i1_principe

Delbonis v Ivashka- Ivasha to win at 4.00 with Bet365
Delbonis is not in good form and i don't see him as big favourite here. After reached the semi-finals at Cordoba he lost in early stages in next four clay tournaments. Last year Delbonis lost in qualification here as big favourite again Mahut, so Ivashka has good chance despite he will be 1st match on clay for him. Ilya won 2 matches in Monte Carlo before 1 year against Carballes Baena and F.Mayer, after that he won 2 matches in Barcelona, so can be a tight opponent on this surface. 

Delbonis v Ivashka- Ivasha to win at 4.00 with Bet365
Delbonis is not in good form and i don't see him as big favourite here. After reached the semi-finals at Cordoba he lost in early stages in next four clay tournaments. Last year Delbonis lost in qualification here as big favourite again Mahut, so Ivashka has good chance despite he will be 1st match on clay for him. Ilya won 2 matches in Monte Carlo before 1 year against Carballes Baena and F.Mayer, after that he won 2 matches in Barcelona, so can be a tight opponent on this surface. 

Arsenal-Newcastle United under 2.5 goal(2.50),or 3.0(1.950)
Hello to everyone
Its the last match of matchday 32 and we will see Arsenal who honestly plays for me the most sexiest football(I am talking at home),and on other side we have Newcastle which have good character(I think that is because of Benitez experience with winning trophies with big clubs).Against big six they didnt lost with margin bigger than one this season and they are defending so organized and putting Diamme and Hayden on role DMF they will close empty spaces in Arsenal final third.At other side Arsenal plays so attatcking and in my opinion that can be costly for them because Newcastle is capable to have some good counter attack.Their main weakness will be playing without Torreira and Xhaka because today they dont have player in the middle who can play defense so good.I want to say Guenduzi is typical CM player with no good atribute at defense and Ramsey is like Rambo but he also isnt good at defense.So I think Arsenal will attacking but with some doses of caution because they know Newcastle can be very dangerous

Andorra v Iceland
Iceland have gone a full year without a win, having played 15 games in the process (6 draws and 9 defeats). They are really struggling and will be expected to turn their fortunes against one of the football “minnows” in Europe. However, Andorra aren’t taking it easy at home lately, drawing all their three home games in the Nations League. In the last World Cup qualifying cycle they even managed to beat Hungary.
Hence, it’s highly likely that if Iceland fail to score early in the game, they may feel the pressure of needing to win at all costs which can backfire. In addition, bookmakers expect a low-scoring game. I’ll proceed with a wager on Andorra (+2) Handicap Result at odds of 2.00 (Evens), meaning Andorra mustn't lose the game with more than one goal.
Albania v Turkey
I think the Albanians are underestimated in this group compared to Iceland and Turkey. I am taking a punt on Albania to finish top two of their group at odds of 15.0, and will also try 1 DNB today vs Turkey at odds of 2.62, both with small stakes.

Haase v Lacko- Lacko (+2,5 games) to win at 2.04 with Pinnacle
Haase is a bit overrated here, the real odds for him should be around 1.7 in my opinion. He lost 4 of his last 5 games, with 2 of those losses against players outside of the top 100. Lacko already won 1 game here, before that he won 1 game in Phoenix and lost close match against Millman. This match must be more equal than the odds suggest.
Auger-Aliassime v Ruud- Ruud (+3 games) to win at 1.90 with Marathonbet
The same situation here. OK, Aliassime won against Tsitsipas and after that he was defeated by Nishioka. He is young and inconsistent and i cannot see him as big favourite. Ruud won last year against this opponent with 7-5 6-0 and he has fair chance to win this game again.

Parlay at 11.11 with Unibet
Prajnesh Gunneswaran to beat Jaume Munar at 1.97
Prajnesh is nowadays a pretty solid hardcourt player, he showed what he can do in IW. Jaume hates hardcourt. This time it's the slower type of hardcourt and it should suit Jaume better but judging by the way Prajnesh passed the qualies I can't go against him in a matchup like this.
Casper Ruud to beat Felix Auger-Aliassime at 2.75 
As already mentioned Casper won in this matchup last season by 7-5 6-0 although on clay but the Miami surface is slow as well and Casper did some good stuff in the qualies that he passed easily.
Mackie Mcdonald to beat Ugo Humbert at 2.05
Go Mackie! Go!

Kazakhstan vs Scotland
The 2020 European Championship qualifiers start today and we have an early kick-off out in the Astana Arena in Astana where Kazakhstan host Scotland in a 3pm kick-off. It's vital for Alex McLeish's side to get all three points here in a group that also includes Russia, Belgium, Cyprus, and San Marino.
Kazakhstan have built up a run of form thanks to their UEFA Nations League participation. It's now just 1 defeat in their last 6 matches for Michal Bilek's side. OK, so they've only played the likes of Andorra, Latvia, and Moldova but it's bound to have done their confidence the world of good.
Scotland will be bouncing after qualifying for League B after getting promoted from their League C group in the UEFA Nations League. It's a turn around in fortunes for a side that looked gone under Gordon Strachan. The 4-0 win away to Albania in their last away competitive game will give them a boost needed to head into this game.
I'm backing Scotland to get the job done here. It might not be pretty but I can see them winning 2-1 or 1-0. I'm not entirely convinced they'll win by more than the odd goal but who knows. Kazakhstan is a hell of a place to go and any kind of win can be considered a good one.
Scotland to Win @ 2.06 with MarathonBet
Draw HT/ Scotland FT @ 5.00 with Betfred
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Haase v Lacko- Lacko (+2,5 games) to win at 2.04 with Pinnacle
Haase is a bit overrated here, the real odds for him should be around 1.7 in my opinion. He lost 4 of his last 5 games, with 2 of those losses against players outside of the top 100. Lacko already won 1 game here, before that he won 1 game in Phoenix and lost close match against Millman. This match must be more equal than the odds suggest.
Auger-Aliassime v Ruud- Ruud (+3 games) to win at 1.90 with Marathonbet
The same situation here. OK, Aliassime won against Tsitsipas and after that he was defeated by Nishioka. He is young and inconsistent and i cannot see him as big favourite. Ruud won last year against this opponent with 7-5 6-0 and he has fair chance to win this game again.

Marterer to beat Fritz at 2.55 with Pinnacle
Fritz is not in good shape, only played 2 games in last 2 months and lost them. Marterer also is far form his best days, but the slower conditions in Miami should be also in service of the german. He reached 1/32 finals last year here, losing to Grigor Dimitrov in 3 sets. Again the odds are higher than i expected.
Rublev v Daniel- Daniel to win at 4.18 with Pinnacle
Odds around 1.20, is this true? You're probably joking. I will never bet for the russian when he is favourite against any opponent. He can easily win this game, bit just as easily lose it. Daniel is not in very good shape, but conditions should be OK for him. He also won 2 previous matches against this opponent and i have to try win for him. Odds are great.
Evans v Jaziri- Jaziri (+4,5 games) to win at 1.86 with Pinnacle
Evans is lucky loser after losing in qualifications. I don't understand why he should be a such favourite here. The same odds was given for Gilles Simon against Jaziri at Indian Wells where the Tunisian lost in 3 sets. I don't think that Evans is on the same level like Simon and the odds are too low. So, Jaziri will cover this line i guess.
 
 

Haase v Lacko- Lacko (+2,5 games) to win at 2.04 with Pinnacle
Haase is a bit overrated here, the real odds for him should be around 1.7 in my opinion. He lost 4 of his last 5 games, with 2 of those losses against players outside of the top 100. Lacko already won 1 game here, before that he won 1 game in Phoenix and lost close match against Millman. This match must be more equal than the odds suggest.
Auger-Aliassime v Ruud- Ruud (+3 games) to win at 1.90 with Marathonbet
The same situation here. OK, Aliassime won against Tsitsipas and after that he was defeated by Nishioka. He is young and inconsistent and i cannot see him as big favourite. Ruud won last year against this opponent with 7-5 6-0 and he has fair chance to win this game again.

Millwall vs Brighton
One tie remains from the FA Cup Quarter-Finals and it's Millwall versus Brighton in a 2pm kick-off at the Den. It's the Championship versus the Premier League. Will we see a giant-killing or will the big guns prevail to join Watford, Manchester City, and Wolves in the Semi-Finals?
Millwall reached the FA Cup Final in 2004 so it's a competition their fans have a fond affection for. That was a long time ago now but they could take a step closer to writing another chapter in their history books with a win here. Neil Harris has seen his team beat Hull, Everton, and AFC Wimbledon in the competition so far. It's been far from convincing but they're doing enough. Their league run of 4 defeats from their last 5 league games means they could do with a victory here.
Brighton are also in desperate need of winning this game. Chris Hughton's men had been sliding down the Premier League table. The Seagulls have notched up back-to-back victories in the league but a loss here could seriously damage their morale at a crucial period. This competition has seen them Bournemouth, West Brom (after a replay), and Derby.
A huge issue for Millwall here is the potential absence of a couple of key players. Strike Lee Gregory is in a race against time to prove his fitness. Ben Thompson, who bagged two goals in the midweek win against Birmingham, is cup-tied. Defender Murray Wallace is also suspended. It's not ideal for the Lions.
The travelling side have their own concerns. Florin Andone and Pascal Gross will both be unavailable due to injury. Yves Bissouma is also suspended. 5 of the last 8 meetings between these two sides have ended in draws so it wouldn't surprise me with this team news if that happened again and the match was decided on penalties. I just think Brighton might have enough to sneak the win.
Brighton to Qualify @ 1.67 with Betfred
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.68 with MarathonBet

Everton vs Chelsea
The Premier League action continues into Sunday with Everton versus Chelsea taking place at 4:30pm at Goodison Park. These two teams are on opposite ends of the form spectrum right now with the home side struggling and the away side getting back on track.
Everton are slowly dropping down the table with Marco Silva's side now in 12th place. Relegation isn't a real concern but their safety in the top flight isn't yet guaranteed and that's a huge disappointment for a team that was expecting to push the top six this season.
Chelsea appear to have navigated their way through the storm that engulfed the club at the start of the year. Maurizio Sarri has seen his team's results and performances pick up lately. The Blues are 6th but could potentially breach the top four once again with a win here.
Both teams are expecting a number of players to return to their first team line-up after missing their previous matches. The Toffees should welcome Seamus Coleman and Leighton Baines back with Chelsea expecting a number of rested players from midweek to return including Eden Hazard, David Luiz, and Gonzalo Higuain. Kurt Zouma can't play against his parent club which is a blow for Everton.
The previous two league meetings between these sides have ended in a 0-0 draw. Everton haven't managed to even score against Chelsea in their last five meetings with the Blues. Furthermore, Everton have only won 1 of their last 10 league matches with Chelsea.
Form does not exactly favour Everton in this game. Silva's side have lost 4 of their last 6 league games. It is also now over two months since they experienced a win at home. It's also worth noting that Everton haven't beaten one of the established top six Premier League sides since January 2017.
I'm a bit torn about which way to go with this game. I think Everton are in trouble. Silva seems to be running out of time. Sarri has looked to have sorted out the issues his team were enduring but they're still poor on the road recently. I'm going to take a bit of a punt here and back the Blues to scrape a narrow win thanks to a Hazard-inspired performance.
Chelsea to Win @ 1.95 with Betfred
Man of the Match: Eden Hazard @ 4.50 with William Hill

Cagliari v Fiorentina- Fiorentina (-0,25 AH) at 2.07 with Bet365
Cagliari were terrible lat week and deservedly lost to Bologna and the result could have been more expressive. Although they perform well at home they are limited team and i expected difficulties for them in this match. Fio won only 1 from the last 6 games in Seria A most of them ended with draw. Now they have excellent chance to win at stadium where they feel comfortable having won their last 3 visits here. I choose the more secure option -0,25 AH because of the many draws that have the guests.

Yeah, Real Sociedad was one game I was looking at. Like you said, I don't like betting on them either. They are in the Sassuolo group of teams that regularly screwed me over when listed as favourites! Let's see what they turn up this week though. Best of luck! 

Cagliari v Fiorentina- Fiorentina (-0,25 AH) at 2.07 with Bet365
Cagliari were terrible lat week and deservedly lost to Bologna and the result could have been more expressive. Although they perform well at home they are limited team and i expected difficulties for them in this match. Fio won only 1 from the last 6 games in Seria A most of them ended with draw. Now they have excellent chance to win at stadium where they feel comfortable having won their last 3 visits here. I choose the more secure option -0,25 AH because of the many draws that have the guests.

Sociedad v Levante- Sociedad (-0,5 AH) at 1.87 with Bet365
Usually i don't like to bet for Sociedad when they are favourites but after 2 consecutive losses i expect to show better performance this time. Before that they had recorded 8 consecutive matches without losing and now they have a good chance to return on the winning way. Levante are not in good shape with only 2 wins in last 13 games in Primera against 2 of the weakest teams in this moment- Celta and Valladolid. Last year the hosts won comfortably with 3-0 and i expect a similar result here.
 

Huesca vs Alaves
If you had to pick a La Liga match that you'd highlight as one we'd choose for our weekly preview it probably wouldn't be Huesca versus Alaves in a midday kick-off on Saturday lunch-time at the El Alcoraz. Still, that's what we're going for and there's a very good reason why!
Huesca were quite frankly awful under ex-manager Leo Franco. An opening day win was followed by a run of 6 league games without a win including an 8-2 loss to Barcelona and just 1 goal being scored in the last 4 matches in that run before Franco left the club. The arrival Francisco Rodriquez didn't really improve things immediately but results have gotten better recently with only 2 losses in their last 6 league matches. The club remains bottom of La Liga and 4 points from safety.
Alaves are flying this season under Abelardo. The former Barcelona defender has guided his team to 5th in the table and the fans are now dreaming of making a return to European competition. Only 4 points separate them from the Champions League qualification places and they are enjoying a run of 5 league games undefeated.
The odds being offered on Alaves here are well worth looking at for a draw no bet option. Huesca might well be showing signs of recovery but this match is against an Alaves team that have taken points in 50% of their away games. Huesca have won 3 of their last 5 home matches but Alaves have only lost 2 of their last 6 away games in the league.
Alaves Draw No Bet @ 2.21 with MarathonBet
Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.62 with Sportingbet

@Pep004, @Magic0024, @betcatalog, @malabgd, @AndreBR, @Xcout, @four-leaf, @sajtion, @Arkadi Manucharov, @Jamesboaz, @RealUnited, @allyhibs, @jazzman02, @Mr.Paul, @notanotherdonkey, @Marek76, @freestylerx, @DonPaulo, @fhuefdsa, @laprikon, @Gabosbet, @Dr. Florida192, @thinkpink63, @MarioDunav, @EuroDream, @vicsuna, @i1_principe, and @derbent, are you guys planning any bets for the La Liga action this weekend?

Slavia Prague v Sevilla- Sevilla to win at 2.05 with Bet365
Sevilla was e better team in 1st leg and deserved to win, but the match ended 2-2. I don't think in second straight game the luck will cover Slavia Prague, even more so Sevilla will be with fully of confidence after their big win against Sociedad at the weekend. 
Arsenal v Rennes- Arsenal to quality at 1.80 with Bet365
Arsenal lost in 1st leg with 1-3 and now will need to covered 2 goal difference. It won't be easy against hard to beat team like Rennes, but Arsenal are different team upfront their crowd. They won with 2-0 against Manchester United before few days and i think that they can repeat the same result here.
 

Slavia Prague v Sevilla- Sevilla to win at 2.05 with Bet365
Sevilla was e better team in 1st leg and deserved to win, but the match ended 2-2. I don't think in second straight game the luck will cover Slavia Prague, even more so Sevilla will be with fully of confidence after their big win against Sociedad at the weekend. 
Arsenal v Rennes- Arsenal to quality at 1.80 with Bet365
Arsenal lost in 1st leg with 1-3 and now will need to covered 2 goal difference. It won't be easy against hard to beat team like Rennes, but Arsenal are different team upfront their crowd. They won with 2-0 against Manchester United before few days and i think that they can repeat the same result here.
 

Arsenal vs Rennes
The second preview from this round of second leg matches in the Europa League last 16 comes from the Emirates Stadium where Premier League side Arsenal will be looking to overturn a disappointing 3-1 first leg deficit against Ligue 1 club Rennes in this 8pm kick-off tonight.
Arsenal were left dumb struck by the heavy loss in the first leg out in France. Sokratis first half sending off saw an early lead by the Gunners cancelled out before the French side tore the vulnerable back-line of Unai Emery's side apart. Arsenal hit back on the weekend with an impressive 2-0 win over Manchester United in the league. If that performance was any indicator of what's to come tonight then it could be an interesting game.
Rennes will be delighted to have this two goal lead coming into this second leg but will be wary of that away goal. It means even a 2-0 win for Arsenal will be enough and that's more than possible. Julien Stephan's men followed up the win last Thursday with another 3-1 win at home in the league against Caen.
There is positive news for the Gunners with Alexandre Lacazette returning from suspension after his three game ban was reduced to just two matches. Lucas Torreira will also be back available for selection. The absence of Sokratis is a blow but this will be a game where Arsenal will very much spend most of the game in the opposition half.
Only once in Europa League history has a team progressed to the next knockout round after losing the first leg 3-1. Interestingly, that was another London club in the shape of Fulham who lost 3-1 away to Juventus before beating them 4-1 at home. Imagine that score-line in today's climate!
In the previous 18 times when Arsenal have lost the first leg of a European game, they have only progressed on 3 occasions. However, one of those occasions was in the previous round against BATE Borisov. So the odds may be stacked against them but there's hope.
Rennes can come into this game in a positive mindset. Not only do they possess a two goal lead but they have also only lost one of their last seven Europa League knockout matches. That solitary loss came back in 2008 in a 1-0 defeat to Dutch side FC Twente.
I have a funny feeling that Arsenal could still do this. I felt that before the red card of Sokratis that the Gunners were in firm control of the game out in France. They are a strong side at home having won 11 of their last 13 competitive matches at home. I can see a solid win for them here either 2-0 or even 3-0 victory. It may even take extra-time if Rennes get that away goal but I really think they're up against it despite their two goal advantage.
Arsenal to Qualify @ 1.91 with William Hill
Arsenal HT/FT @ 1.80 with Ladbrokes

Dominic Thiem to beat Gael Monfils @ 2.25 with SportingBet
So I believe the price is clearly based on Monfils' recent excellent form, however, I still regard this game as a 50/50. Furthermore, Thiem owns the H2H 4-1 (and not all matches have been on clay). So I will take what I think is the value play here, and pick Thiem.

Slavia Prague v Sevilla- Sevilla to win at 2.05 with Bet365
Sevilla was e better team in 1st leg and deserved to win, but the match ended 2-2. I don't think in second straight game the luck will cover Slavia Prague, even more so Sevilla will be with fully of confidence after their big win against Sociedad at the weekend. 
Arsenal v Rennes- Arsenal to quality at 1.80 with Bet365
Arsenal lost in 1st leg with 1-3 and now will need to covered 2 goal difference. It won't be easy against hard to beat team like Rennes, but Arsenal are different team upfront their crowd. They won with 2-0 against Manchester United before few days and i think that they can repeat the same result here.
 

Man City vs Schalke- asian total cards over 4 at 1.9 with Bet365 and both teams to score at 2.1 with Bet365
In 1st leg we saw 2 penalties and a lot of cards. I don't think it will be different now. The referee of the match will be Clement Turpen from France. In last 2 European matches that he led- Ajax v Bayern and Sporting v Villarreal he showed a lot of yellow and red cards. Moreover this referee sent off Vrsaljko in the 10th minute of the Arsenal-Atletico match last year. As we can see it is not difficult to pick up the cards and expect the line will be covered.
For the 2nd bet i will try both teams to score. Schalke are terrible these days, but in this game i expect extra motivation from them. We all know that German teams never give up and i think they will score here. Man City is big favourite of course and will be miracle if they don't win. But with Guardiola they are not so convincing at home in their European matches except the big win against Shakhtar. Let's look at some of their results in home games- lost from Basel and Lyon with 1-2, hard wins against Hoffe with 2-1 and Feyenoord 1-0. In this match they will be without Fernandinho and this is big blow for them. Otamendi is also suspended, Stones is questionable, while Mendy is out again. All in all it wouldn't be a big surprise if the guest score here.
                     
 

Manchester City vs Schalke
The second leg of the last 16 tie between Premier League club Manchester City and Bundesliga side Schalke is taking place tonight in an 8pm kick-off at the Etihad Stadium. Apologies for a late preview post. Storm Gareth has been a right little terror in South Wales and caused issues with my internet. Hopefully all fixed now so let's crack on!
Manchester City won the first leg 3-2 in what can only be described as one of the knockout stage's most riveting ties in recent memory. Pep Guardiola's team came from behind to take the win with the in-form Raheem Sterling scoring a last minute winner. The Citizens will be without Fernandinho and Nicolas Otamendi. They are hoping Aymeric Laporte will return to the first team but John Stones is likely to miss out.
Schalke will be desperately disappointed to come into this second leg at a disadvantage. Domenico Tedesco's men were 2-1 up going into the last 5 minutes of the game. To put it simply, they snatched defeat from the jaws of victory! Three defeats in the league conceding 11 goals in the process have followed. How badly has that first leg capitulation affected the team? Badly, it would seem. The club has the triple blow of playmaker Daniel Caligiuri missing out injured with ill-disciplined duo Mark Uth and Amine Harit also being left out for their behaviour.
On each of the previous 27 times when a team has won the away leg scoring 3 or more goals in the Champions League knock-out stages, that team has gone on to progress to the next stage of the competition. That's what we were saying for PSG last week but this feels a bit different with Schalke not quite on a resurgent level of Manchester United. City also not quite the bottle jobs of PSG either.
Further evidence backs the Schalke win with City having won all three previous meetings with Schalke. The English side have also only lost 1 of their last 10 home matches with German teams in European competition. That lone defeat came against Bayern Munich in the 2013/14 season.
I have to back a solid City win here. I think that late collapse by Schalke has knocked the wind out of their sails. This City team is pretty special and they've drawn comparisons to Pep's Barcelona team. I can see them making light work of this. The weakened defence means they'll have to attack and that won't be pleasant for the German side.
Manchester City HT/FT @ 1.55 with Boylesports
Manchester City -2 @ 2.05 with Coral
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Juventus v Atletico Madrid- Juventus team corners over 7.5 at 2.10 with Bet365
We all know about Juventus' dream to win the Champions league after so many years, but losing 0-2 in the first leg this dream looks like a mirage. The hosts are pressed against the wall and have no option but attack and they will try everything to win with at least 2 goals difference. Atletico will stand at back and defend the good lead, they know how to defend and waiting for their chance on counterattack. In 1st game between these team Juve had 7 corners away from home and now at home i expect even more.