Naps - Tuesday 29th November

[Ferki]

1.00 Southwell 

#6 Ripper Roo EW 22/1 bet365

[Kingdom for]

Southwell 12:25 Fairfield Ferrata 4/1 Win Bet365

[Akacheeco]

1200 Ayr

Gaillimh A Stor @1/3 general

[mickyftm32]

Mrs Paisley 3.25 Punchestown

16/1 BetVictor

[BBBC]

1300 Southwell Rakhine State win 25/1 @ bet365

 

[Steve75]

Punchestown: 2.25 Pat's Choice 4/1 @ Bet365 please

Thanks

[MCLARKE]

Wolverhampton 3.50

Again, not a bet I will be putting money on but as part of my challenge for the most winners table. I would have gone for the shortest priced favourite but I don't want to copy @Alastairand be found guilty of breaching my own rules !

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.50

NEVER DARK 6/1 EW

BET365

 

[Alastair]

3 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

Wolverhampton 3.50

Again, not a bet I will be putting money on but as part of my challenge for the most winners table. I would have gone for the shortest priced favourite but I don't want to copy @Alastairand be found guilty of breaching my own rules !

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.50

NEVER DARK 6/1 EW

BET365

 

You could have gone for the 1/3 shot that has just got beat at Ayr. In fact, why oh why could you not have done so !

[The Equaliser]

32 minutes ago, MCLARKE said:

Wolverhampton 3.50

Again, not a bet I will be putting money on but as part of my challenge for the most winners table. I would have gone for the shortest priced favourite but I don't want to copy @Alastairand be found guilty of breaching my own rules !

WOLVERHAMPTON 3.50

NEVER DARK 6/1 EW

BET365

 

Has anyone ever reached the required £10 profit PURELY by backing odds on favourites in the comp?  I know that many PL members, including Alastair get to the required £10 profit by backing odds against selections and then proceed to back the odds on shots for the rest of the month which is not the same thing.  Good luck with your selection, I think you need a small mix of odds against winners to win the comp

Edited November 29, 2022 by The Equaliser

[daisychain]

Wolverhampton 5.50  Young Fire  16/1  bet365

[Quartu SE]

Captain Ivan

1335 hrs Swell

5/1 general

[Alastair]

10 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

Has anyone ever reached the required £10 profit PURELY by backing odds on favourites in the comp?  I know that many PL members, including Alastair get to the required £10 profit by backing odds against selections and then proceed to back the odds on shots for the rest of the month which is not the same thing.  Good luck with your selection, I think you need a small mix of odds against winners to win the comp

I don't think they will have done. I can't remember the precise number but I think the record number of winners in a month is 22. If the selector was having a selection every day in a 31 day month the 9 losers would have meant the winners would have to average odds of around 10/11, which is not going to happen

[Wanderlust]

On 11/25/2022 at 3:19 PM, Wanderlust said:

 

 

[Wanderlust]

325 Pun

Cher Why Not 7/1 bet365

[Rainbow]

1.50 Lingfield  MISS ELSA

0.5pts EW 18/1 Bet365 BOG

[justanotherpunter]

Ayr            2.40    Spark Of Madness    16/1 win bet365

[Like A Roughie]

2.40 Ayr Ardera Cross 20/1 b365

All the best.

[MCLARKE]

1 hour ago, Alastair said:

You could have gone for the 1/3 shot that has just got beat at Ayr. In fact, why oh why could you not have done so !

The best odds were not available with one of the bookmakers allowed so I could not bring myself to back a horse that logically to me was not value.

I have picked a horse in a 8 runner race with odds closest to 11/2. In hindsight I shouldn't really have picked an each way shot, probably have been better going with another short priced favourite.

I'm probably over thinking this but I'm desperate to win a prize, it's a bit embarassing that I still haven't won one.

[MCLARKE]

55 minutes ago, The Equaliser said:

Has anyone ever reached the required £10 profit PURELY by backing odds on favourites in the comp?  I know that many PL members, including Alastair get to the required £10 profit by backing odds against selections and then proceed to back the odds on shots for the rest of the month which is not the same thing.  Good luck with your selection, I think you need a small mix of odds against winners to win the comp

It's possible but unlikely. You probably need 1 good winner and then plenty of odds on shots.

[bymatrix]

3.25 Punchestown  Siberian Star  ( win only )  33/1 Bet 365

[Zidane123]

4:50 Wolverhampton

Moonfleet Moment -51- Bet365

[The Equaliser]

3 hours ago, MCLARKE said:

The best odds were not available with one of the bookmakers allowed so I could not bring myself to back a horse that logically to me was not value.

I have picked a horse in a 8 runner race with odds closest to 11/2. In hindsight I shouldn't really have picked an each way shot, probably have been better going with another short priced favourite.

I'm probably over thinking this but I'm desperate to win a prize, it's a bit embarassing that I still haven't won one.

Haha, you picked the right one anyway.  If you had picked the short priced favourite you would have lost

[kenisbusy]

Wolverhampton 18:50 Deconso 126 bv

[vangovin]

1820 Wolves INEXPLICABLE

William Hill 7/2

 

[MCLARKE]

5 hours ago, The Equaliser said:

Haha, you picked the right one anyway.  If you had picked the short priced favourite you would have lost

Yep, just shows that 95% of this game is down to luck !