muppet77 Posted April 11, 2009 Author Share Posted April 11, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: Euro + Domestic: 38 bets, +21% yield BOOM! these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA BOTH 1 33 6 39 bets 100% 45% 67% 49% wins 0% 3% 0% 3% level 0% 52% 33% 49% losses 17.50 142.20 57.50 199.70 staked 100% 13% 63% 28% yield 17.50 18.60 36.50 55.10 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 11/4/09 Hearts Celtic 10.25 o 2 19 17.50 11/4/09 Villarreal Malaga 10.30 u 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 11, 2009 Author Share Posted April 11, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: Euro + Domestic: 39 bets, +28% yield Sunday: spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 12/4/09 Sevilla Getafe 10.50 u 2 12/4/09 Aston Villa Everton 11.50 u 1 12/4/09 La Coruna Ath Madrid 10.80 u 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 12, 2009 Author Share Posted April 12, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: Euro + Domestic: 39 bets, +28% yield Also Sunday ('Showsport' tv??) spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 12/4/09 Real Madrid Valladolid 11.00 u 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 12, 2009 Author Share Posted April 12, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: Euro + Domestic: 39 bets, +28% yield ShowSports are part of the Showtime Arabia network. ShowSport 1, 2, 3, 4 and Extreme Sports Channel are available on many Showtime Arabia packages: Platinum, Premier, Family and Sports. They began showing from the first of April 2007. They bring all matches of the Barclays Premier League exclusively and in widescreen to the Arabic World. . Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 13, 2009 Author Share Posted April 13, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: Euro + Domestic: 39 bets, +28% yield these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA BOTH 5 38 6 44 bets 60% 47% 67% 50% wins 0% 3% 0% 2% level 40% 50% 33% 48% losses 22.00 164.20 57.50 221.70 staked -2% 11% 63% 25% yield -0.40 18.20 36.50 54.70 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 11/4/09 Villarreal Malaga 10.30 u 1 15 -4.70 12/4/09 Real Madrid Valladolid 11.00 u 2 7 8.00 12/4/09 Sevilla Getafe 10.50 u 2 10 1.00 12/4/09 Aston Villa Everton 11.50 u 1 18 -6.50 12/4/09 La Coruna Ath Madrid 10.80 u 1 9 1.80 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 14, 2009 Author Share Posted April 14, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: Euro + Domestic: 44 bets, +25% yield spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 14/4/09 Bayern Munich Barcelona 10.80 u 1 14/4/09 Chelsea Liverpool 10.80 u 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 15, 2009 Author Share Posted April 15, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 44 bets, +25% yield these bets CL+UEFA DOMESTIC BOTH 2 8 38 46 bets 100% 75% 47% 52% wins 0% 0% 3% 2% level 0% 25% 50% 46% losses 8.40 65.90 164.20 230.10 staked 100% 68% 11% 27% yield 8.40 44.90 18.20 63.10 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 14/4/09 Bayern Munich Barcelona 10.80 u 1 8 2.80 14/4/09 Chelsea Liverpool 10.80 u 2 8 5.60 15/4/09 Arsenal Villarreal 11.00 o 1 :nana Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MetallicIan Posted April 15, 2009 Share Posted April 15, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 46 bets, +27% yield Good going muppet :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 16, 2009 Author Share Posted April 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 46 bets, +27% yield cheers metallic these bets CL+UEFA DOMESTIC BOTH 1 9 38 47 bets 0% 67% 47% 51% wins 0% 0% 3% 2% level 100% 33% 50% 47% losses 3.00 68.90 164.20 233.10 staked -100% 61% 11% 26% yield -3.00 41.90 18.20 60.10 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 15/4/09 Arsenal Villarreal 11.00 o 1 8 -3.00 16/4/09 Man City Hamburg 11.00 u 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted April 16, 2009 Share Posted April 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 47 bets, +26% yield Muppet, are you aware that Bet365 bet unders or overs on all English football league games? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 16, 2009 Author Share Posted April 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 47 bets, +26% yield Yes thanks joe. I have trialled under and over certain goal quotes but found it to be unsuccessful. Bet fair offer this market too. My system works much better as i believe it gives a more accurate estimate of the corner count. I can compete against the spreads with this quite well at the moment. Converting this estimate into unders or overs is possible but involves another step, a step too much, that brings in more inaccuracies. Thanks for your support. Any more feedback, comments or ideas are most welcome. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hooloovoo Posted April 16, 2009 Share Posted April 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 47 bets, +26% yield Doing very well here fella, nice work :ok Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clarky101 Posted April 16, 2009 Share Posted April 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 47 bets, +26% yield date home away corners bet corner corners profit 15/4/09 Arsenal Villarreal 11.00 o 1 8 -3.00 16/4/09 Man City Hamburg 11.00 u 2 M.... There was only 6 corners in the Arsenal match ....as stated by SPIN on my account...:eyes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 16, 2009 Author Share Posted April 16, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 47 bets, +26% yield good shout clarky. stats ammended. :ok these bets CL+UEFA DOMESTIC BOTH 1 9 38 47 bets 0% 67% 47% 51% wins 0% 0% 3% 2% level 100% 33% 50% 47% losses 5.00 70.90 164.20 235.10 staked -100% 56% 11% 25% yield -5.00 39.90 18.20 58.10 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 15/4/09 Arsenal Villarreal 11.00 o 1 6 -5.00 16/4/09 Man City Hamburg 11.00 u 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 17, 2009 Author Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 47 bets, +25% yield these bets CL+UEFA DOMESTIC BOTH 1 10 38 48 bets 0% 60% 47% 50% wins 0% 0% 3% 2% level 100% 40% 50% 48% losses 4.00 74.90 164.20 239.10 staked -100% 48% 11% 23% yield -4.00 35.90 18.20 54.10 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 16/4/09 Man City Hamburg 11.00 u 2 13 -4.00 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 17, 2009 Author Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 48 bets, +23% yield spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 17/4/09 Burton Oxford 11.20 o 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted April 17, 2009 Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 47 bets, +26% yield Yes thanks joe. I have trialled under and over certain goal quotes but found it to be unsuccessful. Bet fair offer this market too. My system works much better as i believe it gives a more accurate estimate of the corner count. I can compete against the spreads with this quite well at the moment. Converting this estimate into unders or overs is possible but involves another step' date=' a step too much, that brings in more inaccuracies. Thanks for your support. Any more feedback, comments or ideas are most welcome.[/quote'] Muppet, not sure if you misunderstood me or not, but I was talking about unders and overs corners markets that Bet365 have, not goal markets. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 17, 2009 Author Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 48 bets, +23% yield begyourpardon joe, i had 'corner' in my head and typed 'goal'. :wall bet 365 offer prices for eg <=10 corners =11 corners 12+ corners i understand, but have tried this and my system handles the spreads better. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smokin Joe Posted April 17, 2009 Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 48 bets, +23% yield OK, fair enough muppet. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 17, 2009 Author Share Posted April 17, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 48 bets, +23% yield saturday, sunday: spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 18/4/09 Motherwell St Mirren 10.10 o 2 18/4/09 Rochdale Darlington 11.75 u 2 18/4/09 Arsenal Chelsea 10.75 o 2 18/4/09 Getafe Barcelona 10.00 u 2 18/4/09 Recreativo Real Madrid 10.60 u 1 19/4/09 Hibernian Rangers 10.50 o 1 19/4/09 Man City West Brom 11.50 u 1 19/4/09 Bordeaux Lyon 9.75 u 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 18, 2009 Author Share Posted April 18, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 48 bets, +23% yield these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA BOTH 1 39 10 49 bets 100% 49% 60% 51% wins 0% 3% 0% 2% level 0% 49% 40% 47% losses 3.80 168.00 74.90 242.90 staked 100% 13% 48% 24% yield 3.80 22.00 35.90 57.90 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 17/4/09 Burton Oxford 11.20 o 1 15 3.80 good result. i am removing the Arsenal Chelsea bet after stupidly forgetting it was being played at Wembley and not the Emirates. d'oh and sorry! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 18, 2009 Author Share Posted April 18, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 49 bets, +24% yield does anyone have any ideas how i could use Chi Squared on this spread bet project? actual vs expected wins and losses? how then do i work out expectation? what about when the corner quote is 11, and there are 11 corners and my profit is 0, resulting in a 'draw'? or actual vs expected profits??? the overround is 5% for the spreads (as mentioned earlier) does that mean i expect them to win 52.5% of the staked money and me 47.5%? any ideas wise people? not as straight forward as fixed odds. :wall Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 19, 2009 Author Share Posted April 19, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 49 bets, +24% yield these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA BOTH 4 43 10 53 bets 50% 49% 60% 51% wins 0% 2% 0% 2% level 50% 49% 40% 47% losses 14.70 182.70 74.90 257.60 staked 61% 17% 48% 26% yield 8.90 30.90 35.90 66.80 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 18/4/09 Motherwell St Mirren 10.10 o 2 12 3.80 18/4/09 Rochdale Darlington 11.75 u 2 12 -0.50 18/4/09 Getafe Barcelona 10.00 u 2 6 8.00 18/4/09 Recreativo RealMadrid 10.60 u 1 13 -2.40 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 20, 2009 Author Share Posted April 20, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 53 bets, +26% yield these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA BOTH 3 46 10 56 bets 0% 46% 60% 48% wins 0% 2% 0% 2% level 100% 52% 40% 50% losses 13.50 196.20 74.90 271.10 staked -100% 9% 48% 20% yield -13.50 17.40 35.90 53.30 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 19/4/09 Hibernian Rangers 10.50 o 1 6 -4.50 19/4/09 Man City West Brom 11.50 u 1 12 -0.50 19/4/09 Bordeaux Lyon 9.75 u 2 14 -8.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 21, 2009 Author Share Posted April 21, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 56 bets, +20% yield spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 21/4/09 Liverpool Arsenal 11.10 u 1 22/4/09 Barcelona Sevilla 11.50 u 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 23, 2009 Author Share Posted April 23, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 56 bets, +20% yield these bets DOMESTIC CL+UEFA BOTH 2 48 10 58 bets 50% 46% 60% 48% wins 0% 2% 0% 2% level 50% 52% 40% 50% losses 2.40 198.60 74.90 273.50 staked 25% 9% 48% 20% yield 0.60 18.00 35.90 53.90 profit spread stake per date home away corners bet corner corners profit 21/4/09 Liverpool Arsenal 11.10 u 1 12 -0.90 22/4/09 Barcelona Sevilla 11.50 u 3 11 1.50 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 24, 2009 Author Share Posted April 24, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 58 bets, +20% yield spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 25/4/09 Hull Liverpool 11.00 u 3 25/4/09 Man United Tottenham 11.00 u 1 25/4/09 Valencia Barcelona 10.50 u 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 25, 2009 Author Share Posted April 25, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 58 bets, +20% yield Sunday's games: spread stake per date home away corners bet corner 26/4/09 Arsenal Middlesbrough 10.40 o 3 26/4/09 Blackburn Wigan 10.75 u 1 26/4/09 Torquay Burton 10.50 o 3 26/4/09 Sevilla Real Madrid 10.50 u 1 26/4/09 Ath Madrid Sp Gijon 11.25 u 3 26/4/09 Lille Marseille 9.90 u 3 26/4/09 Ajax AZ Alkmaar 10.25 o 1 A bet on every live game! I am going live from Saturday after Sporting kindly put £20 in my account as I opened an account last week and had not yet deposited anything in it. I am doing 10p = 1 unit, and will see how far the £20 will go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
a1ehouse Posted April 25, 2009 Share Posted April 25, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 58 bets, +20% yield I am going live from Saturday. Cool good luck mate, I'll be with you on this!!:hope Never spread bet before, so how do I place the bet? Already have a sporting acc. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
muppet77 Posted April 25, 2009 Author Share Posted April 25, 2009 Re: Total Corners Spreads: 58 bets, +20% yield Pretend the spread quote is 10 to 10.5. If you think that there will be less than ten corners then you click "sell". If you think more than 10.5 ie 11 then click "buy". Also enter your stake. This is profit or loss per corner that you are correct or incorrect. There are some really good egs on the home page. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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