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Showing content with the highest reputation on 03/10/20 in all areas

  1. 5 points
  2. 3 points
    Nice doing business ....about 100pts returned
  3. 2 points
    Not been a bad day . Hopefully Lord Du Mensil tops it off
  4. 2 points
    Sharjah 2nd place money and ew double with abracadabras
  5. 2 points
    Hi everyone Here is my next selection. So far start bank 100 w 4 L0 bank 105.17 330 Cheltenham epatante 1pt 5/2 bog A star in the making? Happy punting all. Don't get caught in the Cheltenham frenzy and be panicked into chasing your losses. Did the business pretty well. So five in a row. W5 L0 Bank 107.67
  6. 2 points
    Tottenham will be forced to press first on a pitch Leipzig has not learned to play defensively. I think both teams will score goals and make it to the Red Bull Arena RB LEIPZIG vs TOTTENHAM HOTSPUR @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.70
  7. 2 points
    Valiant Thor

    Competition Going Forward

    I wouldnt go as far as that ( ) SR is the inverse of amount of winners and vica versa 31 is a prime number so you wouldnt get an integer so lets go for 30 As for strike rate of 20% over 30 days gives you 6 winners & 6 winners over 30 days gives you 20% the easiest way to see who is the best (or better) tipster would be to take the actual v expected sr If you sum the actual winning bets and divide by the total sum of the inverse of odds then this will give you a comparison figure you could use IE If 2 players played the same bets and Player A hits above the expected winners he gets a rating of 62% above standard ( obviously the standard would be 1 act winners = expected winners) Where as the player B who only hits the hail mary gets a rating of -68% showing its more luck than good judgement as hes not hitting the expected amount of winners for the odds played. Player A Profit = 4.98pts Player A w/l w l l l l w w w w l actual winners 5 odds 2.50 3.00 1.50 5.00 67.00 2.50 4.50 3.00 2.38 11.00 expected winners 3.08 inverse 40% 33% 67% 20% 1% 40% 22% 33% 42% 9% A/E 62% Player B Profit = 57pts Player B w/l l l l l w l l l l l actual winners 1 odds 2.50 3.00 1.50 5.00 67.00 2.50 4.50 3.00 2.38 11.00 expected winners 3.08 inverse 40% 33% 67% 20% 1% 40% 22% 33% 42% 9% A/E -68% That is just an extreme example but if you use the highest S/R and achieving a £10 profit as the qualifier you would then be able to use the above method to decide on the better tipster from those qualifiers. Better example (if two players draw both with 50% sr & 10.88 profit but different odds) Player A is the better player Player A Profit = 10.88pts Player A w/l w w l l l w w w w l actual winners 6 odds 2.50 6.00 1.50 5.00 4.00 2.50 4.50 3.00 2.38 11.00 expected winners 3.15 inverse 40% 17% 67% 20% 25% 40% 22% 33% 42% 9% A/E 90% Player B Profit = 10.88pts Player B w/l l w l w w w l l w w actual winners 6 odds 2.50 6.00 1.50 4.00 4.00 2.50 4.50 3.00 2.38 2.00 expected winners 3.61 inverse 40% 17% 67% 25% 25% 40% 22% 33% 42% 50% A/E 66%
  8. 1 point
    Sun of Macedon

    NBA Roller Coaster

    10.03.2020 114. LA Clippers -12 @ 1.952 (5Dimes) 30 units
  9. 1 point
    DrO

    Tennis Tips - March 9 - March 22

    I'm sorry if this is inappropriate to post here,but i find this stuff as good information to know
  10. 1 point
    Sounds like there's some quiet optimism creeping in there mate! That's not like you. I'm switching my tip to a convincing Tottenham win immediately!
  11. 1 point
    🤮. Wenger used to say that finishing in the top 4 was a trophy so if you accept that logic I think you'll find spurs have 'won' quite a few trophies recently! An early away goal would make things interesting given Leipzig have never been in this position before and might start feeling the nerves. They really should have won the first leg with plenty to spare, so I'm just hoping for another Ajax style miracle. I doubt it's gonna happen though, so can see why you've gone for Leipzig.
  12. 1 point
    waggy

    2020 Finish

    30 result: Mukha Magic 1st. Won £100 Profit to date £2587.35
  13. 1 point
    Asterion forlong 328 Abacadras 323 Shishkin 319 Fiddleronroof 319 1st 2nd and 4th .....promising start .....had forecasts o all my top 3 horses in all races ....after that biggy win .....only a small 23pt in this but the big hcaps to come ..who knows
  14. 1 point
    130 Ch: Elixir D'Ainay - res- Soviet Pimpernel 210 Ch: Rouge Vif - res- Esprit Du Large 250 Ch: Townshend - res- Cepage 330 Ch: Cilaos Emery - res- Cornerstone Lad 410 Ch: Lady Buttons - res- Honeysuckle 450 Ch: De Plotting Shed - res- Espoir De Guye 530 Ch: The Hollow Ginge - res- Lord Du Mesnil
  15. 1 point
    Added eglatine du seuil win bet at 22.0 Betfair I just think he's overpriced given his level of form
  16. 1 point
    1-30 Ch. Chantry House. 2-10 Ch. Notebook. 2-50 Ch. Vinndication. 3-30 Ch. Epatante. 4-10 Ch. Benie Des Dieux. 4-50 Ch. Espoir De Guys. 5-30 Ch. Lord Du Mesnil.
  17. 1 point
    LEE-GRAYS

    Naps - Tuesday March 10th

    8.15 new rockley point 14/1 e/w bet365
  18. 1 point
    Data

    Correct Scores (second shift)

    Well back home after short hospital stay, although I think they're far from finished with me yet. Poor return from the weekend picks, only 3 correct scores from the 45 attempts, £450.00 staked returned a paltry £255.00. Is this the wake up call that begins the downfall of this project? A sign of things to come, or simply a hiccup? All 269 bets so far leaves an accounting sheet showing £2,690 staked returning £3,015 in winnings a 12% ROI Full results with correct score odds where appropriate were; 7.3.20 12:30 Liverpool Bournemouth 2 1 3~1 7.3.20 15:00 Arsenal West Ham 1 0 3~2 7.3.20 15:00 Crystal Palace Watford 1 0 1~0 8.00 7.3.20 15:00 Sheffield United Norwich 1 0 2~0 7.3.20 15:00 Southampton Newcastle 0 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Wolverhampton Wanderers Brighton 0 0 2~1 7.3.20 17:30 Burnley Tottenham 1 1 1~0 8.3.20 14:00 Chelsea Everton 4 0 2~1 8.3.20 16:30 Manchester United Manchester City 2 0 1~2 9.3.20 20:00 Leicester Aston Villa 4 0 2~0 6.3.20 19:45 Nottingham Millwall 0 3 1~1 7.3.20 12:30 Bristol City Fulham 1 1 1~1 6.5 7.3.20 15:00 Barnsley Cardiff 0 2 2~2 7.3.20 15:00 Birmingham Reading 1 3 2~1 7.3.20 15:00 Brentford Sheffield Wednesday 5 0 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Charlton Middlesbrough 0 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Leeds Huddersfield 2 0 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Preston Q.P.R. 1 3 2~1 7.3.20 15:00 Stoke Hull 5 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Swansea West Bromwich 0 0 0~1 7.3.20 15:00 Wigan Luton 0 0 1~1 8.3.20 15:00 Derby Blackburn 3 0 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Accrington Stanley Tranmere 1 2 2~1 7.3.20 15:00 AFC Wimbledon Bolton 0 0 1~0 7.3.20 15:00 Fleetwood Town Blackpool 0 0 1~0 7.3.20 15:00 Ipswich Coventry 0 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Lincoln Burton 3 2 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Milton Keynes Doncaster 0 1 1~0 7.3.20 15:00 Peterborough Portsmouth 2 0 2~0 11.00 7.3.20 15:00 Rochdale Rotherham 3 1 1~2 7.3.20 15:00 Shrewsbury Oxford 2 3 0~2 7.3.20 15:00 Southend Bristol Rovers 3 1 0~2 7.3.20 15:00 Sunderland Gillingham 2 2 1~0 7.3.20 13:00 Scnuthorpe Grimsby 0 2 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Carlisle Colchester 0 3 0~1 7.3.20 15:00 Cheltenham Port Vale 0 0 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Crawley Town Oldham 3 0 0~0 7.3.20 15:00 Crewe Stevenage 3 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Leyton Cambridge 2 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Newport Morecambe 1 0 2~1 7.3.20 15:00 Northampton Mansfield 1 2 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Plymouth Macclesfield 3 0 2~0 7.3.20 15:00 Salford City Bradford 2 0 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Swindon Forest Green 0 2 3~0 7.3.20 15:00 Walsall Exeter 3 1 0~2 And the National League that we ignore (just as well another losing Saturday!) 7.3.20 15:00 Aldershot Dagenham & Redbridge 0 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Barrow Notts County 0 2 2~0 7.3.20 15:00 Chorley Chesterfield 1 2 1~0 7.3.20 15:00 Dover Athletic Yeovil 0 1 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Fylde Solihull 0 0 1~2 7.3.20 15:00 Halifax Woking 0 2 1~1 7.3.20 15:00 Hartlepool Ebbsfleet United 0 1 2~1 7.3.20 15:00 Maidenhead United Boreham Wood 0 1 1~2 7.3.20 15:00 Stockport Barnet 1 1 1~1 6.5 7.3.20 15:00 Sutton UTD Torquay 2 0 1~2 7.3.20 15:00 Wrexham Eastleigh 0 0 1~0 7.3.20 17:20 Harrogate Town Bromley 1 1 2~0 The National League account now stands at £520 staked, £260 returned. A regime that loses £5 for every £10 staked.
  19. 1 point
    Valiant Thor

    Competition Going Forward

    @BillyHills The same principles apply whether you trying to win the comp or get the highest S/R prize .(though much harder for the S/R prize) Using table 1 as an example (SR + 10 profit) Ave winning SR 50% ish Ave winning Profit 25 ish Say you played 30 days in a month you'd need 15 winners (30*50% = 15)...SR sorted So with 15 winners you would need to make a 55pt return (30 staked + 25 profit)...profit sorted Therefore similar to the player who sits there playing 66/1 shots every day until the law of probability steps in and he is then reasonable sure to win the prize the other players option would be to play the 55/15 (3.66 or 11/4 nearest highest odds ) daily until the law of probability steps in and they win the S/R comp ( using Cumulative Binomdist in excel gives approx 1% probability of getting 15 correct with odds of 11/4 or greater,so much harder to win ) Or if player 1 hits his 80/1 shot early he could even revert to 11/4 shots for the rest of the comp with the possibility of winning both (greed is good as Mr Gekko says)
  20. 1 point
    MrJol

    Competition Going Forward

    Actually thought this way would be good for a while, would save me looking for a long shot all the time lol people pick the long shots because they are trying to win the competition, it's the only prize on offer so you want to try and win it. If your £30 behind it's no good picking a 7/4 shot is it Personally I would try and get the most winners, you can't beat the feeling of picking winners
  21. 1 point
    BillyHills

    Latest Table - March 2020

    Mar 9 That man Ken is at it again
  22. 1 point
    roger2256

    Naps - Tuesday March 10th

    14.50 Cheltenham The Conditional 15/2 b365 bog
  23. 1 point
    Tranmere win the game 2-1 and also manage to draw the corner match-up 5-5 so a comfortable winner with the start. 14 winners and 2 pushes from 25 bets, 5.23 points up with an ROI of 23.26% to advised stakes, 6.86 points up with an ROI of 27.44% to level stakes.
  24. 1 point
    Genclerbirligi vs Antalyaspor Oh yes, it's that time of the week again when we put all our coronavirus worries to one side and turn our attention to our weekly dose of Turkish Super Lig action. This week's game focuses on Genclerbirligi versus Antalyaspor in a 5pm GMT kick-off at the Eryaman Stadium in Ankara. Both teams are looking at mid-table mediocrity but a bad run of results could still see them get sucked into a nightmare relegation battle. Genclerbirligi sit in 11th place and know that any hopes of European qualification through the league this season are all but done and dusted. Hamza Hamzaoglu will be pleased that his team haven't struggled after promotion from the second tier. The spectre of relegation straight back down still lingers in the background with the club only 7 points clear of the drop zone but having successfully earned points in 66% of their home matches this season they'll feel this is a game where they can break further away from the bottom three. Antalyaspor are only one place and 1 point behind their opponents in the league. Tamer Tuna could find his position as manager under threat soon with the club languishing far behind their 7th placed finish last season. The club is undefeated in their last 6 league matches and a run to the Turkish Cup Semi-Final will have done their morale the world of good. Interestingly, they seem to perform better in the league on the road than at home so we might not be wise to write them off here. It's funny because I've found backing the draw in these Turkish Super Lig matches on a Monday is not only the most common bet I choose but it's also one of the most profitable. Maybe it's because the games are between two close sides in terms of form and ability. I am tilting towards backing that outcome here but I even think Antalyaspor could sneak the win. Genclerbirligi might display a reaction after the 3-0 loss to Galatasaray in their last game so I think the draw probably seems the best option. Draw @ 3.40 with Betfair BTTS @ 1.72 with Sportingbet
  25. 1 point
    Well done to Barry who wins the first leg with demios and Sci making up the podium Leg 2 set up for you to get in and bag some points in the hunt for the overall title.
  26. 1 point
    Change of plan @StevieDay1983, please don't hit me. Lega Serie A has finally got its act together and this weeks card will consist of the previously postponed fixtures. Subsequent Serie A gameweeks are shuffled along by one week (so the original coupon you posted will take place March 14th-15th). I think all Italian sporting events will now be played behind closed doors until at least April 3rd: https://www.football-italia.net/150856/official-juventus-inter-sunday In other news Cagliari have sacked coach Rolando Maran and replaced him with Walter Zenga. I am somewhat underwhelmed by this appointment but let's see how Cagliari perform between now and the end of the season at any rate.
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