MCLARKE

I'll stick with my earlier post, Sandown 3.30 Sir Ivan, was 20/1, now down to 12/1

Or the day after, or the day after that, or ..........

There has been a discussion about lucky 15s on the daily threads with @Zilzalianhaving a fair bit of success with these bets.
4 of us have decided to submit 1 entry each day and put them in an each way lucky 15 with BET365.
Today's selections are :-
Southwell 7.15 SIX STRINGS 11/1 @BBBC
Southwell 6.45 RISHES BAAR 150/1 @Zilzalian
Southwell 5.45 SWEET FORTUNE 12/1 @LEE-GRAYS
Ludlow 2.00 COTTON END 25/1 @MCLARKE
 

Pays £5,681 for £3 stake

Pays £5,681 for £3 stake

Or the day after, or the day after that, or ..........

There has been a discussion about lucky 15s on the daily threads with @Zilzalianhaving a fair bit of success with these bets.
4 of us have decided to submit 1 entry each day and put them in an each way lucky 15 with BET365.
Today's selections are :-
Southwell 7.15 SIX STRINGS 11/1 @BBBC
Southwell 6.45 RISHES BAAR 150/1 @Zilzalian
Southwell 5.45 SWEET FORTUNE 12/1 @LEE-GRAYS
Ludlow 2.00 COTTON END 25/1 @MCLARKE
 

I feel a cash out coming on today ??

God luck with Sir Ivan. I like the profiler myself, it justs shows how we can read situations differently, from my persepective I've got that every winner so far (and we only have 7 runnings of the race to go at, makes it even harder) has ran at a distance of 4m 1f or more at some stage of their career  which left five to go at, numbers 1, 2, 3,15,16, cant really find anything more definitive than that, mine is from a 'watching brief only' so hope that Sir Ivan romps in for you. 

** Don't believe I forgot to post here yesterday, anyhow for the record it was a loser Impose Toi. I will be adding this loser to the stats.
Bo Zenith 12.05 Sandown 2 Pts Win @ 1\5 (bog)
Zarak gelding who looked a good prospect when landing newcomers race (from another useful prospect) at Auteuil (14.9f) sole start for David Cottin back in April. Another exciting French recruit for his good yard and highly respected. 

Result
Southwell 05:45 HAALAND.....1st..11/10
Todays Profit =  +   11.00 pts
Current Years Profit 2023 =  + 11.00 pts 
 
(Years Profit 2022 = - 239.42 pts.) 
(Years Profit 2021 = - 197.65 pts.) 
(Years Profit 2020 = +17.50 pts.) 
(Years Profit 2019 = + 287.87 pts.)
(Years Profit 2018 = + 90.52 pts.)
(Years Profit 2017 = - 73.44 pts.)
(Years Profit 2016 = + 437.86 pts.)
(Years Profit 2015 = + 18.52 pts.)
(Years Loss 2014 = - 30.20 pts.) 
(Years Loss 2013 = - 105.06 pts.)
(Years Profit 2012 = +127.65 pts.)
(Years Loss 2011 = - 13.82 pts.)   
(Years Profit 2010 = +166.01 pts.) 
Bank = + 2388.33 pts. 
Profit = + 2288.33 pts.
Current Winning Run = 3

In the 6.30 the horse that gave Charlie Johsnton his first outright winner on Wednesday, Asdaa, is out again and still looks well in on old form despite a 4lb penalty taking his mark to 71, having won off as high as 86 in the past he should go very well tomorrow night over the same course and distance. Best prices available at the moment are all around the evens mark.
 
As always lay off prices in runnng will be placed.
Good luck whatever you are on tomorrow. 

This weekend’s big handicap is the Unibet Veterans Handicap Chase at Sandown. This is a fairly niche event being limited to horses aged 10 or over. It is fair to say that the horses are in the twilight of their careers and are unlikely to play a major part at the Cheltenham festival. It is a relatively new event, first run in 2016. It is run over 3 miles and 37 yards. 18 go to post and off time is 3.00.
Most bookmakers offer each-way terms of 5 or 6 places which makes the race an excellent betting proposition.
GO FOR THE LONG SHOTS
I have looked at the statistics for this race and these are my key conclusions.
1.       It is best to look at those horses at the bottom of the market. Those horses with forecast odds in the range 16/1 to 20/1 have a record of 5 wins from 26 runs.
2.       It is helpful to have had a recent run. Only 1 horse (from 55 attempts) has won this after a lay-off of more than 32 days. The fitter horses have a record of 6 wins from 49 runs.
3.       The ideal weight range is 10st 1lbs to 10st 10lbs. This weight range has produced 4 wins from 32 efforts.
4.       It is best to stick with experienced jockeys. There have been 15 horses ridden by 5lbs or 7lbs claimers and none of these have won.
Only 1 horse matches these criteria and that is SIR IVAN. The 13-year-old gelding is currently available at 20/1 with BET365 who pay 5 places.
It is worth noting that SIR IVAN has been placed in this race in both 2021 and 2022 at odds of 20/1 and 22/1. He carries 3lbs less than he did last year.
Further statistics that may prove relevant.
As already indicated, those at the head of the betting have a poor record with only 2 winners from 69 runners being in the top 9 in the betting. SIR IVAN is ranked 10.
Horses that finished 1st or 2nd last time have recorded 1 win from 35 attempts. SIR IVAN finished 3rd last time.
Horses that haven’t won over the distance have a record of 1 from 24. SIR IVAN has won over the distance, albeit over 5 years ago.

Won at 12/1
Profit £144
Monthly profit £104

Perhaps we take it in turns to put the bet on.
Having said that, seeing the news today that the boss earned £213 million last year I don't think they have too much to fear !

I used to put my daily selection up but it's just a naps link right? I'm not interested too much in competition with it as I'm not big on Horse Racing.
In response to the profit remark, I've just been lazy and there is constant profit from then until now, don't you worry  

1415 kempton 
1pt win aztec empire.
 
 
Used to love an aztec  bar

Perhaps we take it in turns to put the bet on.
Having said that, seeing the news today that the boss earned £213 million last year I don't think they have too much to fear !

I'll stick with my earlier post, Sandown 3.30 Sir Ivan, was 20/1, now down to 12/1

I'll stick with my earlier post, Sandown 3.30 Sir Ivan, was 20/1, now down to 12/1

Or the day after, or the day after that, or ..........

Or the day after, or the day after that, or ..........

There has been a discussion about lucky 15s on the daily threads with @Zilzalianhaving a fair bit of success with these bets.
4 of us have decided to submit 1 entry each day and put them in an each way lucky 15 with BET365.
Today's selections are :-
Southwell 7.15 SIX STRINGS 11/1 @BBBC
Southwell 6.45 RISHES BAAR 150/1 @Zilzalian
Southwell 5.45 SWEET FORTUNE 12/1 @LEE-GRAYS
Ludlow 2.00 COTTON END 25/1 @MCLARKE
 

They do 2 picks per day, 6 days per week; and are regarded as a bit of a joke. I guess £69 down on £566 is not too bad.
Maybe our PL ace, The Brigadeer should should volunteer on a "payment for profit" basis. I for one would take more notice.

FFS the reason i asked was i wanted to nap enemy (my notebook horse) at meydan but was unsure, bugger won at 20/1, such is life. ?? reason i didnt wait for reply was i had so much to do/was doing so chose 150/1 shot as an alternative. not right in the head this fella ?