Leaderboard

Naomi Osaka to beat Julia Goerges at 1.53 with bet365 Naomi in her current form wins this 8 out of 10 times. She played very well yesterday against Laura Siegemund and got the win in straight sets in the end. Laura challenged Naomi quite a lot but Naomi showed composure to win in straight sets. I believe she will win in straight sets again. It's 1-0 for Naomi in the head-to-head against Julia after she beat her in Cincinnati qualies 2016 6-4 6-4. The surface works well for Naomis serve and she will be hard to break for Julia. Big serves will come flying again from Naomi to get her out of trouble.

Yes Think of it like a PAYG mobile theres no point to use it (from the 50pt bank) if you already have enough credit in to pay for the call (profit), If I make 20 calls (bets) if I'm in credit (profit > 20) why would I need to top up(from the 50pts) It should actually read losing all my bank in 1 losing run is 1mill to 1. Purely due to laziness I stated that this is derived from my current ave sr Unfortunately not having the foresight of Nostradamus I couldn't know what my sr would be post 2010 ,so the bank of 50 pts was actually derived from my pre 2010 lowest sr of 24% and Ive always left it at that, the reason that I used my lowest sr instead of the average sr was purely as an extra safety net. There is always the probability of several losing runs combined causing a black swan effect although probable, highly unlikely that the sr will deviate that far from the mean due to the amount of bets per season (ave 470) being nowhere near the million mark. log 470/-log(1-.33) = 15 losing runs How do I come about the 50pts.... (6/-log(1-0.24)) = 6/-log(0.76) = 6/0.119 = 50.34 = 50 rounded to 1pt 6 = log of 1million 1-0.24 = 0.76 the losing sr why -log?, if we log less than 1 (which we are, as your logging a %age as a decimal) we get a negative number ,so by doing -log we get a positive number. I wouldnt say I'm more knowledgeable than than the next man about racing in fact far from it most probably worse than the average Joe Public , its just Ive put the hours in over time found something that works for me at this moment and stuck to that ,I just play a numbers game, its boring, repetitive and actually takes the gloss off even bothering to watch racing now I don't bet on anything other than my statistical selections anymore.(horse racing wise) I was planning to retire in 2020 but it might be this year if they cant get my knee sorted out soon its been around 6 months now ,they've done some 'keyhole surgery' on it (the doc must live in a f*ckin castle if the hole in my knee is his idea of a keyhole ) but all thats done is cause an infection now so its worse than it was before ,thats bye the bye, Im hoping for a good year this year if the rain can stay away I might need it.

Yes you are right about 95% do leave it in and blow it but that is just bad discipline, I strated with £2000 and was shown how to use 50% of your funds and always have a reserve bank of the other 50% and from any profit replace any used from the reserve and also add 25% of profit to the reserve until you have 5 times the bank in reserve which I know have this gives me plenty of leeway, I now have 3 banks doing this same system.

Elena Vesnina to beat Taylor Townsend at 1.53 with Marathonbet Stranger things have happened, but come on.

J League is Now up and running I will post all selections in around an hours time for over the weekend

815 Chelmsford Related 9/2 bet365 Just two AW meetings on Thursday, getting a bit bored now! Anyway i'm going for the Paul Midgley/Luke Morris angle in the 6f handicap. I quite like the way he ran on his first start since October when 3rd at Kempton a couple of weeks ago. He went off quick and was just knackered entering the final furlong through lack of fitness, that will have brought him on and from stall 2 should get the run of the race and hopefully hang on.

My 5 for today Calder Prince 15.15 Wolverhampton Ghost 17.20 Wolverhampton Dancing Brave Bear 17.45 Chelmsford The Juggler 18.15 Chelmsford Related 20.15 Chelmsford

Morris obliges for the second week in a row. Probably be more for later or early tomorrow.

2.10 Wolves: La Fortuna 0.5pts e/w @ 4.50 with bet365. Thank you.

Btw, keep in mind that the Davis Cup format is now different for the lower tiers, just 2 days and best of 3 sets matches.

thats brilliant bubbles

Hey, I forgot what I had for breakfast

Caroline Garcia to beat Alize Cornet at 1.53 with Marathonbet This has always been a good matchup for Garcia, who can do essentially everything better than Cornet. Not sure what to add here honestly.

sorry billy forgot that my bad dooh

Calder Prince 15.15 Wolverhampton 5.50 bet365

Apr 4

Atletico Madrid vs Sporting CP The second match I am going to preview for the Europa League Quarter-Finals is almost a like-for-like with the Arsenal vs CSKA Moscow game. One solid favourite that I feel could win comfortably against a side that is doing well in a less competitive league so might see this competition as a second priority. Spanish club Atletico Madrid are 2nd in La Liga. Realistic hopes of catching league leaders Barcelona are dying but they are 20 points clear of 5th place so Champions League football is all but guaranteed for next season. So this competition is a great chance to add some silverware to their impressive campaign. Portuguese side Sporting CP are once again part of the elite four in the Primeira Liga along with Benfica, Porto, and Braga. Unfortunately, Jorge Jesus and his men are in 3rd place and 5 points behind second placed Porto. So qualification for the Champions League is still possible but it will be tough. However, there are still enough games left for Sporting CP to gate crash the top two. In terms of their European progress, Atletico Madrid finished 3rd in their Champions League group behind Roma and Chelsea so entered the Europa League knock-out stage. It is far to say it has been easy work so far. A 5-1 aggregate win over FC Copenhagen in the last 32 was followed up by an 8-1 victory against Lokomotiv Moscow in the last 16. It's scary stuff for Sporting CP fans to look at. Sporting CP were also in the Champions League but expectantly finished 3rd in their group behind Barcelona and Juventus. In the Europa League last 32 they beat Kazakhstan side Astana 6-4 on aggregate before disposing of Czech Republic club Viktoria Plzen 3-2 on aggregate after extra time. So it has been far from simple. My feeling is that Atletico Madrid will want to do as much damage as possible in this home leg. They have the quality to win this game well. I think the value is in a comfortable two goal or more win for Diego Simeone's side. It just looks like Atletico Madrid will be too good here. Atletico Madrid -1 @ 1.95 with Betfred Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 2.01 with 188Bet

Arsenal vs CSKA Moscow It's the Europa League Quarter-Finals this week and there is really only one game I was going to pick first to preview from these matches. That's right, every punter's least favourite side! Arsenal! Let's see what the bunch of useless crabs can do this week to mess up our bets. If we look at the recent league form of the Gunners it really doesn't add any confidence to our thoughts about backing them to win this game. 4 wins, 5 defeats, and 1 draw from their last 10 league games. However, their Europa League campaign has been a bit more positive. Arsene Wenger's side qualified easily from Group H as group winners with just 1 defeat. It was a group that contained BATE Borisov, FC Koln, and Red Star Belgrade. They then beat Swedish side Ostersunds FK whom they beat 4-2 on aggregate. It really should have been easier but Wenger played a back-up side in the second leg and those lads almost ballsed it all up. Then there was the impressive 5-1 aggregate win over AC Milan in the last round. CSKA Moscow come into this game as firm underdogs but they are by no means mugs. If they can take a draw or win from this tie then they will fancy themselves beating Arsenal out at the VEB Arena. Even a one-goal defeat might not be considered a terrible score. Viktor Goncharenko's side currently 3rd in the Russian Premier League and only 5 points behind league leaders Lokomotiv Moscow. Champions League qualification through the league is certainly a priority for them but they are now only five matches away from a major European title so this competition will definitely be considered vitally important. Their Europa League campaign so far has been very different to Arsenal. They were initially in the Champions League and eased through qualifying without conceding a single goal against Greek side AEK Athens and then Swiss club Young Boys. In Group A, they finished 3rd behind Manchester United and FC Basel. This saw them qualify for the Europa League knock-out stage. To be honest, it's not been an easy ride for them. They needed a single goal in their second leg against Red Star Belgrade to progress with a 1-0 aggregate win. In the last 16, they then held off a Lyon comeback in France to qualify for the Quarter-Finals on away goals after a 3-3 draw on aggregate. CSKA will definitely have one eye on the weekend's derby game with Dinamo Moscow. A loss could see Zenit St Petersburg leapfrog them into the Champions League places. Arsenal don't have that worry. Any hope of Champions League football next season now rests on this competition. On that basis, I think we could see a rampant Arsenal here. Their form at the Emirates this season has generally been very solid. They have only suffered defeat at home three times this season. I expect them to be dominant here and come away with at least a one goal win. I'm tempted to back them at a -1 handicap as well. Arsenal HT/FT @ 2.00 with Ladbrokes Arsenal -1 @ 1.95 with Betfred @delfino, @KikoCy, @giraldi, @Icongene, @dogmeister, @rangers234, @Pipoca, @Notorious, @ElPrincipito007, @KingSoccertips, @vasilli07, @betcatalog, @immortal--, @DW_United, @discipline, @WinningAdvice, @arvee, @silverfox, @FrenchEskimo, @liamcorrigan86, @ElPrincipito007, @Neubs, @TOTTI3, @Simeon Borisof, @Charon84, @Magic0024, @Xcout, @arsenalfh, @BJO, @footballeye, @gamblerxxx, and @CloughandTaylor, what bets are you guys lining up for these matches tomorrow?

Clarke and Ronnie for 2 from 3.. 40 winners from 124 bets (32.26%), +15.26 points with an ROI of 12.31%.

Ok the trends tell us that: Winner will be under 40 years old Finished in Top 30 previously In the worlds top 30 Made the cut last year Had Top 10 this season Cuts it down to about a dozen players from the top 30, I quite like the stat that 5 of the last 7 winners had finished at least 30th the year before and from this I have Fowler, Thomas and Rahm. Thomas has had 5 top 10's this season compared to Fowler and Rahm who have two each. Selection Justin Thomas 11/1 Paddy Power (EW 8 places)