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Champions League Predictions > Apr 11th & 12th


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The first legs of the 2022/23 UEFA Champions League Quarter-Finals are next up in the schedule here and we have four cracking ties heading our way. Three Italian clubs have reached this stage for the first time in donkey's years and we still have the usual big guns of Manchester City, Bayern Munich, and Real Madrid still in the competition. Let us know what bets you're placing on these matches! :ok

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Benfica vs Inter

Benfica will be looking to improve on their last outing here following the 1-2 Primeira Liga loss in their previous game against Porto. Nevertheless, the Eagles are comfortable on the top of the Primeira Liga table, and this match is much more important for them. Benfica has been on a persistent run of goalscoring form, finding the back of the net every time they've gone out to play in their last six games. They've hit an aggregate of 17 during that period while also conceding a total of 4. They have been quite dominant this season, and Benfica eyes the next round in the top European cup. However, Mihailo Ristić (Hamstring Injury), Gonçalo Guedes (Meniscal Injury), and Julian Draxler (Ankle Surgery) won't be available for Benfica coach Roger Schmidt.

Last time out, Inter drew 1-1 in the Serie A tie with Salernitana. It was the Nerazzurri's sixth straight game without winning, and they go to this one in poor form. It has become apparent that Inter has suffered from a shortage of goals in their past six games, netting a disappointing return of just 3. In those fixtures, Nerazzurri have also seen the overall goal tally of opposing teams equal 6. That kind of pattern isn't assured to be sustained into this next game, though. They need to do much better in Lisbon if they want to secure a positive result from the first leg. Inter manager Simone Inzaghi has not got a full squad to pick from. Milan Skriniar (Back trouble), Dalbert (Cruciate Ligament Injury), and Hakan Calhanoglu (groin strain) won't be making appearances.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Despite their defeat against Porto, Benfica has been much more confident recently. We see them as favorites in this encounter and believe the Eagles will win in their backyard.

Goals Market Prediction

Inter hasn't scored more than a goal on the previous six occasions, and they now face quite a tough opponent. Therefore, we think this match could stay under a 2.5 margin. 

Benfica to Win @ 2.15

Under 2.5 FT @ 1.72

Correct score 2:0 @ 10.00

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Manchester City vs Bayern Munich

Manchester City will be looking for a repeat result of the 1-4 Premier League victory versus Southampton. The Citizens have been in excellent form, and they head to this match full of confidence. Manchester City hasn't had any problems with scoring, finding the back of the net every time they've gone out to play in their last six matches. They've hit an aggregate of 24 during that period while seeing the number of goals scored against them stand at 2. Putting that aside, time will tell if the trend will be replicated in this next game. The Manchester City boss Pep Guardiola will be grateful to have no fitness concerns whatsoever before this match with a completely injury-free group available to select from.

Bayern Munich comes into this encounter after a 1-0 Bundesliga win in the defeat of Freiburg in their most recent match. They preserved the top spot in the German top flight, and a huge challenge is ahead of them in this game. In their last six outings, Bayern Munich has bagged a tally of 14 goals. Bayern Munich has also scored on each one of those occasions. In that time, they have had nine goals go into their net. Bayern Munich manager Thomas Tuchel has some current player fitness concerns. Mathys Tel (Torn Muscle Fibre), Paul Wanner (Adductor problems), Arijon Ibrahimovic (Virus Infection), Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting (Knee Problems), Lucas Hernández (Cruciate Ligament Rupture), and Manuel Neuer (Fracture of the lower leg) won't be making appearances.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

This game is quite tough for prediction since it could easily go either way. However, Manchester City has been much more convincing lately, and we think they could go to Munich with an advantage in their bags.

Goals Market Prediction

Both sides have significant attacking potential, and we should see an exciting and high-scoring match. That's why we believe both sides will be able to find the back of the opponent's net. 

Manchester City to Win @ 1.75

BTTS Yes @ 1.65

Correct score 3:1 @ 13.00

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Milan vs Napoli

Milan enters this match coming off the back of a 0-0 Serie A tied result vs Empoli. Although many expected them to pick up where they left off after beating Napoli 4-0, Rossoneri continued spilling points. They slipped to 4th place, having just one point more than their fierce rival, Inter. In their last six fixtures, Stefano Pioli's Milan has hit the target a combined total of 7 times which gives them an average number of goals per match of 1.17. They need to be much more consistent against powerful Napooli to progress to the next stage in this competition. Zlatan Ibrahimović (Muscular problems) and Pierre Kalulu (Calf Injury) won’t be able to feature for Milan coach Stefano Pioli.

Napoli comes into this encounter after a 2-1 Serie A win in the defeat of Lecce in their previous outing. They bounced back after losing to Milan and stayed comfortable on the top of the table. A tendency of at least one team not managing to score in games involving Napoli has been fairly consistent recently. A glance at their last six games reveals that it’s occurred five times. During those clashes, opposing sides have hit a goal total of 6, while Napoli has scored 11. That aside, we will just have to wait and see if such a trend might persist in this game or not. Owing to an otherwise available squad, there is just the sole fitness issue for the Napoli coach Luciano Spalletti to contend with. Victor Osimhen (Tear in the abductor muscle) might miss out for this game.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Although Milan was confident in their previous Serie A clash ten days ago, this one could be a completely different story. Napoli can focus on its continental campaign after almost practically securing the Scudetto, and we don’t think they will lose at Stadio San Siro.

Goals Market Prediction

Their h2h clashes in Milano didn’t produce too many goals in the past period. Given the importance of this encounter, we expect this tradition to continue. Therefore, the crowd shouldn’t see more than two goals in total on Wednesday evening. 

Napoli AH -0.25 @ 2.25

Under 2.5 FT @ 1.75

Correct score 0:2 @ 13.50

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Real Madrid vs Chelsea

Real Madrid won't want a repeat of their last result here after a 2-3 La Liga defeat in their previous game at the hands of Villarreal. Los Blancos are now quite far from top-placed Barcelona, and they could entirely focus on defending their Champions League crown. Real Madrid has been on a persistent run of goalscoring form, netting every time they've gone out to play in their last six matches. They've claimed a sum of 17 during that time while also conceding a total of 6. That kind of trend isn't assured to follow through into this next game, however. There aren't many selection issues, with just a single fitness concern for the Real Madrid manager Carlo Ancelotti to contend with from an almost fully healthy set of players. Ferland Mendy (Muscle Injury) misses out.

Since a loss in their previous game against Wolverhampton Wanderers in Premier League action, Chelsea and their traveling supporters will be hoping that they can get a better result in this one. The Blues are very far from continental spots in the Premier League, and this competition is their last chance to play continental football next season. Throughout their six most recent matches, Frank Lampard's Chelsea has converted seven times, yielding them a goals per game average of 1.17. Chelsea manager Frank Lampard has multiple availability issues to deal with. Mason Mount (bruised pelvis), Thiago Silva (Ligament Injury), Raheem Sterling (Hamstring Injury), and Armando Broja (Cruciate Ligament Rupture) are names that won't be on the team sheet.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Although both teams have been inconsistent recently, Real Madrid is a firm favorite in this clash. We believe the defending champions will meet expectations and win in front of their crowd.

Goals Market Prediction

Their h2h clashes have usually been quite exciting, and the BTTS No bet was successful just twice in their seven encounters. Therefore, we expect another match where neither team will keep a clean sheet.

Real Madrid to Win @ 1.72

BTTS Yes @ 1.85

Correct score 3:1 @ 14.50

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My preview for the Real vs Chelsea match is here https://www.punterslounge.com/football-news/champions-league-news/real-madrid-vs-chelsea-betting-preview-12-04-23/

in short, I am going with Real to win at 8/11 and Benzema to score at 11/10. Benzema has 5 goals against Chelsea and you would have to fancy Real to get many chances in that defense without the likes of Silva, Azpilicueta and potentially Mount also out for any kind of creativity in the middle. I do hear that Kante is back though. Final bet in the game is Benzema 2+ shots on target and 2+ fouls from Havertz at 5/2.

In terms of the other match, I think Napoli will win it and I saw with Skybet they are offering 25/1 for Napoli and Real both to win and BTTS. So i've taken that at small stakes.

5.5pts Real to beat Chelsea 8/11 bet365
2.5pts Benzema to score 11/10 bet365
2pts Benzema 2+ SOT and 2+ fouls Havertz 5/2 paddypower
1pt Real and Napoli both to win and BTTS 25/1 skybet

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33 minutes ago, Fader said:

I am going with Real to win at 8/11 and Benzema to score at 11/10. Benzema has 5 goals against Chelsea and you would have to fancy Real to get many chances in that defense without the likes of Silva, Azpilicueta and potentially Mount also out for any kind of creativity in the middle.

Over in the Bet Builder thread I've gone for Real Madrid to win, >1 goal, Benzema to score and >2 cards shown at 12/5 with 365. You can bet up to £20 on that and get a 25% bonus if it wins. (While I'm allowed less than a fiver and don't get the bonus!) :lol

Over at Hills (where I would at least get an odds boost) I like 3.04 for Madrid win/>1.5 goals/Benzema >1.5 SoT.

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13 minutes ago, harry_rag said:

Over in the Bet Builder thread I've gone for Real Madrid to win, >1 goal, Benzema to score and >2 cards shown at 12/5 with 365. You can bet up to £20 on that and get a 25% bonus if it wins. (While I'm allowed less than a fiver and don't get the bonus!) :lol

Over at Hills (where I would at least get an odds boost) I like 3.04 for Madrid win/>1.5 goals/Benzema >1.5 SoT.

They should get many chances. What a front 3.  Benzema, Vinicius Jnr & Rodrygo. Would anybody be shocked if all 3 scored lol

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