Announcements
** August Nap's Competition Result : 1st Thebestthere, 2nd Glavintoby, 3rd Bathtime For Rupert, KO Cup Steve75, Most Winners Alastair, York Comp: Thebestthere**
**August Poker League Result : 1st Kevsul £75, 2nd Yossa6133 £45, 3rd Like2Fish £30**

Leaderboard


Popular Content

Showing content with the highest reputation on 01/22/20 in all areas

  1. 3 points
    Just for the fun of it I thought I'd pass tomorrow's big race through the computer ....wasn't expecting much as the conditions are heavy and race looked like a 20 horse pinsticker but the computer threw 2 horses miles clear back at me Roaring bull 229 +2 Monbeg notorious 225 +3 Both trained by Gordon Elliot and both gigginstown horses .... I mean how interesting does that make them look now ??.....And if I tell you they are both currently available at 14/1 And 66/1!!!.......I mean that's just crazy .....I don't care if they finish plum last gotta steam in on these 2 I think ......think I'll grab the best ew prices later I can nearest to that and smash 10pts ew and fingers crossed for a nice payday .....especially on the outsider who has it all to do but has patchy form giving him chances so it's possible ......cmon Mr Elliot....!!!
  2. 3 points
    Yeah I was just discussing with my friend and we agree we've gotta cover the forecast too ....if a 1000/1 forecast goes in and I missed it I'm throwing myself off a cliff lol
  3. 2 points
    Jves

    Australian Open 2020

    Bedene - Gulbis: Bedene 1.62 @ various bookies (min price 1.55) These are odds I cannot leave hang in there. I know Gulbis beat Felix and played quite well, but nothing in 2019 till now shows he can repeat such a performance. I know I said I don't give much weight to ATP Cup, but seems like Felix's performance was not poor due to lack of motivation, but purely because he is not in the best form, therefore, even though it's a big result for Latvian, I am not considering it as something, which would indicate sudden growth in performance. Bedene's performances were always bad playing Australian Open, however I do not think he will pass on this opportunity to equalise his GS maximum by advancing to the 3rd round.
  4. 2 points
    CzechPunter

    Australian Open 2020

    Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (-3.5) to beat Taylor Townsend at 1.82 with Pinnacle Have to go for this honestly. Townsend was the worse player of the two against Pegula, but she somehow managed to win with Pegula not managing to handle her nerves at all in the previous round. Pavs is on another level, not game-wise, but mentality-wise. Also, I think that she's somewhat better off physically and that could play a role given that there isn't the usual day off here.
  5. 2 points
    Haven't looked in detail at anything, but how are the away team the favourite in the first 3 matches on the coupon? Instinctively, this makes me think that there is some value in the home teams for all three of these games, though of course the draw is also a strong possibility. I'd definitely be looking to lay Watford, Brighton and Southampton at those prices.
  6. 1 point
    CzechPunter

    Australian Open 2020

    Hi and welcome to the forum @decwardo77!
  7. 1 point
    decwardo77

    Australian Open 2020

    I've just joined this forum today and it is really interesting reading so thank you to all the contributers for their knowledge and insight. Hopefully I'll be also be able to share tips with all of you. Just in relation to the match between Goffin and Herbert I do think they are both playing well but I really think Goffin will be too good for Herbert. I like Herbert as a player and they are both very similar however Goffin is at the top of his game and ran Nadal ragged a few weeks ago. I like the look of Basilashvilli to get by Fiasco Verdasco today. While the odds aren't that generous at 2.30 I think he'll see this as a great opportunity to get into the next round. Verdasco once he gets frustrated which he certainly will at some point in this match is a calamity waiting to happen. Anyway best of luck to all of you having a bet tonight.
  8. 1 point
    ivanhoe

    Australian Open 2020

    I`m hoping to see a similar scenario. I don`t usually like these big handicaps but in the end I`ve decided to take this one. We`ll see...Hoping for the best, expecting the worst. Just to mention Vekic once again. After she broke up with "Stan the man" she is completely dedicated and focused on tennis. I mean, you can really see she is giving her maximum in every match. I think she`ll win vs Cornet but I don`t expect an easy match. I`m tempted to take an OVER in that match too.
  9. 1 point
    CzechPunter

    Australian Open 2020

    Oh, wow. I've completely forgotten about that match @ivanhoe. I saw Norrie leading solidly and then I didn't check the result, he really must've messed up. Herbert can be a solid bet indeed, I'd expect him to get quite a few easy holds unless Goffin is spot on with his passing shots. Definitely a step up from Chardy, especially mentally.
  10. 1 point
    ivanhoe

    Australian Open 2020

    Bellis - Muchova 1 I can`t go against myself and will back C.C. Bellis again. Yes, Muchova is another level, much better than Maria but I believe Bellis will intelligently use her main weapon - strong and precise shots from the baseline. I saw Muchova likes coming forward and playing volleys (unfortunately a rarity in women`s tennis) but I think Bellis will have an answer to that in precise and strong passing shots. I expect a big battle with a lot of breaks so OVER wouldn`t be a bad idea too. I just hope C.C. prevails in the end.
  11. 1 point
    Torque

    Australian Open 2020

    There's a reason I tend to avoid set and game lines - if I back games it loses and sets comes in, if I back sets it loses and games comes in . Anyway, good to see someone won opposing Keys. Like you said @darko08, she was priced far too low which gave the chance to take advantage and back Rus on the handicap.
  12. 1 point
    bosou

    Latest Table - January 2020

    Had Youneverletmedown 5.45 N/C , thanks
  13. 1 point
    teodorppv

    Australian Open 2020

    Donna Vekic to beat Alize Corner @ 1.44 with bet365 Personally for me that’s a safe match and the odds are very good. I haven’t watch Cornet’s last match in AO but i watched couple of her’s at the tournaments before AO and somehow she didn’t impressed me at all. Only the match against Martic was interesting and a surprise to me but then Martic couldn’t convert most of her break points and did many unforced errors which means that not Cornet won the match but Martic lost it. About Vekic I don’t have something particularly to say, with every year she is developing into a better player and the fact that she doesn’t have many titles is a question which I still can’t answer. Overall Vekic is too good for Cornet and also she has to be very motivated because of the fact that the road to the quarter-finals for her is not so tough. After Cornet maybe she is going to face Swiatek (young player who doesn’t have enough exp.) or Navarro (player who Vekic beat last year) and after that maybe Bencic ( who personally for me is not in top form right now). The last but not the least Vekic showed good mental behavior against Sharapova (saved couple of break points and won the second set from behind).
  14. 1 point
    Jves

    Australian Open 2020

    @Teodore OK, she had one bad match recently - against Pegula, but her other results support the odds. Personally, if someone put a gun to my head, I say odds on Jabeur are still too low for my liking, so I would go with Wozniacki. However, if you do not have anything else in mind (like number of sets or games) I'd just leave it.
  15. 1 point
    Just finished .... 150 chelt Warthog 235 +2 Western miller 233+2 Spiritofthegames 230 +1 With warthog and spirit at around 7/1 ...Western miller is looking vastly overpriced at 50/1!!!.....not much between the other 2 on last run but warthog has the scope for improvement so gets the vote ...I'll post bets on carribean thread later in week once confirmed but at the m9ment it's warthog and western miller for me in this Skybet chase Just 2 horses left on ratings Chidswell My old gold Both trained by the in form Nicky Richards.....they look very interesting now at around 10 and 14 . ....Will see if both run first ...currently looks promising as trainer has said both will possibly take their chance
  16. 1 point
    CzechPunter

    Australian Open 2020

    Not going to say anything on that, because I was clearly wrong about her and Yastremska.
  17. 1 point
    This feature has been asked by too many expert users so finally, I managed to finish it. It is about saving in XLS or CSV format all that is happening in the Live Statistics module. The old button "Export to" works like before but I added a new button "Save" that will save instantly without any other message the table to XLS or CSV, depending on what you set on the right side. The "Autosave" button allows you now to set an interval between 0-30 minute. Each time will be saved all that was not saved since the last save. For example, you can set it to 10 minutes then every ten minutes will be saved in the "Export" folder a file named YYMMDDHHMMSS in XLS or CSV format with all data since the last save. All data can be studied later, minute by minute to see odds, score, percent...etc.
  18. 1 point
    Robinnho

    Australian Open 2020

    Taylor Fritz to beat Kelvin Anderson @ 2.20 with Pinnacle. Fritz has an easy 1R win and Anderson is not at his best after returning from injury. So he is ready to take on the S. African and I see value in this match-up.
  19. 1 point
    darko08

    Australian Open 2020

    @money44
  20. 1 point
    Torque

    Australian Open 2020

    Rus on a set plus looks good to me. She played well against Linette - high first serve percentage, low unforced errors - and she's not far off Keys in the power department either. She prefers clay of course, but that means she's used to long rallies and that could definitely frustrate Keys into making errors. Keys is also a rhythm player and she'll likely have to contend with the occasional moonball which will knock her off her stride. Also in favour of Rus is that she's looking really fit - as though she could play hours and hours of high-percentage tennis, keeping the ball in-play and that isn't something Keys will enjoy. I'm less enthused by the game plus here, as Rus could definitely lose a set heavily like she did against Linette in the last round, but a bet on her to take a set looks like a value play to me.
  21. 1 point
    fizrukas

    Australian Open 2020

    Does Cilic to win @ 1.4 really worth it?! Really.. I mean his stamina is so questionable, he had rough year of 2019 almost lost in every 3 games. Only AO where he last little bit longer.. But it was a year ago.. i feel here Benoit have a chance. Dont want to make up your minds, but be carefull, and GL if you won't!
  22. 1 point
    darko08

    Australian Open 2020

    Karolina Muchova to beat Catherine Bellis at 1.71 with 888 I expected lower odds for Muchova so I think there is value on her. Bellis has been a lot of time out of the courts due to various surgeries. She destroyed Maria Tatjana (6-0, 6-2) but Muchova is another story. I think Muchova’s variety of shots will frustrate Bellis. Ok guys. I edit because i have to explain the wrong price. The last time i saw the odds Muchova was at 1.71 at 888 (like 20 minutes ago). Just after posting this i have checked the matches again and i have seen that Muchova odds have dropped to 1.61
  23. 1 point
    Darran

    Road to the Cheltenham Foxhunters

    The obvious place to start is with Caid du Berlais who returned with a comfortable success at Buckfastleigh. It was good that there was a bit of depth the form as well as Marcle Ridge came home in 2nd. He won on Cheltenham Hunter Chase night in May and was then beaten by Killaro Boy which I initially thought was disappointing, but given that one was only just beaten in the Summer Cup at Uttoxeter in June it boosted the form. Connections of Marcle Ridge have spoken about aiming him at the Foxhunter so it was good to see Caid du Berlais put him in his place. Caid du Berlais was my ante-post selection for the race last year and he ran no sort of race at Cheltenham, but it came less than 2 weeks after he made his seasonal reappearance and he had a rushed preparation. The run was too bad to be true and he showed that in no uncertain terms when turning the big one at Punchestown into a procession. He was winning that race for the 2nd year running and it emphasised he is clearly one of the best hunter chasers around. Two years ago he was 5th in the race and although he didn't quite see out the trip I think he looks a stronger stayer now. One of the good things about him is that he won't mind what the weather does as he handles any ground and as long as his prep goes better than last season I think he is a huge player in the race. Indeed I am again going to put him up as an ante-post bet in the race as I don't see him being a double figure price come the day so at 14/1 I am happy to play. Irish contender Some Man won a maiden Hunter Chase at Clonmel a couple of weeks ago and I didn't deal with him at the time because I wasn't really thinking him as a possible for Cheltenham, but he is a general 33/1 chance for the race. His trainer was very complementary after the race stating he is the best horse he has ever trained. They picked him up for just £5.5k, which could look a real bargain, from Paul Nicholls. He didn't show a great deal for him, but for his new connections he has won all 3 starts now. His Clonmel win was decent enough although it was a long way from being good enough to win at Cheltenham and it was only over 2m4f. He also still needs to qualify as neither of his point wins were in open company. Clearly though he is very unexposed and he could be open to any amount of improvement. News last week was that Seeyouatmidnight was coming out of retirement and will run at Musselburgh next weekend and then at Kelso in a bid to qualify for Cheltenham. At this stage he wouldn't look an obvious winner, but it will be good to see him back in action. With Hazel Hill missing a clash with Bob And Co at Warwick on Wednesday we could see him line up at Thorpe Lodge on Sunday where Caryto des Brosses is also entered. There was nothing between the two of them at Cheltenham in May and that really is a mouth watering clash if they both turn up. I have not hidden my love for Caryto des Brosses and I do think he is a possible winning hope at Cheltenham. Also Art Mauresque looks set to go to Chipley Park as he looks to get himself qualified. In Ireland we have their big trial at Naas which looks set to be fascinating as well. Caid du Berlais 0.75pts e/w @ 14/1 with Bet365, William Hill, Betfair, Paddy Power and Betfred Catching up with the Irish pointing results via the Racing Post and it seems that Shark could have two runners in the race as Rewritetherules won on Sunday and looks set to be aimed at the race. He caused a big surprise when winning a Down Royal Hunter Chase in May and then won at Tipperary 3 days later. The following month he was beaten off 116 in a handicap at Roscommon. It was a good win on Sunday and he looks progressive albeit I am not sure the field was overly strong. He is only 6 and I just wonder if it would be a year too soon for him, but he is certainly an interesting horse.
  24. 1 point
    Valiant Thor

    Correct scores (what? again?)

    Hi Data Not a lover of correct score prediction mainly due to the abysmal overound placed on them, but I do like a bit of stats analysis . I know you are only doing the prem atm but I like to look at the overall picture. These Stats are from 137000+ games Table 1 As you can see 71.9% of CS fall within the green zone with 1-1 being the optimum score @ 12.54 % and 1-0 the NB @ 10.92 , when joined with the yellow zone the sr %age goes to 89.63% with the other scores making up the 10.37% remaining outliers.So I personally would focus on the SR that my model throws up @ 1-0 & 1-1 I dont know how your adjustable variable is incorporated into Solver but a simple setup using solver to reduce SSE by changing the ratings,calculating the mean and constraining H & A average rating to =1 rather than 0 (you cant have negative goals) seems to do the job easy enough. Ran the solver from Jan onwards same as you, which produced Table 2 The 1-1 draw seems to be just higher than ave with table 1 (small sample though) 6 drawing 1-1 from 40 games = 15% , when expected 1-1 draws from sample size should be around 5. Although 10 draws were predicted. We both agree on two 1-1 scorelines tonight so you never know Best of luck ,hope it works out for you
  25. 1 point
    LIKE2FISH

    Sit N Go Best Sites

    No worries SNGs not very popular like they were many moons ago, spins and go's are popular now! MTTS is what I play most. Not sure about the bookies bit. Worth a try, nothing to lose!
  26. 1 point
    LIKE2FISH

    Sit N Go Best Sites

    Probs only pokerstars, I play SNGS on Unibet when they have a challenge promo. I don't play much SNGs now tbh.
  • Newsletter

    Want to keep up to date with all our latest news and information?
    Sign Up