Torque

Looks like their in hurry for their sits 
 
 

4pts Maria Sakkari to beat Amanda Anisimova @ 1.91 Betfred
The bookies have this as a pick 'em match, but I give Sakkari a slight edge. She's the more consistent player in this match-up and she has some good wins coming into this, including against Serena recently which will have boosted her confidence. It's a slight concern she's needed three sets in each of her matches here so far, but Anisimova hasn't had it all her own way either - she went a set and a break down against Scott in the last round before making a comeback. Sakkari is significant upgrade on the American youngster and is far more likely to convert if she gets ahead in the match.

4pts Maria Sakkari to beat Amanda Anisimova @ 1.91 Betfred
The bookies have this as a pick 'em match, but I give Sakkari a slight edge. She's the more consistent player in this match-up and she has some good wins coming into this, including against Serena recently which will have boosted her confidence. It's a slight concern she's needed three sets in each of her matches here so far, but Anisimova hasn't had it all her own way either - she went a set and a break down against Scott in the last round before making a comeback. Sakkari is significant upgrade on the American youngster and is far more likely to convert if she gets ahead in the match.

4pts Maria Sakkari to beat Amanda Anisimova @ 1.91 Betfred
The bookies have this as a pick 'em match, but I give Sakkari a slight edge. She's the more consistent player in this match-up and she has some good wins coming into this, including against Serena recently which will have boosted her confidence. It's a slight concern she's needed three sets in each of her matches here so far, but Anisimova hasn't had it all her own way either - she went a set and a break down against Scott in the last round before making a comeback. Sakkari is significant upgrade on the American youngster and is far more likely to convert if she gets ahead in the match.

Sometimes I leave things I should have taken (and vice versa )... Coric looked way too big against Tsitsipas but I was put off by him needing five sets to beat Londero. It's a reminder I suppose to treat each match on its merits (and price) and not let previous matches affect your thinking too much.

Sometimes I leave things I should have taken (and vice versa )... Coric looked way too big against Tsitsipas but I was put off by him needing five sets to beat Londero. It's a reminder I suppose to treat each match on its merits (and price) and not let previous matches affect your thinking too much.

Sometimes I leave things I should have taken (and vice versa )... Coric looked way too big against Tsitsipas but I was put off by him needing five sets to beat Londero. It's a reminder I suppose to treat each match on its merits (and price) and not let previous matches affect your thinking too much.

Sometimes I leave things I should have taken (and vice versa )... Coric looked way too big against Tsitsipas but I was put off by him needing five sets to beat Londero. It's a reminder I suppose to treat each match on its merits (and price) and not let previous matches affect your thinking too much.

I have been uploading these spreadsheets every day. I think they are good for finding tennis trading and betting strategies. Feel free to let me know what you think and if you want anything added.
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1jcyETZRMfM11NyxJvAfpHeBA3si1nwb8_2pEetDSDDE/ - ATP
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1hTy22FPwA5TiQKm5oIXj5bWmmNtwryl8RzasppIRmx8 - WTA

@liquidglass Yep, I have seen those straps but.. ¿how many players are carrying straps? I have seen part of the third set and i did not appreciate any kind of physical issue reflected on her game. Pospisil required medical attention but then he won the next 3 sets (I did not watch the match after that but I'm sure he showed no signs of physical issues). Now i was watching Serena playing against Gasparyan. The russian was carrying straps but she has played a really decent second set, looking physically better than Serena who wasn't carrying straps. The point of what im trying to say is that players are cheaters. I'm not saying that Pegula has nothing (it's impossible to know for sure) but i haven't seen her game affected). Obviously, Kvitova can play a good match and destroy Pegula because she's so much better player but I rarely have seen her playing well an entire match (Inconsistency and physical issues have private her from winning more things). Pegula has good results against big hitters and I expect Kvitova to have her usual ups and downs on her game (i hope). I know Kerber will be better with every round she passes but i saw her quite vulnerable in her second set against Friedsam. In her first match she did not play good at all, which is completely understandable considering it was her first match after a lot of time (I'm sure we will agree that Alja was awful, as I expected). So, I'm still waiting to see the best Kerber and I'm not sure if only 2 matches will be enough to have an "easy" match against Li, who played an amazing match against Riske. Let's see.
btw... Serena barely can breath after been playing 1.30 h..? What will happen when a player take her into a third set?

You might be on to something there @Larkin22 
Stephens is being priced up on her form outside the big tournaments, which has been pretty dismal the last couple of years. She seems to come alive at the slams though, where her record is much better. Her issue seems to be one of motivation, which she certainly isn't going to be lacking here. I wouldn't be surprised if she made the latter stages and she can certainly beat Serena.

You might be on to something there @Larkin22 
Stephens is being priced up on her form outside the big tournaments, which has been pretty dismal the last couple of years. She seems to come alive at the slams though, where her record is much better. Her issue seems to be one of motivation, which she certainly isn't going to be lacking here. I wouldn't be surprised if she made the latter stages and she can certainly beat Serena.

I dont think so. I watched that match. Bolsova played like a pusher and Teichmann became completely crazy after losing the TB in the first set, giving to the spaniard a lot of free points. I did not watch Keys but she conceded 0 break points against Babos (6-1, 6-1). I know Babos is a mess but Bolsova is a claycourter and she has done nothing remarkable at this level. I expect an easy win for Keys. Anyway, GL, I expect to be wrong.

agree to disagree and thanks!

Two for me today, both in the ATP.
0.5pts Vasek Pospisil to beat Milos Raonic @ 5.50 Bet365
Following on from the theme on here that Pospisil is worth supporting in some way against Raonic, I'm going to go further and back him to win. The stake is small as it's not likely to happen, but I give Pospisil a better chance than these odds suggest. He's been able to beat Raonic in the past and has always been competitive, and with a good chance of long sets and tie-breaks the least that should happen is this goes past three sets and then we're into the kind of territory where Raonic could struggle physically.
2pts Roberto Carballes-Baena to beat Jeffrey John Wolf @ 3.75 Bet365
I get why Wolf is the favourite given that Carballes-Baena prefers clay, but I don't think he should be this big a favourite. He played another clay-courter in the last round in Pella and was taken to four sets, so that's the least Carballes-Baena should be able to achieve especially after he beat Feliciano in the last round. That was a good win considering Feliciano is a good hard-court player and Carballes-Baena can use his extra experience to get another win against a player who is relatively untested at this level.

Seems that Raonic can beat any player except when he plays against top 3. For a reason, he can not afford to adjust to circumstances. So, it is impossible for him to win a slam, therefore, and after i noticed how he choked in front of Djokovic, no chance to place any bet supporting him with my money. 
Very good choice Pospisil to win at least a set.

Raonic Vs Posposil
I  think that there is a lot about Raonic's that still leads one into believing that he stills flatters to deceive. He looks more or less like a beautifully grilled brownish scrumptious piece of chicken only to take a bite to discover that its not properly cooked on the inside. Oh yes, I will admit that his game has drastically improved from what it was before at serve-bot mode. Now there is a new intensity in his shot-making, ferocity and tenacity to stay in points. Looks like he has recently purchased a new pair of Canadian balls that are currently serving him well. I just felt that after going up a set over Djokovic in Cincinnati and failing to take the match, it was a reminder that he might just still be orbiting as opposed to actually moving forward.

On the other hand Pospisil's career has really been up and down plagued by injury over the last many years but the talent has always been there. He currently leads the head to head at 4-3 and interestingly enough won the very last encounter in Antwerp in 2018 in straight sets. In those 7 meetings Pospisil has only failed twice to win a set which brings me to the possible viable options. Pospisil to win a set at bet365 is 5/6 which seems super juicy. Then there is the possibility as has happened many times before in a typical match scenario that he just might not be able to get a mini-break in any tiebreak and go down 0-3. The best option will then be over 37.5 total games @8/11. it means that this match at least can end in three sets and go over 37.5 games. It is certainly worth a try.

And Kuznetsov. You'd have got a juicy price about straight sets wins for both in a double 

Still in the dark regarding tomorrow, I'm thinking Kerber, but that's about it so far, on the edge for a couple of things, including Garin and Gerasimov. I seem to be on track to a losing season in 2020 after two winning ones, no hat-trick coming by the looks of things. Will keep fighting though ?.

For me it's even simpler - Krajinovic is in no way reliable as a betting proposition. There's plenty of other matches to look at 

For me it's even simpler - Krajinovic is in no way reliable as a betting proposition. There's plenty of other matches to look at 

Just one match bet for me so far and one outright, and I'll also put up some brief thoughts about some other matches in case that helps anyone out.
3pts Angelique Kerber to beat Ajla Tomljanovic @ 1.71 Betfair Exchange
I agree with what's been said so far about Kerber and she should have every chance at this tournament if she can hit the ground running. She could have got an easier first round draw than this, but I'm sure she'll see it as winnable. Tomljanovic hasn't played well since the restart and doesn't have much pedigree in the slams, and Kerber's steady style should get the job done against a player who can be very hit and miss. Kerber hasn't played since the AO so there's no way to gauge her form, but that's factored into the price and I'll take the risk. Prior to the lockdown she'd been struggling with injury and so a few months without any tennis should mean she's now in good physical condition. It could be that not playing for so many months is a good thing in her case, and if she can shake off the rust sooner rather than later against Tomljanovic I think she can make the next round.
2.5pts Novak Djokovic to win ATP US Open @ 1.91 Paddy Power
As I said previously, it's hard to look past Djokovic for the title in New York. He's just won the 'Cincinatti' Masters despite having physical problems in nearly every match and despite giving some of his opponents every chance to beat him. If he couldn't be beaten when he was so obviously vulnerable and at a tournament which wasn't a priority for him, I don't see how he loses here at a tournament he definitely cares about and when it's a best-of-five set format. There's only one player I can think of that could really push him and that's Medvedev, but otherwise the only way he doesn't win here is if he gets injured like last year.
 
 
There's a few matches where some prices jumped out at me and one of those is Tsitsipas v Ramos with Tsitsipas chalked up as a 1.01 favourite. It would obviously be a massive shock if Tsitsipas didn't progress and most likely he'll do it in straight sets, but it might be worth looking at the game handicap. Tsitsipas isn't the greatest on return and so maybe Ramos can keep it close enough to cover the +9.5 game line, and although I'm not confident enough to play I wouldn't be surprised if it happened.
I also think Anderson is worth backing on the handicaps against Sascha, who is still struggling mightily with his serve. That's something that Anderson never has any problems with, so I don't see why he can't push this to five sets or keep the match close by covering the +4.5 game line. I wouldn't put anyone off backing him on the match line either, but that's a higher price for a reason and so is less likely to come in. Add in Sascha's habit of playing long matches at the slams and I'll be surprised if he wins this easily.
Goffin looks vulnerable against Opelka as well and I can definitely see an upset there. Opelka is playing nicely right now and his big serve should make it very difficult for Goffin to break, so Opelka to take a couple of sets looks worth a play as well as the match line. The game line is skinny at +2.5 but should be covered if Opelka serves well and is able to take a set, which I think he will do as Goffin doesn't look to be in the best of form from what I've seen recently.
For the women, there's two matches that got my attention. Firstly, Gauff v Sevastova where Gauff looks a little short. She's coming here off a heavy first-round defeat to Sakkari in 'Cincinatti' and in Sevastova she'll be facing a player very similar to herself in terms of playing high-percentage tennis and keeping the ball in-play. Sevastova has a decent record here and plenty of experience and she'll run every ball down and keep the rallies going. The game line of +3.5 and the match line look good to me.
Finally, I think it could pay to go against Osaka. That's because she pulled out of the 'Cincinatti' final with a hamstring injury, and whilst the severity of it is unknown it's a quick turnaround and if it impedes her in the slightest then Doi might be able to pull off a shock. The match line is worth taking with a bookie that doesn't void retirements as you'd imagine Osaka will try to play no matter what, and the set line and +6.5 game line are also worth backing - even if Osaka is healthy she doesn't always win easily.

Just one match bet for me so far and one outright, and I'll also put up some brief thoughts about some other matches in case that helps anyone out.
3pts Angelique Kerber to beat Ajla Tomljanovic @ 1.71 Betfair Exchange
I agree with what's been said so far about Kerber and she should have every chance at this tournament if she can hit the ground running. She could have got an easier first round draw than this, but I'm sure she'll see it as winnable. Tomljanovic hasn't played well since the restart and doesn't have much pedigree in the slams, and Kerber's steady style should get the job done against a player who can be very hit and miss. Kerber hasn't played since the AO so there's no way to gauge her form, but that's factored into the price and I'll take the risk. Prior to the lockdown she'd been struggling with injury and so a few months without any tennis should mean she's now in good physical condition. It could be that not playing for so many months is a good thing in her case, and if she can shake off the rust sooner rather than later against Tomljanovic I think she can make the next round.
2.5pts Novak Djokovic to win ATP US Open @ 1.91 Paddy Power
As I said previously, it's hard to look past Djokovic for the title in New York. He's just won the 'Cincinatti' Masters despite having physical problems in nearly every match and despite giving some of his opponents every chance to beat him. If he couldn't be beaten when he was so obviously vulnerable and at a tournament which wasn't a priority for him, I don't see how he loses here at a tournament he definitely cares about and when it's a best-of-five set format. There's only one player I can think of that could really push him and that's Medvedev, but otherwise the only way he doesn't win here is if he gets injured like last year.
 
 
There's a few matches where some prices jumped out at me and one of those is Tsitsipas v Ramos with Tsitsipas chalked up as a 1.01 favourite. It would obviously be a massive shock if Tsitsipas didn't progress and most likely he'll do it in straight sets, but it might be worth looking at the game handicap. Tsitsipas isn't the greatest on return and so maybe Ramos can keep it close enough to cover the +9.5 game line, and although I'm not confident enough to play I wouldn't be surprised if it happened.
I also think Anderson is worth backing on the handicaps against Sascha, who is still struggling mightily with his serve. That's something that Anderson never has any problems with, so I don't see why he can't push this to five sets or keep the match close by covering the +4.5 game line. I wouldn't put anyone off backing him on the match line either, but that's a higher price for a reason and so is less likely to come in. Add in Sascha's habit of playing long matches at the slams and I'll be surprised if he wins this easily.
Goffin looks vulnerable against Opelka as well and I can definitely see an upset there. Opelka is playing nicely right now and his big serve should make it very difficult for Goffin to break, so Opelka to take a couple of sets looks worth a play as well as the match line. The game line is skinny at +2.5 but should be covered if Opelka serves well and is able to take a set, which I think he will do as Goffin doesn't look to be in the best of form from what I've seen recently.
For the women, there's two matches that got my attention. Firstly, Gauff v Sevastova where Gauff looks a little short. She's coming here off a heavy first-round defeat to Sakkari in 'Cincinatti' and in Sevastova she'll be facing a player very similar to herself in terms of playing high-percentage tennis and keeping the ball in-play. Sevastova has a decent record here and plenty of experience and she'll run every ball down and keep the rallies going. The game line of +3.5 and the match line look good to me.
Finally, I think it could pay to go against Osaka. That's because she pulled out of the 'Cincinatti' final with a hamstring injury, and whilst the severity of it is unknown it's a quick turnaround and if it impedes her in the slightest then Doi might be able to pull off a shock. The match line is worth taking with a bookie that doesn't void retirements as you'd imagine Osaka will try to play no matter what, and the set line and +6.5 game line are also worth backing - even if Osaka is healthy she doesn't always win easily.

The key points being in the crunch moments of set 2 and 3, his serve deserted him and the points Djokovic won to get the breaks were actually won by Raonic in the form of unforced errors. Like I was saying, it's small margins at the top. Raonic played well other than those key games, but it's those key games that separate the wheat from the chaff in elite sport.

I'd definitely think about backing him to win his quarter, but I don't think he's anywhere near worth backing to win the tournament. I'd want much bigger odds than those that are available and even then I'd probably leave it because I just can't see him ever winning a slam. His record against all the best players is dismal and he's on a long streak of losses in finals on tour. He's still far too reliant on his serve and if that goes AWOL winning matches becomes exponentially harder for him, he remains injury-prone so stringing lots of wins together has been nearly impossible since his last tournament win four years ago and then there's what seems to be obvious mental demons when it comes to playing the best players - players you normally need to beat to win a slam.