harry_rag Posted February 13 Share Posted February 13 Here's this weekend's Premier League fixtures. Liverpool will be hoping to open up a 5 point gap in the lunchtime game with Man City playing an erratic Chelsea at tea time. Luton are finding their scoring boots and it's worth backing both Morris and Adebayo at a decent price at the moment. Let us know your thoughts here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
StevieDay1983 Posted February 15 Share Posted February 15 It's a shame Luton aren't playing Manchester United a couple of months ago because they'd have been a great underdog pick back then. Unfortunately, the Red Devils seem to be getting their act together again now. I'm wondering if Sheffield United to beat Brighton at 4/1 is worth a punt. They are showing glimpses of fight under Chris Wilder and the Seagulls have shown they have the odd slip-up in their locker. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 15 Author Share Posted February 15 4 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said: It's a shame Luton aren't playing Manchester United a couple of months ago because they'd have been a great underdog pick back then. Though Luton have only really got their act together quite recently. Morris 10/3 looks decent, Adebayo 11/4 a bit stingy but should get better on the exchange. Dutching either to score at better than evens should be a solid bet. StevieDay1983 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
malabgd Posted February 16 Share Posted February 16 Brentford FC vs Liverpool 2024-02-17T13:30+01:00 Brentford FC Doubtful: Yoane Wissa (19/4 m), Frank Onyeka (16/0 m) Out (injuries/other): Rico Henry (5/0 d), Bryan Mbeumo (15/7 m, top scorer), Aaron Hickey (9/0 d), Kevin Schade (5/1 m), Joshua Dasilva (3/0 m) Suspended: - Liverpool Doubtful: Dominik Szoboszlai (21/3 m) Out (injuries/other): Stefan Bajcetic (0/0 m), Joel Matip (10/0 d), Thiago Alcantara (1/0 m), Trent Alexander-Arnold (21/2 d) Suspended: - Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com Interesting facts based only on statistics Brentford FC scored at least one goal in 92% of home games. Liverpool scored at least one goal in 100% of away games. 79% chance that both Brentford FC and Liverpool will score in this game. 46% chance that both Brentford FC and Liverpool will score in first-half. 63% chance that both team will score and goal count will be over 2.5 goals. 96% chance that there will be more than 1 goal in this game. 71% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game. 50% chance that there will be more than 3 goals in this game. 79% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MMFloors Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 Home Away Model Home Hcp. Book H. Hcp. H. Hcp. (D)Adv. Brentford Liverpool 0,48 0,75 0,27 Burnley Arsenal 2,38 1,50 -0,88 Fulham Aston Villa 0,83 0,25 -0,58 Newcastle Utd Bournemouth -0,25 -0,50 -0,25 Nott'ham Forest West Ham -1,20 -0,25 0,95 Tottenham Wolves -1,63 -1,00 0,63 Manchester City Chelsea -1,62 -1,50 0,12 Sheffield Utd Brighton 0,54 1,00 0,46 Luton Town Manchester Utd -1,59 0,75 2,34 Everton Crystal Palace -0,14 -0,75 -0,61 ThunderDan9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MMFloors Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 (edited) @StevieDay1983 According to my model Luton is still a good one and Sheffield also. I'll keep my eyes on both. Edited February 17 by MMFloors harry_rag, ThunderDan9 and G1dders 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 17 Author Share Posted February 17 Schar on pens for Newcastle possibly? 17/2 goes from not a bad price anyway to a good one if so. I'd waste a quid on the 150/1 for a brace if it was available to me! System obliges me to play Gordon at 9/4 but I do so without much enthusiasm based on past experience. ThunderDan9 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MMFloors Posted February 17 Share Posted February 17 (edited) 12 hours ago, MMFloors said: @StevieDay1983 According to my model Luton is still a good one and Sheffield also. I'll keep my eyes on both. Discarded Luton. Too many key (as in; players who contribute a lot to the underlying stats of the model) injuries. Sheffield pending, waiting if Hamer is fit to play. Edited February 17 by MMFloors Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 Woodrow to score for Luton at 5.2. Just seen that Adebayo was a late withdrawal, that price looks too big for him replacement. Worth taking 5 or more if you can get on in play. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 18 Author Share Posted February 18 On 2/15/2024 at 8:12 PM, harry_rag said: Morris 10/3 looks decent, Adebayo 11/4 a bit stingy but should get better on the exchange. Dutching either to score at better than evens should be a solid bet. Was only 3/1 today so tried to get better in play and not matched in time. Right logic but looks like I may have backed the wrong (reserve) horse! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MMFloors Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 Sheffield started promising but after red card it collapsed. Yoo bad. Up to next week Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted February 19 Author Share Posted February 19 Calvert-Lewin (yet again) a reluctant system bet at 2/1. Maybe he can do a Gordon and actually score when I back him for once. With such a weak favourite in the market there could be scope elsewhere and Doucoure is rated the next most likely Everton scorer. On this occasion he seems most underrated by the spread firms so I've had a rare buy of his goal minutes at 11. yossa6133 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 (edited) Everton have had a fairly tricky run of games lately, even Luton were on fire when they visited Goodison. This looks much easier and Dyche will have been targeting this game big time for 3 much needed points. They've also not played since the 10th, so plenty of time to prepare. Palace will also have to adjust to a new way of playing with Hodgson stepping aside. Only a new manager bounce can save Palace and I've taken some 4/5 on Everton. Edited February 19 by yossa6133 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted February 19 Share Posted February 19 I cashed out at half time for a 35% loss, that was one of the most dire 1st half performances I have ever seen. Started pretty poorly and got worse and worse. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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