harry_rag Posted August 15, 2023 Author Share Posted August 15, 2023 6 hours ago, Torque said: Raso is an interesting one as she hasn't had a prolific international career but finds herself on three goals so far at this tournament. All the focus is on Kerr now as she's due to start and so perhaps not surprisingly the expectation is that any goals the Maltildas get will be scored by her but you often see a player that gets on a scoring run keep that run going and so I'm having a small stake on her. Had 78p matched on her at 210. Unfortunately no nibble on Russo at similar speculative odds. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 16, 2023 Author Share Posted August 16, 2023 Some thoughts on today’s game from racing punter @Sporting Sam. There’s usually a thread for most of the footy so stick any bets in there, it’s good to venture outside the cloistered groves of the racing forum once in a while! My obvious question would be why bother backing both sides of the goal in both halves; just do the other 3 elements as a bet builder. Should be available with 365 where you can get a 25% boost on that game. I’ll check a couple of prices for comparison. yossa6133 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 16, 2023 Author Share Posted August 16, 2023 The bet pays just under 4/1 if you dutch the quoted odds, you can get between 9/2 and 5/1 elsewhere (I just checked Sky Bet, Hills and 365). It pays 7.25 with 365 if you get the bonus. To be clear, this a bet builder on: Australia 4 or more (or over 3) corners England 5 or more (or over 4) corners, and 3 or more cards shown (or over 2, or 30+ bookings points) Probably not a bad bet at the boosted price with 365. yossa6133 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted August 16, 2023 Share Posted August 16, 2023 (edited) given up lol Edited August 16, 2023 by yossa6133 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 16, 2023 Author Share Posted August 16, 2023 1 minute ago, yossa6133 said: @harry_rag What cards market are you using on bet365? Over 2.5 cards? Over 2 cards, you need to click betbuilder first then add the components on that page (if you just add the separate cards and corners bets it will only let you do singles). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 16, 2023 Author Share Posted August 16, 2023 This is what your bet should look like; looks like the odds have shortened a bit. yossa6133 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted August 16, 2023 Share Posted August 16, 2023 Cheers Harry. I probably shouldn't have been trying to do this bet, do popmaster and work at the same time 😝 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brahmin Posted August 16, 2023 Share Posted August 16, 2023 (edited) few bets on Aust / Eng today............ both GKs to make a save in each half 11/10 woodwork to be hit in 1st half 2/1 under 2.5 goals 1/2 draw 2/1 0-0 5/1 Edited August 16, 2023 by Brahmin harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted August 16, 2023 Share Posted August 16, 2023 These bets are good for interest, never thought I'd be cheering Austrailia women winning a corner. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 16, 2023 Author Share Posted August 16, 2023 12 minutes ago, yossa6133 said: These bets are good for interest, never thought I'd be cheering Austrailia women winning a corner. I once watched an FA Cup final where I was eagerly totting up the number of times players were seen spitting (not including nasal discharge)! yossa6133 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yossa6133 Posted August 16, 2023 Share Posted August 16, 2023 Just need some cynical fouls now. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 16, 2023 Author Share Posted August 16, 2023 On 8/12/2023 at 6:40 PM, Torque said: I'm going the other way @harry_rag - so at least that guarantees one of us will be happy. I can't see past Spain or England now and from my perspective I hope that's the final. Well done, worked out well for you. Are you roughly level or is one result better for you than the other? I've won on UEFA providing the winning team; a whopping £3 at 2.98! Also had the rest of the quid matched on Raso GB at 210. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 16, 2023 Share Posted August 16, 2023 30 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Well done, worked out well for you. Are you roughly level or is one result better for you than the other? I've won on UEFA providing the winning team; a whopping £3 at 2.98! Also had the rest of the quid matched on Raso GB at 210. I'm scratching on Spain and quids in on England. Top scorer bets aren't looking too hot - reckon it'll be the Japanese player that wins it now. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
888888 Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 in the final England is a small dog at 2.85 , i am quite surprised i would have thought they'd be favorites at around 2.30 max , England will have one day rest less than Spain , I am thinking of sprinkling small amounts on England to win , England to lift the trophy , England to score first goal four-leaf and harry_rag 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 17, 2023 Author Share Posted August 17, 2023 Nothing really exciting me about the final pair of match prices. 3rd placed Sweden favourites over hosts and 10th placed Australia. 6th v 4th in the final with Spain narrowly favoured. I agree you could question England being underdogs but I'm not inclined to get involved at the prices on offer. Will no doubt have some sort of bet nearer the time but, in terms of the results, I think I'll just let my antepost bets on games going to extra time or penalties ride. four-leaf 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 17, 2023 Author Share Posted August 17, 2023 On 8/16/2023 at 3:04 PM, Torque said: Top scorer bets aren't looking too hot - reckon it'll be the Japanese player that wins it now. Possibly value at 1.22 on the exchange (compared to 1/8 with the bookies). By my reckoning there are 4 players who can win it with a brace; Ilestedt, James, Bonmati or Hermoso. Anyone else would need a hat trick or 2 goals and an assist. No appeal for a further bet at the moment. Though... some bookies betting on "top goalscorer" which makes the dead heat a possible factor but still can't see any prices that offer any apparent value! Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Torque Posted August 17, 2023 Share Posted August 17, 2023 24 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Possibly value at 1.22 on the exchange (compared to 1/8 with the bookies). Alternatively, fair odds on the exchange and unfair at the bookies. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 17, 2023 Author Share Posted August 17, 2023 42 minutes ago, Torque said: Alternatively, fair odds on the exchange and unfair at the bookies. Certainly a bad bet at 1/8 with the risk of a dead heat! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 (edited) Spain v England I've taken a dispassionate stance in making a tiny bet builder. each team 10 + booking points each team 3+ Corners to score 1+ England offsides both teams 2+ that is six lines and this time I’ve applied the “kiss” approach. keep it simple ( stupid) ! Edited August 20, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 (edited) I’ve gone in again and simply added 1+ tackle to Lucy Bronze and the over under goals Spain Women v England Women Under/Over 0.5 Goals: Over 0.5 Goals Each Team Total Corners Taken: 3+ corners each team Each Team Total Booking Points: 10+ booking points each team Home Over Corners Taken: 3+ Spain Women corners Away Over Corners Taken: 3+ England Women corners To Score 1+ Goals: England Women Away Player Tackles: Lucy Bronze 1+ Tackles Home Team Offsides: Spain Women 2+ Offsides Away Team Offsides: England Women 2+ Offsides. The deed is done, sitting back and hoping to enjoy the event. It is great to read the tonnes of rhetoric flying around, the event has been hijacked by lots of people all with different agendas. What we have here are two sides who have worked very hard to get here and this is their day which no one can take away from them. Good luck to both teams. Edited August 20, 2023 by Sporting Sam harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 20, 2023 Author Share Posted August 20, 2023 Penalties the best outcome for my antepost bets, always a possibility in a closely matched final. Had a fiver freebie about to expire so put that on Russo to score at 4.3 (noticed Sky Bet have boosted her to 7/2). Taken Stanway at 13/2 with same firm, fairly big price for England’s penalty taker. Sporting Sam 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LEE-GRAYS Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 For what it’s worth hers mine 👍 harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 Argh!! Isn’t that the same referee from the semi? I hope not. Very good ref but not conducive to bookings. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 20, 2023 Author Share Posted August 20, 2023 5 minutes ago, Sporting Sam said: Argh!! Isn’t that the same referee from the semi? I hope not. Very good ref but not conducive to bookings. Yeah, same ref. Stats look fairly average, some high totals here and there but most games 2 or less. At least you’ve not gone too ambitious with the cards element. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sporting Sam Posted August 20, 2023 Share Posted August 20, 2023 (edited) England Women to have 1+ Shot on Target between HT-54:59 @ 17/10 *********************************gilt edged chance for Hemp just before end of the period. Edited August 20, 2023 by Sporting Sam Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 20, 2023 Author Share Posted August 20, 2023 Taken 21/20 for at least one more card. Feels like an odds on shot to me given how the game is poised and how much added time we can expect (double digits surely). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
_Ghost_ Posted August 22, 2023 Share Posted August 22, 2023 Thanks to @harry_rag some great insight posted throughout the tournament - we go again in 4 years! harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted August 22, 2023 Author Share Posted August 22, 2023 2 hours ago, _Ghost_ said: Thanks to @harry_rag some great insight posted throughout the tournament - we go again in 4 years! No doubt I'll be taking a tilt at the Olympics and the next Euros before then! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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