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CzechPunter

Tennis Tips - March 18 - March 24

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Parlay at 7.94 with Unibet

Mikael Ymer to beat Ryan Harrison at 2.75

Ryan is currently in pieces now, it doesn't look good at all for him and this Miami hardcourt surface should be one that Mikael likes so I think he's worth a shot as the underdog here. He's got talent and if a matchup does suit him he can win and I think this matchup could suit him at these courts.

Paolo Lorenzi to beat Ruben Bemelmans at 1.90

Paolo has the advantage here with form, ranking and surface so he should be taken.

Lloyd Harris to beat Alexei Popyrin at 1.52

Alexei has a bad back. Retired in his last match, took a medical timeout in the match before. It was the back he had pain in. I doubt it will be over before this match starts and even if it is ok I think Lloyd is likely a bit better player at hardcourts than Alexei right now. Miamis hardcourt is similar to the IW courts and it doesn't suit any of these players better than the other.

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Veronika Kudermetova to beat Yanina Wickmayer at 2.02 with Unibet

Recent 125k winner Veronika Kudermetova is in form now so I find it hard to see her as underdog here. Yanina hasn't done mutch in a long time so I don't think she should be priced like she is now. I might be wrong ofcourse but the value is nonetheless with the underdog in this match.

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Paolo Lorenzi to beat (+3.5) Felix Auger Aliassime at 2.28 with Unibet

I like Paolos chances in this matchup. Felix is still a rather crude talent and if he had troubles to beat Luca Vanni he'll have even more troubles this match, at least enough troubles to not be able to cover this handicap. Paolo is quite a stable player from the baseline, he's similar to Pablo Cuevas and his game is working well enough on this hardcourt in Miami for him to withstand any possible onslaught from Felix. I'll try this handicap to see how good Paolo is right now and I already know Paolo isn't bad. We'll see if he covers. 

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Parlay at 7.30 with Unibet

Paolo Lorenzi to beat (+3.5) Felix Auger-Aliassime at 2.28

See above

Mike Ymer to beat Noah Rubin at 1.75

See above

Kristyna Pliskova to beat Yanina Wickmayer at 1.83

Kristyna met Yanina just last week in Guadalajara and won in a deciding set tie-break and I'm of the opinion that Yanina just won her last match because her opponent was tired after winning Guadalajara 125k. She'll encounter a lot more problems to deal with now.

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Denis Istomin to beat Lukas Lacko at 1.50 with Unibet

Denis has a 7-1 lead in this matchup and I'd be surprised to see him lose this one honestly. Lukas should encounter enough problems for him to lose this matchup again. I see no big obstacles for Denis not to win this so 1.50 is fair enough and should be taken.

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Nicolas Jarry to beat Jeremy Chardy at 2.38 with Unibet

Jeremy is a very unstable player most of the time. Nico can deal with Jeremys serve, he's got a good serve himself and he is good enough from the baseline. I see why Nifo is the underdog here and it's only because of his lower ranking. I'd have Nicos odds closer to evens so 2.38 is looking very tempting.

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Kirsten Flipkens to beat Yulia Putintseva at 2.60 with Unibet

On hardcourt Yulia is not at her best even though she's done some good matches on the surface so far this season but most of the time she's not very reliable on hardcourt. Kirsten is a player who often wins her first round if she gets the right opponent and Yulia could be the right opponent. Kirsten has a 2-0 lead in this matchup but those two wins came 6 and 10 years ago so it maybe doesn't mean so mutch but I still trust Kirsten to win this. Both matches between them have been on faster surfaces on grass and indoor hardcourt. A bit of a gamble but the odds are good and I'll give it a try.

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Ajla Tomljanovic to beat (-6.5) Anna-Lena Friedsam at 2.04 with Unibet

Anna-Lena has been gone for a long time and she's made a comeback this season with two ITF matches. She won the first match against an unranked 19 year old and the second she lost in straight sets to a 300+ ranked player. Ajla is at full steam ahead nowadays and there's nothing wrong with her game and she can defenitely cover this handicap even though it's big but A-LF has been gone for so long and has no ranking now and I doubt she will be competitive in this match.

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3 hours ago, CzechPunter said:

Bad weather, strange results...no wonder nobody is getting involved :loon.

The conditions benefit clay courters. Take a look at the results, Monteiro vs Harris, Cuevas vs Tsonga, Sonego vs Mcdonald, Delbonis vs Gojo, Roberto Carballes Baena vs  Kudla... Andreozzi has already win the first set over Kukkushkin

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51 minutes ago, darko08 said:

The conditions benefit clay courters. Take a look at the results, Monteiro vs Harris, Cuevas vs Tsonga, Sonego vs Mcdonald, Delbonis vs Gojo, Roberto Carballes Baena vs  Kudla... Andreozzi has already win the first set over Kukkushkin

You are completely right about that. Another example of a clay courter is Mike Ymer who has clay as his favorite surface but he plays pretty good on hardcourts also and he moved on to the maindraw by beating two american hardcourt specialists. 

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Guys what do you think about the match Copil against Ramos Vinolas.I know that Copil is good on serve and he like that kind of court,honestly I never watched Ramos Vinolas playing tennis so I will be greatful of a little bit of help

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11 minutes ago, MaliMisko12 said:

Guys what do you think about the match Copil against Ramos Vinolas.I know that Copil is good on serve and he like that kind of court,honestly I never watched Ramos Vinolas playing tennis so I will be greatful of a little bit of help

Ramos is a pure claycourter (494-292). Considering the surface and the last horrible matches of Copil Ramos is the right favorite

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Haase v Lacko- Lacko (+2,5 games) to win at 2.04 with Pinnacle

Haase is a bit overrated here, the real odds for him should be around 1.7 in my opinion. He lost 4 of his last 5 games, with 2 of those losses against players outside of the top 100. Lacko already won 1 game here, before that he won 1 game in Phoenix and lost close match against Millman. This match must be more equal than the odds suggest.

Auger-Aliassime v Ruud- Ruud (+3 games) to win at 1.90 with Marathonbet

The same situation here. OK, Aliassime won against Tsitsipas and after that he was defeated by Nishioka. He is young and inconsistent and i cannot see him as big favourite. Ruud won last year against this opponent with 7-5 6-0 and he has fair chance to win this game again.

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Marterer to beat Fritz at 2.55 with Pinnacle

Fritz is not in good shape, only played 2 games in last 2 months and lost them. Marterer also is far form his best days, but the slower conditions in Miami should be also in service of the german. He reached 1/32 finals last year here, losing to Grigor Dimitrov in 3 sets. Again the odds are higher than i expected.

Rublev v Daniel- Daniel to win at 4.18 with Pinnacle

Odds around 1.20, is this true? You're probably joking. I will never bet for the russian when he is favourite against any opponent. He can easily win this game, bit just as easily lose it. Daniel is not in very good shape, but conditions should be OK for him. He also won 2 previous matches against this opponent and i have to try win for him. Odds are great.

Evans v Jaziri- Jaziri (+4,5 games) to win at 1.86 with Pinnacle

Evans is lucky loser after losing in qualifications. I don't understand why he should be a such favourite here. The same odds was given for Gilles Simon against Jaziri at Indian Wells where the Tunisian lost in 3 sets. I don't think that Evans is on the same level like Simon and the odds are too low. So, Jaziri will cover this line i guess.

 

 

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