thinkpink63

Serie B Lecce v Perugia
Perugia come from 7 BTTS on the row, and all their 7 travels saw both sides finding the net.
Lecce have always scored in last 11 games.
BTTS YES @ 1.75 with Bet365
 

Cagliari v Roma
Roma won't care about the midweek CL round since everything is already decided there.
Some important absentees on both sides:
Cagliari miss Barella and Castro, both important blows.
Roma miss Dzeko, De Rossi, El Shaarawy, Coric and Pellegrini. So the attacking duo will be Kluivert and Schick.
Cagliari are still unbeaten at home so far, with 2 wins and 4 draws, while Roma have won just 2 travels out of 7, and are winless on the road in last 3.
However I see the Giallorossi favorites here. They have won 6 of last 7 H2H and 2 of last 3 played in Cagliari.
Roma to win @ 1.90 with Bet365

Rennes v Dijon
One of the two Ligue 1 games not postponed today (hopefully..).
Not touching the 1X2 market here.
Rennes have conceded in 11 of last 12 games, and at home they haven't kept a clean sheet in last 5.
Dijon have concede in 9 of last 10 games. So here is more a question of poor defences rather than good attacks.
Last 4 H2H all ended BTTS, so I find some value here given the odds.
BTTS YES @ 1.95 with Bet365

There will be very little action in France this round, due to the ongoing social and political riots.
Monaco v Nice postponed today and 5 more games postponed between Saturday and Sunday. They will be recovered on 15th/16th January.
Tomorrow just Guincamp v Amiens and Rennes v Dijon are scheduled, with Strasbourg v Caen and Lille v Reims on Sunday. all the others won't be played.

Herta Berlin v Eintracht Frankfurt
Herta Berlin haven't been brilliant at home lately, with 2 draw and one loss, 4 scored and 7 conceded. But they regained some morale with the away win 2-0 to Hannover.
Eintracht lost last game at home 1-2 to Wolfsburg, but actually they had a really busy schedule with EL too.
Their firepower is out of doubt and are the second most entertaining side in the Bundesliga, with an average of 3.5 goals per game. More they scored 10 goals in last 4 travels.
BTTS YES and Over 2.5 @ 1.83 with Bet365

Chelsea v Manchester City 
Sarri rested some players midweek in the 2-1 defeat to Wolves thinking about this game.
I can only see an open game here, and considering the firepower of both sides I expect goals.
BTTS YES and Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 with Bet365
 

Just running a bit behind with the European leagues this weekend. Will get a preview for a Sunday game up tomorrow. In the meantime, let me know what other bets you have planned.
@Pep004, @sodabrab, @giraldi, @Magic0024, @allthethings, @DrO, @malabgd, @Xcout, @betcatalog, @sajtion, @FCNA, @silver fox, @thinkpink63, and @canaries91.

Real Betis vs Rayo Vallecano
Two teams that we haven't focused on much over the years are the attention of our La Liga preview this week. It's Real Betis versus Rayo Vallecano in a 7:45pm kick-off this Sunday at the Estadio Benito Villamarin. A win for the home side could push them back up in the European qualification spots.
Real Betis have been plagued by inconsistency over the season so far. Quique Setien's side have only won back-to-back matches once this season. They will be hoping that changes in this game having earned a hard-working 1-0 victory over Real Sociedad last weekend.
It's a dire time to be a Rayo Vallecano fan. Michel's team are milling around in 19th place with only 2 wins to their record this season. Fortunately, one of those two wins came in their last game at home to Eibar. So they come into this game with confidence that they haven't felt much this season.
In the head-to-head, Real Betis have only managed 1 victory in their last 9 encounters with Rayo Vallecano. However, the last meeting came back in the 2015/16 season and that was won by Real Betis. More heart can be taken by the home side over the fact that Rayo Vallecano have only won 1 of their last 23 away matches in La Liga.
I'm backing a home win here. Real Betis are producing more decent performances than poor performances. They have only lost 1 of their last 6 home league matches. I just think Rayo Vallecano are too fragile on the road. I can see the home team winning by a couple of goals.
Real Betis -1 @ 2.60 with SpreadEx
Real Betis HT/FT @ 2.50 with BetStars
@Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jazzman02, @Mr.Paul, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @laprikon, @Gabosbet, @Dr. Florida192, @thinkpink63, @MarioDunav, and @derbent, what are you going to be looking at in terms of the betting this weekend guys?

Auxerre v Lorient
Actually the game is played today, but no thread included this date 
Auxerre is riding a good momentum. Unbeaten in last 4,with 2 wins and 2 draws. They caused a big upset winning on the road to table leaders Metz, then a goalless home draw against 6th placed Niort, a 4-1 away win against struggling Sochaux and a good away draw to Le Havre.
Lorient are on paper the better side, but they are winless in last 2, losing 2-0 on the road to Troyes and wasting a 2 goals home lead against Lens.More they lost 3 of their last 5 travels
Lorient havent won in Auxerre in this millennium, 4 losses and 4 draws. And last season they lost both H2H.
Finally a confident side against a better one could produce some goals. Auxerre have scored 6 goals in last 4, Lorient 5 in last 4.
Auxerre 0 AH @ 1.70 with Bet365
Both to Score YES @ 2.00 with Bet365
 

Late goal of Milik, Napoli wins 2-1 against a good Atalanta and bet won 

Sassuolo v Udinese
Sassuolo have always scored in their 6 home games, 5 of which ended with both sides to score, including last 5.
Udinese come from the stunning win over Roma in last game, under new manager Nicola. Udinese have scored in last 4 travels, 3 of which ended BTTS.
BTTS YES @ 1.80 with William Hill 

Atalanta v Napoli
Atalanta have won 4 of last 5 games, biìut come from the 3-2 loss to Empoli, where they wasted a 2 goals lead. They will miss Ilicic today through suspension, whose comeback had been the key of the 4 wins on the trot.
Napoli come from the disappointing draw against Chievo, but their head was on the key CL game against Red Star Beograd, a must win one. I don't think such luck of focus will happen again.
Dries Mertens will most likely be rested with Milin in the starting XI. But the Belgian player is lethal even when coming from the bench.
Atalanta are a good and dangerous side but rather inconsistent, and without talisman Ilicic and with a more focused Napoli I see some value in the away win.
Napoli to win @ 2.20 with Pinnacle
 

Thanks to you @StevieDay1983. No problem. I'll post here if I have some picks from this league 

Saturday was another dramatic but profitable afternoon with Dagenham scoring 2 very late goals to beat Hartlepool and the Nap's Blyth also won. Sunday's FA Cup bets drew a blank although Southport went very close to landing at a big price. There aren't many games this mid-week, but I have 3 bets.
  Concord Rangers v Hampton & Richmond (National League South) Concord's home form is exceptional as if you take out the freak result of them losing 5-0 to Welling the only time they have lost at home in the league this season and the only other time they have failed to pick up points was when they drew 1-1 with Woking. They put in a great performance on Saturday to beat Hemel 2-1 when they only had 10 for the 2nd half. Hampton finally broke the spell without a league win on Saturday. They had only picked up 1 point in 6 games before beating East Thurrock 1-0 on Saturday, but that was hardly a great effort as it was an injury time goal against 10 men against a side in the relegation zone. I don't think it was a performance that suggested they were about to go on a winning run and I really like Concord here. The only slight worry is the fact they played just over 45 minutes with 10 men on Saturday so that might have an effect on things, but otherwise 11/10 with Marathon looks a cracking bet.   Halesowen v Alvechurch (Southern Premier Central) As I mentioned just over a week ago Halesowen are not in good shape at the moment and a change of manager made no difference at the weekend when they lost 2-0 to Stratford. That blank meant they have scored just once in their last 7 league games and they have picked up just 2 points in that spell. The away side will be very happy with the way things have gone in their first season at this level as they currently sit just outside the play-offs. They have been in good form of late having only lost twice in their last 7 games, winning the other 5. One of those defeats did come against Biggleswade on Saturday, but this game offers the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways and they should be shorter than BetVictor's 6/4.   Lewes v Corinthian Casuals (Bostik Premier) This game takes place on Wednesday and I fancy the away side to win. As an aside I really recommend watching the BT Sport documentary on Corinthian Casuals as it made for very good viewing and highlighted how well they are doing to be so high in the pyramid. If you weren't away they are an amateur side so no players get paid. A couple of months a go I highlighted how they were struggling and likely to find themselves outclassed at this level. They duly then got hammered by Enfield as to perfectly prove my point. However they have gone on an amazing run since then. In 10 league games since the Enfield defeat they have won 7 of them. Saturday's loss to Wingate & Finchley was the only really disappointing one of the 3 as the other two came against Bishops Stortford and Dorking and those two sides are either side of Casuals at the top of the 10 game form table. Lewes are one point in front of their opponents and after two losses on the bounce managed to get back to winning ways on Saturday when beating Leatherhead 1-0, but the goal came against the run of play and it wasn't a great performance. They have picked up more points and wins on their travels than at home and I struggle to see how the away side are as big as 11/4 (Betfred) to get back to winning ways.   Concord 2.5pts @ 11/10 with Marathon and William Hill Alvechurch 1pt @ 6/4 with BetVictor Corinthian Casuals 1pt @ 11/4 with Betfred

Thanks for this, @thinkpink63. I won't be able to add Serie C to the weekly listings I'm afraid but feel free to keep posting these. You can even post them in the Serie A and Serie B threads if you find that easier. Just mention they're Serie C games in the post. 

Alessandria v Piacenza 
Piacenza are 12/12 with Over 1.5 goals this season, 6 of which went Over 2.5.
Alessandria are a better side than the table suggests and sooner or later should start grabbing some wins. Their last 2 home games ended Over 2.5, and 3 of last 4 overall.
Last season's H2H ended 3-2 and 1-1. The asian goal line has great value ihmo, with a refund in case of just 2 goals.
Over 2.0 Goal Line @ 1.90 with Bet365
 

I agree with both picks. Hence I like West Brom to win & Over 2.5 @ 2.50 with Bet365

West brom v brentford should be an open free flowing game with plenty of goals. I will try a few scores: west brom 3-2, 4-1 and 4-2 all with ladbrokes boosted at 20/1, 33/1 and 45/1. I have also bought harvey barnes goal minutes at 15. 

West Brom vs Brentford
Ooh, what a treat this is for all us Championship punters! A game on a Monday! On this rare occasion it's West Brom taking on Brentford at the Hawthorns in an 8pm kick-off. The home team will want to win to keep up their strong promotion fight and the away side desperately need a win to halt a massive dip in form over recent weeks.
West Brom are 4th in the table with a game in hand on the teams around them. 34 points from 19 games is proof that the club made the right decision in sticking with Darren Moore. It was a no brainer at the time and rightly so. The Baggies have won three in a row in the league including a crushing 4-1 victory over promotion rivals Leeds.
Brentford have struggled to adapt to life after Dean Smith. Thomas Frank has been left with the task of moulding a backroom team out of the members that didn't depart with Smith. It's undoubtedly been disruptive because the Bees have lost 6 of their last 7 league matches since Smith's departure.
It's been a while since these two sides last played each other. The last meeting came on 12th August, 2003 when West Brom won an EFL Cup match 4-0. Brentford don't have the best record at the Hawthorns having lost all 9 previous visits to the ground. The last visit came on 1st February, 1992 when they lost 2-0.
You can certainly expect goals tonight. Since the Championship was re-branded into its current guise back in 2004/05, only Wolves and Southampton have scored more than West Brom's 41 goals by this stage of the season. This is a potent Baggies attack.
I'm sorry to say to Brentford fans that the way things are going I think it'll only get worse. If I was a Brentford fan I would probably be calling this a crisis. Admittedly, they've battled well against decent sides. Their recent defeats against Norwich, Middlesbrough, and Sheffield United have probably been anticipated. Still, losing can become a habit and it's one I think will continue tonight.
West Brom to Win @ 2.00 with Betfred
Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.65 with Betfair

We have a big game in Serie A since there is a derby between Fiorentina and Juventus, since the fans of the two teams have a lot of rivalry. Bad Lies The "old lady" is a level above all the Italian teams and can prove it again today
ACF FIORENTINA vs JUVENTUS TURIN @@ JUVENTUS TURIN, odds 1.70

Seems to be a weekly occurrence that there is some late drama with the bets and there certainly was today. Amazing for Dagenham to come from behind and score 2 very late goals, although Fylde blew the lead twice and let a late goal in themselves to stop it being 3/3, but with 7/2 and the Naps wining at 2/1 I will take that! Guaranteed profit for the weekend with the 3 FA Cup tips still come and if at least 1 of those comes in then it will be a very good weekend.

Very good point Darran, there's a sizeable minority out there that would call someone's tipping 'unrealistic' if they could 'only' get 11/5 on what was put up as 9/4 This also happens with the PL Horse Racing Tips, some have shortened by a point or two by the time I back them, some drift and end up winning. These 'terribly misleading' prices have ended up making us over £27k, shocking stuff by these so called tipsters that cost us nothing
Darran's tips have made roughly +27pts of profit since the first week of November, amazing knowledge of the lower leagues !

I don’t no. The main reason is people will get different prices from what I put them up at sometimes shorter and sometimes bigger. I think there can be a lot of willy waving with it as well. If I was charging for it then I would obviously put a rough profit up, but it’s free and I think if people want to know the history they can look through my posts on here. I could say I was 100pts up and no one is going to check it. If I wasn’t making a profit then I wouldn’t do it because I know people put their hard earned cash down. Indeed when things haven’t gone well in the past I have taken a back seat. 

November was a decent month profit wise and December (as long as the weather plays ball) is obviously a very busy month so fingers crossed the decent form can continue. I have 3 FA Cup bets for Sunday and they are all on that thread. I have 5 bets in the 3 National League's for Saturday.
AFC Fylde v Sutton
It was good to finally be on the right side of a bet on Fylde away from home as they had a pretty comfortable time of things in beating now mangerless Hartlepool on Tuesday night. At home they have won 8, drawn 1 and lost just twice and they were to Salford and Leyton Orient. The draw was against Harrogate so we are talking about them only dropping points to the top teams in the division and although Sutton have only lost 4 times they haven't been reaching the levels they did last season. Their last 3 league performances haven't been great although they did come from 2 down to draw 2-2 at Braintree on Tuesday night, but then Braintree are bottom. They lost to Slough on penalties in the FA Cup and Fylde look a cut above to me especially given how strong they are at home. I think they should be odds on so am happy to get involved at 11/10.
Hartlepool v Dagenham & Redbridge
I'm not sure Hartlepool have got either managerial appointments right since they dropped out of the Football League. Fair play to Matthew Bates for keeping them in the division last season especially in very tricky circumstances, but after a solid start things have gone downhill fast and they have lost 6 league games on the bounce. Not surprisingly he got the sack on Wednesday and the club need to get the next appointment right so they can at least give themselves a solid base for next season. In the very short term I am not sure things are going to get any better on Saturday and Dagenham look a hell of a bet at 7/2 to pick up another 3 points. Since the takeover Peter Taylor has been able to spend money and the team has been improving. They have won 5 out of their last 6 games and the only loss was a 1-0 defeat to Sutton. They have only conceded 4 times in their last 6 games and they have been a lot more solid at the back as well as being clinical at the other end of the pitch. These two sides should be much closer to each other in the betting.
Nuneaton v Blyth Spartans
Like Hartlepool Nuneaton are also without a manager at the moment and I think things are going to take some time before the new owner has any effect on the playing side of things. The three draws they got in their last 8 league games were decent efforts, but they lost their other 5 games and 4 of those were by at least 2 goals. Blyth didn't have a great start to the season, but they have shown a big improvement in recent weeks, bar a couple of bad defeats. In their last 8 league games they were their only two losses and they won 5 of those games including against an in form Stockport on Tuesday night. They only picked up 1 point in their first 6 away games, but have picked up 7 in their other 3 which is more proof of their improvement. They should be favourites to win this so the 2/1 is a cracking bet in my view.
Spennymoor v Kidderminster
Spennymoor did us a good turn last week and after a tricky start they really put Halesowen to the sword to beat them 8-2. Now this game will obviously be harder, but Kidderminster's form has really gone downhill in recent weeks. They have only won one of their last 6 league games and York beat them 3-1 in the FA Trophy last week. To be fair their away form has been better than their home form and they have only lost once on their travels, but they drew against Nuneaton in their last away game and I think Spennymoor are looking much the better side at the moment, thus they look a fair bet.
Truro v St Albans
The other team in the double last week were Truro and I am also sticking with them this week back in league action. As I mentioned last week they have been an improved side of late and they are unbeaten in their last 5 league games. They look a decent bet here as I think they should be favourites. St Albans games have been very exciting as their league games have seen 64 goals already, yet strangely their last league game saw them draw 0-0 against Gloucester. That was their first point in 4 games though and it was a poor game. Since then they have been beaten in a replay by Weymouth in the FA Trophy and they look out of sorts at the moment. With a long trip to Torquay ahead of them I think this could be another game they end up with nothing.
AFC Fylde 1pt @ 11/10 with Bet365
Dagenham & Redbridge 1.5pts @ 7/2 with Bet365, William Hill and Marathon
Blyth Spartans 2.5pts @ 2/1 with 888sport
Spennymoor 1pt @ 6/4 with William Hill, Betfred and Betway
Truro 2.5pts @ 19/10 with Bet365