Xtc12

SNAP BH ....happy this evening ! 

That's where my Conflict Cup post went. Thought I had posted it but when I went to update last night it was absent . My apologies BH

Good luck xtc
I think I might jump straight into the Turf flat racing now though from memory I think we get a couple of weeks after Donny when there isn't much action ……. it's a false start to the new season !

Don't think I have ever done a flat system so I am going to give this a go.This will be based on something I came across a while back on the success of trainers at certain tracks in certain races. I will be hoping to have a strike rate of over 35% with the best results coming in apprentice races and 4yo + handicaps. Going to keep it to level stakes and may the gods be with me.
Nothing today, possibility of 1 tomorrow. 

bank 1227.12
I'm giving the AW a break as I've got a bit bored looking at the same type of race every day ….. I'm moving to the Jumps for a while, mainly handicap chases
4.20 Weth - Ballasala 7/4 and Caraline 4/1
4.30 Taun - Dancing Shadow 9/4 and Calin de Brizais 7/2
4 x £5 cross doubles

2nd - led, 4 lengths clear 3 out, ridden and headed approaching last, stayed on
Well unfortunately couldn't finish with a winner, so after 99 bets we stand as follows :
 

A few facts on 18\19:
59 Winners led to the lowest strike rate of 59.6%  (2.3% lower than 12\13)
This years profit is the 3rd lowest and the 4th lowest P on I.
The 5 losers between 8th Mar, and 12th Mar was the equal highest number of consecutive losers with 2016\17.
The most consecutive winners over the time was 7 (3rd lowest) brought to an end by Southfield Stone (Lorcan Williams) on 4th February..
The biggest odds winner @ 3.0 was Le Precieux (J.Moore) 3rd Jan and Song Saa (Mr N George) 5th March.
The lowest odds winner @ 1.06 was Louis Vac Pouch (J.McGrath) 26th Feb and  Poppy Kay (A.Coleman) 1st March.
49 different jockeys, three with the most rides Barry Geraghty 10, 6 winners 60%, N De Boinville 7,6 winners 86%, Harry Cobden and G.Sheehan 5, 3 winners 60% and Aidan Coleman 5,2 winners 40%. 
Of the jockeys who had 2 or more rides D.Russell (3 rides), J.Bowen (3 rides), Jack Kennedy (2 rides), Mr D.Maxwell (2 rides) all had a 100% record.
Average Stake : 9.73 Pts
Think thats it for another 8 months. Thanks to everyone who looked in since November.

Thanks for the posts. It’s been an interesting ride. See you next time.

15.40 Stratford - Dino Velvet - 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 Bet365

1st @ 9\10 -  settled 3rd early, slight mistake 2nd, closer and pressed 2nd from 5th, 2nd entering straight, ridden to challenge before last, narrow lead and slight mistake last, kept on best run-in, asserted closing stages
Swaffham Bulbeck 14.10 Fakenham 3 Pts Win @ 5\6 (bog)
Fair on the Flat and was just touched off by a stronger stayer back hurdling in a tongue tie over C&D on New Year's Day. Stands out on form. Cheekpieces added to tongue tie. 

15.15 Market Rasen - Fairway Freddy - 1 Pt Win @ 5\1 Bet365

15.10 Plumpton - Duc Du Beauchene - 1 Pt Win @ 3\1 Bet365

Well done BH, was away the weekend all the best in the next round.

I still haven't managed to fix the Mexico issue but I'll try and work on it this week.
All data is now up to date.

Storm Goddess 13.25 Doncaster 15 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)
Failed to build on debut promise in bumpers but positive start to career in this sphere with a brace of place efforts at up to 19.7f. That is comfortably the best form on offer. 

15.00 Gowran Park - Invitation Only - 1 Pt Win @ 9\2 Bet365

14.40 Warwick - Captain Cargo - 1 Pt Win @ 10\3 Bet365

1st @ 4\6 - settled behind leaders, 3rd halfway, closer 3 out, disputed before straight, ridden in 2nd after 2 out, stayed on and disputed again last when left in front, kept on well run-in

1st @  held up in rear, blundered 1st, headway 4 out, chased leaders next, led before 2 out, drew clear after last, easily
Manning Estate 15.40 Plumpton 14 Pts Win @ Evns (bog)
Fair efforts in bumpers and better form when runner-up on hurdles debut here (15.9f) in December. Subsequent Fontwell effort disappointing but he's worth another chance on balance. Up in trip.

2nd @ 13\8 - tracked leaders in 4th place, closer in 3rd at 8th, pushed along before 3 out, 2nd before next, ridden to lead approaching last, headed and no extra run-in
Don't like the look of things ..... two months to go. 

Theatre Territory 15.00 Wincanton 15 Pts Win @ 4\5 (bog)
THEATRE TERRITORY was placed in the Topham last season and, although she was beaten in a match at Doncaster recently and remains 0-9 over fences, she was up against it at the weights latest and may be worth another chance now back in a handicap and fitted with a first-time visor.

3rd - kept wide, tracked leading pair, 2nd after 3rd, led 8th, reached for 15th, pushed along and joined 3 out, ridden and headed approaching lost 2nd and hampered 2 out, weakened
Highway Companion 16.00 Musselburgh 16 Pts Win @ 1\2 (bog)
Runner-up second of 2 starts in Irish points and showed plenty of ability when length second of 7 in Haydock bumper for new yard 19 days ago. This looks a very good chance to go one better. 

@Xtc12 Hi there I would need to look at the back testing results to decide on a staking plan but from what I have checked so far it would be 2 singles

You obviously have too much time on your hands Xtc

Desirable Court 13.45 Leicester 10 Pts Win @ 2\7 (bog)
Has bettered her hurdles form over fences, kickstarting her chasing career by taking the scalp of Amour de Nuit after 11 weeks off and a breathing op here (20f) last month. The one to beat.

1st @ 4\11 - made all, increased pace 4 out, clear approaching last, comfortable