Simeon Borisof

Some value picks for tomorrow that I'm going with.
3.25pts Kurz (+3.5 handicap) to beat Clayton 8/13 Bet365
2.5pts Bunting to beat Rock 6/5 Bet365
2pts Pilgrim to beat Heta 2/1 Bet365
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1pt treble of the above 10/1 Bet365

You should know that she took a MTO yesterday, so if the match goes the distance, it could have an impact.

Thanks, I saw it but after that she was doing just fine… nevertheless today she looked really gassed after she blew the lead in the first and lost the tiebreak… tbh at that point I didn’t think she was gonna make it. I was wrong, luckily 

You should know that she took a MTO yesterday, so if the match goes the distance, it could have an impact.

3.5pts Lukeman to beat Razma 4/7 Bet365
2.5pts Monk to beat Hempel 6/5 Bet365
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1pt 4-fold - Waites/Slevin/Monk/Pietreczko 10/1 Bet365
1pt afternoon 4-fold - Joyce/Lukeman/Waites/Sedlacek/Pilgrim 13/1 Bet365
 

I think as good as Anda was a few days ago, you just can’t lose that final after complete bottling it and then literally a few days later, jet off to play again and still play great. I think Saengkham has to be the bet tomorrow. 

A few others I like. I didn’t expect much from Ford but he looks up for it in this event and he plays a Robert Milkins that looks like the Milkins off old.
3pts Saengkham to beat Anda 4/6 Paddypower
2.75pts Ford to beat Milkins 10/11 Paddypower
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1pt 4-fold - Saengkham, Ford, Yuelong and over 7.5 frames (Day v Yize) 7/1 Paddypower

Humbert @1.78 bf
The last 6 matches played by Humbert were in 3 sets, and he lost only one, to Medvedev, beating Tsistipas and Rublev on the way. That should have given him a boost in confidence. Also Wolf won the last 3 matches in 3 sets, but I consider him a far more erratic player, and I’m leaning towards the French here. H2H 1-0 Humbert

Zhuoxuan Bai to beat Tamara Korpatsch at 1.74 with Unibet
Korpatsch really struggled with the conditions and her opponent's aggression in the qualifiers, and Bai is pretty aggressive and hits big. With the home conditions on her side as well, I think this is a good opportunity that she should take. She's been promising for a while now, and I think she's got way more talent than Korpatsch as well.

I think Humphries is a big enough price to win this one. I wasn't impressed with Price and I thought he missed a shedload of doubles. Humphries also has his issues with doubling but they both hit a similar average last night and both hit the same  180s. I really see it as a 50/50 and so I'll take that and also Humphries to win and most 180s.
3pts Humphries to win 2/1 Boylesports
2pts Humphries to win and most 180s 4/1 Paddypower
 

I’m going price and humphries double. To try and get some value in a first to 4 I’ll go -1.5 for both at 3/1

Hartlepool v Eastleigh I got Eastleigh wrong on Tuesday night and in the end they ran out easy winners with Paul McCallum scoring a hattrick. That win means they have only lost twice in their last 10 games. They were the heavy defeat at Gateshead when things went badly wrong and a 1-0 loss to Bromley. They have crept into the top 7 as well and its fair to say that Hartlepool are going very much in the other direction. It is just 1 win in 7 and they lost again on Wednesday at Boreham Wood. They did play quite well in that game and were a bit unlucky to lose it, but they are struggling for goals at the moment with just 3 scored in their last 6 games. I certainly think Eastleigh have a good chance of picking up another win here.   Oldham v Dagenham & Redbridge Dagenham are on a poor run of form having only picked up 2 points in their last 7 games, but I don't think it is quite as bad as that. The two times I have put them up as a bet they have had a red card which I think has cost them the game and that includes last Saturday at Aldershot. They should have beaten York on Tuesday night as well but 2 late goals turned the game in York's favour. I am going to back them again here though because Oldham still haven't turned the corner for me. I know they won 3 on the bounce after sacking Unsworth, but I saw enough in the game against Kidderminster to know that the quality of performance still isn't there. They drew with Wealdstone on Saturday and again with Maidenhead on Tuesday where the fans were saying that the 2nd half performance was just like the Unsworth era. They are crying out for a manager, but for whatever reason they still haven't hired anyone full time. I am happy to take them on here with a Dagenham side who I think have been a bit unlucky not to have picked up more points.   Bishops Stortford v Southport I am really keen on Southport here and make them the best bet of the weekend. They only picked up 1 point in their first 6 games and then they had a change of manager and that has done the trick because they then won their next 3 games and drew with Tamworth last time which given how well they are doing was a good effort. They look a completely different side now and they have a great chance of keeping the unbeaten run going. Stortford have been struggling for goals having only scored 7 in the league and the fact they lost their captain this week to Billericay doesn't bode well. They tried hard to keep him, but Billericay clearly have more money than them. Southport look the better side to me and look a great bet.   Tonbridge Angels v Hemel Hempstead Tonbridge have only managed to beat Dover at home this season and they have only won 3 games overall. They aren't doing as well as they did last season whereas Hemel are the opposite. They have only lost twice so far having beaten both Yeovil and Torquay. They are the better side for me and whilst I don't think there is a huge amount in the price there is enough to get involved.   Welling v Farnborough For me Welling should be higher up the table and they are better than their position in the table suggests. I put them up a couple of weeks ago against Eastbourne when they drew 2-2 and they could easily have won that. They did play on Wednesday as they were taken to a replay by Gosport in the FA Cup, but they won that 4-2 and that was a good effort as Gosport are flying this season. I also opposed Farnborough a couple of weeks ago and they also drew 2-2 with Slough and again we could easily have had a winner in that match as well. Since then they have lost their star striker to Woking and they lost in the FA Cup last weekend to Weston. I'd have Welling as favs for this this and they look a fair bet.   Prices from Thursday morning   Eastleigh 1pt @ 12/5 with Coral and Bet365 (13/5 with Skybet and take up to 2/1) Dagenham & Redbridge 1pt @ 100/30 with Bet365, Skybet, Paddy Power and Betfair (take up to 5/2) Southport 3pts @ 2/1 with Bet365, Paddy Power, Betfair and William Hill (take up to 11/8) Hemel Hempstead 1pt @ 9/5 with Paddy Power, Betfair and Betfred (11/5 with Hills and take up to 13/8) Welling 1pt @ 9/5 with Skeybet, William Hill and Betfred (Betfair and Paddy Power are 11/5 and take up to 11/8)

For the Ligue 2, just incredible the odds from Laval to Bordeaux!
Laval are in great form , and Bordeaux can't make it this season ...
why are the odds so high ?  
X2

Valencia-Monaco
Date: 06.10.2023.
Sport: Euroleague
Start time: 20:30 cet
Pick: Valencia +3.5 @1.98
Bookmaker: Pinnacle
Stake: 1 unit
 
Teamnews: adv Valencia 0.5, total -1(Lopez-Arostegui out, Hermannsson out / Loyd out, Walker out, Jaiteh quest)
Model: Monaco  1.6   167.9
Robo number: Monaco   1.5   168
Final number: Monaco   1   167
Picks: Valencia +3.5 @1.98 (min price Valencia +3 @1.95)
Comment: Lopez-Arostegui (bench player)  and Hermannsson (support player) are unavailable for Valencia. Monaco without Loyd (starter) and Walker (new player, Walker is a big-name signing, but  not sure what his role will be on the team. Lot of injury issues in last seasons)

Hmm, I can't decide so just the one pick for me and it's over 7 frames in the Anda vs Yuelong match. I am very tempted by Anda to win but instead of going with that, I've had a small punt on him outright e/w as the winner plays Ding. Head-to-head between the two shows them both going to a deciding frame and before that Anda won the match. I think he's playing better than Yuelong right now. However, I'm sure it will be a close match.
Over 7.5 frames - Anda vs Yuelong 4/5 Bet365

Going with Anda to beat Slessor today. Anda is playing some lovely stuff with wins over Mertens and Ant McGill. He got one century and 3 50+ breaks in the 4-0 win over Mertens and then hit a century and 2 50+ breaks against McGill in a 4-1 win. Slessor beat Lisowski but only hit a couple 50+ breaks. I'm also going with Lam again. He has been profitable for me recently and has started the season well. Yuelong will be a tough match for him but I think 11/5 is a nice price.
5.5pts Anda to beat Slessor 8/11 Paddypower
2.5pts Lam to beat Yuelong 11/5 Bet365

Lens have been struggling to find the good football that helped them finish second in Ligue 1 last year.
But don't think it will be easy for Arsenal!
The match will be played at Lens with a huge atmosphere at Bolleart.
Wahi scored his first goal for Lens on Friday and he'll be playing relaxed.
The defence is starting to look as good as it did last season, with a Gradit Danso Medina trio.
In midfield, Samed was rested at the weekend, and Diouf and Mendy will be at 100%.
As in every match, Sotoca will be on every ball.
On paper, Arsenal are clear favourites! But watch out for the desire and determination of the Lensois and the fans, who will be pushing the players right up to the 95th minute.
Prediction : 1X

Hi
I'm going to talk about tonight's match between Sevilla and Lens.
As a supporter and specialist of Racing Club de Lens, I know what I'm talking about.
Lens probably won't make this match THE priority of the week, but the players will be determined to pick up points in Spain.
Lens aren't winning at the moment, but the problem isn't in the game. It's in their heads.
This weekend against Metz, they could well have won 2-0 at half-time, but we just couldn't get it right! It won't last.
The team has been strengthened this summer despite the loss of Seiko Fofafa and Openda.
The wild is going to turn and the victories will come soon.
I find it hard to believe that Lens will lose tonight, I really like the X2.

You should be a brave man to bet against a woman who has an average % of 1st serve @ 87. 

Aliaksandra Sasnovich (+1.5 sets) to beat Belinda Bencic at 2.00 with Bet365
We're back to the regular grind, and Sasnovich is one of those players that doesn't mind trying her luck at smaller tournaments. She's already made it past the qualifier rounds here, beating Lepchenko in straight sets, and I think it's safe to say that she'll be more motivated than Bencic, who has been quite suspect lately, dropping sets against players like Parks, Bucsa, and Zhu. With no match practice for her here, I think there's value in backing Sasnovich to grab a set at evens.
 

Congrats to all Medvedev backers btw!

Ridiculous odds on Medvedev to beat Alcaraz @ 3.60. Alcaraz beat Zverev mainly because Zverev didn't play all and was tired from the epuc clach with Sinner yesterday and he even took a medical timeout after the 2nd set. Medvedev was fairly solid against Rublev and was never in danger to lose a set or the match. I can see this one being a close battle, maybe a five setter with many long rallies and Medvedev triumphing at the end. The odds are  definetely wrong to me and the values lies with Medvedev @ 3.60 😏

Ridiculous odds on Medvedev to beat Alcaraz @ 3.60. Alcaraz beat Zverev mainly because Zverev didn't play all and was tired from the epuc clach with Sinner yesterday and he even took a medical timeout after the 2nd set. Medvedev was fairly solid against Rublev and was never in danger to lose a set or the match. I can see this one being a close battle, maybe a five setter with many long rallies and Medvedev triumphing at the end. The odds are  definetely wrong to me and the values lies with Medvedev @ 3.60 😏

This event is scheduled for October but the qualifiers are over the next 5 days. At the Morningside Arena, Leicester. One bet for me this afternoon (the 14:30pm matches) and it's Ash Carty to beat Gary Wilson. Carty made the Quarter Final last week and has put in some solid performances this season, so far. Wins over Un-Nooh, Walden and Joe O'Connor.
Wilson has had some poor results at the start of this season. He didn't win any matches in Group 9 of the Championship League (2 draws and 1 loss) and then he lost 5-4 to Ben Mertens. He played some better stuff against Mertens and hit 3 50+ breaks but without a win so far this season, the value has to be with Carty at 2/1. 
3.5pts Carty (+2.5 frames) 4/7 Bet365
2pts Carty to beat G.Wilson 2/1 Bet365

 

3pts Hawkins to beat Saengkham 4/6 Bet365
I'm looking for a good bet for Selby match. I want over x amount of 50+ breaks.

It could be a juicy day—11/1 already in. Full house if Higgins wins