Tedthewolf

Profit £83.28p

Just a word on vicente-i saw an interview with trevor hemmings on atr yesterday talking about his 3 possible runners. This was interspersed with an interview with Nicholls. I normally take what he says with a pinch of salt but it sounded like vicente would not run if soft ground and would wait for the Scottish version which he has won for the last 2 years.

2018 Aintree Tipsters Competition
 
We shall be running a tipsters competition for the Aintree 3-day meeting starting on April 12th The winner and two runners up will receive cash prizes.
 Please find all the rules below. I will put up the selection threads each day and the table each evening. Anyone wanting to enter in advance due to lack of access let me know via PM. No need to register, just turn up on the day
 
Rules:
1 selection per race throughout the 3 days at Aintree Bets settled to £1 level stakes - WIN Only Bets settled at SP Highest accumulative total over 4 days wins £60 cash (via PayPal) Runner Up wins £25 and the third place wins £15, all prizes via your PayPal account. No edits allowed in selection posts No losses incurred for losers or Non Runners Replacement selections for NR's can be posted but must be before the first race deadline All Bets must be posted prior to the first race each day (no exceptions) Not compulsory to enter all 3 days (so if you miss the first day or two you can still take part) Leaderboard posted each evening All welcome 
 
No need to register

Well if its trumpet blowing time
But If I was a win bet on Addeybb and ew savers on  Via Via & Repercussions at 33/1 and 20/1
Oh and Lord Glitters came second @ 37.40 ex & 25.81 csf

Well  considering the ground any result is good......120 pts returned from this plus about 25 for the ew double with kynten.....so cant' complain at all ....over the moon with that 

Bravery gets in by the skin of his teeth 22 of 22  all the 28/1 &  25/1 gone in a flash generally 16/1 now with NRNB still a very good price in my world have had  a e/w bash on it  as i really fancy it a lot  last years jock desserts it for trainers other horse which is 2nd fav but im sticking with Bravery. Stall 1 isnt  not a problem imho as last year he was drawn high but was kept to the back early and switched  sides  came with a  late rattle this ground will suit carrying  4lb less this year i think this bottom weighted 5yo  is a really good solid  e/w bet in the race.
Good Luck All

I have original choice clear top rated for silver cup with kynren 2nd rated ....agsinna haggas horse top rated .....he' in Lincoln betting but not currently in race ....can' be coincidence....is he organising some sort of coup ?.....its a huge double .....what the hell I'm in !!! ...wait til he' confirmed .....I like kyren too ...improving type.....

Really fancy  last year winner BRAVERY but unlikely to get in needs 8 to come out which  is a shame is best priced 28/1 but  bookies aint doing  NR no bet yet once they do ill be having a decent e/w bet on it likes the track and soft ground isnt a problem will carry less than he did when winning last year big big chance imo if he gets a run

Well done the winners.
Thanks for an excellent comp as always BH.

Well done the winners.
Thanks for an excellent comp as always BH.

£2 straight line up + 4 lines at 25p
 
£3 @ 96.80 = £290.40 Returns
 

130 Ch: First Flow
210 Ch: Saint Calvados
250 Ch: Ramses De Teillee
330 Ch: Buveur D'Air
410 Ch: Apple's Jade
450 Ch: Mossback
530 Ch: Testify

Very tough race but i think the Tizzard horse Viconte Du Noyer may be a bit of value Bryan Cooper booked for the ride this horse ran well in Ireland 2 starts back a reproduction of that could see him involved here trainers horses are running well.

Super call Roberto 

Good luck everyone! 
Here's my take on this very special race. 
Melbourne Cup 2017 - Preview:
The race that stops the nation.... or the race that disrupts my sleep. Yep, it's back - the one and only Melbourne Cup!
Thankfully only once a year. Getting up at 3.30am on a regular basis is probably not recommended. Nonetheless, Tuesday morning I will. All in the name of my favourite race on this beautiful planet!
Not because I've ever been particularly successful finding the winner. I have not. But because the build-up. The atmosphere. The enormity of the whole event. It's special.
One day I gonna be there. To see it with my own eyes. Wide awake and alert. Unlike tomorrow morning. When I watch on with red eyes.
As close as I ever came to the mecca that Flemington is: I drove passed it with a rental car earlier this year on a trip to Australia.
Let's talk about the actual race: off at 4am Irish time. Here's hoping my neighbours are prepared for the screams of joy when Rekindling strolls over the line as the winner of the 2017 Melbourne Cup!
In past years I always backed multiple horses in the race. Didn't do me any good. Only the bookies were smiling. This year I pin all my hopes on the Joseph O'Brien trained three year old colt.
But let's move all the negative factors out of the way first: no doubt there are a handful of good reasons why this lad won't get anywhere near the money tomorrow morning. Some smarter people than I am are probably right if they say Rekindling had a long season, the Cup is a mere afterthought on the back of an excellent Ledger performance and therefore he'll find this really tough.
Rekindling is not a particularly imposing individual in terms of physical presence either. He didn't have a prep run Down Under. And he's a galloping sort who might not enjoy the start-stop nature of the race.
All fair points. However at 14/1 I am prepared to take a chance on Rekindling, fully aware I will likely go back to sleep at roughly 4.30am after yet another Cup disappointment.
But hold on, let's hear for all the good reasons why Rekindling will win the 2017 Melbourne Cup:
Weight, Class and Ratings. He's a classy 116 rated individual, a multiple pattern class winner and was only 2 lengths beaten - and in my view unlucky not to get closer - when 4th in the English St. Leger.
He gets into the Cup with a featherweight thanks to WFO, however on Aussie terms is actually a four year old. He's got as little as 8st 2lb to carry. He's third highest ranked in terms of time speed and Racing Post Ratings. Granted, the merit of these ratings is questionable for obvious reasons - it still is another little piece in the puzzle.
The draw. It could hardly be any better. Stall 4 gives every opportunity. Not allot of energy needs to be wasted early on, as long Rekindling breaks alright. Which he should.
Form. An  impressive winner of the Curragh Cup, and an equally as impressive 4th in the English St. Leger. A performance I rate particularly highly. That is because he came from a long way back that day, trailing for most parts, and when travelling strongly on the bridle over three furlongs out, he did not get a clear run and lost valuable momentum and ground as a consequence.
Yet he produced the joint fastest sectionals for the last four furlongs and finished in fourth, only 2 lengths behind Capri. That form in its own right is strong, but has already been franked multiple times.
I also don't subscribe to the fact Rekindling would not be suited to the start-stop nature of the Melbourne Cup. In fact this lad is not a mere galloping sore who travels strongly and grinds things out. No, he has pace and a turn of foot. He showed it quite clearly when producing a superb effort over 10 furlongs in the lowly ran Ballysax Stakes earlier this year.
Now, I do really love the chance of this horse. I understand why people compare him to Bondi Beach in last years Cup. However I feel Rekindling is a different animal altogether.
I strongly believe he's more for than against him - with one only concern: he's usually held up. Here's hoping Rekindling will be utilized to full effect from his positive draw and does not settle farther off the pace than midfield.
I readily admit that it is a huge ask, nonetheless. And the field is incredibly competitive. I do not quite buy into the hype of Marmelo and find it hard to see Almandin doing it all again - however Red Cardinal would be my absolute prime chance in this race - if not for the wide draw.
Now this must not be a problem necessarily given he'll settle off the pace anyways, regardless of the draw. Still, he'll be too far back I fear. Max Dynamite, if fully fit - and he looked good during his comeback run - is another one to like a lot. The runner-up of 2015 has even less weight to carry this time round.
Tiberian, despite a wide draw, might be able to cross over as there seems not too much early pace here. If so, he's a dangerous horse. Hugo Palmer's Wall Of Fire had the perfect preparation - he's a major player.
Nonetheless, it's Rekindling or nothing for me. And what a story it would be. Joseph O'Brien in his first season as a trainer winning the Melbourne Cup - a feast his record breaking father never achieved? Go son, go!
Selection:

 10pts win - Rekindling @ 14/1 William Hill

I logged into ATR website
and clicked the link from there
Goes up £1,000 every week its not won

http://www.horseandhound.co.uk/videos/news-videos/many-clouds-film-new-york

A helicopter couldnt dry part of the course Jimmy, they deffo need to spend money and fix the course. 
NB 3.25 at around 10/1 BROROCCO look to have a strong e/w claim  not a clear run lto when decent 4th with a clear run here should go very close. BAYDAR not in great form  but won this last year looks a decent e/w play at around 20/1.
NB 4..00 not really my type of race but i think there could be more improvement in JUDICAL  e/w 12/1 of the outsiders LINE OF REASON is worth a few coppers e/w is as big as 80/1 in places lower price but 5 places with some others.
NM 3.10  SHREWD ran well in this last year less weight this time looks a solid  e/w bet at 14/1. PERCY VEER has some really decent from and isnt a 40/1 chance imo well worth an e/w play.
4.55 NINJAGO won  off a very low mark and has a great chance of following up here  great  e/w bet at 10/1. CAPT LARS is a decent enough horse and at 25/1 looks overpriced another well worth an e/w play imo.
 
 

AYR CALLED OFF....fingers crossed for Saturday

Super start by Gary to be Tied 3rd after round 1
But with the late starters like him due to be at a possible disadvantage today, will take a guaranteed profit now of 22pts with a buy at 25

Went today, it was really impressive to be honest.
Fortunes have been spent on organising this and the locals are obviously sceptical.
It was a hot day and I know some take practice more serious than others but if you go on body language alone then stay clear of Fowler, Walker, Garcia, Poulter and Casey. They looked as if they just couldn't be bothered, not even finishing puts some of the time.
On the other side of the coin, Rory was buzzing, Mickelson superb (spent ages with the young fans too! Note to Garcia who ignored them) and Tommy Fleetwood kept himself to himself and just got on with the job in hand. 
Photos here:

McIlroy out to 20/1 thats massive  but can he bounce back well  its a yes from me im  on e/w. at various prices.

Aint had a decent return on this bet for a while hoping these bad boys will put that right a win £1 L15
Bet Details Date/Time Stake Return Cape Peninsular @ 7.00
Auspicion @ 6.00
Natural Scenery @ 9.00
Moonraker @ 13.00
Lucky 15, 15 bets * £1.00 30/06/2017 21:10:32 15.00 0.00                

I like the Spieth bet for First round leader as he has played on the course before
How about another selection of Jason Day as First round leader as he loves the US Open and he starting to play well again
Jason Day First Round Leader 25/1 paddy power

WOW what a day - big winner in the Derby Trial and Bainne got up on the line to win the penultimate at the Curragh despite drifting to 9/1!