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Zilzalian
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Posts
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Posts posted by Zilzalian
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Ascot 420 Audarya 16/1 bet365
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my speed figures for the Coventry.
Angel Blue 125 33/1
Dhabab 122+ 5/1
Vintage Clarets 120 28/1
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305 ascot angel blue 28/1 paddy power
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230 -
305 Angel blue
340 maven
420 lucky vega
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535 palavachenko
610 sleeping lion
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100 lingfield honey pot 22/1 betvictor
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445 long dorazio 10/1 paddypower
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340 york Bickerstaffe 20/1 paddypower
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250 lyon-parily not in doubt 10/1 bet365
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255 newb one journey 17/2 paddypower
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7:30 Kemp Gavi di Gavi 11/1 bet365
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3:10 st-cl timour 7/1 bet365
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230 leic spanish archer 14/1 bet365
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3:00 chant Adhamo 22/1 paddypower
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8 hours ago, calva decoy said:
Horses do improve from 2 to 3 & fillies usually later in the season .
She seemed to act on the ground a lot better , if anyone was guilty of anything yesterday it was the clerk of the course declaring it good to soft when they were clearly going in a long way .
I actually looked into some research on the "improve from 2 to 3" theory, its actually very rare as most horses improve with each other. the only improvement that seems to show up is ie when a 3yo that never encountered soft ground at two improves due to soft ground at 3, and the rarer reverse occurrence. this was backed up by my 2yo speed figures which seemed to need no 3yo additions to remain consistent from 2-3 i saw someone suggest they think snowfall is a good bet for the Arc "12/1" well good luck with that one. Serpentine won the derby well, did it win again? i would prefer to believe snowfall won a very very poor oaks (something i said on here before the race) And I quote myself, "looks like an ordinary listed handicap to me". and i am not too sure the derby today was much better. The winner was given a peach of a ride, with a poor horse coming 2nd.
- MCLARKE and The Equaliser
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345 Epsom Exalted Angel 28/1 bet365
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Here is a question given Snowfalls demolition job, was that pretty poor oaks? (look to snowfalls form)
Also an opinion for newcomers to the sport to consider. I rarely back O'Brien horses and never short price ones. Because i don't believe 1 word that comes out of his mouth. (again look at his form)
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3 hours ago, The Equaliser said:
Weather has made a mess of it for me i checked the going and the weather no mention of rain....just shows.
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7 minutes ago, LEE-GRAYS said:
The 3 o’brien outsiders 1,3,13 all e/w will do for me ?
can see your reasoning.
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17 hours ago, Zilzalian said:
I much respect @The Brigadier and the way he researches his races and draws his conclusions but an alternative viewpoint is always handy and we may get a few forecasts between us so here are my selections. prices at time of posting.
200 my speed figures suggest 1st Dusky Prince 6/1 2nd raging 8/1.
235 super fast last time out Storting 11/2
310 the fastest speed figure i have on my database for 1m4F is Japan 3/1 when it beat Slalom in France, anywhere near that will destroy this lot.
345 think i will go with CD form as this race are all much of a muchness which is the idea of handicaps so Data Protection 10/1
430 Not impressed with this lot for an Oaks looks more like an ordinary listed handicap to me but can see a Varian 1st & 2nd here Zeyaadah 11/2 seems a good option with Save the Forest a good each way option (backed at 66/1) now 33/1
510 get your darts out
5.40 Arigato 12/1 looks a sneaky bet at a good price.
Good luck people.
That unexpected ground change has made a bit of a mess of things, al aasy comes right into things now i just didnt fancy it on GF. Just shows you can check everything instead of acts of god.
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7:23 Doncaster Blue Mist 14/1 bet365
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I much respect @The Brigadier and the way he researches his races and draws his conclusions but an alternative viewpoint is always handy and we may get a few forecasts between us so here are my selections. prices at time of posting.
200 my speed figures suggest 1st Dusky Prince 6/1 2nd raging 8/1.
235 super fast last time out Storting 11/2
310 the fastest speed figure i have on my database for 1m4F is Japan 3/1 when it beat Slalom in France, anywhere near that will destroy this lot.
345 think i will go with CD form as this race are all much of a muchness which is the idea of handicaps so Data Protection 10/1
430 Not impressed with this lot for an Oaks looks more like an ordinary listed handicap to me but can see a Varian 1st & 2nd here Zeyaadah 11/2 seems a good option with Save the Forest a good each way option (backed at 66/1) now 33/1
510 get your darts out
5.40 Arigato 12/1 looks a sneaky bet at a good price.
Good luck people.
- BBBC, The Brigadier, The Equaliser and 2 others
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545 thirsk Burtonwood 33/1 paddypower
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backing horses that are "not off" is beginning to wind me up. when the betting suggests it and the ride suggests it then you can't come to any other conclusion. 7:20 at Kempton.
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720 kemp time interval 16/1 bet365
Racing Chat - Wednesday 16th June
in At The Races - Racing Forum
Posted · Edited by Zilzalian
additions
Bit of ew profit yesterday 2yo speed figures. Todays 2yo Queen Mary stakes there is only a couple of points between 10 of them.
so ew bets at prices are a good option
1 beautiful sunshine 119 18/1
2 Yet 118 (aw) 12/1
3 Coup de force 118 100/1
Additional speed ratings - Windsor castle stakes, proviso=you take a view on the ward runners as they dont equate very well but appear moderate.
1 Dig two 129 (aw) 124 turf 15/2
2 Barging through 128 16/1 from 33's
3 Chipotle 128- 25/1