Bathtime For Rupert

1.30 Beverley - 1pt e/w Quiet Assassin @ 8/1 Bet365
Not sure the favourite should be odds on here and I'll try Quiet Assassin on debut for a yard who has had a juvenile winner this season with this one having a likeable pedigree and one that should suit soft ground. Both sire and dam won on debut, he's handily drawn in stall 5 and has been nibbled in the market already today which is no bad sign. 
1.50 Sedgefield - 1pt e/w Lovely Schtuff @ 12/1 Bet365
Bit of a fragile type who's very in and out but shaped well on his first run after wind surgery last time from the front when coming to grief and has shown signs off higher marks that he's capable under these conditions. I think the trip is ideal, as is the return to a left handed track and has come down the weights a lot to be able to go off a featherweight in a weak race today. If building on that first run back now his wind has been seen to, could outrun his odds.
2.20 Sedgefield - 1pt e/w Calvinist @ 12/1 Bet365
Seems a most curious price for a horse in good form but to be fair he was quite weak in the market both the last twice when going close. Put him up both of those days and shaped very much like he needed the step back up in trip that he gets today last time when getting outpaced in a sprint finish before closing in again at the line. Conditions suit so long as there's no deluge and is too big a price on form.
2.50 Sedgefield - 1pt e/w Alexander The Grey @ 9/1 Bet365
Theme of the day is horses I've backed recently and I have to go in with this one again with 8 runners - jumps boldly from the front and often has his rivals on the stretch before chucking in the towel but with three places on offer, at the price I think he's worth a dabble. This track can help - it can be a jumping test which helps him as he's usually good over his obstacles and he can roll down the hill turning in and hopefully put him into a winning position. The race is never won with him until he hits the line but should be there or thereabouts turning for home so is worth a go at the price.
3.00 Beverley - 1pt e/w Sheepscar Lad @ 8/1 Bet365
Was in good form until last time at Pontefract but had obvious excuses that day, held up from a very wide draw over 5f on quick ground and he just couldn't get involved from the back. His two starts prior were decent, he's coming down the weights and has ideal conditions here. Enjoys the mud, a stiff 5f is ideal, he's well handicapped and crucially well drawn on this occasion. Wide open race but ought to bounce back here.

1.00 Musselburgh - 0.5pts e/w H Bomb @ 18/1 Bet365
You have to totally forgive his debut effort when a distant last throughout but there's reason to do so given he was extremely slowly away and outpaced throughout over 5f there, looking green as grass and ensure of his job. He's with a good yard in Karl Burke and should know his job better today. Has gone up a couple of furlongs too which can suit - his dam was a useful miler and Pearl Secret relished deep ground so there's enough there today to give him a chance of stepping up on that debut effort and hopefully make more of an impact at a big price in a weak race.
2.00 Musselburgh - 1pt win Gweedore @ 9/1 Bet365
Has run well on each start this season, shaping as if a win wouldn't be too far away and conditions should suit here. Was a bit keen over a mile first time out but only beaten two lengths before finding himself running into a very well handicapped horse who won his next handicap by 10 lengths so no issue with his second placed effort that day. Faded into 4th at Ayr next time having led but the first three were all held up and the horse in 5th (the other one to race on the pace) bolted up next time out so perhaps just went a bit hard there. Gweedore looked like a huge threat at Hamilton last time out before fading to not be beaten far on soft ground over 1m1f and gets similar conditions today, albeit back down to 7f which can suit. Likely to get out and race handy throughout and can take some pegging back.
3.00 Musselburgh - 0.5pts e/w Garnock Valley @ 25/1 Bet365
Bit of a long shot but there is some justification in thinking that Garnock Valley could run a bit better today at a big price. Was 2nd here in a handicap off a mark of 56 last season but was subsequently stepped up to a mile and 7f on his first two starts of this season. Was largely outpaced back over 5f at Hamilton two starts back but came home fairly (finished ahead of Northern Society who is 13/2 in this race today). Was poor last time over 6f at Ayr but was slowly away and raced awkwardly throughout. I think 5f is probably her best trip but she can get outpaced over it so I think the soft ground can help. She's got form in it previously and has an action to suggest a bit of dig can play to her strengths. If she doesn't get too far back today she could just outrun her chunky price.
3.30 Musselburgh - 1pt win Show Palace @ 6/1 Bet365
Ran a good race at a big price when putting him up last time and that was his best run of the season to date. Can take a little while to get going after a break and a lot of his wins have come at the back end of the season. Remains well handicapped and if anything, this track will suit better than Hamilton as most of his best form has come over sharp 5f on soft ground. That's exactly what he gets today, he's got a decent draw close to the rail and the visor has been applied today to hopefully keep his mind on the job. Should go well from a prominent sit.
3.55 Lingfield - 1pt win Angels Roc @ 7/1 Bet365
Was an eyecatcher behind an impressive Godolphin sort last time out, having no run at the rear of the field when the race developed and only got out late in the day when keeping on to be a well held 5th in the end but there has been promise in novice runs against some useful rivals and can improve again for handicap debut here. Has an action that suggests soft ground ought to be okay and is off a lowly mark for its first run in this company so with more luck in the run can get involved at the death. 

1.00 Musselburgh - 0.5pts e/w H Bomb @ 18/1 Bet365
You have to totally forgive his debut effort when a distant last throughout but there's reason to do so given he was extremely slowly away and outpaced throughout over 5f there, looking green as grass and ensure of his job. He's with a good yard in Karl Burke and should know his job better today. Has gone up a couple of furlongs too which can suit - his dam was a useful miler and Pearl Secret relished deep ground so there's enough there today to give him a chance of stepping up on that debut effort and hopefully make more of an impact at a big price in a weak race.
2.00 Musselburgh - 1pt win Gweedore @ 9/1 Bet365
Has run well on each start this season, shaping as if a win wouldn't be too far away and conditions should suit here. Was a bit keen over a mile first time out but only beaten two lengths before finding himself running into a very well handicapped horse who won his next handicap by 10 lengths so no issue with his second placed effort that day. Faded into 4th at Ayr next time having led but the first three were all held up and the horse in 5th (the other one to race on the pace) bolted up next time out so perhaps just went a bit hard there. Gweedore looked like a huge threat at Hamilton last time out before fading to not be beaten far on soft ground over 1m1f and gets similar conditions today, albeit back down to 7f which can suit. Likely to get out and race handy throughout and can take some pegging back.
3.00 Musselburgh - 0.5pts e/w Garnock Valley @ 25/1 Bet365
Bit of a long shot but there is some justification in thinking that Garnock Valley could run a bit better today at a big price. Was 2nd here in a handicap off a mark of 56 last season but was subsequently stepped up to a mile and 7f on his first two starts of this season. Was largely outpaced back over 5f at Hamilton two starts back but came home fairly (finished ahead of Northern Society who is 13/2 in this race today). Was poor last time over 6f at Ayr but was slowly away and raced awkwardly throughout. I think 5f is probably her best trip but she can get outpaced over it so I think the soft ground can help. She's got form in it previously and has an action to suggest a bit of dig can play to her strengths. If she doesn't get too far back today she could just outrun her chunky price.
3.30 Musselburgh - 1pt win Show Palace @ 6/1 Bet365
Ran a good race at a big price when putting him up last time and that was his best run of the season to date. Can take a little while to get going after a break and a lot of his wins have come at the back end of the season. Remains well handicapped and if anything, this track will suit better than Hamilton as most of his best form has come over sharp 5f on soft ground. That's exactly what he gets today, he's got a decent draw close to the rail and the visor has been applied today to hopefully keep his mind on the job. Should go well from a prominent sit.
3.55 Lingfield - 1pt win Angels Roc @ 7/1 Bet365
Was an eyecatcher behind an impressive Godolphin sort last time out, having no run at the rear of the field when the race developed and only got out late in the day when keeping on to be a well held 5th in the end but there has been promise in novice runs against some useful rivals and can improve again for handicap debut here. Has an action that suggests soft ground ought to be okay and is off a lowly mark for its first run in this company so with more luck in the run can get involved at the death. 

1.00 Musselburgh - 0.5pts e/w H Bomb @ 18/1 Bet365
You have to totally forgive his debut effort when a distant last throughout but there's reason to do so given he was extremely slowly away and outpaced throughout over 5f there, looking green as grass and ensure of his job. He's with a good yard in Karl Burke and should know his job better today. Has gone up a couple of furlongs too which can suit - his dam was a useful miler and Pearl Secret relished deep ground so there's enough there today to give him a chance of stepping up on that debut effort and hopefully make more of an impact at a big price in a weak race.
2.00 Musselburgh - 1pt win Gweedore @ 9/1 Bet365
Has run well on each start this season, shaping as if a win wouldn't be too far away and conditions should suit here. Was a bit keen over a mile first time out but only beaten two lengths before finding himself running into a very well handicapped horse who won his next handicap by 10 lengths so no issue with his second placed effort that day. Faded into 4th at Ayr next time having led but the first three were all held up and the horse in 5th (the other one to race on the pace) bolted up next time out so perhaps just went a bit hard there. Gweedore looked like a huge threat at Hamilton last time out before fading to not be beaten far on soft ground over 1m1f and gets similar conditions today, albeit back down to 7f which can suit. Likely to get out and race handy throughout and can take some pegging back.
3.00 Musselburgh - 0.5pts e/w Garnock Valley @ 25/1 Bet365
Bit of a long shot but there is some justification in thinking that Garnock Valley could run a bit better today at a big price. Was 2nd here in a handicap off a mark of 56 last season but was subsequently stepped up to a mile and 7f on his first two starts of this season. Was largely outpaced back over 5f at Hamilton two starts back but came home fairly (finished ahead of Northern Society who is 13/2 in this race today). Was poor last time over 6f at Ayr but was slowly away and raced awkwardly throughout. I think 5f is probably her best trip but she can get outpaced over it so I think the soft ground can help. She's got form in it previously and has an action to suggest a bit of dig can play to her strengths. If she doesn't get too far back today she could just outrun her chunky price.
3.30 Musselburgh - 1pt win Show Palace @ 6/1 Bet365
Ran a good race at a big price when putting him up last time and that was his best run of the season to date. Can take a little while to get going after a break and a lot of his wins have come at the back end of the season. Remains well handicapped and if anything, this track will suit better than Hamilton as most of his best form has come over sharp 5f on soft ground. That's exactly what he gets today, he's got a decent draw close to the rail and the visor has been applied today to hopefully keep his mind on the job. Should go well from a prominent sit.
3.55 Lingfield - 1pt win Angels Roc @ 7/1 Bet365
Was an eyecatcher behind an impressive Godolphin sort last time out, having no run at the rear of the field when the race developed and only got out late in the day when keeping on to be a well held 5th in the end but there has been promise in novice runs against some useful rivals and can improve again for handicap debut here. Has an action that suggests soft ground ought to be okay and is off a lowly mark for its first run in this company so with more luck in the run can get involved at the death. 

12.30 Bangor - 0.5pts e/w Dream De Dream @ 80/1 Bet365
Some of these flat types might not relish the test that soft ground will bring over hurdles and given you can get 80/1 about Dream De Dream, I think he's worth a tentative poke on the grounds that he's an experienced jumper, handles soft ground no problem and hasn't been totally disgraced in a couple of novices to date. Is a winning pointer and shaped with a modicum of promise in hurdles despite often racing freely over further and taking himself to the front. Drops back down in trip today so will certainly stay and if conditions make this a slog, could outrun mammoth odds. 
1.25 Catterick - 1pt win Nikolayeva @ 6/1 Bet365
Michael Appleby's runner looks to hold every chance here as she's in good form, a guaranteed stayer and should handle the extra emphasis on stamina that the soft ground will bring. Her sire Archipenko didn't mind a bit of give so hopefully it won't be an issue and put in a good shift from the front when outspeeded late on on rattling fast ground last time - this can play to her strengths more as she's more of a grinder than a speedster and can go close.
1.35 Bangor - 1pt win Authorizo @ 7/1 Bet365
Looked the likely winner at Cartmel last time when travelling well and kicking for home but was headed on the long run in there by a horse who has run well again since and conditions here should suit more than a couple of the shorter priced fancies. Garo De Juilley is supposedly better on a sound surface and Percy Street wouldn't want this to turn into a slog as he's a bit of a bridle horse. Authorizo will stay, loves soft ground and the track can suit him as I expect him to go forward and race handy - not as classy as some of these on their day but looks quite solid with questions to answer for a few of these.
2.25 Catterick - 1pt e/w Bahuta Acha @ 10/1 Bet365
Shaped well on first start after a break last time when only fading late on from the front and should improve for that. Has plenty of form that would give him a big chance today and relishes soft conditions which he gets here. This mark isn't a problem, he's got a decent draw and is versatile in terms of running style so lots in favour today at a double figure price.
2.35 Bangor - 1pt win Oscar Maguire @ 13/2 Hills
The favourite is quirky and hasn't proved himself at the trip and the next two in the market are 0-50 in their careers combined so I'll look to Oscar Maguire at a bigger price who has plenty of hurdles form from last year that would give him a big chance here and wasn't totally disgraced in a higher grade on chase debut last time after a six month break. Will find this substantially easier and should improve for that both fitness wise and with the experience of jumping fences. Looks to hold a live chance.
3.35 Bangor - 1pt win Secret Melody @ 11/1 Bet365
I know I keep backing this horse but I'm sure it's going to pop up soon and again will love this track over this trip as when 2nd to Tim Rocco earlier on in the season. Looked the likely winner when unseating rider two starts back and was let down by jumping late on at Southwell last time. None of the market leaders in this race want to go forward to Secret Melody can find a rhythm on the front end and use its typical good jumping to get in the ascendancy. Needs to hold up the whole way round here but is better than a 12/1 shot in my eyes.

12.30 Bangor - 0.5pts e/w Dream De Dream @ 80/1 Bet365
Some of these flat types might not relish the test that soft ground will bring over hurdles and given you can get 80/1 about Dream De Dream, I think he's worth a tentative poke on the grounds that he's an experienced jumper, handles soft ground no problem and hasn't been totally disgraced in a couple of novices to date. Is a winning pointer and shaped with a modicum of promise in hurdles despite often racing freely over further and taking himself to the front. Drops back down in trip today so will certainly stay and if conditions make this a slog, could outrun mammoth odds. 
1.25 Catterick - 1pt win Nikolayeva @ 6/1 Bet365
Michael Appleby's runner looks to hold every chance here as she's in good form, a guaranteed stayer and should handle the extra emphasis on stamina that the soft ground will bring. Her sire Archipenko didn't mind a bit of give so hopefully it won't be an issue and put in a good shift from the front when outspeeded late on on rattling fast ground last time - this can play to her strengths more as she's more of a grinder than a speedster and can go close.
1.35 Bangor - 1pt win Authorizo @ 7/1 Bet365
Looked the likely winner at Cartmel last time when travelling well and kicking for home but was headed on the long run in there by a horse who has run well again since and conditions here should suit more than a couple of the shorter priced fancies. Garo De Juilley is supposedly better on a sound surface and Percy Street wouldn't want this to turn into a slog as he's a bit of a bridle horse. Authorizo will stay, loves soft ground and the track can suit him as I expect him to go forward and race handy - not as classy as some of these on their day but looks quite solid with questions to answer for a few of these.
2.25 Catterick - 1pt e/w Bahuta Acha @ 10/1 Bet365
Shaped well on first start after a break last time when only fading late on from the front and should improve for that. Has plenty of form that would give him a big chance today and relishes soft conditions which he gets here. This mark isn't a problem, he's got a decent draw and is versatile in terms of running style so lots in favour today at a double figure price.
2.35 Bangor - 1pt win Oscar Maguire @ 13/2 Hills
The favourite is quirky and hasn't proved himself at the trip and the next two in the market are 0-50 in their careers combined so I'll look to Oscar Maguire at a bigger price who has plenty of hurdles form from last year that would give him a big chance here and wasn't totally disgraced in a higher grade on chase debut last time after a six month break. Will find this substantially easier and should improve for that both fitness wise and with the experience of jumping fences. Looks to hold a live chance.
3.35 Bangor - 1pt win Secret Melody @ 11/1 Bet365
I know I keep backing this horse but I'm sure it's going to pop up soon and again will love this track over this trip as when 2nd to Tim Rocco earlier on in the season. Looked the likely winner when unseating rider two starts back and was let down by jumping late on at Southwell last time. None of the market leaders in this race want to go forward to Secret Melody can find a rhythm on the front end and use its typical good jumping to get in the ascendancy. Needs to hold up the whole way round here but is better than a 12/1 shot in my eyes.

12.30 Bangor - 0.5pts e/w Dream De Dream @ 80/1 Bet365
Some of these flat types might not relish the test that soft ground will bring over hurdles and given you can get 80/1 about Dream De Dream, I think he's worth a tentative poke on the grounds that he's an experienced jumper, handles soft ground no problem and hasn't been totally disgraced in a couple of novices to date. Is a winning pointer and shaped with a modicum of promise in hurdles despite often racing freely over further and taking himself to the front. Drops back down in trip today so will certainly stay and if conditions make this a slog, could outrun mammoth odds. 
1.25 Catterick - 1pt win Nikolayeva @ 6/1 Bet365
Michael Appleby's runner looks to hold every chance here as she's in good form, a guaranteed stayer and should handle the extra emphasis on stamina that the soft ground will bring. Her sire Archipenko didn't mind a bit of give so hopefully it won't be an issue and put in a good shift from the front when outspeeded late on on rattling fast ground last time - this can play to her strengths more as she's more of a grinder than a speedster and can go close.
1.35 Bangor - 1pt win Authorizo @ 7/1 Bet365
Looked the likely winner at Cartmel last time when travelling well and kicking for home but was headed on the long run in there by a horse who has run well again since and conditions here should suit more than a couple of the shorter priced fancies. Garo De Juilley is supposedly better on a sound surface and Percy Street wouldn't want this to turn into a slog as he's a bit of a bridle horse. Authorizo will stay, loves soft ground and the track can suit him as I expect him to go forward and race handy - not as classy as some of these on their day but looks quite solid with questions to answer for a few of these.
2.25 Catterick - 1pt e/w Bahuta Acha @ 10/1 Bet365
Shaped well on first start after a break last time when only fading late on from the front and should improve for that. Has plenty of form that would give him a big chance today and relishes soft conditions which he gets here. This mark isn't a problem, he's got a decent draw and is versatile in terms of running style so lots in favour today at a double figure price.
2.35 Bangor - 1pt win Oscar Maguire @ 13/2 Hills
The favourite is quirky and hasn't proved himself at the trip and the next two in the market are 0-50 in their careers combined so I'll look to Oscar Maguire at a bigger price who has plenty of hurdles form from last year that would give him a big chance here and wasn't totally disgraced in a higher grade on chase debut last time after a six month break. Will find this substantially easier and should improve for that both fitness wise and with the experience of jumping fences. Looks to hold a live chance.
3.35 Bangor - 1pt win Secret Melody @ 11/1 Bet365
I know I keep backing this horse but I'm sure it's going to pop up soon and again will love this track over this trip as when 2nd to Tim Rocco earlier on in the season. Looked the likely winner when unseating rider two starts back and was let down by jumping late on at Southwell last time. None of the market leaders in this race want to go forward to Secret Melody can find a rhythm on the front end and use its typical good jumping to get in the ascendancy. Needs to hold up the whole way round here but is better than a 12/1 shot in my eyes.

1.50 York - 2pts win Lord Glitters @ 7/2 Bet365
This one has the form in the book, has won this race before and won't have any issues if the ground softens today so looks a pretty solid option. There's a couple of front runners here which should help set it up today and if there's a decent pace, Lord Glitters looks sure to be thundering home late in the day. It's often too late but that's included when running in group ones and group twos but won't find these as tricky to peg back and looks a solid bet.
2.25 York - 2pts win Favorite Moon @ 3/1 Bet365
Not an inspiring selection but the most likely winner in my eyes having seen off Subjectivist at Haydock last time. The pair were 8 lengths clear of the remainder and whilst Subjectivist is now rated 8lbs higher than he ran off that day, Favourite Moon has only gone up 7lbs and looks like there's plenty more to come. Was in need of the run at Doncaster first time out and looks a stayer so the move up to 1m6f benefited him last time. Any ease in the ground is no issue, the track will suit and looks to hold a huge chance of following up here.
3.00 York - 2pts win San Donato @ 9/2 Bet365
One Master did well to win at Goodwood on ground too quick for her but it's not going to be an absolute bog here and I think this will prove tougher. San Donato returned from a substantial absence to run a blinder behind Mohaather at Ascot two starts back and shaped better than the bare result in the Sussex Stakes last time, travelling well before backing out of things. He's finished a few of his mile races off without too much vigour so this 7f trip could be absolutely bang on for him. On formlines through the likes of Duke of Hazzard I think he holds a few of these and there's no issue with the ground. 
3.40 York - 1pt e/w Monica Sheriff @ 14/1 Bet365
Has done most of her winning on heavy ground and whilst it's unlikely to be anything like that day, any rain that comes will certainly make the ground on the soft side and the additional stamina this one has can come into play in what could be quite a test with a big field over this trip. Was very progressive last year after beating the useful 90 horse Cape Cavalli over 1m4f in a novice by 3 lengths. She got the job done at Newcastle in a small field despite that not playing to her strengths before absolutely bolting up by 20 lengths on heavy at Goodwood. Whilst presumably somewhat flattered, the runner up was only beaten 5 or so lengths in a listed event on soft ground over the same trip next time so it's not as if all of her rivals that day simply couldn't go on soft ground. Won in France when last seen with formlines suggesting she's not off a bad mark back in a handicap here. Has an absence to overcome but William Haggas can get them right first time and she's a most interesting runner.
4.10 York - 2pts win Lauded @ 11/2 Bet365
Tom Dascombe's runner was impressive on debut, running out a ready winner over 6f but this one's pedigree is all speed and in two starts up in grade in group company may have just highlighted a chink in his armour late on over that trip against top rivals. Raced keenly when running a solid race in the Coventry before fading late on and ran respectably at Goodwood too. Drops back to 5f here at a track that suits speedy types and that could just unlock a bit more despite him already having solid form in the book.
4.40 York - 1pt e/w Aasheq @ 22/1 Bet365
Doesn't have the progressive profile of some of these but is off a winning mark, has run well here before and shaped okay on his first run for a while at Chester last time which should set him up nicely for this. Was held up from a wide draw around there and kept on but couldn't get involved but that should have blown away some of the cobwebs. Was in good form last year with his 3rd to Mountain Angel at Epsom subsequently reading well and ran a good race when a close 3rd at Chester again behind good rivals. Could never quite get involved at York in the John Smiths Cup afterwards but it was very difficult to come from off the pace on that occasion and he actually did better than most of those held up. Has a good draw here and is a handy price so worth an e/w go.

1.45 York - 1pt e/w Santosha @ 7/1 Bet365
Favourite looks short to me here - Queen Mary form doesn't look anything special and by Exceed And Excel, any cut remaining in the ground a potential negative too so will take her on. I'm surprised at Santosha's price considering she has arguably the best form in the book, can lie up handy if using the same tactics as last time and handles any give in the ground that may still be there. Can't really knock her form so if continuing in the same vein should be placed at the very least.
2.15 York - 3pts win Devious Company @ 7/4 Hills
Just struggling to get this one beat to be honest - all of his form has worked out well, he's clearly ahead of these on figures and should have the class to hold them at bay. Does drop back down to 6f so plausible he could get outspeeded by one but he's a prominent racer over 7f so hard to see him being unable to go with them any excess stamina can come into play at the death. 
2.45 York - 1pt e/w Mutamaasik @ 16/1 Bet365
Top Rank looks progressive but I'm always happy to take on a horse significantly up the weights going up in class, especially at the prices. I just wonder if some of those who've run well in top handicaps so far this year have reached the ceiling of their handicap marks so I'm going to look at the bigger prices here. I think Mutamaasik is interesting today having run a blinder at Royal Ascot, finishing first in his group and wasn't disgraced back there last time out. I wonder if he'll prove better over a mile - certainly bred to enjoy it on pedigree - and I also think the slightly easier ground today will help him as he's proved vulnerable to speedier individuals over 7f on quick ground. Flat tracks clearly suit, has blinkers on for the first time today and hasn't been hammered in the weights like some of those at the head of affairs so will go with him at an each way price.
3.45 York - 2pts win Albaflora @ 9/2 Bet365
Stayed on well to see off a couple of good rivals on debut over 1m2f - now rated in the 80s and 90s - and backed that up with a good effort here over the same trip behind Rose of Kildare last time out, getting outpaced before staying on again for second late in the day. There's plenty of stamina in the pedigree and she runs like 1m4f will be her ideal trip so has plenty going for her here. Rose of Kildare ran a good race at a big price behind Ghaiyyath yesterday, beaten less than 8 lengths, and Albaflora comes here with a big chance in my eyes.
4.20 York - 1pt e/w Star of Orion @ 9/1 Bet365
A bit disconcertingly weak in the market but on form I think Star of Orion has a huge chance here. Did everything wrong at 18/1 on debut but still managed to win, beating a decent horse into second. Gave 6lbs to a decent field on second start and separated two useful horses that day when finishing second - only narrowly beaten by a horse who is now rated in the 100s (giving it 6lbs) and was comfortably ahead of a horse now rated 84. Runs off 92 today and looks to have plenty in its favour so despite the lack of market support, will stick by it.
4.50 York - 1pt e/w Anna Nerium @ 9/1 Bet365
Typically runs in group races and has done so with credit for a long while now without getting her head in front all that often. Ran a good race at Goodwood behind One Master two starts back and chased home the favourite in a 4 runner race at Salisbury last time. A mark of 102 is definitely not beyond her when things fall for her and she'll enjoy the easier ground today than the rattling fast conditions she's raced on the last twice. Has just edged down the weights slightly and now in easier company with conditions to suit, I can see a big run.

1.45 York - 1pt e/w Santosha @ 7/1 Bet365
Favourite looks short to me here - Queen Mary form doesn't look anything special and by Exceed And Excel, any cut remaining in the ground a potential negative too so will take her on. I'm surprised at Santosha's price considering she has arguably the best form in the book, can lie up handy if using the same tactics as last time and handles any give in the ground that may still be there. Can't really knock her form so if continuing in the same vein should be placed at the very least.
2.15 York - 3pts win Devious Company @ 7/4 Hills
Just struggling to get this one beat to be honest - all of his form has worked out well, he's clearly ahead of these on figures and should have the class to hold them at bay. Does drop back down to 6f so plausible he could get outspeeded by one but he's a prominent racer over 7f so hard to see him being unable to go with them any excess stamina can come into play at the death. 
2.45 York - 1pt e/w Mutamaasik @ 16/1 Bet365
Top Rank looks progressive but I'm always happy to take on a horse significantly up the weights going up in class, especially at the prices. I just wonder if some of those who've run well in top handicaps so far this year have reached the ceiling of their handicap marks so I'm going to look at the bigger prices here. I think Mutamaasik is interesting today having run a blinder at Royal Ascot, finishing first in his group and wasn't disgraced back there last time out. I wonder if he'll prove better over a mile - certainly bred to enjoy it on pedigree - and I also think the slightly easier ground today will help him as he's proved vulnerable to speedier individuals over 7f on quick ground. Flat tracks clearly suit, has blinkers on for the first time today and hasn't been hammered in the weights like some of those at the head of affairs so will go with him at an each way price.
3.45 York - 2pts win Albaflora @ 9/2 Bet365
Stayed on well to see off a couple of good rivals on debut over 1m2f - now rated in the 80s and 90s - and backed that up with a good effort here over the same trip behind Rose of Kildare last time out, getting outpaced before staying on again for second late in the day. There's plenty of stamina in the pedigree and she runs like 1m4f will be her ideal trip so has plenty going for her here. Rose of Kildare ran a good race at a big price behind Ghaiyyath yesterday, beaten less than 8 lengths, and Albaflora comes here with a big chance in my eyes.
4.20 York - 1pt e/w Star of Orion @ 9/1 Bet365
A bit disconcertingly weak in the market but on form I think Star of Orion has a huge chance here. Did everything wrong at 18/1 on debut but still managed to win, beating a decent horse into second. Gave 6lbs to a decent field on second start and separated two useful horses that day when finishing second - only narrowly beaten by a horse who is now rated in the 100s (giving it 6lbs) and was comfortably ahead of a horse now rated 84. Runs off 92 today and looks to have plenty in its favour so despite the lack of market support, will stick by it.
4.50 York - 1pt e/w Anna Nerium @ 9/1 Bet365
Typically runs in group races and has done so with credit for a long while now without getting her head in front all that often. Ran a good race at Goodwood behind One Master two starts back and chased home the favourite in a 4 runner race at Salisbury last time. A mark of 102 is definitely not beyond her when things fall for her and she'll enjoy the easier ground today than the rattling fast conditions she's raced on the last twice. Has just edged down the weights slightly and now in easier company with conditions to suit, I can see a big run.

2.45 York - 1pt win Pyledriver @ 11/1 Bet365

1.45 York - 1pt win Aricebo @ 15/2 Bet365
Has been threatening to win one of these lately having dropped a few pounds in the handicap to a handy mark. Was arguably unlucky behind Jawwaal a few starts back but is now weighted significantly better off with that one given its progressive profile and there's plenty to like about Aricebo's chances. Wasn't beaten far when staying on from the rear here a couple of starts back and the small field at Haydock didn't play to his strengths last time. Down the weights as a result, the slightly easier ground is no problem at all and might actually help him rein in the leaders towards the finish, so should go close.
2.15 York - 1pt e/w Spycatcher @ 18/1 Bet365
The Godolphin horse was impressive on debut but I wonder if a bit of ease in the ground is what it wants (should the ground race on the good to soft side) and with eight runners currently, will side with Karl Burke's runner at a healthy price. Ran a rock solid race on debut at Redcar in a decent race despite having a horrible start when stumbling badly and nearly unseating his rider. That cost him a good three lengths or so at the start but made up some good ground before just failing to find any extra in 4th. Was fairly easy to back that day and Burke's runners typically come on for their first outing. Any cut in the ground won't inconvenience, he's bred to enjoy the step up in trip and looks a lively outsider today.
2.45 York - 1pt e/w Pyledriver @ 11/1 Bet365
I backed Highland Chief two starts back and Mogul last time - both successfully - but today I'm siding with Pyledriver who I think has been ignored a bit here. Clearly Mogul wasn't fully fit at Ascot when beaten by Pyledriver but you couldn't argue with the way William Muir's runner got the job done that day, travelling powerfully and quickening clear like a good horse. I think you can essentially draw a line through the Derby - especially for this one who was hampered on the far side, raced in second last afterwards and from there, never had a chance. Stayed on okay up the straight despite clearly not being an ease on the track either and I think is more than capable of bouncing back with a big run today on a course that will suit and comes here fresher than most.
3.15 York - 2pts win Lord North @ 4/1 Bet365
I just wonder if today is the day that Ghaiyyath gets reined in - was always going to beat Anthony Van Dyke and Stradivarius a couple of starts back for me and Enable clearly needed the run behind him last time so I just wonder if race fit, top class horses can overcome him here. Magical and Rose of Kildare can keep him honest and it wouldn't surprise me if Kameko and Lord North were the ones to pounce - of the two, I like Lord North who couldn't have been more impressive at Ascot and still seems to be progressing. You can't knock his form this season, even when needing the run on his first start of the campaign and can just travel off the pace and power through late.
3.45 York - 2pts win Make My Day @ 4/1 Bet365
Is the favourite for this contest but remains fairly unexposed and I think the step up in trip can suit even further. Clearly has bags of stamina, opening his career over 1m4f before keeping on strongly to win over 1m6f at Goodwood. Outstayed good horses in Cape Cavalli and Caravan of Hope that day - both of which are now rated higher than what Make My Day runs off today. This one stayed on powerfully to win here last time over 1m4f, under pressure for a while but well on top at the finish. I think he's still well handicapped and the extra stamina test shouldn't inconvenience.
4.20 York - 2pts win Dancin Inthestreet @ 9/4 Bet365
Not much fun but I think wins today - has been a winner waiting to happen for a long time having been desperately unlucky in a couple of runs this season. Ran a blinder having found traffic at Royal Ascot, just got run out of it over further on soft ground having raced along two starts back and couldn't get involved in a group 3 when last seen. Back to 5f and a handicap today off a decent mark with a guaranteed decent pace to run off I think will take the world of beating.
4.50 York - 2pts win Pure Dreamer @ 9/2 Bet365
Might be the favourite for this but still is a decent price and I'm very sweet on his chances today. Ran in the good novice race won by Royal Scimitar, fading late on as if in need of the run on debut but even on the evidence of that, his opening mark of 72 looks more than fair and that's even excluding his excellent run behind the all-the-way winner Politics at Sandown last time over 5f. Travelled pretty well but was given plenty to do and couldn't reel in the winner for all he kept on very well late on without ever being hit with the whip and shaped like the extra furlong today was what he needs. Handicapping off 72 with conditions to suit, I think he'll take the world of beating.

1.45 York - 1pt win Aricebo @ 15/2 Bet365
Has been threatening to win one of these lately having dropped a few pounds in the handicap to a handy mark. Was arguably unlucky behind Jawwaal a few starts back but is now weighted significantly better off with that one given its progressive profile and there's plenty to like about Aricebo's chances. Wasn't beaten far when staying on from the rear here a couple of starts back and the small field at Haydock didn't play to his strengths last time. Down the weights as a result, the slightly easier ground is no problem at all and might actually help him rein in the leaders towards the finish, so should go close.
2.15 York - 1pt e/w Spycatcher @ 18/1 Bet365
The Godolphin horse was impressive on debut but I wonder if a bit of ease in the ground is what it wants (should the ground race on the good to soft side) and with eight runners currently, will side with Karl Burke's runner at a healthy price. Ran a rock solid race on debut at Redcar in a decent race despite having a horrible start when stumbling badly and nearly unseating his rider. That cost him a good three lengths or so at the start but made up some good ground before just failing to find any extra in 4th. Was fairly easy to back that day and Burke's runners typically come on for their first outing. Any cut in the ground won't inconvenience, he's bred to enjoy the step up in trip and looks a lively outsider today.
2.45 York - 1pt e/w Pyledriver @ 11/1 Bet365
I backed Highland Chief two starts back and Mogul last time - both successfully - but today I'm siding with Pyledriver who I think has been ignored a bit here. Clearly Mogul wasn't fully fit at Ascot when beaten by Pyledriver but you couldn't argue with the way William Muir's runner got the job done that day, travelling powerfully and quickening clear like a good horse. I think you can essentially draw a line through the Derby - especially for this one who was hampered on the far side, raced in second last afterwards and from there, never had a chance. Stayed on okay up the straight despite clearly not being an ease on the track either and I think is more than capable of bouncing back with a big run today on a course that will suit and comes here fresher than most.
3.15 York - 2pts win Lord North @ 4/1 Bet365
I just wonder if today is the day that Ghaiyyath gets reined in - was always going to beat Anthony Van Dyke and Stradivarius a couple of starts back for me and Enable clearly needed the run behind him last time so I just wonder if race fit, top class horses can overcome him here. Magical and Rose of Kildare can keep him honest and it wouldn't surprise me if Kameko and Lord North were the ones to pounce - of the two, I like Lord North who couldn't have been more impressive at Ascot and still seems to be progressing. You can't knock his form this season, even when needing the run on his first start of the campaign and can just travel off the pace and power through late.
3.45 York - 2pts win Make My Day @ 4/1 Bet365
Is the favourite for this contest but remains fairly unexposed and I think the step up in trip can suit even further. Clearly has bags of stamina, opening his career over 1m4f before keeping on strongly to win over 1m6f at Goodwood. Outstayed good horses in Cape Cavalli and Caravan of Hope that day - both of which are now rated higher than what Make My Day runs off today. This one stayed on powerfully to win here last time over 1m4f, under pressure for a while but well on top at the finish. I think he's still well handicapped and the extra stamina test shouldn't inconvenience.
4.20 York - 2pts win Dancin Inthestreet @ 9/4 Bet365
Not much fun but I think wins today - has been a winner waiting to happen for a long time having been desperately unlucky in a couple of runs this season. Ran a blinder having found traffic at Royal Ascot, just got run out of it over further on soft ground having raced along two starts back and couldn't get involved in a group 3 when last seen. Back to 5f and a handicap today off a decent mark with a guaranteed decent pace to run off I think will take the world of beating.
4.50 York - 2pts win Pure Dreamer @ 9/2 Bet365
Might be the favourite for this but still is a decent price and I'm very sweet on his chances today. Ran in the good novice race won by Royal Scimitar, fading late on as if in need of the run on debut but even on the evidence of that, his opening mark of 72 looks more than fair and that's even excluding his excellent run behind the all-the-way winner Politics at Sandown last time over 5f. Travelled pretty well but was given plenty to do and couldn't reel in the winner for all he kept on very well late on without ever being hit with the whip and shaped like the extra furlong today was what he needs. Handicapping off 72 with conditions to suit, I think he'll take the world of beating.

1.45 York - 1pt win Aricebo @ 15/2 Bet365
Has been threatening to win one of these lately having dropped a few pounds in the handicap to a handy mark. Was arguably unlucky behind Jawwaal a few starts back but is now weighted significantly better off with that one given its progressive profile and there's plenty to like about Aricebo's chances. Wasn't beaten far when staying on from the rear here a couple of starts back and the small field at Haydock didn't play to his strengths last time. Down the weights as a result, the slightly easier ground is no problem at all and might actually help him rein in the leaders towards the finish, so should go close.
2.15 York - 1pt e/w Spycatcher @ 18/1 Bet365
The Godolphin horse was impressive on debut but I wonder if a bit of ease in the ground is what it wants (should the ground race on the good to soft side) and with eight runners currently, will side with Karl Burke's runner at a healthy price. Ran a rock solid race on debut at Redcar in a decent race despite having a horrible start when stumbling badly and nearly unseating his rider. That cost him a good three lengths or so at the start but made up some good ground before just failing to find any extra in 4th. Was fairly easy to back that day and Burke's runners typically come on for their first outing. Any cut in the ground won't inconvenience, he's bred to enjoy the step up in trip and looks a lively outsider today.
2.45 York - 1pt e/w Pyledriver @ 11/1 Bet365
I backed Highland Chief two starts back and Mogul last time - both successfully - but today I'm siding with Pyledriver who I think has been ignored a bit here. Clearly Mogul wasn't fully fit at Ascot when beaten by Pyledriver but you couldn't argue with the way William Muir's runner got the job done that day, travelling powerfully and quickening clear like a good horse. I think you can essentially draw a line through the Derby - especially for this one who was hampered on the far side, raced in second last afterwards and from there, never had a chance. Stayed on okay up the straight despite clearly not being an ease on the track either and I think is more than capable of bouncing back with a big run today on a course that will suit and comes here fresher than most.
3.15 York - 2pts win Lord North @ 4/1 Bet365
I just wonder if today is the day that Ghaiyyath gets reined in - was always going to beat Anthony Van Dyke and Stradivarius a couple of starts back for me and Enable clearly needed the run behind him last time so I just wonder if race fit, top class horses can overcome him here. Magical and Rose of Kildare can keep him honest and it wouldn't surprise me if Kameko and Lord North were the ones to pounce - of the two, I like Lord North who couldn't have been more impressive at Ascot and still seems to be progressing. You can't knock his form this season, even when needing the run on his first start of the campaign and can just travel off the pace and power through late.
3.45 York - 2pts win Make My Day @ 4/1 Bet365
Is the favourite for this contest but remains fairly unexposed and I think the step up in trip can suit even further. Clearly has bags of stamina, opening his career over 1m4f before keeping on strongly to win over 1m6f at Goodwood. Outstayed good horses in Cape Cavalli and Caravan of Hope that day - both of which are now rated higher than what Make My Day runs off today. This one stayed on powerfully to win here last time over 1m4f, under pressure for a while but well on top at the finish. I think he's still well handicapped and the extra stamina test shouldn't inconvenience.
4.20 York - 2pts win Dancin Inthestreet @ 9/4 Bet365
Not much fun but I think wins today - has been a winner waiting to happen for a long time having been desperately unlucky in a couple of runs this season. Ran a blinder having found traffic at Royal Ascot, just got run out of it over further on soft ground having raced along two starts back and couldn't get involved in a group 3 when last seen. Back to 5f and a handicap today off a decent mark with a guaranteed decent pace to run off I think will take the world of beating.
4.50 York - 2pts win Pure Dreamer @ 9/2 Bet365
Might be the favourite for this but still is a decent price and I'm very sweet on his chances today. Ran in the good novice race won by Royal Scimitar, fading late on as if in need of the run on debut but even on the evidence of that, his opening mark of 72 looks more than fair and that's even excluding his excellent run behind the all-the-way winner Politics at Sandown last time over 5f. Travelled pretty well but was given plenty to do and couldn't reel in the winner for all he kept on very well late on without ever being hit with the whip and shaped like the extra furlong today was what he needs. Handicapping off 72 with conditions to suit, I think he'll take the world of beating.

1.45 York - 1pt win Aricebo @ 15/2 Bet365
Has been threatening to win one of these lately having dropped a few pounds in the handicap to a handy mark. Was arguably unlucky behind Jawwaal a few starts back but is now weighted significantly better off with that one given its progressive profile and there's plenty to like about Aricebo's chances. Wasn't beaten far when staying on from the rear here a couple of starts back and the small field at Haydock didn't play to his strengths last time. Down the weights as a result, the slightly easier ground is no problem at all and might actually help him rein in the leaders towards the finish, so should go close.
2.15 York - 1pt e/w Spycatcher @ 18/1 Bet365
The Godolphin horse was impressive on debut but I wonder if a bit of ease in the ground is what it wants (should the ground race on the good to soft side) and with eight runners currently, will side with Karl Burke's runner at a healthy price. Ran a rock solid race on debut at Redcar in a decent race despite having a horrible start when stumbling badly and nearly unseating his rider. That cost him a good three lengths or so at the start but made up some good ground before just failing to find any extra in 4th. Was fairly easy to back that day and Burke's runners typically come on for their first outing. Any cut in the ground won't inconvenience, he's bred to enjoy the step up in trip and looks a lively outsider today.
2.45 York - 1pt e/w Pyledriver @ 11/1 Bet365
I backed Highland Chief two starts back and Mogul last time - both successfully - but today I'm siding with Pyledriver who I think has been ignored a bit here. Clearly Mogul wasn't fully fit at Ascot when beaten by Pyledriver but you couldn't argue with the way William Muir's runner got the job done that day, travelling powerfully and quickening clear like a good horse. I think you can essentially draw a line through the Derby - especially for this one who was hampered on the far side, raced in second last afterwards and from there, never had a chance. Stayed on okay up the straight despite clearly not being an ease on the track either and I think is more than capable of bouncing back with a big run today on a course that will suit and comes here fresher than most.
3.15 York - 2pts win Lord North @ 4/1 Bet365
I just wonder if today is the day that Ghaiyyath gets reined in - was always going to beat Anthony Van Dyke and Stradivarius a couple of starts back for me and Enable clearly needed the run behind him last time so I just wonder if race fit, top class horses can overcome him here. Magical and Rose of Kildare can keep him honest and it wouldn't surprise me if Kameko and Lord North were the ones to pounce - of the two, I like Lord North who couldn't have been more impressive at Ascot and still seems to be progressing. You can't knock his form this season, even when needing the run on his first start of the campaign and can just travel off the pace and power through late.
3.45 York - 2pts win Make My Day @ 4/1 Bet365
Is the favourite for this contest but remains fairly unexposed and I think the step up in trip can suit even further. Clearly has bags of stamina, opening his career over 1m4f before keeping on strongly to win over 1m6f at Goodwood. Outstayed good horses in Cape Cavalli and Caravan of Hope that day - both of which are now rated higher than what Make My Day runs off today. This one stayed on powerfully to win here last time over 1m4f, under pressure for a while but well on top at the finish. I think he's still well handicapped and the extra stamina test shouldn't inconvenience.
4.20 York - 2pts win Dancin Inthestreet @ 9/4 Bet365
Not much fun but I think wins today - has been a winner waiting to happen for a long time having been desperately unlucky in a couple of runs this season. Ran a blinder having found traffic at Royal Ascot, just got run out of it over further on soft ground having raced along two starts back and couldn't get involved in a group 3 when last seen. Back to 5f and a handicap today off a decent mark with a guaranteed decent pace to run off I think will take the world of beating.
4.50 York - 2pts win Pure Dreamer @ 9/2 Bet365
Might be the favourite for this but still is a decent price and I'm very sweet on his chances today. Ran in the good novice race won by Royal Scimitar, fading late on as if in need of the run on debut but even on the evidence of that, his opening mark of 72 looks more than fair and that's even excluding his excellent run behind the all-the-way winner Politics at Sandown last time over 5f. Travelled pretty well but was given plenty to do and couldn't reel in the winner for all he kept on very well late on without ever being hit with the whip and shaped like the extra furlong today was what he needs. Handicapping off 72 with conditions to suit, I think he'll take the world of beating.

1.45 York - 1pt win Aricebo @ 15/2 Bet365
Has been threatening to win one of these lately having dropped a few pounds in the handicap to a handy mark. Was arguably unlucky behind Jawwaal a few starts back but is now weighted significantly better off with that one given its progressive profile and there's plenty to like about Aricebo's chances. Wasn't beaten far when staying on from the rear here a couple of starts back and the small field at Haydock didn't play to his strengths last time. Down the weights as a result, the slightly easier ground is no problem at all and might actually help him rein in the leaders towards the finish, so should go close.
2.15 York - 1pt e/w Spycatcher @ 18/1 Bet365
The Godolphin horse was impressive on debut but I wonder if a bit of ease in the ground is what it wants (should the ground race on the good to soft side) and with eight runners currently, will side with Karl Burke's runner at a healthy price. Ran a rock solid race on debut at Redcar in a decent race despite having a horrible start when stumbling badly and nearly unseating his rider. That cost him a good three lengths or so at the start but made up some good ground before just failing to find any extra in 4th. Was fairly easy to back that day and Burke's runners typically come on for their first outing. Any cut in the ground won't inconvenience, he's bred to enjoy the step up in trip and looks a lively outsider today.
2.45 York - 1pt e/w Pyledriver @ 11/1 Bet365
I backed Highland Chief two starts back and Mogul last time - both successfully - but today I'm siding with Pyledriver who I think has been ignored a bit here. Clearly Mogul wasn't fully fit at Ascot when beaten by Pyledriver but you couldn't argue with the way William Muir's runner got the job done that day, travelling powerfully and quickening clear like a good horse. I think you can essentially draw a line through the Derby - especially for this one who was hampered on the far side, raced in second last afterwards and from there, never had a chance. Stayed on okay up the straight despite clearly not being an ease on the track either and I think is more than capable of bouncing back with a big run today on a course that will suit and comes here fresher than most.
3.15 York - 2pts win Lord North @ 4/1 Bet365
I just wonder if today is the day that Ghaiyyath gets reined in - was always going to beat Anthony Van Dyke and Stradivarius a couple of starts back for me and Enable clearly needed the run behind him last time so I just wonder if race fit, top class horses can overcome him here. Magical and Rose of Kildare can keep him honest and it wouldn't surprise me if Kameko and Lord North were the ones to pounce - of the two, I like Lord North who couldn't have been more impressive at Ascot and still seems to be progressing. You can't knock his form this season, even when needing the run on his first start of the campaign and can just travel off the pace and power through late.
3.45 York - 2pts win Make My Day @ 4/1 Bet365
Is the favourite for this contest but remains fairly unexposed and I think the step up in trip can suit even further. Clearly has bags of stamina, opening his career over 1m4f before keeping on strongly to win over 1m6f at Goodwood. Outstayed good horses in Cape Cavalli and Caravan of Hope that day - both of which are now rated higher than what Make My Day runs off today. This one stayed on powerfully to win here last time over 1m4f, under pressure for a while but well on top at the finish. I think he's still well handicapped and the extra stamina test shouldn't inconvenience.
4.20 York - 2pts win Dancin Inthestreet @ 9/4 Bet365
Not much fun but I think wins today - has been a winner waiting to happen for a long time having been desperately unlucky in a couple of runs this season. Ran a blinder having found traffic at Royal Ascot, just got run out of it over further on soft ground having raced along two starts back and couldn't get involved in a group 3 when last seen. Back to 5f and a handicap today off a decent mark with a guaranteed decent pace to run off I think will take the world of beating.
4.50 York - 2pts win Pure Dreamer @ 9/2 Bet365
Might be the favourite for this but still is a decent price and I'm very sweet on his chances today. Ran in the good novice race won by Royal Scimitar, fading late on as if in need of the run on debut but even on the evidence of that, his opening mark of 72 looks more than fair and that's even excluding his excellent run behind the all-the-way winner Politics at Sandown last time over 5f. Travelled pretty well but was given plenty to do and couldn't reel in the winner for all he kept on very well late on without ever being hit with the whip and shaped like the extra furlong today was what he needs. Handicapping off 72 with conditions to suit, I think he'll take the world of beating.

1.00 Beverley - 1pt win Coley's Koko @ 6/1 Bet365
Brazen Belle will do well to win this under penalties and whilst the favourite has good claims, isn't unbeatable and I like the chances of Nigel Tinkler's runner. Shaped pretty well on debut when only beaten 5 lengths and she was quite an expensive purchase. You'd expect her to come on for that being from the Tinkler yard and the race itself looks a pretty decent one. The 2nd and 3rd that day were solid types with good form in the book and rated around 80, the 4th won easily next time and the 6th was a good second - Coley's Koko was 5th on that occasion and looks capable of making the step up today with the best draw of the front three at the head of the market to boot.
1.30 Beverley - 2pts win Prudhoe @ 7/2 Bet365
Similar story here where I'm keen to take on the favourite who saddles a penalty for winning a weak race on debut and was disappointing last time out. Has hung on both occasions and whilst less of an issue at a right handed track today, doesn't fill be with confidence. Prudhoe was supported when running a good race on debut, not beaten far despite a slow start behind Ben Macdui, who has subsequently run second in group company to be rated in the 100s. That race looks decent enough - the horse one place behind Prudhoe hacked up next time out and from stall 1 looks to have a big chance with typical improvement on second start.
2.00 Beverley - 1pt e/w Musharrif @ 8/1 Bet365
Has been running himself back into form including when an excellent fourth here last week. Historically can need a few runs after a break to get up to speed and wasn't beaten far despite racing wide throughout and only lost 2nd late on. Is primed to strike off an excellent handicap mark and suggested his turn wasn't far away six days ago. Again has a wide draw to contend with here but there are only 8 runners in here today so should find it easier to assume a better track position than he did last week and can run a big race.
2.30 Beverley - 1pt e/w Twiggybark Creek @ 14/1 Hills
Interesting that this one was heavily backed on debut on the all weather - failed to fire but there was confidence there and whilst only a small sample size, so far Twilight Son's progeny have a poor record on artificial surfaces so may turn out better on turf. Whilst beaten nearly 6 lengths next time out, it was in a very hot race as it turns out. The ratings of those ahead of him now stand at 100, 82, 84 and 85 and the horse behind him is now rated 72. Twiggybark Creek goes handicapping off 69 today with Thomas Greatrex taking off a further 3lbs so has been given a chance by the handicapper and there's sufficient stamina on the dam's side to suggest this step up in trip can suit too - worth a go at a handy price.
3.00 Beverley - 1pt e/w Osmosis @ 25/1 Bet365
At the price I think it's worth chancing Jason Ward's runner from stall 1 as on her form of last summer would be thrown in off a mark of 48 despite having failed to get her head in front to date. Ran a number of sound races under similar conditions to this off marks in the 60s and although showing very little on her first two starts this year, shaped much better last time out at Leicester - losing her place mid race before staying on again over the 7f trip. That was too short for her so the step back up in trip will help and if building on that, can make the price look a big one today.
3.15 Fontwell - 2pts win Ferrobin @ 11/2 Bet365
Lurks on a very good handicap mark and has had obvious excuses this year. Was a bit in and out last year, resulting in his handicap mark coming down quite dramatically but also ran some disappointing races on soft ground which may not have suited as his best efforts have come on a sound surface. Gets that today and was sent off a short price favourite in a chase on his seasonal reappearance - didn't make it past the first that day but shaped better when not beaten far and going well for a long way back over hurdles last time. Entitled to come on for that given it was essentially his first run of the year and can take advantage of his lowly handicap mark with that under his belt.

1.00 Beverley - 1pt win Coley's Koko @ 6/1 Bet365
Brazen Belle will do well to win this under penalties and whilst the favourite has good claims, isn't unbeatable and I like the chances of Nigel Tinkler's runner. Shaped pretty well on debut when only beaten 5 lengths and she was quite an expensive purchase. You'd expect her to come on for that being from the Tinkler yard and the race itself looks a pretty decent one. The 2nd and 3rd that day were solid types with good form in the book and rated around 80, the 4th won easily next time and the 6th was a good second - Coley's Koko was 5th on that occasion and looks capable of making the step up today with the best draw of the front three at the head of the market to boot.
1.30 Beverley - 2pts win Prudhoe @ 7/2 Bet365
Similar story here where I'm keen to take on the favourite who saddles a penalty for winning a weak race on debut and was disappointing last time out. Has hung on both occasions and whilst less of an issue at a right handed track today, doesn't fill be with confidence. Prudhoe was supported when running a good race on debut, not beaten far despite a slow start behind Ben Macdui, who has subsequently run second in group company to be rated in the 100s. That race looks decent enough - the horse one place behind Prudhoe hacked up next time out and from stall 1 looks to have a big chance with typical improvement on second start.
2.00 Beverley - 1pt e/w Musharrif @ 8/1 Bet365
Has been running himself back into form including when an excellent fourth here last week. Historically can need a few runs after a break to get up to speed and wasn't beaten far despite racing wide throughout and only lost 2nd late on. Is primed to strike off an excellent handicap mark and suggested his turn wasn't far away six days ago. Again has a wide draw to contend with here but there are only 8 runners in here today so should find it easier to assume a better track position than he did last week and can run a big race.
2.30 Beverley - 1pt e/w Twiggybark Creek @ 14/1 Hills
Interesting that this one was heavily backed on debut on the all weather - failed to fire but there was confidence there and whilst only a small sample size, so far Twilight Son's progeny have a poor record on artificial surfaces so may turn out better on turf. Whilst beaten nearly 6 lengths next time out, it was in a very hot race as it turns out. The ratings of those ahead of him now stand at 100, 82, 84 and 85 and the horse behind him is now rated 72. Twiggybark Creek goes handicapping off 69 today with Thomas Greatrex taking off a further 3lbs so has been given a chance by the handicapper and there's sufficient stamina on the dam's side to suggest this step up in trip can suit too - worth a go at a handy price.
3.00 Beverley - 1pt e/w Osmosis @ 25/1 Bet365
At the price I think it's worth chancing Jason Ward's runner from stall 1 as on her form of last summer would be thrown in off a mark of 48 despite having failed to get her head in front to date. Ran a number of sound races under similar conditions to this off marks in the 60s and although showing very little on her first two starts this year, shaped much better last time out at Leicester - losing her place mid race before staying on again over the 7f trip. That was too short for her so the step back up in trip will help and if building on that, can make the price look a big one today.
3.15 Fontwell - 2pts win Ferrobin @ 11/2 Bet365
Lurks on a very good handicap mark and has had obvious excuses this year. Was a bit in and out last year, resulting in his handicap mark coming down quite dramatically but also ran some disappointing races on soft ground which may not have suited as his best efforts have come on a sound surface. Gets that today and was sent off a short price favourite in a chase on his seasonal reappearance - didn't make it past the first that day but shaped better when not beaten far and going well for a long way back over hurdles last time. Entitled to come on for that given it was essentially his first run of the year and can take advantage of his lowly handicap mark with that under his belt.

1.45 Catterick - 1pt e/w Twin Appeal @ 10/1 Bet365
Looks a big price for a horse who has run very well the last twice, including a narrow defeat in a higher grade last time out. Stays this trip well and handles soft ground which will help him in the closing stages and although drawn wide, doesn't have to lead so can take his time through the race. Form stands up with any of these really, not off a bad mark and looks capable of running a big race.
2.10 Uttoxeter - 0.5pts e/w Vexed @ 33/1 Bet365
Has a tough task to beat the favourite but hoping that this one can make the frame at a handy price - didn't pull up any trees on hurdling debut but was weak in the market that day and should improve for that experience. The winner is a good type and that exaggerated the losing margin of this one in midfield. Has shown plenty on the flat previously to be a decent type and stays quite well on the level so stamina isn't an issue. Would have liked to have seen more at Bangor but should come on for that in both fitness and experience and can hopefully improve to finish closer here. 
2.20 Catterick - 1pt e/w Lion Tower @ 10/1 Bet365
Mark Johnston's runner has the box seat in stall 1 here and I think can go forward with the change of headgear and race handily throughout. Has been running in better races than this but seemingly found the ground on the firm side last time out. Has form on the fibresand and soft so the return to this sort of surface will suit and has edged down the handicap a bit too. Shouldn't have to contend with the speed of some of his conquerors in recent races both at this level and on this ground so can keep rolling from a prominent position up the straight, hopefully into the first three at least.
2.50 Catterick - 2pts win Samara Bay @ 9/2 Hills
Richard Fahey's runner would be favourite for this had he not been well held at Goodwood last time but there were obvious excuses that day - up significantly in class, bumped at the start, keen and hampered mid race before fading over the 7f there. I think 6f on soft ground can suit and still looks fairly handicapped off a ready success two starts back and on novice form which reads well. Has the form in the book and can get back to winning ways this afternoon.
3.10 Uttoxeter - 2pts win Theclockisticking @ 8/1 Hills
Quite keen on the chances of this one having backed him at Market Rasen last time in a decent race under similar condition to what he faces today. Was under pressure but staying on when hampered up the straight and never really recovered before plugging on again but that also came after a lengthy absence so can be entitled to strip fitter today. Is well handicapped on lots of his old form and also gets the application of blinkers today to keep his mind on the job - lots in his favour and can go close. 
5.20 Catterick - 1pt e/w Thorntoun Care @ 10/1 Hills
There has been support for Roger Fell's runner here and I can see why - shaped as if returning to form when staying on from off the pace at Pontefract last time to be beaten less than four lengths at a tricky track to make up ground and on a surface sharp enough for him. Is down to a nice mark again now and will relish the softer conditions here - goes well for this rider which is a plus point in these races and they often go quickly in amateur jockey races which again will suit as he's likely to come from behind. Everything looks primed for a big run today.

1.45 Catterick - 1pt e/w Twin Appeal @ 10/1 Bet365
Looks a big price for a horse who has run very well the last twice, including a narrow defeat in a higher grade last time out. Stays this trip well and handles soft ground which will help him in the closing stages and although drawn wide, doesn't have to lead so can take his time through the race. Form stands up with any of these really, not off a bad mark and looks capable of running a big race.
2.10 Uttoxeter - 0.5pts e/w Vexed @ 33/1 Bet365
Has a tough task to beat the favourite but hoping that this one can make the frame at a handy price - didn't pull up any trees on hurdling debut but was weak in the market that day and should improve for that experience. The winner is a good type and that exaggerated the losing margin of this one in midfield. Has shown plenty on the flat previously to be a decent type and stays quite well on the level so stamina isn't an issue. Would have liked to have seen more at Bangor but should come on for that in both fitness and experience and can hopefully improve to finish closer here. 
2.20 Catterick - 1pt e/w Lion Tower @ 10/1 Bet365
Mark Johnston's runner has the box seat in stall 1 here and I think can go forward with the change of headgear and race handily throughout. Has been running in better races than this but seemingly found the ground on the firm side last time out. Has form on the fibresand and soft so the return to this sort of surface will suit and has edged down the handicap a bit too. Shouldn't have to contend with the speed of some of his conquerors in recent races both at this level and on this ground so can keep rolling from a prominent position up the straight, hopefully into the first three at least.
2.50 Catterick - 2pts win Samara Bay @ 9/2 Hills
Richard Fahey's runner would be favourite for this had he not been well held at Goodwood last time but there were obvious excuses that day - up significantly in class, bumped at the start, keen and hampered mid race before fading over the 7f there. I think 6f on soft ground can suit and still looks fairly handicapped off a ready success two starts back and on novice form which reads well. Has the form in the book and can get back to winning ways this afternoon.
3.10 Uttoxeter - 2pts win Theclockisticking @ 8/1 Hills
Quite keen on the chances of this one having backed him at Market Rasen last time in a decent race under similar condition to what he faces today. Was under pressure but staying on when hampered up the straight and never really recovered before plugging on again but that also came after a lengthy absence so can be entitled to strip fitter today. Is well handicapped on lots of his old form and also gets the application of blinkers today to keep his mind on the job - lots in his favour and can go close. 
5.20 Catterick - 1pt e/w Thorntoun Care @ 10/1 Hills
There has been support for Roger Fell's runner here and I can see why - shaped as if returning to form when staying on from off the pace at Pontefract last time to be beaten less than four lengths at a tricky track to make up ground and on a surface sharp enough for him. Is down to a nice mark again now and will relish the softer conditions here - goes well for this rider which is a plus point in these races and they often go quickly in amateur jockey races which again will suit as he's likely to come from behind. Everything looks primed for a big run today.

2.05 Newmarket - 2pts win Indigo Lake @ 11/2 Bet365
Boss Power has to take a step up in class in his stride today so I'll take him on at the price and I quite like Indigo Lake in here. Looks a better horse this year after some promising runs in novices last campaign (including very closely matched form with Night Bear), seeing off the progressive Favourite Moon at Doncaster on first start before being narrowly denied next time out. Found 1m6f too far last time so drops back to the ideal trip of 1m4f today. Another thing about this horse is he can hit a flat spot in races - not ideal around the likes of Lingfield or Haydock where he's run already John and a more galloping track today will certainly suit his style (much like Doncaster did). His full brother is a group one horse so room for improvement with this one yet and has the blinkers applied today to keep his mind on the job throughout - if not resenting them, should go well.
2.15 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Diamond And Gold @ 9/1 Bet365
Typical Sir Michael Stoute type who is sure to come on plenty on her debut effort, not knocked about but staying on from last into midfield at Newmarket in a race I consider to be a strong one relative to this one. There's a couple of rivals who finished closer than this one on their debuts but were probably better primed for their first run and I do think the Newmarket race will work out better than those they competed in. This filly is a half sister to numerous winners, will enjoy the galloping nature of the track and should know more and strip fitter so represents good each-way value to me here. 
2.25 Newbury - 1pt win Jahbath @ 7/1 Bet365
Shaped promisingly back from a 16 month absence last time out at Haydock, staying on from the rear on soft ground but this one is a Mukhadram gelding so would expect the slightly better ground today will help him too. Naturally should improve for the run and looks fairly handicapped on his seriously impressive runs last year - comfortably beat a 100 rated horse at Kempton so don't think a mark of 99 is beyond him at all and his only flop came on dirt in Meydan when last seen before his reappearance. Best form has come when tracking the pace so being hampered at the start and racing in the rear wasn't ideal either at Haydock and all things considered should find today more suitable.
2.40 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Recall The Show @ 10/1 Bet365
I think there's a lot to like about Mick Quinn's runner here on a lot of his form where he's been unlucky to bump into nice horses throughout. Ran many good races in novices in Ireland with his mark of 80 looking very fair on his narrow defeat to an Aidan O'Brien horse now rated in the 90s and the form of the race in which he was a closing 4th over 6f with all of those ahead of him going on to be rated well into the 80s and 90s. When he did get a go in handicaps, he was 3rd in a race at Dundalk that worked out extremely well - the winner now rated significantly higher and the 2nd going on to be placed in group races over in the USA and then on his first run over here found himself 2nd to a horse now rated almost 20lbs higher in the handicap, so he's been unfortunate throughout his career not to land a race. Hopefully there won't be anything quite so progressive lurking here and the extra furlong can help too today.
3.35 Newbury - 2pts win Threat @ 11/2 Bet365
The favourite has an obvious chance but has looked vulnerable late on over 7f in good company previously so will take him on with Threat, who was a good horse last year and shaped very well indeed on seasonal reappearance in the St James' Palace stakes, travelling ominously well before failing to get home over a mile. Clearly that form is good with it being a group one and although he ran flat in the July Cup last time, it's possible it came too soon and now gets a return to slightly easier company and 7f which looks his ideal trip. 
4.00 Doncaster - 3pts win Ghalyoon @ 11/4 Bet365
A shortish price compared to my more typical selections but despite a lengthy absence, looks chucked in here on handicap debut off 87. The last twice he's been six lengths clear of third having finished 1 1/2l behind Nazeef (now rated 116) and having beaten Posted (now rated 101). Lightly raced so more to come and his run behind Nazeef came after a similarly long absence so all in all, looks extremely well placed to score today. 
4.25 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Wolflet @ 13/2 Bet365
John Gosden's runner has shown significant promise in three starts to date and I think there should be more to come. Her dam was a very good horse rated in the 100s when retiring having raced over middle distances and I think this filly will enjoy the galloping track here from the front. Should find it easier to hold off rivals here than at Haydock last time and has better ground today too. The form of her novice runs suggest there's scope off this mark, having finished second to First Kingdom at Kempton two starts back with the third horse also showing progressive form since to be rated higher than what Wolflet goes off today. Conditions ought to suit, should take another step forward today and should run well.

2.05 Newmarket - 2pts win Indigo Lake @ 11/2 Bet365
Boss Power has to take a step up in class in his stride today so I'll take him on at the price and I quite like Indigo Lake in here. Looks a better horse this year after some promising runs in novices last campaign (including very closely matched form with Night Bear), seeing off the progressive Favourite Moon at Doncaster on first start before being narrowly denied next time out. Found 1m6f too far last time so drops back to the ideal trip of 1m4f today. Another thing about this horse is he can hit a flat spot in races - not ideal around the likes of Lingfield or Haydock where he's run already John and a more galloping track today will certainly suit his style (much like Doncaster did). His full brother is a group one horse so room for improvement with this one yet and has the blinkers applied today to keep his mind on the job throughout - if not resenting them, should go well.
2.15 Doncaster - 1pt e/w Diamond And Gold @ 9/1 Bet365
Typical Sir Michael Stoute type who is sure to come on plenty on her debut effort, not knocked about but staying on from last into midfield at Newmarket in a race I consider to be a strong one relative to this one. There's a couple of rivals who finished closer than this one on their debuts but were probably better primed for their first run and I do think the Newmarket race will work out better than those they competed in. This filly is a half sister to numerous winners, will enjoy the galloping nature of the track and should know more and strip fitter so represents good each-way value to me here. 
2.25 Newbury - 1pt win Jahbath @ 7/1 Bet365
Shaped promisingly back from a 16 month absence last time out at Haydock, staying on from the rear on soft ground but this one is a Mukhadram gelding so would expect the slightly better ground today will help him too. Naturally should improve for the run and looks fairly handicapped on his seriously impressive runs last year - comfortably beat a 100 rated horse at Kempton so don't think a mark of 99 is beyond him at all and his only flop came on dirt in Meydan when last seen before his reappearance. Best form has come when tracking the pace so being hampered at the start and racing in the rear wasn't ideal either at Haydock and all things considered should find today more suitable.
2.40 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Recall The Show @ 10/1 Bet365
I think there's a lot to like about Mick Quinn's runner here on a lot of his form where he's been unlucky to bump into nice horses throughout. Ran many good races in novices in Ireland with his mark of 80 looking very fair on his narrow defeat to an Aidan O'Brien horse now rated in the 90s and the form of the race in which he was a closing 4th over 6f with all of those ahead of him going on to be rated well into the 80s and 90s. When he did get a go in handicaps, he was 3rd in a race at Dundalk that worked out extremely well - the winner now rated significantly higher and the 2nd going on to be placed in group races over in the USA and then on his first run over here found himself 2nd to a horse now rated almost 20lbs higher in the handicap, so he's been unfortunate throughout his career not to land a race. Hopefully there won't be anything quite so progressive lurking here and the extra furlong can help too today.
3.35 Newbury - 2pts win Threat @ 11/2 Bet365
The favourite has an obvious chance but has looked vulnerable late on over 7f in good company previously so will take him on with Threat, who was a good horse last year and shaped very well indeed on seasonal reappearance in the St James' Palace stakes, travelling ominously well before failing to get home over a mile. Clearly that form is good with it being a group one and although he ran flat in the July Cup last time, it's possible it came too soon and now gets a return to slightly easier company and 7f which looks his ideal trip. 
4.00 Doncaster - 3pts win Ghalyoon @ 11/4 Bet365
A shortish price compared to my more typical selections but despite a lengthy absence, looks chucked in here on handicap debut off 87. The last twice he's been six lengths clear of third having finished 1 1/2l behind Nazeef (now rated 116) and having beaten Posted (now rated 101). Lightly raced so more to come and his run behind Nazeef came after a similarly long absence so all in all, looks extremely well placed to score today. 
4.25 Newmarket - 1pt e/w Wolflet @ 13/2 Bet365
John Gosden's runner has shown significant promise in three starts to date and I think there should be more to come. Her dam was a very good horse rated in the 100s when retiring having raced over middle distances and I think this filly will enjoy the galloping track here from the front. Should find it easier to hold off rivals here than at Haydock last time and has better ground today too. The form of her novice runs suggest there's scope off this mark, having finished second to First Kingdom at Kempton two starts back with the third horse also showing progressive form since to be rated higher than what Wolflet goes off today. Conditions ought to suit, should take another step forward today and should run well.

2.50 Pontefract - Stormy Girl @ 20/1 Hills

My moaning about not having a winner in about 40 attempts worked! 

2.50 Pontefract - Stormy Girl @ 20/1 Hills