Blackroses

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Everything posted by Blackroses

  1. Newport has been such a fun tournament to watch. Kind of refreshing to watch real grass court tennis where guys have to improvise and play different styles. by real I mean the courts are slick and the bounces are low. I wouldnt like this the majority of time but it's nice to see a change in styles. One week is good enough.
  2. Jeez where is everyone? I can't stand twitter for tennis anymore. I need someplace to move to.
  3. I don't know how that got put there but I asked that...
  4. Sieg win Parm win Had a good feeling on those two.
  5. Forgot the main point of what I was saying: Siegemund my 3rd underdog
  6. Not playing on grass didnt seem to hurt Collins. Siegemund can play great defense and has a nice BH slice, likes to attack and has power. GL but I'm going the other way on this one. I also think with the courts playing slower Parmentier is going to play Smashova close and even win. I'm going for the upset! +385 Also think Bouchard is being written off against an overrated Zidansek. These early rounds it's smarter to parlay favorites but these are just a couple of the upsets that I like. I'm parlaying several pairs, will try and post when I finish organizing them. Bouchard Parmentier Two extremely unpopular plays.
  7. Sonego to beat Sousa. Great odds at +163! I think he's going to transition well to the grass with his nice serve and big forehand. My upset of the day.
  8. I have enjoyed reading your input but I'm going to disagree with u here. Cornet will come to play and the price is so short because of Watson's 'home' advantage and familiarity. I really think Cornet takes her out in 2 sets. Something like 6-4, 6-4. Cornet wants momentum going into Wimb, she's going to be taking this seriously IMO.
  9. I like Vikhlyantseva over Bertens for the big upset today. It's a longshot yes, but I'm giving it a try. She's played great, looking nearly flawless so far. Granted vs inferior opponents but she's gained confidence. Let's face it, there's a reason why she's such a big underdog. Vikhlyantseva for the win! +230 To win a set -115 is a nice play too IMO
  10. Doesn't Martin seem like the kind of guy that can't handle the pressure of holding serve? His record vs big servers is atrocious. I really believe he has trouble with the pressure of holding and his return is nothing fantastic where I think he has a shot vs Raonic. I'm just throwing it out there for discussion since I'm not betting this match yet.
  11. LOL with the money printer. If you win this second match I might become a money printer believer. On Stephens too at -150. Also think Martic +1.5 sets is golden. Martic +1.5 sets/Stephens +1.5 sets EVEN MONEY
  12. First set for Stan is a winner +100 Now Im going Tsits at +175 or so 5X.
  13. Strongly disagree. IMO he can not keep up this level. Good tournament up to this point. Greek does everything well and will wear him down over time. Wawrinka to win the first set but The Greek wins IMO. I'm going big on The Greek. Way too many people on Stan now. Wawrinka first set +100 5X Tits -120 for the win 5X. I will be putting this 5X bet after the first set to get a better #.
  14. Guess I was right in regards to the NK meltdown???? Cheers for that call.
  15. I'm going to say that Ruud makes all things in the world right and beats Nick. Nick will get frustrated at Ruud's ability to keep grinding and I'm banking on him having one of his Nick meltdowns. Obviously Nick on serve is top 10, arguably top 5. Ruud will have to break but I'm hoping he takes advantage of the one or two looks he'll get in the first set. Hence setting the Nick meltdown and tirade.
  16. well as u folks know this tournament plays a little differently than the other clay m1000, and 500. because of the altitude balls will fly a bit faster. serves will b a bit bigger. big hitters will b able to play their game a little easier. The weather is supposed to b dry and no wind too. Dampness would slow them down a little. The conditions are courts play to the games of the guys i'm playing below. this could all be for nothing and i could lose but this is what i've witnessed and documented in my many years of watching tennis. I'm not (and never will b) a tipster or anything like that, i just love to watch and analyze tennis. Expecting a Khol hangover from Munich to be honest. That said, I'm liking Kukushkin at +4.5. I think Seppi could take a set from Monfils. Historically Seppi plays him quite well and Monfils seems to play a lot of 3 set clay court matches. So I like the +1.5 sets. Like Fokina to keep rolling too. Also think Klizan can trouble Cilic with these conditions but unsure if I want to bet it.
  17. Monfils and Garin! Let's see if I can make it to 3-0. I'm going with Nishioka for my next bet. He really seems to be undervalued on clay. I don't know why the books have this perception of him lately. He's gritty and can push people on clay. I've watched a lot of his matches. He handled McDonald rather easily so I don't see any issues with fatigue. He played Schwartz and Sonego really well, taking sets from both of them on the dirt. I like his odds at +157. But I'm going to play a little more conservative and take him at +1.5 sets at -142. I definitely think he can win this match and I may go with the +147 too but right now, just +1.5 sets. Anyone else liking him?
  18. @money44 You are right about the value and it not being sharp. I didn't bet it yet and I appreciate the warning. I might heed you on it. Still looking at the other matchups.
  19. @money44 I'm going to try and post more. Mainly for tomorrow I like Monfils but I'm afraid so does everyone. Almost too obvious that he should win. I feel like with his ridiculous wingspan, he's going to get more than a few shots at breaking Opelka. Then when that ball gets into play, Monfils has the advantage almost automatically especially if he starts the rally to Opelka's BH. Monfils' style is to force his opponent into making the error and if he can wait out G. Simon, he can wait out Opelka. I mean he can play aggresively when he needs or wants but usually on clay, he'll grind with the best of them. Assuming he's healthy and motivated of course. When Monfils is serving, Opelka will not have the looks that Monfils will get IMO. For Garin I feel like it's almost even from the baseline except his serve gives him a few easier points than Diego's will. At + money I'll take a 50/50 matchup.
  20. Opole please post more. Your takes are so informative and i love reading them. Any leans for tomorrow? I feel like Monfils will have no problem with Opelka. He's got a nice return on clay and he can counter these servebots like Opelka. His ability at the baseline is way higher than Opelka's especially backhand to backhand. No comparison. Also feeling like Garin can take care of Schwartzman. Feel like Diego needs faster courts to thrive and this is exactly the type of court that Garin enjoys.
  21. Tsits 2-0. Struff hits a clean ball and he's big and strong. His movement is worlds apart from Tsits and I think Tsits is going to keep him moving and uncomfortable. Love Tsits to win easy today. Any opinions on Pliskova? I like her over Azarenka but I try and stay away from WTA. Hard to resist this match for me though.
  22. Not too bad. I was wrong regarding Opole's read. But my max play came through. What a sweat from Djere though wow!