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Darran
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Darran got a reaction from vikki37 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 18th
We have some good jumping action on Sunday at Pakenham so I will be looking at that tomorrow, but Saturday sees racing at Flemington in Melbourne and they are racing on the Kensington track at Randwick up in Sydney. I have bets in 9 races this week.
Flemington R2 (3.30am)
Proper Rogue is the one for me here. In 5 career starts he was won 2 and finished 2nd the other 3 times including his first run of the prep at Caulfield last month when he should really have won. He didn't see daylight until about 150m out and the winner had already flown, but he finished well for 2nd. The winner, Lucifier's Reward, is in this race as well, but I think the form can be reversed. He's already won down the straight here and there shouldn't be any excuses this time around.
Proper Rogue @ 9/4 with William Hill
Flemington R5 (5.20am)
2 against the field in a race which is being run for just the 2nd time having first been run in 1849! Sweet Thomas was a really impressive winner of the Stayers Cup at Rosehill last month and back in April he finished 4th in the Sydney Cup. He's a strong stayer and although the ground wont be as testing as last time he's won on better ground and he should go close. The other one I like is South Pacific who won at Royal Ascot last year. He only beat two home at Caulfield on his Aussie debut, but it was over 2000m and he was held up which was against the track bias that day. He wasn't knocked about and stepping up to 2800m 2nd up should see a much better performance. For me on his form in the UK and Ireland he has the beating of these.
Sweet Thomas @ 7/2 with Betfair
South Pacific @ 14/5 with Bet365
Flemington R6 (6.00am)
I was going to tip up Right You Are last week but he was scratched because he was drawn badly and connections took him out (yes you are allowed to do that in Australia) and waited for this race instead. He is drawn in 4 here and he looks a really progressive horse. He has won half of his 6 starts and finished 2nd over 2000m last time and the winner has won again since so the form looks really solid. he won over 1600m the time before so the drop down in trip shouldn't be a bother.
Right You Are @ 3/1 with William Hill
Flemington R7 (6.40am)
Orderofthegarter is another ex O'Brian horse on the card and he has to be chanced in this. He finished 2nd in the 2017 Hampton Court to Benbatl which is obviously top form. His only start in Australia was here in September 2018 and he ran really well to finish 2nd. If he's fit he wins this for me and clearly connections think he has plenty of ability left in the tank for them to have carried on with him. I am happy to take the chance with his fitness. I will have a saver on Danon Roman in case he isn't fit. I liked his performance when winning here a month ago and I think the form is strong as mentioned again below.
Orderofthegarter @ 9/2 with Bet365
Danon Roman @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R4 (4.25am)
Kiss The Bridge ran the fastest sectional in the race from 600m to 200m and he looked like he might win the race, but his effort peaked in the final 200m and he finished 3rd. He's never won 1st up or 2nd up so he should be ready to peak on his 3rd start of the prep. He also steps up to 1800m which is the shortest trip he has won over so that is another plus.
Kiss The Bridge @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R5 (5.00am)
Frankely Awesome was a big priced winner for us last month and this daughter of Frankel can go in again for me. She had hinted she was finding her best form again and she delivered last time beating Sixties Groove who boosted the form by winning the Grafton Cup last week. She does drop back in trip 200m, but I don't think it will matter and hopefully she can win again for us.
Frankely Awesome @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R6 (5.40am)
Another winner I put up last time out was Handspun and he was really impressive in beating Cristal Breeze. He had to force his way out that day as well and was a dominant winner once he got out. He could easily follow up. I am also going to cover Man Of Peace who has been running really consistently of late. I put him up when he was 2nd at Flemington a month ago and he was only just denied late on by a good horse. He will look to make all and hopefully it will be Handspun whose the one who is running him down and it won't matter who wins.
Handspun @ 7/5 with Bet365
Man Of Peace @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R8 (7.00am)
Strawb steps up to metro level here but I think she is good enough to land this. She has looked really good the last twice at Newcastle and is clearly progressive. She went off at short odds last time, but the time she clocked suggests she is a good horse and more than up to a BM78.
Strawb @ 6/4 with William Hill and Betfair
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Darran got a reaction from BBBC in Racing Chat - Saturday July 18th
We have some good jumping action on Sunday at Pakenham so I will be looking at that tomorrow, but Saturday sees racing at Flemington in Melbourne and they are racing on the Kensington track at Randwick up in Sydney. I have bets in 9 races this week.
Flemington R2 (3.30am)
Proper Rogue is the one for me here. In 5 career starts he was won 2 and finished 2nd the other 3 times including his first run of the prep at Caulfield last month when he should really have won. He didn't see daylight until about 150m out and the winner had already flown, but he finished well for 2nd. The winner, Lucifier's Reward, is in this race as well, but I think the form can be reversed. He's already won down the straight here and there shouldn't be any excuses this time around.
Proper Rogue @ 9/4 with William Hill
Flemington R5 (5.20am)
2 against the field in a race which is being run for just the 2nd time having first been run in 1849! Sweet Thomas was a really impressive winner of the Stayers Cup at Rosehill last month and back in April he finished 4th in the Sydney Cup. He's a strong stayer and although the ground wont be as testing as last time he's won on better ground and he should go close. The other one I like is South Pacific who won at Royal Ascot last year. He only beat two home at Caulfield on his Aussie debut, but it was over 2000m and he was held up which was against the track bias that day. He wasn't knocked about and stepping up to 2800m 2nd up should see a much better performance. For me on his form in the UK and Ireland he has the beating of these.
Sweet Thomas @ 7/2 with Betfair
South Pacific @ 14/5 with Bet365
Flemington R6 (6.00am)
I was going to tip up Right You Are last week but he was scratched because he was drawn badly and connections took him out (yes you are allowed to do that in Australia) and waited for this race instead. He is drawn in 4 here and he looks a really progressive horse. He has won half of his 6 starts and finished 2nd over 2000m last time and the winner has won again since so the form looks really solid. he won over 1600m the time before so the drop down in trip shouldn't be a bother.
Right You Are @ 3/1 with William Hill
Flemington R7 (6.40am)
Orderofthegarter is another ex O'Brian horse on the card and he has to be chanced in this. He finished 2nd in the 2017 Hampton Court to Benbatl which is obviously top form. His only start in Australia was here in September 2018 and he ran really well to finish 2nd. If he's fit he wins this for me and clearly connections think he has plenty of ability left in the tank for them to have carried on with him. I am happy to take the chance with his fitness. I will have a saver on Danon Roman in case he isn't fit. I liked his performance when winning here a month ago and I think the form is strong as mentioned again below.
Orderofthegarter @ 9/2 with Bet365
Danon Roman @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R4 (4.25am)
Kiss The Bridge ran the fastest sectional in the race from 600m to 200m and he looked like he might win the race, but his effort peaked in the final 200m and he finished 3rd. He's never won 1st up or 2nd up so he should be ready to peak on his 3rd start of the prep. He also steps up to 1800m which is the shortest trip he has won over so that is another plus.
Kiss The Bridge @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R5 (5.00am)
Frankely Awesome was a big priced winner for us last month and this daughter of Frankel can go in again for me. She had hinted she was finding her best form again and she delivered last time beating Sixties Groove who boosted the form by winning the Grafton Cup last week. She does drop back in trip 200m, but I don't think it will matter and hopefully she can win again for us.
Frankely Awesome @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R6 (5.40am)
Another winner I put up last time out was Handspun and he was really impressive in beating Cristal Breeze. He had to force his way out that day as well and was a dominant winner once he got out. He could easily follow up. I am also going to cover Man Of Peace who has been running really consistently of late. I put him up when he was 2nd at Flemington a month ago and he was only just denied late on by a good horse. He will look to make all and hopefully it will be Handspun whose the one who is running him down and it won't matter who wins.
Handspun @ 7/5 with Bet365
Man Of Peace @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R8 (7.00am)
Strawb steps up to metro level here but I think she is good enough to land this. She has looked really good the last twice at Newcastle and is clearly progressive. She went off at short odds last time, but the time she clocked suggests she is a good horse and more than up to a BM78.
Strawb @ 6/4 with William Hill and Betfair
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Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 18th
We have some good jumping action on Sunday at Pakenham so I will be looking at that tomorrow, but Saturday sees racing at Flemington in Melbourne and they are racing on the Kensington track at Randwick up in Sydney. I have bets in 9 races this week.
Flemington R2 (3.30am)
Proper Rogue is the one for me here. In 5 career starts he was won 2 and finished 2nd the other 3 times including his first run of the prep at Caulfield last month when he should really have won. He didn't see daylight until about 150m out and the winner had already flown, but he finished well for 2nd. The winner, Lucifier's Reward, is in this race as well, but I think the form can be reversed. He's already won down the straight here and there shouldn't be any excuses this time around.
Proper Rogue @ 9/4 with William Hill
Flemington R5 (5.20am)
2 against the field in a race which is being run for just the 2nd time having first been run in 1849! Sweet Thomas was a really impressive winner of the Stayers Cup at Rosehill last month and back in April he finished 4th in the Sydney Cup. He's a strong stayer and although the ground wont be as testing as last time he's won on better ground and he should go close. The other one I like is South Pacific who won at Royal Ascot last year. He only beat two home at Caulfield on his Aussie debut, but it was over 2000m and he was held up which was against the track bias that day. He wasn't knocked about and stepping up to 2800m 2nd up should see a much better performance. For me on his form in the UK and Ireland he has the beating of these.
Sweet Thomas @ 7/2 with Betfair
South Pacific @ 14/5 with Bet365
Flemington R6 (6.00am)
I was going to tip up Right You Are last week but he was scratched because he was drawn badly and connections took him out (yes you are allowed to do that in Australia) and waited for this race instead. He is drawn in 4 here and he looks a really progressive horse. He has won half of his 6 starts and finished 2nd over 2000m last time and the winner has won again since so the form looks really solid. he won over 1600m the time before so the drop down in trip shouldn't be a bother.
Right You Are @ 3/1 with William Hill
Flemington R7 (6.40am)
Orderofthegarter is another ex O'Brian horse on the card and he has to be chanced in this. He finished 2nd in the 2017 Hampton Court to Benbatl which is obviously top form. His only start in Australia was here in September 2018 and he ran really well to finish 2nd. If he's fit he wins this for me and clearly connections think he has plenty of ability left in the tank for them to have carried on with him. I am happy to take the chance with his fitness. I will have a saver on Danon Roman in case he isn't fit. I liked his performance when winning here a month ago and I think the form is strong as mentioned again below.
Orderofthegarter @ 9/2 with Bet365
Danon Roman @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R4 (4.25am)
Kiss The Bridge ran the fastest sectional in the race from 600m to 200m and he looked like he might win the race, but his effort peaked in the final 200m and he finished 3rd. He's never won 1st up or 2nd up so he should be ready to peak on his 3rd start of the prep. He also steps up to 1800m which is the shortest trip he has won over so that is another plus.
Kiss The Bridge @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R5 (5.00am)
Frankely Awesome was a big priced winner for us last month and this daughter of Frankel can go in again for me. She had hinted she was finding her best form again and she delivered last time beating Sixties Groove who boosted the form by winning the Grafton Cup last week. She does drop back in trip 200m, but I don't think it will matter and hopefully she can win again for us.
Frankely Awesome @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R6 (5.40am)
Another winner I put up last time out was Handspun and he was really impressive in beating Cristal Breeze. He had to force his way out that day as well and was a dominant winner once he got out. He could easily follow up. I am also going to cover Man Of Peace who has been running really consistently of late. I put him up when he was 2nd at Flemington a month ago and he was only just denied late on by a good horse. He will look to make all and hopefully it will be Handspun whose the one who is running him down and it won't matter who wins.
Handspun @ 7/5 with Bet365
Man Of Peace @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R8 (7.00am)
Strawb steps up to metro level here but I think she is good enough to land this. She has looked really good the last twice at Newcastle and is clearly progressive. She went off at short odds last time, but the time she clocked suggests she is a good horse and more than up to a BM78.
Strawb @ 6/4 with William Hill and Betfair
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Darran got a reaction from LEE-GRAYS in Racing Chat - Saturday July 18th
We have some good jumping action on Sunday at Pakenham so I will be looking at that tomorrow, but Saturday sees racing at Flemington in Melbourne and they are racing on the Kensington track at Randwick up in Sydney. I have bets in 9 races this week.
Flemington R2 (3.30am)
Proper Rogue is the one for me here. In 5 career starts he was won 2 and finished 2nd the other 3 times including his first run of the prep at Caulfield last month when he should really have won. He didn't see daylight until about 150m out and the winner had already flown, but he finished well for 2nd. The winner, Lucifier's Reward, is in this race as well, but I think the form can be reversed. He's already won down the straight here and there shouldn't be any excuses this time around.
Proper Rogue @ 9/4 with William Hill
Flemington R5 (5.20am)
2 against the field in a race which is being run for just the 2nd time having first been run in 1849! Sweet Thomas was a really impressive winner of the Stayers Cup at Rosehill last month and back in April he finished 4th in the Sydney Cup. He's a strong stayer and although the ground wont be as testing as last time he's won on better ground and he should go close. The other one I like is South Pacific who won at Royal Ascot last year. He only beat two home at Caulfield on his Aussie debut, but it was over 2000m and he was held up which was against the track bias that day. He wasn't knocked about and stepping up to 2800m 2nd up should see a much better performance. For me on his form in the UK and Ireland he has the beating of these.
Sweet Thomas @ 7/2 with Betfair
South Pacific @ 14/5 with Bet365
Flemington R6 (6.00am)
I was going to tip up Right You Are last week but he was scratched because he was drawn badly and connections took him out (yes you are allowed to do that in Australia) and waited for this race instead. He is drawn in 4 here and he looks a really progressive horse. He has won half of his 6 starts and finished 2nd over 2000m last time and the winner has won again since so the form looks really solid. he won over 1600m the time before so the drop down in trip shouldn't be a bother.
Right You Are @ 3/1 with William Hill
Flemington R7 (6.40am)
Orderofthegarter is another ex O'Brian horse on the card and he has to be chanced in this. He finished 2nd in the 2017 Hampton Court to Benbatl which is obviously top form. His only start in Australia was here in September 2018 and he ran really well to finish 2nd. If he's fit he wins this for me and clearly connections think he has plenty of ability left in the tank for them to have carried on with him. I am happy to take the chance with his fitness. I will have a saver on Danon Roman in case he isn't fit. I liked his performance when winning here a month ago and I think the form is strong as mentioned again below.
Orderofthegarter @ 9/2 with Bet365
Danon Roman @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R4 (4.25am)
Kiss The Bridge ran the fastest sectional in the race from 600m to 200m and he looked like he might win the race, but his effort peaked in the final 200m and he finished 3rd. He's never won 1st up or 2nd up so he should be ready to peak on his 3rd start of the prep. He also steps up to 1800m which is the shortest trip he has won over so that is another plus.
Kiss The Bridge @ 3/1 with everyone
Kensington R5 (5.00am)
Frankely Awesome was a big priced winner for us last month and this daughter of Frankel can go in again for me. She had hinted she was finding her best form again and she delivered last time beating Sixties Groove who boosted the form by winning the Grafton Cup last week. She does drop back in trip 200m, but I don't think it will matter and hopefully she can win again for us.
Frankely Awesome @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R6 (5.40am)
Another winner I put up last time out was Handspun and he was really impressive in beating Cristal Breeze. He had to force his way out that day as well and was a dominant winner once he got out. He could easily follow up. I am also going to cover Man Of Peace who has been running really consistently of late. I put him up when he was 2nd at Flemington a month ago and he was only just denied late on by a good horse. He will look to make all and hopefully it will be Handspun whose the one who is running him down and it won't matter who wins.
Handspun @ 7/5 with Bet365
Man Of Peace @ 9/2 with Betfair
Kensington R8 (7.00am)
Strawb steps up to metro level here but I think she is good enough to land this. She has looked really good the last twice at Newcastle and is clearly progressive. She went off at short odds last time, but the time she clocked suggests she is a good horse and more than up to a BM78.
Strawb @ 6/4 with William Hill and Betfair
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Darran got a reaction from black rabbit in Racing Chat - Saturday July 11th
3/5 on the Aussie front and another massive profit to wake up to. Korcho the star of the show winning at 18/1
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Darran got a reaction from BBBC in Racing Chat - Saturday July 11th
3/5 on the Aussie front and another massive profit to wake up to. Korcho the star of the show winning at 18/1
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Darran got a reaction from Tedthewolf in Racing Chat - Saturday July 11th
3/5 on the Aussie front and another massive profit to wake up to. Korcho the star of the show winning at 18/1
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Darran got a reaction from vikki37 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 11th
The Aussie action in Melbourne and Sydney this week comes from Caulfield and Rosehill respectively and I have bets in 3 races from each venue.
Caulfield R4 (4.35am)
Ballet Master is the pick here as I like the form of his win at Randwick last time. The horse he beat Bandersnatch also runs tomorrow at Rosehill and I think he will win tomorrow although won't be tipping him up as he is too short a price. With more rain forecast if the track gets into the heavy range then we know that he handles it which would be a concern for some of his main rivals here.
Ballet Master @ 7/1 with Betfair
Caulfield R7 (6.35am)
The feature race on the card and if it does get into the heavy range then Jungle Edge will be a big danger, but for me Viridine can beat him anyway. He finished 1 place in front of Jungle Edge in the June Stakes which was a strong race. He followed that up with a win at Randwick and looked good in doing so as well. That was in a Heavy 9 so really testing ground wont bother him. I think he will take a sit behind Jungle Edge and then pounce in the home straight.
Viridine @ 6/4 with Bet365
Caulfield R8 (7.10m)
Knowles looks over priced here at double figures. She ran really well last time at Moonee Valley against the track bias and she was still in last place at the 400m marker. Her final 200m was only beaten by the winner. She ran really well over course and distance back in April on a Heavy 8 as well and a repeat of either of those efforts will see her go close. The concern is the draw as she is in 16 and will likely be ridden for luck again. Still at the price I am happy to take a chance.
Knowles e/w @ 14/1 with William Hill (4 places only 3 places in Australia as it stands) N/R
Rosehill R2 (3.10am)
Given I was going to put up New Arrangement last week when he was a non-runner you would think I would be putting it up here, but there are a couple I prefer. My Swashbuckler is another to come from Europe having been trained in France. I thought he ran a huge race on his 2nd start in Australia at Randwick last time. At the 400m he was in 12th and didn't get into the clear until 350m out. Once in the clear he finished off the race well to finish 3rd. That was over 1600m and he now goes up to 2000m which will be ideal. He looks to have a cracking chance. I am also going to back Korcho who was trained by Hughie Morrison and a year ago ran a really good 2nd at the July meeting over the same trip as today. He's had two starts in Australia and he was given a bit of a quiet ride first up before finding all sorts of trouble at Randwick last time. On his UK form I think he has a real chance in this and better ground is going to help as well.
Fulmina is a warm favourite after an impressive win last time and is clearly a danger, but for me the value is elsewhere.
My Swashbuckler @ 5/1 with everyone
Korcho e/w @ 18/1 with Betfrred
Rosehill R7 (6.15am)
I was on Trumbull last time when he finally decided to leave the stalls at the right time and he duly scored. If he starts like that again I think he has a good chance of following up because he is clearly in flying form this prep. The previous start he finished 2nd and Noble Boy was back in 3rd. I am adding him to the bets as well because he raced on the slower part of the track that day so you can upgrade his level of performance. Clearly on that effort those two aren't going to be far from each other.
Trumbull @ 14/5 with Bet365
Noble Boy @ 5/1 with Bet365
Rosehill R8 (6.55am)
Kordia could be hard to beat here, but I think the value is elsewhere in the shape of Inanup. I really liked his 1st up run when he was 2nd to the very progressive Adelong. He came from the back that day and had to come the widest of all. He had good pieces of form last prep as well and with a better draw the hope is he can sit a bit closer to the pace than he was able to last time when he was drawn out wide. He should also come on for that run as well and he is at a price we can back him e/w.
Inanup e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill and Betfred
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Darran got a reaction from Alley Cat Glover in Racing Chat - Saturday July 11th
The Aussie action in Melbourne and Sydney this week comes from Caulfield and Rosehill respectively and I have bets in 3 races from each venue.
Caulfield R4 (4.35am)
Ballet Master is the pick here as I like the form of his win at Randwick last time. The horse he beat Bandersnatch also runs tomorrow at Rosehill and I think he will win tomorrow although won't be tipping him up as he is too short a price. With more rain forecast if the track gets into the heavy range then we know that he handles it which would be a concern for some of his main rivals here.
Ballet Master @ 7/1 with Betfair
Caulfield R7 (6.35am)
The feature race on the card and if it does get into the heavy range then Jungle Edge will be a big danger, but for me Viridine can beat him anyway. He finished 1 place in front of Jungle Edge in the June Stakes which was a strong race. He followed that up with a win at Randwick and looked good in doing so as well. That was in a Heavy 9 so really testing ground wont bother him. I think he will take a sit behind Jungle Edge and then pounce in the home straight.
Viridine @ 6/4 with Bet365
Caulfield R8 (7.10m)
Knowles looks over priced here at double figures. She ran really well last time at Moonee Valley against the track bias and she was still in last place at the 400m marker. Her final 200m was only beaten by the winner. She ran really well over course and distance back in April on a Heavy 8 as well and a repeat of either of those efforts will see her go close. The concern is the draw as she is in 16 and will likely be ridden for luck again. Still at the price I am happy to take a chance.
Knowles e/w @ 14/1 with William Hill (4 places only 3 places in Australia as it stands) N/R
Rosehill R2 (3.10am)
Given I was going to put up New Arrangement last week when he was a non-runner you would think I would be putting it up here, but there are a couple I prefer. My Swashbuckler is another to come from Europe having been trained in France. I thought he ran a huge race on his 2nd start in Australia at Randwick last time. At the 400m he was in 12th and didn't get into the clear until 350m out. Once in the clear he finished off the race well to finish 3rd. That was over 1600m and he now goes up to 2000m which will be ideal. He looks to have a cracking chance. I am also going to back Korcho who was trained by Hughie Morrison and a year ago ran a really good 2nd at the July meeting over the same trip as today. He's had two starts in Australia and he was given a bit of a quiet ride first up before finding all sorts of trouble at Randwick last time. On his UK form I think he has a real chance in this and better ground is going to help as well.
Fulmina is a warm favourite after an impressive win last time and is clearly a danger, but for me the value is elsewhere.
My Swashbuckler @ 5/1 with everyone
Korcho e/w @ 18/1 with Betfrred
Rosehill R7 (6.15am)
I was on Trumbull last time when he finally decided to leave the stalls at the right time and he duly scored. If he starts like that again I think he has a good chance of following up because he is clearly in flying form this prep. The previous start he finished 2nd and Noble Boy was back in 3rd. I am adding him to the bets as well because he raced on the slower part of the track that day so you can upgrade his level of performance. Clearly on that effort those two aren't going to be far from each other.
Trumbull @ 14/5 with Bet365
Noble Boy @ 5/1 with Bet365
Rosehill R8 (6.55am)
Kordia could be hard to beat here, but I think the value is elsewhere in the shape of Inanup. I really liked his 1st up run when he was 2nd to the very progressive Adelong. He came from the back that day and had to come the widest of all. He had good pieces of form last prep as well and with a better draw the hope is he can sit a bit closer to the pace than he was able to last time when he was drawn out wide. He should also come on for that run as well and he is at a price we can back him e/w.
Inanup e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill and Betfred
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Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 11th
The Aussie action in Melbourne and Sydney this week comes from Caulfield and Rosehill respectively and I have bets in 3 races from each venue.
Caulfield R4 (4.35am)
Ballet Master is the pick here as I like the form of his win at Randwick last time. The horse he beat Bandersnatch also runs tomorrow at Rosehill and I think he will win tomorrow although won't be tipping him up as he is too short a price. With more rain forecast if the track gets into the heavy range then we know that he handles it which would be a concern for some of his main rivals here.
Ballet Master @ 7/1 with Betfair
Caulfield R7 (6.35am)
The feature race on the card and if it does get into the heavy range then Jungle Edge will be a big danger, but for me Viridine can beat him anyway. He finished 1 place in front of Jungle Edge in the June Stakes which was a strong race. He followed that up with a win at Randwick and looked good in doing so as well. That was in a Heavy 9 so really testing ground wont bother him. I think he will take a sit behind Jungle Edge and then pounce in the home straight.
Viridine @ 6/4 with Bet365
Caulfield R8 (7.10m)
Knowles looks over priced here at double figures. She ran really well last time at Moonee Valley against the track bias and she was still in last place at the 400m marker. Her final 200m was only beaten by the winner. She ran really well over course and distance back in April on a Heavy 8 as well and a repeat of either of those efforts will see her go close. The concern is the draw as she is in 16 and will likely be ridden for luck again. Still at the price I am happy to take a chance.
Knowles e/w @ 14/1 with William Hill (4 places only 3 places in Australia as it stands) N/R
Rosehill R2 (3.10am)
Given I was going to put up New Arrangement last week when he was a non-runner you would think I would be putting it up here, but there are a couple I prefer. My Swashbuckler is another to come from Europe having been trained in France. I thought he ran a huge race on his 2nd start in Australia at Randwick last time. At the 400m he was in 12th and didn't get into the clear until 350m out. Once in the clear he finished off the race well to finish 3rd. That was over 1600m and he now goes up to 2000m which will be ideal. He looks to have a cracking chance. I am also going to back Korcho who was trained by Hughie Morrison and a year ago ran a really good 2nd at the July meeting over the same trip as today. He's had two starts in Australia and he was given a bit of a quiet ride first up before finding all sorts of trouble at Randwick last time. On his UK form I think he has a real chance in this and better ground is going to help as well.
Fulmina is a warm favourite after an impressive win last time and is clearly a danger, but for me the value is elsewhere.
My Swashbuckler @ 5/1 with everyone
Korcho e/w @ 18/1 with Betfrred
Rosehill R7 (6.15am)
I was on Trumbull last time when he finally decided to leave the stalls at the right time and he duly scored. If he starts like that again I think he has a good chance of following up because he is clearly in flying form this prep. The previous start he finished 2nd and Noble Boy was back in 3rd. I am adding him to the bets as well because he raced on the slower part of the track that day so you can upgrade his level of performance. Clearly on that effort those two aren't going to be far from each other.
Trumbull @ 14/5 with Bet365
Noble Boy @ 5/1 with Bet365
Rosehill R8 (6.55am)
Kordia could be hard to beat here, but I think the value is elsewhere in the shape of Inanup. I really liked his 1st up run when he was 2nd to the very progressive Adelong. He came from the back that day and had to come the widest of all. He had good pieces of form last prep as well and with a better draw the hope is he can sit a bit closer to the pace than he was able to last time when he was drawn out wide. He should also come on for that run as well and he is at a price we can back him e/w.
Inanup e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill and Betfred
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Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 11th
The Aussie action in Melbourne and Sydney this week comes from Caulfield and Rosehill respectively and I have bets in 3 races from each venue.
Caulfield R4 (4.35am)
Ballet Master is the pick here as I like the form of his win at Randwick last time. The horse he beat Bandersnatch also runs tomorrow at Rosehill and I think he will win tomorrow although won't be tipping him up as he is too short a price. With more rain forecast if the track gets into the heavy range then we know that he handles it which would be a concern for some of his main rivals here.
Ballet Master @ 7/1 with Betfair
Caulfield R7 (6.35am)
The feature race on the card and if it does get into the heavy range then Jungle Edge will be a big danger, but for me Viridine can beat him anyway. He finished 1 place in front of Jungle Edge in the June Stakes which was a strong race. He followed that up with a win at Randwick and looked good in doing so as well. That was in a Heavy 9 so really testing ground wont bother him. I think he will take a sit behind Jungle Edge and then pounce in the home straight.
Viridine @ 6/4 with Bet365
Caulfield R8 (7.10m)
Knowles looks over priced here at double figures. She ran really well last time at Moonee Valley against the track bias and she was still in last place at the 400m marker. Her final 200m was only beaten by the winner. She ran really well over course and distance back in April on a Heavy 8 as well and a repeat of either of those efforts will see her go close. The concern is the draw as she is in 16 and will likely be ridden for luck again. Still at the price I am happy to take a chance.
Knowles e/w @ 14/1 with William Hill (4 places only 3 places in Australia as it stands) N/R
Rosehill R2 (3.10am)
Given I was going to put up New Arrangement last week when he was a non-runner you would think I would be putting it up here, but there are a couple I prefer. My Swashbuckler is another to come from Europe having been trained in France. I thought he ran a huge race on his 2nd start in Australia at Randwick last time. At the 400m he was in 12th and didn't get into the clear until 350m out. Once in the clear he finished off the race well to finish 3rd. That was over 1600m and he now goes up to 2000m which will be ideal. He looks to have a cracking chance. I am also going to back Korcho who was trained by Hughie Morrison and a year ago ran a really good 2nd at the July meeting over the same trip as today. He's had two starts in Australia and he was given a bit of a quiet ride first up before finding all sorts of trouble at Randwick last time. On his UK form I think he has a real chance in this and better ground is going to help as well.
Fulmina is a warm favourite after an impressive win last time and is clearly a danger, but for me the value is elsewhere.
My Swashbuckler @ 5/1 with everyone
Korcho e/w @ 18/1 with Betfrred
Rosehill R7 (6.15am)
I was on Trumbull last time when he finally decided to leave the stalls at the right time and he duly scored. If he starts like that again I think he has a good chance of following up because he is clearly in flying form this prep. The previous start he finished 2nd and Noble Boy was back in 3rd. I am adding him to the bets as well because he raced on the slower part of the track that day so you can upgrade his level of performance. Clearly on that effort those two aren't going to be far from each other.
Trumbull @ 14/5 with Bet365
Noble Boy @ 5/1 with Bet365
Rosehill R8 (6.55am)
Kordia could be hard to beat here, but I think the value is elsewhere in the shape of Inanup. I really liked his 1st up run when he was 2nd to the very progressive Adelong. He came from the back that day and had to come the widest of all. He had good pieces of form last prep as well and with a better draw the hope is he can sit a bit closer to the pace than he was able to last time when he was drawn out wide. He should also come on for that run as well and he is at a price we can back him e/w.
Inanup e/w @ 7/1 with William Hill and Betfred
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Darran got a reaction from Mindfulness in Racing Chat - Wednesday July 8th
Wasn't to be at Newton Abbot although Bubble O' Clock is certainly one to keep an eye on as he looked the winner when he made his move, but then a lack of match practice seem to tell and he was only 3rd in the end. He was pretty keen in the early stages as well which wouldn't have helped. I was also surprised he was held up and I can see them being more aggressive on him next time maybe over a shorter trip.
Onto Stratford tomorrow and starting with the last race on the card it is no surprise to see Jack Snipe's price tumble. 365's 16/1 didn't last long and he is currently only 5/1, but I still think that is value as he ought to be favourite. He is 5/6 in points after the last couple of years and the one time he was beaten it came in a match at the end of last season when he may well have had enough. He ran in the 4m race at Cheltenham's hunter chase night and he was in the lead until his stamina ran out in a decent race and he ended up pulling up. However he only went off 12/1 for that and this race is certainly worse. He has yet to win over hurdles, but he went really close on a couple of occasions and he hasn't run over them since 2016. We know he stays well which you can't say about some of these and I reckon he will attempt to make all which is often an advantage at Stratford. The 3 horses ahead of him in the betting are all from yards where gambles have to be noted and it wouldn't be the first time a well handicapped pointer has bumped into a Dr Newland runner! Even so a mark of 92 is probably around 10-15lbs on the low side and if he runs to form it will take a good performance to beat him.
Jack Snipe @ 5/1 with Bet365
In the previous race I think it is worth backing Captain Buck's. His trainer reckons he can win a few races with him over the summer and it is easy to see why. He was beaten in his first two points for Rose Loxton including in a match at 1/7, but then on what turned out to be the final day of the pointing season he won over 2m4f and did it well. He's down in grade from when he was last seen under rules which will also help him and as much as you wouldn't say he was massively thrown in based on his pointing form, on his old form he is. He wouldn't be the first horse to rekindle his form after a spell pointing and with his trainer also part owning him you would imagine he thinks he is well handicapped as well.
Captain Buck's @ 5/2 with Bet365
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Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing Chat - Wednesday July 8th
Wasn't to be at Newton Abbot although Bubble O' Clock is certainly one to keep an eye on as he looked the winner when he made his move, but then a lack of match practice seem to tell and he was only 3rd in the end. He was pretty keen in the early stages as well which wouldn't have helped. I was also surprised he was held up and I can see them being more aggressive on him next time maybe over a shorter trip.
Onto Stratford tomorrow and starting with the last race on the card it is no surprise to see Jack Snipe's price tumble. 365's 16/1 didn't last long and he is currently only 5/1, but I still think that is value as he ought to be favourite. He is 5/6 in points after the last couple of years and the one time he was beaten it came in a match at the end of last season when he may well have had enough. He ran in the 4m race at Cheltenham's hunter chase night and he was in the lead until his stamina ran out in a decent race and he ended up pulling up. However he only went off 12/1 for that and this race is certainly worse. He has yet to win over hurdles, but he went really close on a couple of occasions and he hasn't run over them since 2016. We know he stays well which you can't say about some of these and I reckon he will attempt to make all which is often an advantage at Stratford. The 3 horses ahead of him in the betting are all from yards where gambles have to be noted and it wouldn't be the first time a well handicapped pointer has bumped into a Dr Newland runner! Even so a mark of 92 is probably around 10-15lbs on the low side and if he runs to form it will take a good performance to beat him.
Jack Snipe @ 5/1 with Bet365
In the previous race I think it is worth backing Captain Buck's. His trainer reckons he can win a few races with him over the summer and it is easy to see why. He was beaten in his first two points for Rose Loxton including in a match at 1/7, but then on what turned out to be the final day of the pointing season he won over 2m4f and did it well. He's down in grade from when he was last seen under rules which will also help him and as much as you wouldn't say he was massively thrown in based on his pointing form, on his old form he is. He wouldn't be the first horse to rekindle his form after a spell pointing and with his trainer also part owning him you would imagine he thinks he is well handicapped as well.
Captain Buck's @ 5/2 with Bet365
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Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing Chat - Tuesday July 7th
It is good to have jump racing back and hopefully we will see some well handicapped pointers/hunter chasers out in the next few weeks. The 5.20 at Newton Abbot has a couple of horses in Bubble O'Clock and Cheltenham De Vaige. Both are running off 100 and although neither look really thrown in I do think there is scope for both being capable of winning off their marks. Bubble O'Clock has been nibbled in the betting already which doesn't surprise me. He ran in the 2m race at Stratford on hunter chase night and usually that race isn't overly strong, but last year's race is a strong piece of form. He finished a staying on 4th that night and the 3 horses who finished directly behind him have all won handicaps since. He ran twice in the early weeks of the pointing season finishing 3rd and then falling last time, but it is clear he doesn't see out 3m and he ran well in both. This trip on quick ground looks ideal for him and if he's fit then he is capable of winning this.
Cheltenham De Vaige was due to run on that Stratford card as well, but he bolted on the way to the start and had to be withdrawn. He is likely to be taken down to the start early as he usually is because he can be very headstrong. I think he is the type that will improve for being ridden by a pro jockey given is quirks. He pulled up on his only start in 2020, but I suspect the ground was plenty soft enough for him that day and he is better than that. He has a slightly higher pointing mark than Bubble O'Clock. My main dangers would be Duc Kauto who had useful form last season and Oxwich Bay who finds it hard to win, but usually goes close. He ran last week at Southwell, but ran out.
I have split my stakes on both, but if pushed I would favour Bubble O'Clock as that Stratford run makes him look capable of winning off this mark.
Bubble O'Clock @ 7/1 with Betfair
Cheltenham De Vaige @ 9/2 with Bet365
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Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Tuesday July 7th
It is good to have jump racing back and hopefully we will see some well handicapped pointers/hunter chasers out in the next few weeks. The 5.20 at Newton Abbot has a couple of horses in Bubble O'Clock and Cheltenham De Vaige. Both are running off 100 and although neither look really thrown in I do think there is scope for both being capable of winning off their marks. Bubble O'Clock has been nibbled in the betting already which doesn't surprise me. He ran in the 2m race at Stratford on hunter chase night and usually that race isn't overly strong, but last year's race is a strong piece of form. He finished a staying on 4th that night and the 3 horses who finished directly behind him have all won handicaps since. He ran twice in the early weeks of the pointing season finishing 3rd and then falling last time, but it is clear he doesn't see out 3m and he ran well in both. This trip on quick ground looks ideal for him and if he's fit then he is capable of winning this.
Cheltenham De Vaige was due to run on that Stratford card as well, but he bolted on the way to the start and had to be withdrawn. He is likely to be taken down to the start early as he usually is because he can be very headstrong. I think he is the type that will improve for being ridden by a pro jockey given is quirks. He pulled up on his only start in 2020, but I suspect the ground was plenty soft enough for him that day and he is better than that. He has a slightly higher pointing mark than Bubble O'Clock. My main dangers would be Duc Kauto who had useful form last season and Oxwich Bay who finds it hard to win, but usually goes close. He ran last week at Southwell, but ran out.
I have split my stakes on both, but if pushed I would favour Bubble O'Clock as that Stratford run makes him look capable of winning off this mark.
Bubble O'Clock @ 7/1 with Betfair
Cheltenham De Vaige @ 9/2 with Bet365
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Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Sunday July 5th
Some cracking jumping action at Warrnambool in the early hours of the morning with the first 6 races on the card over obstacles. Races 4 and 6 are the feature contests on the card and both look competitive. Not sure it will be a full house like at Casterton last week, but I will give it a go.
Race 1 (2.35am)
As has become the norm the maiden hurdle has divided. Da Deputy, Hoof Hustler and Little Phoenix all have claims, but I am taking a couple against the field. American In Paris has the best form for me. He had trialled well going into his hurdling debut at Ballarat last month and the winner was given a very good ride from the front (somewhat similar to the Derby this afternoon) and he wasn't able to make the ground up in testing conditions.
Sadly we are down to 7 runners, but I am still going to put Yulong Emperor up e/w as he is over priced at double figure odds. His last two runs have been in stronger contests than this. He was 2nd to Hokkaido Miss and then 4th to Ventura Storm with Stanley in 2nd who won last week. He shouldn't be double figures to land this.
American In Paris @ 13/8 with Betfred
Yulong Emperor e/w @ 12/1 with Betfred
Race 2 (3.15am)
From the same race I have just mentioned Hierarchical was 3rd and I am really keen on him to win this. In his last 3 hurdle starts he has finished 2nd twice and then that 3rd last time. All 3 pieces of form are strong and this looks the perfect race for him to finally lose the maiden tag over hurdles. He has the beating of the other previous hurdle runners and those who are making their debuts are going to have to be pretty good to beat him.
Hierarchical @ 15/8 with Betfred
Race 3 (3.55am)
Good race this. Britannicus got a deserved win last week, but I don't think he wants a Heavy 10 so he is crossed off the shortlist. Bee Tee Junior is the unknown having only run twice over hurdles in New Zealand. He's been racing on the flat to get him fit, but this is a hot race. Stanley got a deserved win last week and is clearly progressive, but he has 5L to make up on San Remo and I am not sure he can. Longclaw was a good 2nd last time to a good horse over course and distance last time on this ground. He is the last one I struck off my shortlist. The two I am going with are Hokkaido Miss and San Remo. I was really impressed with the former last time and as mentioned above she beat Yulong Emperor by 12L. That was a top hurdles debut. On the same card San Remo beat Hierarchical and had Stanley back in 3rd again very good form. Since then he has run as well as could be expected in a strong race at Flemington to keep him ticking over. He looks a big price in my view.
Hokkaido Miss @ 23/10 with Bet365
San Remo @ 13/2 with Betfred
Race 4 (4.35am)
It's a shame we have a few non-runners in the Kevin Lafferty because it looked a really strong race. It's still a good contest, but I think it is between the top two in the market. Killarney Kid won this race impressively last year off 129 and he's only gone up to 133. He's had two decent runs on the flat at Flemington and plenty of hurdle trials to get him fit, but I just wonder if a lack of match practice jumping in a race puts things in Gobstopper's favour. He's been superb this prep and has already won 2 big hurdle races. Obviously he is going up in the weights, but the fact he was a good 2nd on the flat last time proves he is still in flying form and i take him to win another major prize.
Gobstopper @ 11/8 with Betfred
Race 5 (5.15am)
Flying Agent should have beaten Michelin last time, but even so that was still a top effort and I just can't see him losing this. He has the beating of his main rivals here on that form. He's deservedly odds on so I am not going to put him up although the 5/6 on offer is tempting I must admit. I would be surprised if he doesn't win.
Race 6 (5.55am)
The Thackeray is the big chase on the card and the market has Bit Of A Lad, Georgethefifth and Michelin very close together although none of them will be the pick. Georgethefifth clearly loves it over course and distance and he has done it very easily on both times he has been here, but they were weak races and this is a very different test, but he is respected for sure. Michelin is the up and comer although as I mention above I thought he just got first run when beating Flying Agent last time and I think Flying Agent would reverse form should they run against each other again. Bit Of A Lad landed the Australian Steeple last time and beat Shamal by 8L. Stritctly speaking Shamal isn't weighted to reverse form, but I think he can and I am amazed Shamal is such a big price. He won for us last week and although he only just got up he was carrying a big weight and it was a good performance. Obviously he is carrying a big weight again in a stronger race, but I think he will come on for it and I would imagine backing up in this was always the plan. He looked in need of the race when 2nd at Sandown as I thought he travelled like the winner and now he is 3rd up I think he can reverse form. The ground won't be an issue and he shouldn't be as big as 6/1.
Shamal @ 6/1 with everyone bar Bet365
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Darran got a reaction from Horseoats in Racing Chat - Sunday July 5th
Some cracking jumping action at Warrnambool in the early hours of the morning with the first 6 races on the card over obstacles. Races 4 and 6 are the feature contests on the card and both look competitive. Not sure it will be a full house like at Casterton last week, but I will give it a go.
Race 1 (2.35am)
As has become the norm the maiden hurdle has divided. Da Deputy, Hoof Hustler and Little Phoenix all have claims, but I am taking a couple against the field. American In Paris has the best form for me. He had trialled well going into his hurdling debut at Ballarat last month and the winner was given a very good ride from the front (somewhat similar to the Derby this afternoon) and he wasn't able to make the ground up in testing conditions.
Sadly we are down to 7 runners, but I am still going to put Yulong Emperor up e/w as he is over priced at double figure odds. His last two runs have been in stronger contests than this. He was 2nd to Hokkaido Miss and then 4th to Ventura Storm with Stanley in 2nd who won last week. He shouldn't be double figures to land this.
American In Paris @ 13/8 with Betfred
Yulong Emperor e/w @ 12/1 with Betfred
Race 2 (3.15am)
From the same race I have just mentioned Hierarchical was 3rd and I am really keen on him to win this. In his last 3 hurdle starts he has finished 2nd twice and then that 3rd last time. All 3 pieces of form are strong and this looks the perfect race for him to finally lose the maiden tag over hurdles. He has the beating of the other previous hurdle runners and those who are making their debuts are going to have to be pretty good to beat him.
Hierarchical @ 15/8 with Betfred
Race 3 (3.55am)
Good race this. Britannicus got a deserved win last week, but I don't think he wants a Heavy 10 so he is crossed off the shortlist. Bee Tee Junior is the unknown having only run twice over hurdles in New Zealand. He's been racing on the flat to get him fit, but this is a hot race. Stanley got a deserved win last week and is clearly progressive, but he has 5L to make up on San Remo and I am not sure he can. Longclaw was a good 2nd last time to a good horse over course and distance last time on this ground. He is the last one I struck off my shortlist. The two I am going with are Hokkaido Miss and San Remo. I was really impressed with the former last time and as mentioned above she beat Yulong Emperor by 12L. That was a top hurdles debut. On the same card San Remo beat Hierarchical and had Stanley back in 3rd again very good form. Since then he has run as well as could be expected in a strong race at Flemington to keep him ticking over. He looks a big price in my view.
Hokkaido Miss @ 23/10 with Bet365
San Remo @ 13/2 with Betfred
Race 4 (4.35am)
It's a shame we have a few non-runners in the Kevin Lafferty because it looked a really strong race. It's still a good contest, but I think it is between the top two in the market. Killarney Kid won this race impressively last year off 129 and he's only gone up to 133. He's had two decent runs on the flat at Flemington and plenty of hurdle trials to get him fit, but I just wonder if a lack of match practice jumping in a race puts things in Gobstopper's favour. He's been superb this prep and has already won 2 big hurdle races. Obviously he is going up in the weights, but the fact he was a good 2nd on the flat last time proves he is still in flying form and i take him to win another major prize.
Gobstopper @ 11/8 with Betfred
Race 5 (5.15am)
Flying Agent should have beaten Michelin last time, but even so that was still a top effort and I just can't see him losing this. He has the beating of his main rivals here on that form. He's deservedly odds on so I am not going to put him up although the 5/6 on offer is tempting I must admit. I would be surprised if he doesn't win.
Race 6 (5.55am)
The Thackeray is the big chase on the card and the market has Bit Of A Lad, Georgethefifth and Michelin very close together although none of them will be the pick. Georgethefifth clearly loves it over course and distance and he has done it very easily on both times he has been here, but they were weak races and this is a very different test, but he is respected for sure. Michelin is the up and comer although as I mention above I thought he just got first run when beating Flying Agent last time and I think Flying Agent would reverse form should they run against each other again. Bit Of A Lad landed the Australian Steeple last time and beat Shamal by 8L. Stritctly speaking Shamal isn't weighted to reverse form, but I think he can and I am amazed Shamal is such a big price. He won for us last week and although he only just got up he was carrying a big weight and it was a good performance. Obviously he is carrying a big weight again in a stronger race, but I think he will come on for it and I would imagine backing up in this was always the plan. He looked in need of the race when 2nd at Sandown as I thought he travelled like the winner and now he is 3rd up I think he can reverse form. The ground won't be an issue and he shouldn't be as big as 6/1.
Shamal @ 6/1 with everyone bar Bet365
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Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing Chat - Sunday July 5th
Some cracking jumping action at Warrnambool in the early hours of the morning with the first 6 races on the card over obstacles. Races 4 and 6 are the feature contests on the card and both look competitive. Not sure it will be a full house like at Casterton last week, but I will give it a go.
Race 1 (2.35am)
As has become the norm the maiden hurdle has divided. Da Deputy, Hoof Hustler and Little Phoenix all have claims, but I am taking a couple against the field. American In Paris has the best form for me. He had trialled well going into his hurdling debut at Ballarat last month and the winner was given a very good ride from the front (somewhat similar to the Derby this afternoon) and he wasn't able to make the ground up in testing conditions.
Sadly we are down to 7 runners, but I am still going to put Yulong Emperor up e/w as he is over priced at double figure odds. His last two runs have been in stronger contests than this. He was 2nd to Hokkaido Miss and then 4th to Ventura Storm with Stanley in 2nd who won last week. He shouldn't be double figures to land this.
American In Paris @ 13/8 with Betfred
Yulong Emperor e/w @ 12/1 with Betfred
Race 2 (3.15am)
From the same race I have just mentioned Hierarchical was 3rd and I am really keen on him to win this. In his last 3 hurdle starts he has finished 2nd twice and then that 3rd last time. All 3 pieces of form are strong and this looks the perfect race for him to finally lose the maiden tag over hurdles. He has the beating of the other previous hurdle runners and those who are making their debuts are going to have to be pretty good to beat him.
Hierarchical @ 15/8 with Betfred
Race 3 (3.55am)
Good race this. Britannicus got a deserved win last week, but I don't think he wants a Heavy 10 so he is crossed off the shortlist. Bee Tee Junior is the unknown having only run twice over hurdles in New Zealand. He's been racing on the flat to get him fit, but this is a hot race. Stanley got a deserved win last week and is clearly progressive, but he has 5L to make up on San Remo and I am not sure he can. Longclaw was a good 2nd last time to a good horse over course and distance last time on this ground. He is the last one I struck off my shortlist. The two I am going with are Hokkaido Miss and San Remo. I was really impressed with the former last time and as mentioned above she beat Yulong Emperor by 12L. That was a top hurdles debut. On the same card San Remo beat Hierarchical and had Stanley back in 3rd again very good form. Since then he has run as well as could be expected in a strong race at Flemington to keep him ticking over. He looks a big price in my view.
Hokkaido Miss @ 23/10 with Bet365
San Remo @ 13/2 with Betfred
Race 4 (4.35am)
It's a shame we have a few non-runners in the Kevin Lafferty because it looked a really strong race. It's still a good contest, but I think it is between the top two in the market. Killarney Kid won this race impressively last year off 129 and he's only gone up to 133. He's had two decent runs on the flat at Flemington and plenty of hurdle trials to get him fit, but I just wonder if a lack of match practice jumping in a race puts things in Gobstopper's favour. He's been superb this prep and has already won 2 big hurdle races. Obviously he is going up in the weights, but the fact he was a good 2nd on the flat last time proves he is still in flying form and i take him to win another major prize.
Gobstopper @ 11/8 with Betfred
Race 5 (5.15am)
Flying Agent should have beaten Michelin last time, but even so that was still a top effort and I just can't see him losing this. He has the beating of his main rivals here on that form. He's deservedly odds on so I am not going to put him up although the 5/6 on offer is tempting I must admit. I would be surprised if he doesn't win.
Race 6 (5.55am)
The Thackeray is the big chase on the card and the market has Bit Of A Lad, Georgethefifth and Michelin very close together although none of them will be the pick. Georgethefifth clearly loves it over course and distance and he has done it very easily on both times he has been here, but they were weak races and this is a very different test, but he is respected for sure. Michelin is the up and comer although as I mention above I thought he just got first run when beating Flying Agent last time and I think Flying Agent would reverse form should they run against each other again. Bit Of A Lad landed the Australian Steeple last time and beat Shamal by 8L. Stritctly speaking Shamal isn't weighted to reverse form, but I think he can and I am amazed Shamal is such a big price. He won for us last week and although he only just got up he was carrying a big weight and it was a good performance. Obviously he is carrying a big weight again in a stronger race, but I think he will come on for it and I would imagine backing up in this was always the plan. He looked in need of the race when 2nd at Sandown as I thought he travelled like the winner and now he is 3rd up I think he can reverse form. The ground won't be an issue and he shouldn't be as big as 6/1.
Shamal @ 6/1 with everyone bar Bet365
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Darran got a reaction from notanotherdonkey in Racing Chat - Saturday July 4th
I'm looking forward to some more cracking action in Australia over the weekend and hoping to build on last weeks fantastic showing. On Saturday we have winter finals day at Flemington which looks a tough card, but I have bets in 3 races there. Randwick is the Sydney meeting this week and I have bets in 5 races there. Also on Sunday there is top class jumping action at Warrnambool and I will be previewing that tomorrow. Not time for massive previews but here are my tips and brief thoughts.
Flemington R2 (3.25am)
Ex UK horse Lord Belvedere was a big price winner for us a couple of weeks ago and although he's nowhere near that price tomorrow I think he can win again. He was strong in the finish that day and he looks like he has been building up nicely for this contest as his main target of the prep.The 2nd Chapada is weighted to reverse form and he is clearly a danger, but he may already have peaked this prep so I am sticking with Lord Belvedere.
Lord Belvedere @ 9/4 with William Hll
Flemington R5 (5.10am)
I don't think Rich Charm would have won a couple of weeks ago in the race won by I Am Someone, but he had no luck in running at all inside the final 200m and he ran much better than 9th of 11 suggests. That was over 1100m and going back up to 1200m is ideal for him. This is his 3rd run of the prep and he is 4/4 3rd up and granted more luck in running I think he can make it win number 10.
Rich Charm @ 9/2 with William Hill
Flemington R8 (7.05am)
The main race on the card and it is very competitive. Heptagon has a big chance of gaining another win, but I have left him out in favour of 3 against the field. Plein Ciel is the other one at the head of the market and he dead heated with Shot Of Irish. I put him up that day as he was showing like he was returning to his best form having been under par for a bit. He looks set to peak here and he ought to go very close.
Reykjavik won over course and distance in May and he looked good in beating Shot Of Of Irish. He was also in the Moonee Valley race mentioned above and he was 5th, but it was a total forget run as he had no cover and it was hard to come from behind that day. He's better than that and is overpriced.
Moss 'N' Dale has a shocking 1st up record, but he ran a huge race 1st up a month ago over 1400m here. That bodes well for this run especially as he is 4/6 2nd up. This clearly has been a target and again he looks a big price.
Plein Ciel @ 9/2 with Betfair
Reykjavik @ 16/1 with Betway (4 places)
Moss 'N' Dale @ 22/1 with Betway (4 places)
Randwick R4 (4.20am)
Mr Dependable had a poor draw last time and had to have plenty of use made of him to get across to the rail to make the running. He was caught late on which wasn't a surprise, but it was clearly a huge run. He is now 3rd up and has drawn nicely in 4. The slight doubt is the trip in the ground, but as long as his jockey gets the fraction right in front then I think he will see it out and will be hard to beat.
Mr Dependable @ 7/5 with Bet365
Randwick R5 (4.55am)
I was tempted by Lashes but she was disappointing last time and although there there was a bit of an excuse I still thought it was a poor run. I like the chances of Longbottom who has been really consistent this prep. Since coming to Sydney he has been 2nd, 3rd and 3rd. He deserves to win a race again and to me this looks a winnable contest. If he runs to form he should be in the finish over his best trip on ground he enjoys.
Longbottom @ 6/1 with Betfair
Randwick R7 (6.10am)
Threeood was given a ride which saw James McDonald pick up a ban a couple of weeks, but I tought she didn't really get the run of the race. It was her first poor run this prep and clearly the stable are happy to have another go. Her form is strong prior to that and she can bounce back.
I am having an e/w saver on High Low Bet whose form figures since a Warwick Farm win in March don't look great, but she actually ran the quickest last 600m of the race last time when finishing 7th. She didn't settle that day either so to quicken the way she did was promoising. McEvoy is back on again and she is up to winning this.
Threeood @ 4/1 with William Hill
High Low Bet e/w @ 14/1 with everyone
Randwick R8 (6.50am)
I am pretty keen on Handspun here. He got awful luck late on at Rosehill last time and was still 9th at the 400m marker. It took to around 250m for him to get a clear run and even then it wasn't the clearest. Only the winner had a better last 600m and last 200m than him and he is drawn a lot better today so hopefully he will settle a bit close to the pace and get a clear run.
Handspun @ 100/30 with William Hill
Randwick R9 (7.30am)
Selection now a N/R
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Darran got a reaction from vikki37 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 4th
I'm looking forward to some more cracking action in Australia over the weekend and hoping to build on last weeks fantastic showing. On Saturday we have winter finals day at Flemington which looks a tough card, but I have bets in 3 races there. Randwick is the Sydney meeting this week and I have bets in 5 races there. Also on Sunday there is top class jumping action at Warrnambool and I will be previewing that tomorrow. Not time for massive previews but here are my tips and brief thoughts.
Flemington R2 (3.25am)
Ex UK horse Lord Belvedere was a big price winner for us a couple of weeks ago and although he's nowhere near that price tomorrow I think he can win again. He was strong in the finish that day and he looks like he has been building up nicely for this contest as his main target of the prep.The 2nd Chapada is weighted to reverse form and he is clearly a danger, but he may already have peaked this prep so I am sticking with Lord Belvedere.
Lord Belvedere @ 9/4 with William Hll
Flemington R5 (5.10am)
I don't think Rich Charm would have won a couple of weeks ago in the race won by I Am Someone, but he had no luck in running at all inside the final 200m and he ran much better than 9th of 11 suggests. That was over 1100m and going back up to 1200m is ideal for him. This is his 3rd run of the prep and he is 4/4 3rd up and granted more luck in running I think he can make it win number 10.
Rich Charm @ 9/2 with William Hill
Flemington R8 (7.05am)
The main race on the card and it is very competitive. Heptagon has a big chance of gaining another win, but I have left him out in favour of 3 against the field. Plein Ciel is the other one at the head of the market and he dead heated with Shot Of Irish. I put him up that day as he was showing like he was returning to his best form having been under par for a bit. He looks set to peak here and he ought to go very close.
Reykjavik won over course and distance in May and he looked good in beating Shot Of Of Irish. He was also in the Moonee Valley race mentioned above and he was 5th, but it was a total forget run as he had no cover and it was hard to come from behind that day. He's better than that and is overpriced.
Moss 'N' Dale has a shocking 1st up record, but he ran a huge race 1st up a month ago over 1400m here. That bodes well for this run especially as he is 4/6 2nd up. This clearly has been a target and again he looks a big price.
Plein Ciel @ 9/2 with Betfair
Reykjavik @ 16/1 with Betway (4 places)
Moss 'N' Dale @ 22/1 with Betway (4 places)
Randwick R4 (4.20am)
Mr Dependable had a poor draw last time and had to have plenty of use made of him to get across to the rail to make the running. He was caught late on which wasn't a surprise, but it was clearly a huge run. He is now 3rd up and has drawn nicely in 4. The slight doubt is the trip in the ground, but as long as his jockey gets the fraction right in front then I think he will see it out and will be hard to beat.
Mr Dependable @ 7/5 with Bet365
Randwick R5 (4.55am)
I was tempted by Lashes but she was disappointing last time and although there there was a bit of an excuse I still thought it was a poor run. I like the chances of Longbottom who has been really consistent this prep. Since coming to Sydney he has been 2nd, 3rd and 3rd. He deserves to win a race again and to me this looks a winnable contest. If he runs to form he should be in the finish over his best trip on ground he enjoys.
Longbottom @ 6/1 with Betfair
Randwick R7 (6.10am)
Threeood was given a ride which saw James McDonald pick up a ban a couple of weeks, but I tought she didn't really get the run of the race. It was her first poor run this prep and clearly the stable are happy to have another go. Her form is strong prior to that and she can bounce back.
I am having an e/w saver on High Low Bet whose form figures since a Warwick Farm win in March don't look great, but she actually ran the quickest last 600m of the race last time when finishing 7th. She didn't settle that day either so to quicken the way she did was promoising. McEvoy is back on again and she is up to winning this.
Threeood @ 4/1 with William Hill
High Low Bet e/w @ 14/1 with everyone
Randwick R8 (6.50am)
I am pretty keen on Handspun here. He got awful luck late on at Rosehill last time and was still 9th at the 400m marker. It took to around 250m for him to get a clear run and even then it wasn't the clearest. Only the winner had a better last 600m and last 200m than him and he is drawn a lot better today so hopefully he will settle a bit close to the pace and get a clear run.
Handspun @ 100/30 with William Hill
Randwick R9 (7.30am)
Selection now a N/R
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Darran got a reaction from yossa6133 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 4th
I'm looking forward to some more cracking action in Australia over the weekend and hoping to build on last weeks fantastic showing. On Saturday we have winter finals day at Flemington which looks a tough card, but I have bets in 3 races there. Randwick is the Sydney meeting this week and I have bets in 5 races there. Also on Sunday there is top class jumping action at Warrnambool and I will be previewing that tomorrow. Not time for massive previews but here are my tips and brief thoughts.
Flemington R2 (3.25am)
Ex UK horse Lord Belvedere was a big price winner for us a couple of weeks ago and although he's nowhere near that price tomorrow I think he can win again. He was strong in the finish that day and he looks like he has been building up nicely for this contest as his main target of the prep.The 2nd Chapada is weighted to reverse form and he is clearly a danger, but he may already have peaked this prep so I am sticking with Lord Belvedere.
Lord Belvedere @ 9/4 with William Hll
Flemington R5 (5.10am)
I don't think Rich Charm would have won a couple of weeks ago in the race won by I Am Someone, but he had no luck in running at all inside the final 200m and he ran much better than 9th of 11 suggests. That was over 1100m and going back up to 1200m is ideal for him. This is his 3rd run of the prep and he is 4/4 3rd up and granted more luck in running I think he can make it win number 10.
Rich Charm @ 9/2 with William Hill
Flemington R8 (7.05am)
The main race on the card and it is very competitive. Heptagon has a big chance of gaining another win, but I have left him out in favour of 3 against the field. Plein Ciel is the other one at the head of the market and he dead heated with Shot Of Irish. I put him up that day as he was showing like he was returning to his best form having been under par for a bit. He looks set to peak here and he ought to go very close.
Reykjavik won over course and distance in May and he looked good in beating Shot Of Of Irish. He was also in the Moonee Valley race mentioned above and he was 5th, but it was a total forget run as he had no cover and it was hard to come from behind that day. He's better than that and is overpriced.
Moss 'N' Dale has a shocking 1st up record, but he ran a huge race 1st up a month ago over 1400m here. That bodes well for this run especially as he is 4/6 2nd up. This clearly has been a target and again he looks a big price.
Plein Ciel @ 9/2 with Betfair
Reykjavik @ 16/1 with Betway (4 places)
Moss 'N' Dale @ 22/1 with Betway (4 places)
Randwick R4 (4.20am)
Mr Dependable had a poor draw last time and had to have plenty of use made of him to get across to the rail to make the running. He was caught late on which wasn't a surprise, but it was clearly a huge run. He is now 3rd up and has drawn nicely in 4. The slight doubt is the trip in the ground, but as long as his jockey gets the fraction right in front then I think he will see it out and will be hard to beat.
Mr Dependable @ 7/5 with Bet365
Randwick R5 (4.55am)
I was tempted by Lashes but she was disappointing last time and although there there was a bit of an excuse I still thought it was a poor run. I like the chances of Longbottom who has been really consistent this prep. Since coming to Sydney he has been 2nd, 3rd and 3rd. He deserves to win a race again and to me this looks a winnable contest. If he runs to form he should be in the finish over his best trip on ground he enjoys.
Longbottom @ 6/1 with Betfair
Randwick R7 (6.10am)
Threeood was given a ride which saw James McDonald pick up a ban a couple of weeks, but I tought she didn't really get the run of the race. It was her first poor run this prep and clearly the stable are happy to have another go. Her form is strong prior to that and she can bounce back.
I am having an e/w saver on High Low Bet whose form figures since a Warwick Farm win in March don't look great, but she actually ran the quickest last 600m of the race last time when finishing 7th. She didn't settle that day either so to quicken the way she did was promoising. McEvoy is back on again and she is up to winning this.
Threeood @ 4/1 with William Hill
High Low Bet e/w @ 14/1 with everyone
Randwick R8 (6.50am)
I am pretty keen on Handspun here. He got awful luck late on at Rosehill last time and was still 9th at the 400m marker. It took to around 250m for him to get a clear run and even then it wasn't the clearest. Only the winner had a better last 600m and last 200m than him and he is drawn a lot better today so hopefully he will settle a bit close to the pace and get a clear run.
Handspun @ 100/30 with William Hill
Randwick R9 (7.30am)
Selection now a N/R
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Darran got a reaction from blueboy199 in Racing Chat - Saturday July 4th
I'm looking forward to some more cracking action in Australia over the weekend and hoping to build on last weeks fantastic showing. On Saturday we have winter finals day at Flemington which looks a tough card, but I have bets in 3 races there. Randwick is the Sydney meeting this week and I have bets in 5 races there. Also on Sunday there is top class jumping action at Warrnambool and I will be previewing that tomorrow. Not time for massive previews but here are my tips and brief thoughts.
Flemington R2 (3.25am)
Ex UK horse Lord Belvedere was a big price winner for us a couple of weeks ago and although he's nowhere near that price tomorrow I think he can win again. He was strong in the finish that day and he looks like he has been building up nicely for this contest as his main target of the prep.The 2nd Chapada is weighted to reverse form and he is clearly a danger, but he may already have peaked this prep so I am sticking with Lord Belvedere.
Lord Belvedere @ 9/4 with William Hll
Flemington R5 (5.10am)
I don't think Rich Charm would have won a couple of weeks ago in the race won by I Am Someone, but he had no luck in running at all inside the final 200m and he ran much better than 9th of 11 suggests. That was over 1100m and going back up to 1200m is ideal for him. This is his 3rd run of the prep and he is 4/4 3rd up and granted more luck in running I think he can make it win number 10.
Rich Charm @ 9/2 with William Hill
Flemington R8 (7.05am)
The main race on the card and it is very competitive. Heptagon has a big chance of gaining another win, but I have left him out in favour of 3 against the field. Plein Ciel is the other one at the head of the market and he dead heated with Shot Of Irish. I put him up that day as he was showing like he was returning to his best form having been under par for a bit. He looks set to peak here and he ought to go very close.
Reykjavik won over course and distance in May and he looked good in beating Shot Of Of Irish. He was also in the Moonee Valley race mentioned above and he was 5th, but it was a total forget run as he had no cover and it was hard to come from behind that day. He's better than that and is overpriced.
Moss 'N' Dale has a shocking 1st up record, but he ran a huge race 1st up a month ago over 1400m here. That bodes well for this run especially as he is 4/6 2nd up. This clearly has been a target and again he looks a big price.
Plein Ciel @ 9/2 with Betfair
Reykjavik @ 16/1 with Betway (4 places)
Moss 'N' Dale @ 22/1 with Betway (4 places)
Randwick R4 (4.20am)
Mr Dependable had a poor draw last time and had to have plenty of use made of him to get across to the rail to make the running. He was caught late on which wasn't a surprise, but it was clearly a huge run. He is now 3rd up and has drawn nicely in 4. The slight doubt is the trip in the ground, but as long as his jockey gets the fraction right in front then I think he will see it out and will be hard to beat.
Mr Dependable @ 7/5 with Bet365
Randwick R5 (4.55am)
I was tempted by Lashes but she was disappointing last time and although there there was a bit of an excuse I still thought it was a poor run. I like the chances of Longbottom who has been really consistent this prep. Since coming to Sydney he has been 2nd, 3rd and 3rd. He deserves to win a race again and to me this looks a winnable contest. If he runs to form he should be in the finish over his best trip on ground he enjoys.
Longbottom @ 6/1 with Betfair
Randwick R7 (6.10am)
Threeood was given a ride which saw James McDonald pick up a ban a couple of weeks, but I tought she didn't really get the run of the race. It was her first poor run this prep and clearly the stable are happy to have another go. Her form is strong prior to that and she can bounce back.
I am having an e/w saver on High Low Bet whose form figures since a Warwick Farm win in March don't look great, but she actually ran the quickest last 600m of the race last time when finishing 7th. She didn't settle that day either so to quicken the way she did was promoising. McEvoy is back on again and she is up to winning this.
Threeood @ 4/1 with William Hill
High Low Bet e/w @ 14/1 with everyone
Randwick R8 (6.50am)
I am pretty keen on Handspun here. He got awful luck late on at Rosehill last time and was still 9th at the 400m marker. It took to around 250m for him to get a clear run and even then it wasn't the clearest. Only the winner had a better last 600m and last 200m than him and he is drawn a lot better today so hopefully he will settle a bit close to the pace and get a clear run.
Handspun @ 100/30 with William Hill
Randwick R9 (7.30am)
Selection now a N/R
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Darran got a reaction from BBBC in Racing Chat - Saturday 27th May
Great morning on the Aussie racing with 8 winners from 11 races including Frankely awesome at 25s and all 4 jumps winners
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Darran got a reaction from daveg in Racing Chat - Saturday 27th May
Great morning on the Aussie racing with 8 winners from 11 races including Frankely awesome at 25s and all 4 jumps winners