Smokin Joe Posted July 31, 2009 Share Posted July 31, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 119 bets, +30% yield !!! Wow. Great find joe. I have just read that the portuguese league will also be covered. Any data for that anyone?! Thanks again joe. No, I was never able to find data on the Potuguese (or Belgian) leagues. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted July 31, 2009 Author Share Posted July 31, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 119 bets, +30% yield !!! Wow thanks anyway mate. Just out of interest are you joe from the famous footballing data website? I have two more sheets to build. May take a while to do but will be worth it if the spreads price up these two leagues. (which they should if they are live tv games in the uk.) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted July 31, 2009 Share Posted July 31, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 119 bets, +30% yield !!! Wow thanks anyway mate. Just out of interest are you joe from the famous footballing data website? I have two more sheets to build. May take a while to do but will be worth it if the spreads price up these two leagues. (which they should if they are live tv games in the uk.) No, afraid not. I'm just an average Joe, with an interest in corners. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted July 31, 2009 Author Share Posted July 31, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 119 bets, +30% yield !!! ok, worth an ask! playing with the russian website now, but keep my eyes open for portuguese and irish PL. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted July 31, 2009 Author Share Posted July 31, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 119 bets, +30% yield !!! extrabet have priced the japanese game up higher. i fancy a piece of that pie. apologies if you have already put a bet on. note the change of stake also: spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 1/8/09 YokohamaFÂ¥Marinos KyotoSangaF.C. 9.75 u 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted July 31, 2009 Author Share Posted July 31, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 119 bets, +30% yield !!! diff old new 0 0 0 0.25 0 0 0.5 1 1 0.75 2 3 1 3 4 1.25 4 5 1.5 5 7 1.75 6 8 2 7 9 2.25 8 11 2.5 9 12 2.75 10 14 3 11 15 this is the staking i intend to use from now on. it shows the difference in the bookies' midpoint and my estimate along with the new and old stakes. so if the bookie priced up a game as 9.50-10 the midpoint is 9.75 if i price the game up as 9, the difference is 9.75-9=0.75 in the old days that meant a 2 unit per corner bet, but now it means 3. if i am away for a game i may post up my estimates and refer back to this staking table if some kind soul could post the spread prices (like smokinjoe did in the past) hope that's clear :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 1, 2009 Author Share Posted August 1, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA ALL 1 107 13 120 bets 100.0% 51.4% 53.8% 51.7% wins 0.0% 3.7% 0.0% 3.3% level 0.0% 44.9% 46.2% 45.0% losses 2.25 549.00 85.50 634.50 staked 100% 28% 45% 30% yield 2.25 154.30 38.80 193.10 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 1/8/09 Yokohama FÂ¥Marinos KyotoSanga F.C. 9.75 u 3 9 2.25 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulc Posted August 2, 2009 Share Posted August 2, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Good work again muppet :clap. Am following with interest and the new season looks promising with the extra games from ESPN. Keep it up :ok. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 2, 2009 Author Share Posted August 2, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! thanks Paul. ESPN has opened up a whole new world. :clap i will be away Monday 3rd - Monday 10th inclusive. These are my expectations of the live matches. 05/08/09 Динамо Мh Celtic 10.57 07/08/09 Middlesbrough SheffieldUnited 10.91 07/08/09 Wolfsburg Stuttgart 10.78 08/08/09 West Brom Newcastle 11.49 08/08/09 Southampton Millwall 11.12 08/08/09 Hoffenheim Bayern Munich 10.65 09/08/09 Coventry Ipswich 11.21 Stakes will be linked to post 216, using the bookies midpoint of spread. if i cannot get internet access would someone mind posting up the prices from Sporting Index, Extrabet, Spreadex and Sportsspread? (the first team is Dynamo Moscow) Many thanks. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 2, 2009 Author Share Posted August 2, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! oh and if any extra games pop up, would someone mind posting the spreads? (i have used livesportontv.com and i have a feeling that ESPN may put more on than this site is showing at the moment.) they will be too late for the system but i can add them to my records. much appreciated if anyone can assist at all. :ok:ok:ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulc Posted August 2, 2009 Share Posted August 2, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! I will try and get them up for you but i'm on holiday, although staying at home, so i may forget ! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 2, 2009 Author Share Posted August 2, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! brill - thanks Paul, or anyone else. just the midpoints from those 4 spread firms. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulc Posted August 4, 2009 Share Posted August 4, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Dynamo / Celtic - Corner mid points Sporting 10.75 Extrabet 10.55 Spreadex 10.45 Sportsspread 10.75 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ValueFinder Posted August 4, 2009 Share Posted August 4, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Interesting. I see you like backing a lot of unders (selling) In my experience BUYING corner spreads is an absolute gold mine. There are certain criteria I look out for for each match. For example, the shorter and wider the pitch, the higher the probability of corners. Pitch dimensions are a major player in the corner market.(just check the corner counts at upton park and craven cottage for proof of this) Fast paced and wide open games obviously are important as well as teams that focus play down the wings with direct wingers ala someone like Aaron Lennon. Teams with adventurous fullbacks are always high corner winners. EG Reading or Aston Villa. Corners handicaps are also one of the easiest markets to exploit. Anyway you're doing well, keep it up although your ROI doesn't make any sense unless I'm missing something! Will stay tuned and post some of my potential 'corner fests' when the premiership gets underway. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulc Posted August 7, 2009 Share Posted August 7, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Midd / Sheff Utd SI - 11.25 SE - 11.25 EB - 11.05 SS - 11.25 Wolf / Stutt SI - 10.5 SE - 10.55 Soton / Mill SI - 11.5 SE - 11.05 EB - 11.25 Cov / Ips SI - 11.25 WBA / New EB - 11.05 These are the quotes at the present time, where there are missing prices thats because the quotes aren't up yet. I'm posting them now as i'm going away for the weekend and won't be back untill Sun evening, so if anyone feels like filling in the missing details please do. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 8, 2009 Author Share Posted August 8, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Cheers paul. Much appreciated. No bets at all from this weekends live tv league games. I have been trialling my data to use against the regular bookies who offer under equal to or over a corner amount. Four wins from for today priced at evens ish. I may start this properly next weekend. Back testing on the prem last season was also successful but the proof of the pudding is not after timing. More later. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 15, 2009 Author Share Posted August 15, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 15/8/09 Aberdeen Celtic 10.50 o 1 15/8/09 NagoyaGrampus KawasakiFrontale 10.50 o 5 16/8/09 PSV Eindhoven Ajax 10.00 o 3 16/8/09 Tottenham Liverpool 11.00 u 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 15, 2009 Author Share Posted August 15, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! these are my value bets on the regular bookie prices. i have gone with two lucky 15s with bet365. Sparta Willem II under 10 @ 2Scunthorpe Derby under 11 @ 2Nagoya Grampus Kawasaki Frontale over 10 @ 2.25Kashima Antlers Oita Trinita under 10 @ 1.9Huddersfield Southampton under 12 @ 1.9Heerenveen Vitesse under 10 @ 2Brentford Brighton under 11 @ 2.2Stockport Bristol Rovers over 11 @ 2 :ok one unit per bet, so 2x15 units bet here. i will start with a bank of 100 units. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted August 15, 2009 Share Posted August 15, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! You upping the stakes on this yet muppet or sticking with 10p test? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 15, 2009 Author Share Posted August 15, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Well i have altered my stakes which allows higher stakes for some games like the japan one today. The stop loss is ten corners so on my ten p per unit then a 5 unit stake could be equivalent to a 5 pound bet. If i upped to a quid then this becomes a 50 quid bet plus other games! I am staking according to my bank. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 16, 2009 Author Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Sparta Willem II under 10 @ 2 :eyesScunthorpe Derby under 11 @ 2 ;)Nagoya Grampus Kawasaki Frontale over 10 @ 2.25 :eyesKashima Antlers Oita Trinita under 10 @ 1.9 ;)LOSS £7.27Huddersfield Southampton under 12 @ 1.9 :eyesHeerenveen Vitesse under 10 @ 2 ;)Brentford Brighton under 11 @ 2.2 ;)Stockport Bristol Rovers over 11 @ 2 ;) PROFIT £12.80 lucky 15s: 2 in profit: 1 matches: 8 wins: 5 strike: 63% profit: £5.53 staked: £30 yield: +18% Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 16, 2009 Author Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! IFK Goteborg Helsingborgs IF under 11 @ 1.83Roda JC Nijmegen under 10 @ 2Shimizu S-Pulse Albirex Niigata over 10 @ 2.2 £1 patent with bet365 7 bets = £7 stake 3 singles, 3 doubles, 1 treble. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted August 16, 2009 Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Hi Muppet, Interesting strategy using the lucky 15 ... my initial thoughts are that it maybe harder to work out if the odds on offer are value compared to the spread betting or have you already accounted for this ? It may pay to look for bookies who offer bonus's on their lucky 15 payouts ... it may make all the difference. :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 16, 2009 Author Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Hi k. These bets are related to my spread estimates. Back testing has been encouraging with a good yield. I have looked for firms that offer bonuses but they do not offer value compared to my estimates. Bet365 cover a massive amount of world games. Betfred do awesome bonuses but only cover major tv games. I have not found value yet with their prices. Do you know of any firms that cover lots of matches and also offer bonuses? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted August 16, 2009 Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Hmmm ... I was thinking of betfred as I was typing but didn't consider the limited choice ... the exchange multiples don't offer corner odds either ... the only thing I could find was a B365 accy bonus but this is of no use either .... sorry :$ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 16, 2009 Author Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Whats the b365 bonus? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kanga Posted August 16, 2009 Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! If you look on the right hand side of the b365 homepage there is a clickable link named b365 extra ... all details of current soccer promotions there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 16, 2009 Author Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! If you look on the right hand side of the b365 homepage there is a clickable link named b365 extra ... all details of current soccer promotions there. good spot - nothing going though. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 16, 2009 Author Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! Halmstads BK AIK Solna under 10 @ 2.25 £1 single. shame bet365 didn't get this up earlier - i could hav ehad it in a lucky15. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted August 16, 2009 Author Share Posted August 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 120 bets, +30% yield !!! pretty chuffed with this weekend's spreads: these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA ALL 4 111 13 124 bets 50.0% 51.4% 53.8% 51.6% wins 25.0% 4.5% 0.0% 4.0% level 25.0% 44.1% 46.2% 44.4% losses 7.00 556.00 85.50 641.50 staked 29% 28% 45% 30% yield 2.00 156.30 38.80 195.10 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 15/8/09 Aberdeen Celtic 10.50 o 1 12 1.50 15/8/09 NagoyaGrampus KawasakiFrontale 10.50 o 5 10 -2.50 16/8/09 PSV Eindhoven Ajax 10.00 o 3 11 3.00 16/8/09 Tottenham Liverpool 11.00 u 1 11 0.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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