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Trotter

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Posts posted by Trotter

  1. I like to look for favourites in small field races that I think won't win ....... the reasoning being that favourites are more likely to be overbet in small fields because they only have 3, 4 or 5 rivals and the betting public think 'surely he'll win that, he's only got to beat 3 of them'

    So if you can identify a false favourite the other horses might be good value ...... of course you still have to find one to beat the favourite and win

    I guess you could say that it's the same as looking for a false favourite in a 16 runner race ....... but even if you identify one you've still got 15 others that might win !

  2. Nott 3.25

    We have a horse here, Isle of Dreams, going for a 6 timer and is not surprisingly pretty short odds and odds on with some firms

    But I fancy taking it on with Rainbow Mirage

    The two horses approach the race from different directions, the Favourite is up from class 6 and going up in the weights  and my selection is down from class 4 and going down in the weights

    At some point their paths will cross ...... and it could just be today !

    Rainbow Mirage -  win at 13/2 bet365

     

     

  3. I suppose there was always some doubt with that the  Cup Final might go to extra time, penalties, then you've got all the presentations and post-race interviews and chat .... it could have gone on until well after 6pm so it would be tricky to schedule the Derby not knowing what time the football might finish .......... 

    I guess it was just safer and more certain to put it on before the match ....... and that meant more than an hour before 3pm because ITV wanted to get on with the match 'build up'

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