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Blackroses

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  1. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from Hermes in French Open 2019   
    Strongly disagree. 
    IMO he can not keep up this level. Good tournament up to this point. Greek does everything well and will wear him down over time. Wawrinka to win the first set but The Greek wins IMO. I'm going big on The Greek. Way too many people on Stan now.
    Wawrinka first set +100 5X
    Tits -120 for the win 5X. I will be putting this 5X bet after the first set to get a better #.
  2. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from eros in French Open 2019   
    Strongly disagree. 
    IMO he can not keep up this level. Good tournament up to this point. Greek does everything well and will wear him down over time. Wawrinka to win the first set but The Greek wins IMO. I'm going big on The Greek. Way too many people on Stan now.
    Wawrinka first set +100 5X
    Tits -120 for the win 5X. I will be putting this 5X bet after the first set to get a better #.
  3. Haha
    Blackroses got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - May 13 - May 19   
    Guess I was right in regards to the NK meltdown????
    Cheers for that call.
  4. Haha
    Blackroses got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - May 13 - May 19   
    Guess I was right in regards to the NK meltdown????
    Cheers for that call.
  5. Thanks
    Blackroses got a reaction from geo7tsaki in Tennis Tips - May 13 - May 19   
    I'm going to say that Ruud makes all things in the world right and beats Nick. Nick will get frustrated at Ruud's ability to keep grinding and I'm banking on him having one of his Nick meltdowns. Obviously Nick on serve is top 10, arguably top 5. Ruud will have to break but I'm hoping he takes advantage of the one or two looks he'll get in the first set. Hence setting the Nick meltdown and tirade.
  6. Confused
    Blackroses got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - May 13 - May 19   
    I'm going to say that Ruud makes all things in the world right and beats Nick. Nick will get frustrated at Ruud's ability to keep grinding and I'm banking on him having one of his Nick meltdowns. Obviously Nick on serve is top 10, arguably top 5. Ruud will have to break but I'm hoping he takes advantage of the one or two looks he'll get in the first set. Hence setting the Nick meltdown and tirade.
  7. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - May 6 - May 12   
    well as u folks know this tournament plays a little differently than the other clay m1000, and 500. because of the altitude balls will fly a bit faster. serves will b a bit bigger. big hitters will b able to play their game a little easier. The weather is supposed to b dry and no wind too. Dampness would slow them down a little. The conditions are courts play to the games of the guys i'm playing below. this could all be for nothing and i could lose but this is what i've witnessed and documented in my many years of watching tennis. I'm not (and never will b) a tipster or anything like that, i just love to watch and analyze tennis.
    Expecting a Khol hangover from Munich to be honest. That said, I'm liking Kukushkin at +4.5.
    I think Seppi could take a set from Monfils. Historically Seppi plays him quite well and Monfils seems to play a lot of 3 set clay court matches. So I like the +1.5 sets.
    Like Fokina to keep rolling too.
    Also think Klizan can trouble Cilic with these conditions but unsure if I want to bet it.
     
  8. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    @money44 You are right about the value and it not being sharp. I didn't bet it yet and I appreciate the warning. I might heed you on it. Still looking at the other matchups.
  9. Like
    Blackroses reacted to Grass Cash in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    @Blackroses you should post more also. Opole is doing a fine job here, and he's going to post when he can to help out. I suggest you give more opinions, and tell us what your best play is also if you like. Garin looks good to me by the way.. I'm a sucker for betting on him tho. Schwartzman doesn't seem to have it together yet.. I'm not sold with him. 
    Opelka has won alot of matches this year including last match as an underdog, and an Atp 250 tournmanent in New York. He hits massive shots off both forehand and backhand wings.. Monfils is coming off an injury, and will be happy just to be playing tennis again.. In my opinion , this is not a good spot to expect Monfils to just come back to perfect form all of a sudden. Also this is his first match on clay for the entire year.. So I know that logic is sound, but doesn't mean I'm right.. gl 
  10. Like
    Blackroses reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    ATP Munich Doubles
    D. Molchanov/I. Zelenay vs. M. Cecchinato/A. Seppi @3.01 Pinnacle 3/10
    In my opinion this matchup is all about motivation. IF Cecchinato and Seppi are motivated and will show up in solid condition they should defeat Molchanov and Zelenay. If not it's probably 60/40 for them. I'll risk it.
  11. Like
    Blackroses reacted to opole in Tennis Tips - April 29 - May 5   
    Some bets i like tomorrow & i have taken
    Ostrava Challenger
    David Poljak @4.70 188bet 4/10
    I probably wouldn't bet Poljak in any other case but here i have to try it at least. He's from Ostrava so this is basically his Grand Slam final each year, playing in his home town in front of his fans and friends. Even better to bet on him against a guy like Vavassori who is - to be honest - one of the worst players i have seen playing on that level regulary as he's playing Challengers most of the time. He has a big serve, i give him that, but from the baseline he's pretty much an error machine with weak consistency. I think if Poljak has solid day he can make it close.
    Seoul Challenger
    Y.-S. Kim/H.-C. Lim @9.50 Betfair 2/10
    Just a try. Kim/Lim had few solid results in 2018 on Challenger level: 46 63 2-10 vs. Hsieh/Rungkat; 67 36 vs. Wu/Zhang; 46 46 vs. Roelofse/Smith. Those teams are pretty solid Challenger level guys. Furthermore we have two Korean teams here so might be a bit less competitive atmosphere, more friendly. Kim/Lim +30 matches together, Chung/Lee on the other side have played one match together in the past and both are not well known for taking doubles too seriously in the past (both not ranked inside Top 400).
    Savannah Challenger
    Cannon Kingsley @3.28 Pinnacle 4/10
    I don't rate Johannes Haerteis. I know him very well as i followed his career in detail, especially at younger age and i think he reached his maximum already. Don't think he can go further on Challenger level. This is a good matchup for Kingsley who is one of the better prospects in the US. He's a Top 10 Junior right now and showed some decent stuff on the higher level recently, winning sets vs solid clay court player Velotti and Ritschard + had close match with Schnur in New York earlier this year. I would make this a pick em match.
  12. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from four-leaf in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    Tsits 2-0. Struff hits a clean ball and he's big and strong. His movement is worlds apart from Tsits and I think Tsits is going to keep him moving and uncomfortable. Love Tsits to win easy today. 
     
    Any opinions on Pliskova? I like her over Azarenka but I try and stay away from WTA. Hard to resist this match for me though.
  13. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from CzechPunter in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    Constantly great reads and input on this site. I have enjoyed reading all the analysis whether a pick is a win or loss. I'm going to try and be a contributor to this site more often.
    It's too bad that my first pick is the opposite of this play. I'm loving Barranco in this and he's a max play for me. I feel like Barranco is deservedly favored. Even though he hasn't lit the world on fire I feel like he's on the verge of something in this tournament. I have him beating Koepfer and Travaglia. I think he's going far. 
    I also think Cuevas against Maden and then beats Cilic in the next round. 
    Millman to win, defending his points.
    Ferrer 2-0, which isn't exaclt going out on a limb.
    I also think Munar/Tiafoe will be closer than expected. Line is rising but I love the +1.5 sets for Tiafoe.
    Max play parlay for me is Cuevas/Djere. No way Djere is losing to Gulbis on clay.
    Thanks for reading.
  14. Like
    Blackroses got a reaction from Sir Puntalot in Tennis Tips - April 22 - April 28   
    Constantly great reads and input on this site. I have enjoyed reading all the analysis whether a pick is a win or loss. I'm going to try and be a contributor to this site more often.
    It's too bad that my first pick is the opposite of this play. I'm loving Barranco in this and he's a max play for me. I feel like Barranco is deservedly favored. Even though he hasn't lit the world on fire I feel like he's on the verge of something in this tournament. I have him beating Koepfer and Travaglia. I think he's going far. 
    I also think Cuevas against Maden and then beats Cilic in the next round. 
    Millman to win, defending his points.
    Ferrer 2-0, which isn't exaclt going out on a limb.
    I also think Munar/Tiafoe will be closer than expected. Line is rising but I love the +1.5 sets for Tiafoe.
    Max play parlay for me is Cuevas/Djere. No way Djere is losing to Gulbis on clay.
    Thanks for reading.
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