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mark22

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  1. Like
    mark22 reacted to four-leaf in Tennis Tips - July 26 - August 1   
    Mikael Ymer to beat (+1.5 sets) Casper Ruud at 2.00 with Betfair
    Not mutch to say about this. Casper has played 2 weeks straight and won two tournaments these past two weeks and he had problems yesterday and Mikael has taken sets off of Casper before in two meetings and winning one of them. Mikael has played better this week than he did last week when facing Vit Kopriva. I think he has a chance in this match.
  2. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 19 - July 25   
    this is true, well for now he somehow stays on some level. it's good to see we both won ?
  3. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 19 - July 25   
    I saw plenty of his matches and I remember him playing well even indoors a couple of times. He's ageing, though, and the last few times I've seen him, he was poor. Interesting stats, though, thanks for bringing that up!
  4. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 19 - July 25   
    I wouldn´t expect Viola feels at home on clay at all, but anyway I checked the data. Just not to be ´´smartass´´ and then be wrong at the end. As you can see below, Viola has better win ratio on hard (51%) than on clay (42%).
    Matches (122-119) > Time Span: Career; Surface: Hard; Level: All ATP, Qualifying, Challengers, CH Qualies
    Matches (106-144) > Time Span: Career; Surface: Clay; Level: All ATP, Qualifying, Challengers, CH Qualies
    As I watched his match also in Umag few years back, I can say he has bad defence, he relys on his strong serve mostly and ends up points after few shots. This is the only match caught in my eyes today, before I checked forum hehe  Viola had some hard matches in last weeks, so I think he can keep it close, and line is pretty low.
    over 21.5 games @1.77 with WWin
  5. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 19 - July 25   
    Marc Polmans (+5.5) to beat Christian Garin at 1.73 with Pinnacle
    Garin has been off the boil a bit lately and he's got some history with Polmans as well. Two tight Grand Slam matches, with one coming in this past Wimbledon. Polmans was trying to make a big comeback there and wasn't too far, I bet he will be pumped up for this. If Garin starts slow or isn't on the top of his game, that could very well spell trouble. It's not often that we get 5.5 or 6.5 lines in men's tennis, but I'm happy to take them if the circumstances look right. Riedi delivered, let's hope Polmans can do as well.
  6. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 19 - July 25   
    Leandro Riedi (+6.5) to beat Federico Delbonis at 1.91 with Unibet
    Swiss tennis will have to start working without Federer and Wawrinka soon, with Stricker and Riedi being the most promising talents at the moment. Stricker has already made a name for himself, while Riedi needs to step out of the juniors and do some damage. He's just 18, but I've seen him twice this year and he's a good prospect. In front of his home crowd, I think the handicap can be taken care of.
  7. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 12 - July 18   
    Anderson to win + 20.5 games @2.25 with Marathonbet
    Yesterday matches went as I predicted. Brooksby won after losing in 2nd set, Anderson was set and break down.. but then turned gear up and won with great game. In finals I bet on man who has much more experience in big matches, but I expect at least one TB and over games in this low line.
    Gaio - Vilella 1 @2.17 with Marathonbet
    Finals of Todi challenger. Gaio played excellent against Etcheverry yesterday, who was in good form lately. He showed no weakness on his serve, while he made many breaks on oponent strong service game. Vilella had a long match against Brazilian youngster yesterday. He lost second set, otherwise he showed nice form here. I bet on Gaio, who shouldn't be underdog, he has 7 matches in CH finals, while Vilella only 2. Gaio can count on home crowd also.
  8. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - July 12 - July 18   
    I covered this tournament pretty accurate, so here are few words about Newport. Brooksby is 31:5 this season! He is very good player for his age, I thought he is just fast court player like most Americans.. then he came to RG and made it to main draw  if that isn´t a sign then I don´t know. Maybe his serve is not so strong, but he has good strokes and he doesn´t misses a lot, has good numbers on return points won. I was also impressed by Gojowzyk number on serve, but also aware of Brooksby quality. So this result is no suprise.
    Here we have very tricky pairs. Thompson is similar player, better in field than firing aces, but he is older and more experienced. I think he wasn´t tested yet on this tournament (Cressy almost took it to 3rd set) and Brooksby has some chances, but odds are too low.
    In other semi-final we have Bublik, who is the best player left here in my opinion. He has strong serve, most powerful strokes. I´m just worried about his mental strength, since he delivered me some bad losses, not caring about result?? Anderson found some good form here, we already know his qualities. Beside high ace numbers he can cover court very well, especially at the net. I wouldn´t trust no one in this match, but Anderson is underdog and maybe worth of try here.
    Anderson to win + total games over 22.5 @2.95 with Marathonbet
     
     
  9. Confused
    mark22 reacted to owenclass in Wimbledon 2021   
    Great match from both players. But Barty was the deserved winner
  10. Like
    mark22 reacted to delfino in Wimbledon 2021   
    although after the result we are all wise, i think however that today Pliskova totally disappointed me. After the second set, i said to my self that Barty is over, she started to choke, however Pliskova gifted her the title with the losing attitude in third set. Congratulations to the very nice tip of Czech Punter, i followed him on that, and now i expect Brazil to win tonight to go to the cash. 
  11. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2021   
    To be fair, Pliskova often resorts to the same game plan as Sabalenka. When out of form, she's just a ball basher that hopes her serve will beat her opponents on its own while they self-destruct with a free break.
  12. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2021   
    Honestly I think most of our minds gone completely wrong way in Wimbledon. For me it started very good, now it`s the opposite. When you use all your knowledge, season is on it´s top, you have statistic, play big odds and you even get VIDEO material form almost every match (that you can´t get on every GS) and you actually see how players performs, next round pick goes totally other way.
    Johnson (not getting advantage in 5th set against Fritz) Ostapenko Linette ( vs Badosa; had 3:0/A:40 in 3rd set) Bublik (played excellent against Dimitrov, total blowout against Hurkacz, who looked to me as a ´´robot´´ in movement on grass) Juvan (HC, mentally not capable of even winning some games she should take) Thompson (over games vs Ivashka, who was swept later by Berettini; very good tournament till this match) Korda, Samsonova (also has very good feeling, at least for Samsonova) I don´t know whether to continue or just wait for next tournaments, also on this forum is too much guessing and contrary opinions about matches. What´s your opinion? Good luck.
  13. Like
    mark22 reacted to liquidglass in Wimbledon 2021   
    Raducanu vs Tomljanovic
    I would want to believe that I have taken enough time to watch Raducanu to know where to place her current level. Tomljanovic is just a different variety of the same level of opposition that Raducanu has already conquered. I really cannot think of any potent weapon that Tomljanovic has in her arsenal that could do significant damage to this massive British talent. She just knows how to get herself into rallies with that old school chipped return of serve. Her change of pace and racket head acceleration during rallies is so mesmerizingly breath-taking. Provided the reality of what she is trying to accomplish does not consume her, I see her coming out victorious again. Especially now that she is becoming more popular, I just see the home support being too heavy for Tomljanovic to handle . Raducanu is also very vocal and pumped up during play and could severely distract her opponent with those in-play celebrations. Raducanu to continue her run alongside the English football team.
     
  14. Like
    mark22 reacted to teodorppv in Wimbledon 2021   
    About Raducanu
    I think she will win the match. I am not the biggest fan of these young and some how unnaturally introduced into WTA tour players but Tomljanovic has never showed big nerves in the big matches and playing at court 1 at Wimbledon against unknown rival who has the support of thousands of people is a massive factor which will affect Tomljanovic’s game.
     
    Also Raducanu is in her zone right now, everything she tries, every groundstroke, dropshot, volley, lop is going in or becomes winner while Tomljanovic had very tough couple of matches which I think will affect her not only physically but also mentally.
  15. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2021   
    Steve Johnson to beat Taylor Fritz at 2.35 with Pinnacle
    Taking this with Pinnacle, wouldn't be shocked by Fritz retiring. Anyway, Fritz looked good against Nakashima, way better than expected, but let's not take things for granted. Playing a second match in two days can take its toll if his fitness isn't there, which it shouldn't. Also, Johnson tends to fare well against guys with big serves and has a good record against both Isner and Fritz himself.
  16. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2021   
    Podoroska delivers, nice to see.
  17. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2021   
    Querrey - Carreno Busta 1 @1.80 with WWin
    American showed some signs of better form in recent weeks, his game suits grass very good. Busta has 0/5 record in Wimbledon and I think he will record another one against big serving Querrey today.
    Trungelliti - Bonzi; Trungelliti over 16.5 games @1.87 with WWin
    Both player came through qualies, Bonzi has better results this year on grass courts and also overall. He lost set against Ferreira Sliva in last round, but he is big favorite today (1.25). I expect close match with 4 sets at least and that Trungelliti wins at least set here and in this case bet should be easily won.
    GL!
  18. Like
    mark22 reacted to four-leaf in Wimbledon 2021   
    Kristyna Pliskova to beat (-1.5 sets) Danka Kovinic at 2.17 with Unibet
    Danka is plain and simple completely useless on grass. Has barely won a set or a match on the surface through the years and has always prefered to play on clay before Wimbledon. One season she came from playing in the Bol 125k tournament and another straight from clay in Ystad, Sweden and this season straight from losing in Roland Garros round 1. She has never won a match in the maindraw of SW19 and not even a set in three tries. The only notable player she's beaten in SW19 is Sachia Vickery 6-4 6-4 in the qualies round 1 and got beaten in qualies round 2 by Danielle Lao 2019. The Pliskova twins know their way on the grass and this one will highly likely simply be quite onesided as it always is when Danka comes to collect the SW19 round 1 paycheck and go on to play in some minor event on clay.
  19. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Wimbledon 2021   
    weather looks bad :) anyway, i have some tips for day 1. We have some underdogs here, who can make matches much more thight than bookies suggest.
    Garin - Zapata Miralles over 36.5 games @1.78 with WWin
    Evans - Lopez over 38.5 games @1.77 with Marathonbet
    Garin - Zapata Miralles over 36.5 games @1.78 with WWin
    Harris - Berankis over 3.5 sets @1.61 with Marathonbet
    and 2 combo bets, where we could see some tight sets but I´ll also play on winner.
    Khachanov To Win + Total Games Over 31.5 [email protected] with Marathonbet
    Otte To Win + Total Sets Over 3.5 @3.54 with Marahonbet
    good luck
  20. Sad
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 21 - June 27   
    Alexander Bublik to beat Lorenzo Sonego at 1.88 with Pinnacle
    Bublik seems to be enjoying himself this week and his playing style is great for grass courts. Plenty of slices, plenty of variation and a bit of madness thrown into the mix. The surface at Eastbourne can produce some sick bounces as well and Sonego doesn't have the physique and style to deal with them. If Bublik is there mentally, he should win this way more often than not.
  21. Sad
    mark22 reacted to darko08 in Tennis Tips - June 21 - June 27   
    Simona Waltert to beat Oceane Dodin at 4.00 with bet365
    I have seen some matches from the young swiss player this year and she has impressed me. I saw her in the Altenkirchen ITF, a tournament played on indoors. She played really well there and she destroyed Golubic in the SFs (6-4, 6-2). She lost the Final against Tauson but she took a set from her. Before that she won an ITF tournament played in Manacor in January. In April she reached the SFs in 2 ITF tournaments played on clay and she beat decent players as Hesse, Lottner, Fett, Xiyu Wang, Minella and Barthel. She has beat Ruse easily in her first match here (6-2, 6-2) and she was at 3.00. It has been her first match on grass as a professional but it's important to remark that her best result in a GS as junior was in Wimbledon 2017. She reached the SFs and she lost against Ann Li (7-6, 6-1). She has a really good record this year (29-11). Dodin also has a game that suits really well on fast courts but her record this year is bad (11-16). What shocks me is that she has lost a lot of matches being a huge favorite. Shinikova (6.50), U.Radwanska (4.00), Jia-Jing Lu (5.50), Kung (3.00), Grabher (3.00), Mrdeza (2.00), Hibino (2.20), Paquet (3.00), Stojanovic (2.60) and Rodionova (2.90) are some of the players that have beat Dodin this year. She has a good record on grass (17-16) but she never has passed the qualification here (2019, 2018, 2016 and 2015). The only time she played in the main draw here was in 2017 (she did not play the qualification) and she lost in the 1R. She has suffered too much in her first match here against Eva Guerrero (7-6, 6-3) despite being a huge favorite (1.11). These players met for the first time 1 month ago, in Strasbourg, and Dodin beat Waltert in straight sets (6-4, 7-5). I did not see this match but after taking a look at the stats I can say it was a hard battle. The only difference was that Dodin converted 5 of the 7 break opportunities she had while Waltert only converted 3 of the 10 break points she had. These players have some similarities. Both are tall players (1.80-1.83) who practice an aggressive style of playing but Waltert's record this year (29-11) is much more impressive so I think Dodin (11-16) shouldn't be with these odds.
  22. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 14 - June 20   
    Obviously quite gutted about his poor showing against Schwartzman! Now he's beating Medvedev with ease!
  23. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - June 14 - June 20   
    Struff is very bad on this tournament and also has bad record on grass so I wonder if he will be a threat to Medvedev: http://www.tennisabstract.com/cgi-bin/player-classic.cgi?p=JanLennardStruff&f=ACareerqqB2DHalleqq
    What the hell happened to Bachinger? He won 5! points on return in 2! sets.. this is crazy, if he at least retired..
  24. Like
    mark22 got a reaction from CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Watched both of women SF. My both picks made it to the finals, well also Sakkari would deserve it to be honest. I think this match was level above first semifinal. Zidansek simply didn`t have a chance with so many games ended with opponent break ( although she is my compatriot  ), 6 breaks is just too much for that important match. I just hope Krejcikova won´t be too tired, since she has doubles SF to play.. I see good value @1.80+ odds on her win. She has much better movement on court than Pavlyuchenova and nice variety in game, Russian will lose most of long exchanges.
  25. Like
    mark22 reacted to CzechPunter in French Open 2021   
    Jan-Lennard Struff to beat Diego Schwartzman at 2.70 with Pinnacle
    I've really liked Struff so far, it seems to me that he's finally worked on his mental game and it's paying off big time. It was a massive deal that he managed to win the decider against Rublev after the Russian's comeback and he's been progressing nicely. As far as Diego is concerned, he's been shaky all season long, so why is he getting so much credit here? Because he's yet to drop a set? Great, but Struff lost two against Rublev and then none against Bagnis and the massively talented Alcaraz. Diego dropped none, but against the retired Lu, the fairly average Bedene and the suprise veteran Kohlschreiber. This will be the first serious test for Diego in the tournament and I'm not having him as such a big favourite at all. Remember, he even folded in two sets against Gasquet in Lyon! At 2.70, I have to bet Struff and hope for the best.
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