Holy Grail Total Corners

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 84 bets, +27% yield

			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner
7/5/09	Hearts	Hibernian	10.50	o	3
7/5/09	Rochdale	Gillingham	11.75	u	2

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 84 bets, +27% yield

			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner
8/5/09	Preston	SheffUtd	11.00	o	2

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 84 bets, +27% yield

these bets	DOMESTIC	CL+UEFA	BOTH
2	73	13	86	bets
50%	49%	54%	50%	wins
0%	3%	0%	2%	level
50%	48%	46%	48%	losses
2.00	357.45	85.50	442.95	staked
50%	22%	45%	27%	yield
1.00	79.35	38.80	118.15	profit
			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner	corners	profit
7/5/09	Hearts	Hibernian	10.50	o	3	11	1.50
7/5/09	Rochdale	Gillingham	11.75	u	2	12	-0.50

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 86 bets, +27% yield

			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner
9/5/09	WestHam	Liverpool	11.30	u	2
9/5/09	Sevilla	Mallorca	10.25	u	2
9/5/09	Bolton	Sunderland	11.50	u	1
9/5/09	Valencia	RealMadrid	10.50	u	1

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 86 bets, +27% yield

these bets	DOMESTIC	CL+UEFA	BOTH
5	78	13	91	bets
40%	49%	54%	49%	wins
0%	3%	0%	2%	level
60%	49%	46%	48%	losses
24.10	381.55	85.50	467.05	staked
42%	23%	45%	27%	yield
10.10	89.45	38.80	128.25	profit
			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner	corners	profit
8/5/09	Preston	SheffUnited	11.00	o	2	10	-2.00
9/5/09	West Ham	Liverpool	11.30	u	2	6	10.60
9/5/09	Sevilla	Mallorca	10.25	u	2	7	6.50
9/5/09	Bolton	Sunderland	11.50	u	1	13	-1.50
9/5/09	Valencia	RealMadrid	10.50	u	1	14	-3.50

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 86 bets, +27% yield

			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner
10/5/09	Man Unit	Man City	10.80	u	1
10/5/09	Gillingham	Rochdale	11.25	u	3
10/5/09	Bury	Shrewsbury	10.70	u	3
10/5/09	Barcelona	Villarreal	11.00	u	2
10/5/09	AthMadrid	Espanol	10.75	u	2

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 91 bets, +27% yield

these bets	DOMESTIC	CL+UEFA	ALL
5	83	13	96	bets
60.0%	49.4%	53.8%	50.0%	wins
0.0%	2.4%	0.0%	2.1%	level
40.0%	48.2%	46.2%	47.9%	losses
47.35	428.90	85.50	514.40	staked
53%	27%	45%	30%	yield
25.15	114.60	38.80	153.40	profit
			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner	corners	profit
10/5/09	Man United	Man City	10.80	u	1	15	-4.20
10/5/09	Gillingham	Rochdale	11.25	u	3	7	12.75
10/5/09	Bury	Shrewsbury	10.70	u	3	13	-6.90
10/5/09	Barcelona	Villarreal	11.00	u	2	4	14.00
10/5/09	Ath Madrid	Espanol	10.75	u	2	6	9.50

BOOM! :notworthy

[a1ehouse]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 96 bets, +30% yield :clap Like it mate :ok

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 96 bets, +30% yield Cheers bud. I am so pleased with the system. I am only a few bets off the hundred bet mark before i start going real time. I imagine this will be reached by the end of this week. I really think i have one up on the spreadsetters here. Wallup!:spank

[MetallicIan]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 96 bets, +30% yield Looks like you're onto something good here mate. :ok I finally got a thread in profit too! so things looking bright :D We bloomin' well should be by now anyway, the amount of hours we've put into these things over the years :lol

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 96 bets, +30% yield cheers ian - how sweet would it be to have a 30% yield after 100 bets?! well done on your profit too, bud. :ok

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 96 bets, +30% yield

			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner
12/5/09	Celtic	Dund Unit	10.75	o	1
12/5/09	Reading	Burnley	12.00	u	2
13/5/09	Wigan	ManUnited	11.30	u	2

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 96 bets, +30% yield

these bets	DOMESTIC	CL+UEFA	ALL
2	85	13	98	bets
50.0%	49.4%	53.8%	50.0%	wins
0.0%	2.4%	0.0%	2.0%	level
50.0%	48.2%	46.2%	48.0%	losses
6.75	435.65	85.50	521.15	staked
19%	27%	45%	30%	yield
1.25	115.85	38.80	154.65	profit
			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner	corners	profit
12/5/09	Celtic	Dund Unit	10.75	o	1	8	-2.75
12/5/09	Reading	Burnley	12.00	u	2	10	4.00

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 98 bets, +30% yield

these bets	DOMESTIC	CL+UEFA	ALL
1	86	13	99	bets
100.0%	50.0%	53.8%	50.5%	wins
0.0%	2.3%	0.0%	2.0%	level
0.0%	47.7%	46.2%	47.5%	losses
4.60	440.25	85.50	525.75	staked
100%	27%	45%	30%	yield
4.60	120.45	38.80	159.25	profit
			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner	corners	profit
13/5/09	Wigan	Man Unit	11.30	u	2	9	4.60

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 98 bets, +30% yield why this system is one in ten million! http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f23/spread-betting-chi-squared-83763/[url=http://www.punterslounge.com/forum/f23/spread-betting-chi-squared-83763/]

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 99 bets, +30% yield

			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner
16/5/09	Villarreal	RealMadrid	11.00	u	3
16/5/09	Osasuna	Sevilla	10.50	u	2
16/5/09	ManUnited	Arsenal	11.00	u	1

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 99 bets, +30% yield

			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner
17/5/09	Hibernian	Celtic	10.50	o	1
17/5/09	WestBrom	Liverpool	10.75	u	3
17/5/09	Mallorca	Barcelona	10.00	u	3
17/5/09	AthMadrid	Valencia	10.60	u	2
17/5/09	Marseille	Lyon	10.30	u	2

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 99 bets, +30% yield another market that i think be worth exploring is the total amount of corners for the live games, with SP.Index Saturday's 5 Live Games: Rangers v Aberdeen (12:30) Man Utd v Arsenal (12:45) Newcastle v Fulham (15:00) Osasuna v Sevilla (19:00) Villarreal v Real Madrid (21:00) the spread is 54-55.5 That's a spread of 1.5 corners - which i am pretty sure is a lower over round than the spread of half a corner on just one game. i make these 5 games to have 51.9 corners on average so i will sell at 54 just purely out of interest. shame i spotted this market so late in the season. X-corners is one team's corner count multiplied by the other team's. the spread on this is an interval of 3 corners and is too big a margin to play against.

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 99 bets, +30% yield

these bets	DOMESTIC	CL+UEFA	ALL
1	87	13	100	bets
100.0%	50.6%	53.8%	51.0%	wins
0.0%	2.3%	0.0%	2.0%	level
0.0%	47.1%	46.2%	47.0%	losses
3.00	443.25	85.50	528.75	staked
100%	28%	45%	31%	yield
3.00	123.45	38.80	162.25	profit
			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner	corners	profit
16/5/09	Man United	Arsenal	11.00	u	1	8	3.00

just so i could update with 100 bets on the card!!!! TON UP AND 31% YIELD!!! :nana:clap:rollin:spank:gimme:drums:beer:cheers:moon:lol:);):loon:ok:clap:cow:tongue2:D:notworthy

[a1ehouse]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 100 bets, +31% yield !!! :bignana

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 100 bets, +31% yield !!! cheers mate, the bookies have taken a lashing. Long live the lashing. :spank

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 100 bets, +31% yield !!!

these bets	DOMESTIC	CL+UEFA	ALL
2	89	13	102	bets
50.0%	50.6%	53.8%	51.0%	wins
0.0%	2.2%	0.0%	2.0%	level
50.0%	47.2%	46.2%	47.1%	losses
10.00	453.25	85.50	538.75	staked
80%	29%	45%	32%	yield
8.00	131.45	38.80	170.25	profit
			spread		stake per
date	home	away	corners	bet	corner	corners	profit
16/5/09	Osasuna	Sevilla	10.50	u	2	11	-1.00
16/5/09	Villarreal	RealMadrid	11.00	u	3	8	9.00

BOOM!

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 100 bets, +31% yield !!! Saturday's 5 Live Games: Rangers v Aberdeen (12:30) 10 Man Utd v Arsenal (12:45) 8 Newcastle v Fulham (15:00) 8 Osasuna v Sevilla (19:00) 11 Villarreal v Real Madrid (21:00) 8 the spread is 54-55.5 total = 45 so that's 9 unit profit. BOOM! However, I have thought more about this and despite the overround being slightly smaller I still don't think that i will pursue this. Basically the bookie is choosing the games I must bet on ('every live tv game') whereas my system works because I am able to stake varying amounts on each bet - they are not lumped together in a mass of games. Initial backtesting shows a profit, but nothing as special as the individual game profit. Out of interest this is the breakdown of stats for each stake:

		1 unit	2units	3 units	ALL	level
bets	46	33	23	102
wins	20	16	16	52
strike	43.5%	48.5%	69.6%	51.0%	51.0%
profit	10.45	42.80	117.00	70.85
staked	138.95	197.60	202.20	305.15
yield	8%	22%	58%	32%	23%

• The yield increases as the stake increases (ie as the difference between my estimate and the bookie's estimate increases)
• Level staking on the same games only produces a 23% yield compared to 32% with 1,2,3 staking.

:ok

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 102 bets, +32% yield !!! i'm wondering whether to focus on just the 2+3 unit bets - negligible drop in profit, but yield rockets to 40%. Still averages 5 bets a week instead of 9. just 3 unit bets offers only 2 a week.

	1 unit	1+2 units	2 units	2+3 units	3 units	ALL	level
bets	46	79	33	56	23	102	102
bet/week	4	7	3	5	2	9	9
wins	20	36	16	32	16	52	52
strike	43.5%	45.6%	48.5%	57.1%	69.6%	51.0%	51.0%
profit	10.45	53.25	42.80	159.80	117.00	170.25	70.85
staked	138.95	336.55	197.60	399.80	202.20	538.75	305.15
yield	8%	16%	22%	40%	58%	32%	23%

[a1ehouse]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 102 bets, +32% yield !!! For me, it's about striking that balance between time, effort and profitability. 46/102 bets is nearly twice the effort to gain 10/170 points! I'd be inclined to focus on the 2+3's but also look into alternative ways how 1 units could be used, profit is profit at the end of the day!

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 102 bets, +32% yield !!! True true. I still have to input all tv games into a sheet and crunch the numbers before i can tell the level of stake. I will give it some thought. Thanks for your input.

[mr shrewdie]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 102 bets, +32% yield !!! Great work muppet, keep it up. :ok

[ls1]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 102 bets, +32% yield !!! Great work, well done a excellent thread. Will you continue with the summer leagues or wait until next August ?

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 102 bets, +32% yield !!! Richard i may cover the summer leagues if i can get some corner data. Think the aus league runs but i dont have any data. What other leagues were you thinking of? Not sure if sporting offer spreads on corners over the summer as they are usually only live tv games for corners.

[muppet77]

Re: Total Corners Spreads: 102 bets, +32% yield !!! suppose it is the scandinavian and icelandic leagues - not sure if SP.Index will cover and I cannot seem to find any data anyhow. There is still one week to go though!