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Premier League Predictions > November 4th to 6th


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Midweek cup action yet for some teams but here's the weekend's games in the Premier League. Spurs at odds against to beat Chelsea is the first thing to catch my eye, Newcastle v Arsenal possibly trumps it for tie of the round. Man U odds on away to most teams are worth considering taking on. Let us know your take on these games down below.

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Home Away Model Home Hcp. Book H. Hcp. H. Hcp. (D)Adv.
Fulham Manchester Utd -0,32 0,50 0,82
Brentford West Ham -1,02 -0,25 0,77
Burnley Crystal Palace -1,13 0,00 1,13
Everton Brighton 0,10 0,25 0,15
Manchester City Bournemouth -2,15 -2,50 -0,35
Sheffield Utd Wolves -0,28 0,50 0,78
Newcastle Utd Arsenal -0,41 0,00 0,41
Nott'ham Forest Aston Villa 0,45 0,50 0,05
Luton Town Liverpool 0,55 1,75 1,20
Tottenham Chelsea -1,81 -0,25 1,56

 

Lot of potential this round, but with me sticking to home teams with > +0.00AH only Fulham and Sheffield remain for further analysis. Luton Town is a no-go because of unreliable underlying stats Luton and Liverpool.

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Sheffield +0.5AH @1.95 taken. No (or not enough) counter indications.

Burnley +0.0AH @2.09 could have been an option too, but the missing of Cullen (most important player with underlying stats model) makes it a no bet.

Edited by MMFloors
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Fulham vs Manchester United

2023-11-04T13:30+01:00

 

Fulham

Doubtful: Kenny Tete (5/0 d), Tosin Adarabioyo (1/0 d), Adama Traore Diarra (3/0 f)

Out (injuries/other): Issa Diop (8/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Manchester United

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Lisandro Martinez (5/0 d), Luke Shaw (2/0 d), Tyrell Malacia (0/0 d), Amad Diallo (0/0 f), Casemiro (8/1 m)

Suspended: Jadon Sancho (3/0 f, suspended by club)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Overall Stats
Fulham
4 home games
Manchester United
4 away games
1.0 Goals scored per game 1.0
1.5 Goals conceded per game 1.5
25% Clean sheets 25%
50% Team scored 75%
25% Team scored twice 25%
0% Scored in both halves 25%
25% Goal in both halves 50%
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I was surprised to see Salah at evens today so took that but it's been trimmed pretty quickly (obviously the bookies recognise shrewd money when they see it)! :lol

The Salah/Jota/Nunez treble pays 8/1 and, though ambitious, seems worth a small bet. It landed in 2 of Liverpool's last 3 games, though I wouldn't go as far as to suggest that makes it an odds on shot!

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