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Trotter
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Posts posted by Trotter
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2.30 NA - Komedy Kicks - win at 9/4 wm hill
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3.20 Bri - Greek Giant - win at 4/9 bet365
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Pont 7.30 - Flint Hill - win at 3/1 wm hill
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2.45 Good - Profitable Dreams - win at 11/8 bet365
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Bang 3.25 - Hidalgo de L'Isle - win at 9/4 bet365
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I like to look for favourites in small field races that I think won't win ....... the reasoning being that favourites are more likely to be overbet in small fields because they only have 3, 4 or 5 rivals and the betting public think 'surely he'll win that, he's only got to beat 3 of them'
So if you can identify a false favourite the other horses might be good value ...... of course you still have to find one to beat the favourite and win
I guess you could say that it's the same as looking for a false favourite in a 16 runner race ....... but even if you identify one you've still got 15 others that might win !
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4.10 Thirsk - Knightswood - win at 8/11 bet365
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Ham 4.10 - La Pulga - win at 9/4 bet365
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Nott 3.25
We have a horse here, Isle of Dreams, going for a 6 timer and is not surprisingly pretty short odds and odds on with some firms
But I fancy taking it on with Rainbow Mirage
The two horses approach the race from different directions, the Favourite is up from class 6 and going up in the weights and my selection is down from class 4 and going down in the weights
At some point their paths will cross ...... and it could just be today !
Rainbow Mirage - win at 13/2 bet365
- The Equaliser, LEE-GRAYS, Brahmin and 1 other
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4.45 NA - Chief Black Robe - win at 4/6 bet365
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2.15 Sou - Jaytee - win at 10/11 PP
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2.45 Ayr - Alethiometer - win at 6/5 wm hill
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2.30 Fak - Mystic Man - win at 5/6 bet365
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6.50 Strat - Shantou Express - win at 5/4 PP
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I suppose there was always some doubt with that the Cup Final might go to extra time, penalties, then you've got all the presentations and post-race interviews and chat .... it could have gone on until well after 6pm so it would be tricky to schedule the Derby not knowing what time the football might finish ..........
I guess it was just safer and more certain to put it on before the match ....... and that meant more than an hour before 3pm because ITV wanted to get on with the match 'build up'
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I suspect that with the protests we're going to get so fed up waiting for the race that it'll just be a damp squib (not squid!...... 😉)
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1 Military Order
2 Passenger
3 Sprewell
good luck !
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Carl 1.40 - Kylian - win at 8/15 wm hill
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7.55 Carl - World Without Love - win at 5/1 bet365
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oh ........ the live stream has been taken down .......... a few minutes before the race
Ah well........ that's YouTube ...... 😜
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Noticed a live Yoube stream for the Preakness Stakes which is due off at Midnight....... second leg of the Triple Crown and the Kentucky Derby winner, Mage, is running
Stream has the American ads !
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2 points on Sheff Wed at 2.60
cheers
Naps - Thursday 15th June
in NAP of the Day Competition
Posted
7.20 Worc - Shantou Express - win at 5/2 wm hill