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JTW1's Specialisation - Trends


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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends Cheers weekendgambler , hopefully found a winner for Thursday :hope 4.55 GOODWOOD 7F FILLIES MAIDEN 8 out of 9 were 1st or 2nd FAV [ 4 each ] 7 out of 9 had a previous run , 4 this season. None of the 7 had ran more than twice. 5 of those 7 had finished 2nd or 3rd LTO. Not a great deal to go on ,but with the selection and clear FAV , TRULY ENCHANTING finishing 2nd on it's previous 2 outings and the probable 2nd Fav , CASSIARA , already having ran 5 times , i think we'll give it a go.

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends 2.20 NEWMARKET LISTED STAKES 1M2F 9 out of 9 won by a horse in the top 3 in the betting. 9 out of 9 had ran at least once that season. 8 ran no more than 3 times that season. 9 out of 9 ran between 14 - 33 days LTO. 7 out of 9 placed 1st-3rd LTO . 7 out of 9 ran over at least 10f LTO. 7 out of 9 had ran at least once at NEWMARKET. The forecasted 2nd FAV [ MYTHICAL KID ] only ran 5th LTO and has not ran at NMKT. 3rd FAV [ LUCARNO ] ran over only 8f LTO and ,again, has not ran at NWKT. HEARTHSTEAD MAISON , probable FAV, ran 3 times , 2nd LTO over 11f 14 days ago, has ran at NEWMARKET , so earns the selection. 2.50 NEWMARKET LISTED STAKES 7F 9 out of 10 winners were in the top 3 in the betting [5 clear + 1 jt fav] 9 out of 10 was won by a colt/gelding. 8 out of 10 were placed 1st-3rd LTO. 8 out of 10 had ran at least 3 times in it's career. 8 out of 10 ran over at least 7f LTO. 8 out of 10 had ran in GROUP/LISTED class in at least one of it's last 3 outings. MR NAPPER TANDY looks like starting clear FAV , is a colt, placed 2nd LTO over 7f , group 3 company , ran 5 times in total . PRINCE FOREVER , only ran twice , unp LTO. ST PHILLIP , unp LTO. TARIQ , unp LTO.

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends HEARTHSTEAD MAISON 3rd @ 13/8f :eyes MR NAPPER TANDY 2nd @10/11f :eyes FONTWELL 2.35 2M2F NOV HURDLE. 9 out of 10 winners were either FAV or 2nd FAV. 10 out of 10 carried 10:12 or above. 7 out of 10 had ran within 30 days. 9 out of 10 had won on the Flat or NH. GL MOORE has had 3 winners , a 2nd and 1 unp from 5 runners. Despite MON MICHEL , the fav , coming from GL MOORE'S stable he has not ran for 57 days so we'll take a chance on N HENDERSON'S 2nd FAV ,LESTER LEAPS IN. Carries 11:5 , 2nd LTO 16 days ago and has won 2 races [ 1flat, 1 nh]

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends LESTER LEAPS IN 3rd :eyes A weekend to forget :wall Couple of short prices for MONDAY 2.20 CHEPSTOW 1M MAIDEN 3Y-O+ 9 out of 10 won by a 3y-old. 8 of those 9 was a colt/gelding. 7 out of 10 was either 1st or 2nd FAV. 9 out of 10 was in single figures in the betting. 8 out of 10 drawn 1-4. 9 out of 10 had ran this season. 9 out of 10 has been placed 2nd-5th LTO. 8 out of 10 ran between 10-32 days LTO. 8 out of 10 ran over 1m LTO. With 2nd FAV , GOLDEN PLATITUDE being a 4y-old the selection falls upon the FAV , ATRASS , a 3y-old colt, drawn 3 , finished 4th LTO over 1m. 4.25 REDCAR 6F MEDIAN AUCTION STAKES 10 out of 10 were in the top 3 in the betting [ 5 FAVS] 8 out of 10 was a colt/gelding 7 out of 10 drawn 1-4 10 out of 10 had ran at least once this season but no more than 3 times. 9 out of 10 ran no more than 28 days previously 7 out of 10 were placed 2nd-4th in at least one of that seasons outings. BID FOR GOLD looks to have a FAVS chance .

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends As MR SREWDIE says a nice wee bank holiday double to rescue an otherwise disappointing week-end. ATRASS 1ST @ EVS FAV :loon BID FOR GOLD 1ST @ 4/6 FAV :loon BETS- 78 WINS - 36 PLACED - 16 PROFIT - 230.66 PTS YIELD - 29.57% Will hopefully be back with a selection or 2 for Tuesday

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends 8.50 BEVERLEY 7F MAIDEN FILLIES STAKES 6 out of 6 were in the top 3 in the betting. 5 out of 6 were trained by a southern trained , other was M JOHNSTON 6 out of 6 had ran at least one race , finishing no worse than 8th. 5 out of 6 had ran that season , all between 5-35 days previously. 4 out of 6 had ran over 1m LTO. B HILLS - 2wins + a third from 3 runners. Now usually a GODOLPHIN first-timer with DETTORI on-board in the last race at a BEVERLEY evening meeting would be hard to oppose but i think we can with GOODBYE , the probable 2ND FAV, ran twice inc once this season when finishing 4th 11 days ago in a 1M Maiden .[3rd won since] Also in his favour , hopefully, is the draw , 12 out of 12 and although his trainer , SWINBANK, is Northern based , his stable is in form with 6 wins +8 placed in the last 2 weeks. B HILLS representative , DRAGON FLOWER , has not ran this season and it's last outing was over 7f when finishing 10th.

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends Indeed MOWGLI :ok GOODBYE 3RD :eyes BETS- 79 WINS - 36 PLACED - 17 PROFIT - 220.66PTS YIELD - 27.93% FRIDAY EPSOM 1.40 CORONATION STAKES 1M4F 10 out of 10 winners were in single figure odds [ 3 FAVS] 10 out of 10 were colts. 9 out of 10 were aged 4 or 5 y-old. 9 out of 10 had ran either once since the start of the Flat [uk] or ran LTO at NAD AL SHEBA'S World Cup metting in late March. 9 out of 10 were placed 1st-3rd LTO. 7 out of 10 had won at Group 1 Level at least once in their career. 4 winners had ran in the JOCKEY CLUB Stakes at N'MKT 3 winners had ran LTO at Nad al sheba. If we assume the winner is going to be returned at single figures then we only have 4 to consider and from those i think we can safely discount MARAAHEL who has already ran twice this season and is a 6y-old. SEPTIMUS is the next to go as he has only won at Grp 2 level. That leaves the FAV , SIXTIES ICON , won the JOCKEY CLUB lto , has won at Grp 1 level , is a 4y-old colt and is hard to fault. SIR PERCY , last years Derby winner , so no problems with the track or for that matter the Soft going , ran at NAD lto , finished only 4th but only 1+1/4l behind the winner. Has 2 Grp 1 wins to his credit and had SIXTIES ICON 5+1/2l behind him in the Derby. I really think if SIR PERCY [ 11/4] is anywhere near his best he has the beating of SIXTIES ICON [6/4f] once more and hopefully we can take advantage of those odds.

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends ' I really think if SIR PERCY [ 11/4] is anywhere near his best he has the beating of SIXTIES ICON [6/4f] ' Small comfort that that part of the summary was correct. Pity the other 5 runners finished in front of SIR PERCY :wall:wall:wall

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends 4.30 LEICS 1M4F 3Y-0 MAIDEN 9 out of 10 were in the top 3 in the betting [ 6 favs] 7 out of 10 were colts 9 out of 10 had previous racecourse experience 8 of those 9 had ran that season , finished 2nd-5th LTO and had ran over at least 10f LTO. 7 of those 8 who had ran that season had ran between 9-20 days. M STOUTE - 3 wins M JARVIS - 2 wins Of the top 3 in the betting ,the probable 2nd FAV , DAWN SKY can be discounted as he has not ran this season and his run last season was only over 8f. Which leaves ANCIENT CULTURE and WING EXPRESS . The latter has not ran for 37 days so that leaves the STOUTE trained FAV ANCIENT CULTURE , a colt , ran twice this season , 4th LTO over 10f , 17 days ago.

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends WEDS - 4.10 NOTT 1M COND STAKES 3Y-OLD+ 9 out of 9 winners were in the top 3 in the betting. 6 4y-olds , 2 x 3y-olds and a 5y-old have won from 9 However there has only been 1 x 3y-old ran since 2001 - 2nd. 8 out of 9 had been placed 1st or 2nd in at least one of their last 3 outings. 6 out of 9 had ran that season , all between 12 - 29 days previously. GODOLPHIN = 2 wins + 2 x 2nds from the last 4 runnings. Joint FAVS ,according to the RP , in this race - GODOLPHIN'S HINTERLAND must have a shout judging by the stable's record in this event but he is also a 5y-old and failed to reach the frame in any of it's last 3 outings. A more tempting bet could be SHUMOOKH , a 4y-old , having it's seasonal debut ,same as HINTERLAND [ 3 winners won on debut] , finished 125 on it's last 3 outings . :hope:hope:hope:hope

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends SHUMOOKH 2ND :eyes , Hinterland 3rd Thanks for the support GREGPROWT :clap , Much needed at this present time i can tell you. Back later if theres anything for THURSDAY

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends HAYDOCK 3.10 3Y-O+ LISTED STAKES 6F FILLIES+MARES 7 out of 8 winners were returned at single figure odds. AGE - 3x3y-olds , 3x4y-olds, 2x5y-olds. 7 out of 8 were Southern/Irish trained. 7 out of 8 had ran that season. 7 out of those 7 had ran between 6-34 days previously. 8 out of 8 placed 1st-4th in either of last 2 outings. 6 out of 8 had won or been plced 2nd in at least LISTED Class. From the 4 down to start below 10/1 i think we can discount RIPPLES MAID who has already ran 5 times this season . The probable FAV , PARADISE ISLE , is now a 6y-old [ won this last year and no horse has done the double in the previous 8 runnings] RIOTOUS APPLAUSE has had 1 run this season but only finished 9th and has not won/placed at LISTED level [ best win = class 5 ] That leaves PERFECT STORY , a Southern trained 5y-old, ran 3 times this season , finished 222 , last time was 28 days ago and has been placed 2nd in LISTED company . Lets hope we can change the bad run :hope

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Re: JTW1's Specialisation - Trends PERFECT STORY UNP :eyes 83 bets 36 wins 18 placed PROFIT = 180.06pts to a 10pt level stake YIELD - 21.66% System seems to be a bit shaky lately , but i've every faith we'll hit a vein of form shortly. Not tomorrow though as nothing fits the bill. Well done to MOWGLI, RUSS P + INSIDE INFO tips , really on fire just know and i'd point anyone who hasn't followed them to start RIGHT NOW !!!!

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