the upcoming round: 1) Cherno More - Levski A bit short price on unders, but I would still take it, because I personally wouldn't price unders here higher than 1.35-1.40. The arguments are in the post above. I will also take another bet - double chance on home team. They lost only once to Levski in Varna in the last 6 games. They desperately need points from this game, because the relegation threat is immense. They are going to use any dirty tactics, and the bad pitch will be another home advantage, as they play physical and direct football, and Levski are definitely more technical. Cherno More's coach Georgi Ivanov is a former Levski player and manager, but he's got a serious personal conflict with the current director of Levski - Borimirov, and their coach - Iliev, so it will be an extra motivation for him. Levski are simply not good at the moment and the pressure upon them is too big, so they can hardly handle it. The micro-climate in the team is ruined, as their captain was taken out of the squad for indefinite period following last game's failure and he was publicly humiliated by the management. There are many infos about internal conflicts in the dressing room. The coach resigned but then decided to stay with the team, but I think that he has little authority in the dressing room and little respect among the supporters, and his days are counted. Cherno More or Draw @ 2.62 (bet365) Under 2.5 @ 1.65 (bet 365) 2. Lokomotiv Sofia - Ludogorets Another game where the pitch condition will be key factor. The game is played at neutral venue in Svoge, which is probably the worst pitch in A PFG, which very surprisingly (and undeservedly) holds license for professional football. As I wrote, the weather is very bad, and it will make the conditions even worse for the more skillful and pro-active visiting teams. Loko Sofia are also fighting against serious relegation thread. In the last 8 games, they had 7 unders, and after the winter break all their 4 games have been unders (only 3 goals scored in total for these 4 games - less than a goal per game). Their tactic for this game needs no guessing - parking the bus and waiting for some chances on the break or after set pieces. Ludogorets themselves are in bad scoring form this season. All three games they played after the winter break went under 2.5, featuring just 4 goals in total. And two of these games were at home against outsiders. Ludogorets will have many difficulties scoring in this game, and if they do and take the lead, they will surely try to slow down the game and keep the score. Under 2.5 @ 1.70
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Re: Bulgaria > A PFG > 2012/13 I would add that Cherno More are infamous for being something like the local Stoke City, i.e. playing very aggressive, defensive and sometimes brutal football. They are the masters of unders. This game has under 2.5 written all over it, and I think that even at 1.60 it does have value. It hasn't stopped raining in the country for several days, and the stadium of Cherno More is notorious with its terrible pitch, which gets even worse when a big team is visiting and Cherno More needs desperately to stop them. Given the weather, there is no doubt that the pitch of Cherno More will be at "its best" (i.e. you will need special equipment to be able to trespass it).
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Re: WC > Europe Qualifiers > March 26
I'm done with these clean sheet bets' date=' they must have taken years off my life..[/quote'] No need for this, mate. San Marino will score eventually, that's for sure, but nobody knows when. And it will definitely be with frequency of one goal per at least 30 games. And as you get 1.20-1.25 (for some games against lesser teams you can easily get 1.45-1.50), it is totally worth taking this bet. It is actually the best systematic bet on the football market I can think of. Just remember - don't bet your house and wife on it! :lol Maybe it is a smart idea to separate parts of the profit from this bets in a so called "San Marino bank", so that when the inevitable happens and the waiters and accountants score a goal, we can face the loss with dignity. P.S. San Marino playing friendly with Italy in June. Expect even better odds as it is a friendly. Stay alert! -
Re: WC > Africa Qualification > 26 March Mate, I watched most of Egypt-Zimbabwe. I should say that was extremely unlucky. One shot on goal for the visitors, one lucky goal after terrible defending and goal-keeping. Egypt hit twice the cross bar and missed 6-7 other good chances. The real result here should have been 3-0 or 4-0 for the home team. You spotted right that Zimbabwe is too young squad and it was reflected in their defense being very disorganized and leaving plenty of empty space. However, probably your only analytical mistake was the home factor - indeed, there were fans allowed on the stadiums, but only limited number. And the stadium was really huge, so it looked like almost empty. If the stadium was allowed to be full, then without any doubt Egypt would have destroyed the visitors, but now the home factor was strongly reduced.
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Re: WC > Europe Qualifiers > March 26
Many brown pants at this moment, mate. :lol Would have been an epic fail.So.....be honest how many of you had your hearts in your mouths when the San Marino player went 1-on-1 with Boruc after 85 mins!? :lol Think mine stopped..:$ -
Re: WC - Asia Qualifiers > March 26
Not sure about that. 7 players from NZ are threatened with a one match ban if they get a yellow, and their next game is the intercontinental play-off. NZ are qualified, they shouldn't care much about this game. Over 2.5 is correctly priced under these circumstances.As you can see we should see goals a plenty and overs are up to $1.50 in some betting shops and you won't find a better bet my friends. This is an oceanic qualifier , wasn't sure where else to put it. -
Re: WC - Asia Qualifiers > March 26 Toto, thanks for the input, mate. I didn't watch any of these games, but the highlights from the last game in Oman (0:0) showed only one-way traffic. I counted about ten good chances saved by the great keeper, who plays for Wigan. Australia seems relatively prolific at home, but I take into account the fact that Oman will be defending in numbers. This is why I avoid handicaps, but I think Aussies will definitely sneak at least a goal, and it is unlikely that they will concede.
Stoke City v Manchester United > Sun 14th April
in Premier League Predictions
Posted
Re: Stoke City v Manchester United > Sun 14th April 1.65 away to struggling against relegation Stoke?!!!! No way in hell, even if United are concerned. Yes, the Devils will want to bounce back, but they have so much room left for errors. Whereas, Stoke are running out of options and need to start earning points urgently. Moreover, people tend to forget that no matter how poor Stoke have been since New Year, they were really solid before that. I remember they were really hard to be defeated in the first four months of the campaign. My point is that if they manage to replicate their form from the beginning in the last part of the campaign, they could surely be a serious threat to anyone, incl. United.