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Betfair Hurdle (Premier Handicap) -15:15 Newbury -Saturday 10 February 2024 - Trends


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Age – 10 of the last 12 winners were aged 5 or 6
Price – 5 of the last 12 winners were favourites/joint favourites, 6/12 winners were in the top 3 in the betting
Last Run – 3 of the last 12 winners won on their last run before the Betfair Hurdle , 10/12 winners ran within the last 65 days
Previous Course Form – 6/12 winners had at least 1 previous run at Newbury, 1/12 winners had at least 1 previous win at Newbury
Previous Distance Form – 11/12 winners had at least 4 previous runs over 15-17 furlongs, 10/12 had at least 2 previous wins over 15-17 furlongs
Previous Hurdle Form – 12/12 winners had at least 3 runs over hurdles, 8/12 winners had at least 2 wins over hurdles
Rating – 10/12 winners were rated 134 or higher
Graded Wins – 3/12 winners had at least 1 previous win in a grade 1-3 race
Season Form – 11/12 winners had at least 2 runs that season, 8/12 winners had at least 1 win that season

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5 hours ago, White Feather said:

TELLHERTHENAME ticks a lot of boxes and is 14/1 -  An improving novice who is firmly on the upgrade and his yard are in flying form. 

My ratings ...

Tellherthename  9.0 

Brentford hope 8.7 

Aurigny mill.  8.6 

I think that looks a fantastic Ew bet ...let's hope it runs 🙏

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Luccia                                     3 15New/             1/40th of a pt ew         25/1     - N/R

Donnacha                              3 15 New/            1/40th of a pt ew         40/1

Jilaijone                                  3 15 New/            1/40th of a pt ew         75/1   

Edited by black rabbit
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On 2/6/2024 at 1:38 PM, richard-westwood said:

My ratings ...

Tellherthename  9.0 

Brentford hope 8.7 

Aurigny mill.  8.6 

I think that looks a fantastic Ew bet ...let's hope it runs 🙏

Tellher declared non runner even though really well fancied  ...pointless rating half the horses aren't even getting to the start line for one reason or another ....Ew bets Brentford and aurigny mill instead ....

 

Edited by richard-westwood
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21 minutes ago, richard-westwood said:

Tellher declared non runner even though really well fancied  ...pointless rating half the horses aren't even getting to the start line for one reason or another ....Ew bets Brentford and aurigny mill instead ....

Maybe because of the heavy going. Still a healthy 25 runners with some bookies offering 7 places

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My stats based on the last 9 runnings.

1st last time, 0 from 51.

Last ran 17 to 48 days ago, 7 from 85, LSP 188 points. Remainder 2 from 97, LSP -81 points. 

This reduces the field of 25 to 5

LOOKAWAY 11/1

NORMAN FLETCHER 25/1

OUR CHAMP 33/1

YORKSEA 33/1

KAMSINAS 22/1

Forecast odds 16/1 to 33/1, 5 from 180, LSP 172 points.

This removes LOOKAWAY and KAMSINAS.

Age 5 or 6, 7 from 107, LSP 144 points.

This removes KAMSINAS.

Bred in Ireland, 3 from 66, LSP -19 points.

This leaves NORMAN FLETCHER at 25/1 WH 7 places

 

 

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