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Premier League Predictions > Oct 8th - 10th


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Bournemouth vs Leicester

The Premier League doesn't kick off until 3pm BST this week with four matches coming our way in that prime time slot. First up, is Bournemouth versus Leicester at the Vitality Stadium. The home side are satisfied with their progress so far but will be wary that the relegation zone is still lurking over their shoulder. The away team know they must do better and build on their latest performance to move up and out of the bottom three.

Bournemouth continued their unbeaten run under interim gaffer Gary O'Neil with their 0-0 draw at home to Brentford last week. That draw made it 4 league games unbeaten leaving the team in 13th position and 3 points above the relegation zone. The fact that the team has drawn 3 of those matches suggests that maybe O'Neil is adopting a more cautious approach than his predecessor. It's interesting to read that the Cherries have conceded 16 goals in their three league defeats this season but have only conceded 3 goals in their other 5 league games. The team have become notoriously slow starters in their league games this season with their only first half goal of the season coming in their opening day win over Aston Villa.

Leicester were looking like a team deep in trouble at the bottom of the table and without a league win to their name but the 4-0 battering at home of rivals and fellow strugglers Nottingham Forest has completely changed the morale around the club. Brendan Rodgers will be pleased that his team are now off the foot of the league table and have notched up their first league victory of the campaign. Unfortunately, they have still got their away day woes to address with the team losing all 4 away league matches so far whilst conceding 17 goals in the process. It's just 1 clean sheet from their last 30 top flight away games. James Maddison is the in-form man of the moment for Leicester right now having scored 9 goals in his last 11 appearances for the club.

The first statistic of this fixture that stands out to me is the fact that the away team has failed to win any of the last 10 Premier League encounters between these two teams. It was back in 2014 that Leicester last picked up a win at Bournemouth but that was when both teams were playing in the Championship and Kevin Phillips was scoring the match winner. I feel maybe Leicester have turned a corner but it's one thing winning at home against a poor and demoralised visiting opponent and another getting a victory away against a home team that have become very robust and resilient. I'm slightly favouring the draw here.

Draw @ 3.70 with SpreadEx

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 2.00 with VBet

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Chelsea vs Wolves

The second Premier League 3pm BST kick-off on Saturday afternoon that I'm looking at will see a new era Chelsea hosting a managerless Wolves at Stamford Bridge. Both of these teams will undoubtedly be wanting to move higher on up the table but with periods of transition in place at both teams it might be easier said than done. Can either team take all 3 points in this clash?

Chelsea appeared to take a calculated risk with the appointment of Graham Potter so soon after sacking Thomas Tuchel but it looks like a decision that has been a decent one so far. The Blues have gone unbeaten in their 3 games across all competitions under the former Brighton manager thus far including winning his one and only Premier League game in charge with the 2-1 win away to Crystal Palace. The team could win three home league games in a row for the first time since the 2019/20 season and with them currently situated in 5th place a victory here would be extremely welcomed in their quest for a top four finish. You have to go all the way back to Gianluca Vialli in 1998 to find the last Chelsea manager to lose his first home league game in charge of the club. Raheem Sterling is the man to watch right now for Chelsea in the league with the England attacker scoring 4 goals in his last 5 league games this season.

Wolves are currently in a state of limbo after taking the decision to sack Bruno Lage with the team down in 18th position. A number of managers have been linked with the vacancy including Julen Lopetegui, Ole Gunnar Solskjaer, and Nuno Espirito Santo. Interim head coach Steve Davis remains in charge for this game but it does feel like the club is a little rudderless at the minute. Wanderers have only picked up 1 win in their last 15 league games. The team have also failed to score more than 1 goal in their previous 11 league games. The 3 goals scored from 8 league games is their worst scoring start to a top flight season since 2003/04 and they suffered relegation that year. The signing of Diego Costa might not be the answer to their problems but it'll certainly be interesting to see how he plays against his former employees having scored 20 league goals for Chelsea back in 2016/17.

It's fair to say that Chelsea's recent record against Wolves is impressive with the London side unbeaten in their previous 11 home matches against the Black Country club in all competitions. That said, each of the last three meetings between these two teams have ended in stalemate draws. I feel Chelsea are better set already under Potter and Wolves feel a little bit lost at sea so it could be a tough game for them.

Chelsea HT/FT @ 2.15 with Coral

Anytime Scorer: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang @ 2.32 with Unibet

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Manchester City vs Southampton

The next game I'm previewing from the Premier League is the 3pm BST kick-off on Saturday afternoon between Manchester City and Southampton from the Etihad Stadium. The home team remain unbeaten so far this season in all competitions but they face an opponent in this game who may well be struggling for form and may well be vastly inferior on paper but who also know how to take points off the hosts.

Manchester City head into this game picking up serious momentum in both the Premier League and Champions League. Pep Guardiola's men sit in 2nd place just 1 point behind league leaders Arsenal but they are undefeated in the league with 6 wins and 2 draws from their 8 league games played so far. Striker Erling Haaland continued his stunning strike rate in midweek with 2 goals in a 5-0 win over FC Copenhagen. That brace has now taken his tally across all competitions to 19 goals. In fact, the 14 league goals he has scored this season is 6 goals more than the entire Southampton team have scored. City have become the first club to score at least 3 goals in 8 consecutive home league matches in the top division after their 6-3 win over rivals Manchester United. It's now just 1 loss from their last 36 league games. Can Haaland score a fourth successive home league hat-trick?

Southampton will be looking to take points off City for a third game in a row after both league encounters ended in draws last season. Ralph Hasenhuttl is allegedly on the brink of the sack after losing 14 of their last 20 top flight league games. The Saints are currently down in 16th position and just 1 point above the relegation zone. If results go against them this weekend they could find themselves in the bottom three and without a manager at the helm. The team is currently experiencing a club record streak of 18 away league matches without a clean sheet. The most astonishing statistic is that Hasenhuttl has seen his Southampton team drop a massive 92 points from leading positions. It makes you wonder what could have been.

It may be true that Southampton have been a thorn in Manchester City's side recently but it is also true that Southampton have failed to win any of their last 13 visits to City across all competitions. Their only win in their last 14 meetings in all competitions with City came back in 2020. I have to say that given Southampton are awful on the road, their defence is far from watertight, and they're coming up against the deadliest striker in a generation, perhaps even all-time, I don't hold out much hope for them.

Manchester City -1 @ 1.91 with Betfair

Erling Haaland to Score 2 Goals or More @ 2.50 with Betfair

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Newcastle vs Brentford

The last of the 3pm BST kick-offs on Saturday in the Premier League comes from St James' Park where Newcastle play Brentford as both teams look to push on up the table towards the European qualification spots. It's been a satisfactory start for both sides so far and they have shown the potential to fight for the places at the top end of the table but there is a danger that a loss could trigger a bad run of results that could see them slip down the table.

Newcastle have done OK so far this season and there's no doubt that Eddie Howe has turned his team into a very tough team to beat. However, they have drawn 5 of their 8 league matches this season so there's an argument that they could've been placed even higher in the league than their current 7th place spot. It's just 1 loss from their last 14 home league matches showing what a fortress Howe has turned St James' Park into. The team are also unbeaten in their first 4 home league matches of this season which is their best home record for a start of a season since 2011/12. If you're looking for an anytime scorer bet then Callum Wilson has bagged 5 goals in his last 5 appearances for the club. He's a striker that Howe will need if Alexander Isak still isn't fit to return yet.

Brentford come into this game in 10th place but only 3 points off the pace of the top 5. It's a fantastic effort by Thomas Frank's men so far but with just 1 win from their last 6 league games there is a concern that form could be slowly dropping off. Failure to score in their past two league matches has also been a worry. The 0-0 draw earned away at Bournemouth last weekend was a first away clean sheet in 20 attempts for the Bees. This game will also see top scorer Ivan Toney returning to face the club who gave him his Premier League debut back in 2015/16. Wouldn't it be a poetic moment if he managed to get on the scoresheet at the venue where his only two top flight appearances for a team other than Brentford came at!

I'm not saying Brentford are up against it here but even if we're putting their poor away form to one side and also forgetting about how difficult Newcastle are to play on their own patch then the fact Newcastle are unbeaten in their previous 6 league encounters with Brentford, including winning 5 of those matches, then it's looking like an uphill challenge. I think it's certainly worth backing Newcastle to win this one and winning it in a rather comfortable fashion.

Newcastle to Win @ 1.80 with SportNation

Anytime Scorer: Callum Wilson @ 2.30 with Bet365

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Brighton vs Tottenham

One of the most interesting games taking place in the Premier League this weekend is the 5:30pm BST start on Saturday between Brighton and Tottenham at the Amex Stadium. The home team have started a new era under a new manager with a lot of questions left to be answered. Will we know more as they take on a visiting team that are showing glimpses of being title dark horses but still also showing moments of weakness both in Europe and on the domestic front?

Brighton were a team I thought could implode after the departure of Graham Potter. The team was so ingrained in his DNA that the next appointment the club made needed to be spot on. A few eyebrows were raised when they announced Roberto De Zerbi as their gaffer but when the team battled to a 3-3 draw away to Liverpool it made a few people stand up and take notice. Including myself. The Seagulls are up to 4th in the table and it's now just 1 loss from their last 12 league matches. There is a chance for the team to equal the club's top division record of 8 home league games undefeated which was last set back in 1981. A solid defence has formed the foundation for their superb start to season with the club conceding a joint second best 8 goals so far.

Tottenham suffered more disappointment in midweek with the 0-0 draw away to Eintracht Frankfurt in the Champions League following on from their demoralising 3-1 loss away to Arsenal in the North London Derby. That result against the Gunners ended a 13-match undefeated streak for Spurs and it'll be intriguing to see how they bounce back here. Particularly after their European test. This will only be Tottenham's second league game played outside of London and that game ended in a 2-0 win over bottom-placed Nottingham Forest. Harry Kane is unsurprisingly the big pick for anytime scorer. Not only has the England striker put his early season droughts of years gone by in the past by scoring 7 league goals already but he's also scored 8 goals in 10 matches against Brighton.

It's going to take more than a chaotic point earned against an off-colour Liverpool for me to be convinced that De Zerbi is the right appointment for Brighton but the very early signs are encouraging. Tottenham haven't quite hit their stride yet but they're still in 3rd place despite not really playing that well on a consistent basis so far. I'm tempted to back Tottenham to win this one but will opt for the draw no bet because of the De Zerbi wildcard factor!

Tottenham Draw No Bet @ 1.87 with Unibet

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.87 with VBet

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Manchester City vs Southampton

2022-10-08T16:00+02:00

 

Manchester City

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Kyle Walker (7/0 d), John Stones (6/0 d), Kalvin Phillips (1/0 m)

Suspended: -

 

Southampton

Doubtful: -

Out (injuries/other): Romeo Lavia (5/1 m), Tino Livramento (0/0 d)

Suspended: -

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Interesting facts based only on statistics
Manchester City scored at least one goal in 100% of home games.
Manchester City scored at least two goals in 100% of home games.
Manchester City scored in both halves in 75% of home games.
88% chance that Manchester City will win this game.
63% chance that Manchester City will win and over 1.5 goals will be scored.
75% chance that Manchester City will win first half.
75% chance that there will be more than 2 goals in this game.
63% chance that there will be more than 3 goals in this game.
50% chance that there will be more than 4 goals in this game.
38% chance that there will be more than 5 goals in this game.
88% chance that there will be at least 1 goal in the first-half.
63% chance that there will be at least 2 goals in the first-half.
50% chance that there will be at least 3 goals in the first-half.
75% chance that Manchester City will lead at half-time and will win a game.
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Arsenal vs Liverpool

Arsenal will be hoping for a repeat of their last result following a 3-1 Premier League triumph vs Tottenham Hotspur. That victory was their seventh success in Premier League in eight rounds, and the Gunners are one point ahead of Manchester City. It has been all too rare in recent times that Arsenal has kept a clean sheet. It will be a concern for them that Arsenal has failed to prevent opponents from scoring in 5 of their previous six games, letting in 7 goals along the way. Coming into this clash, Arsenal hasn't won against Liverpool in their last four matches in the league. Nevertheless, the Gunners are full of confidence, and they want to secure another win.

Liverpool will go into this encounter following on from a 2-0 Champions League win over Rangers in their last game. However, the Reds have spilled too many points, and they booked only two Premier League wins in seven matches. Jürgen Klopp's Liverpool have had reason to celebrate, scoring ten times throughout their latest sextet of matches. The number of goals that they have conceded during those same matches equals 9. Coming into this contest, Liverpool remains undefeated over Arsenal when they have played them away from home in the previous two league matches. Liverpool manager Jürgen Klopp has some current player fitness concerns. Curtis Jones (Stress response of the bone), Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain (Hamstring Injury), and Naby Keïta (Hamstring Injury) won’t be making appearances.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Although they haven’t been too successful against Liverpool recently, Arsenal is capable of securing a positive result here. Therefore, we think the Gunners will remain undefeated in this clash.

Goals Market Prediction

Liverpool has been very productive, but its defense has allowed too many goals so far. That’s why we think the crowd will enjoy an efficient match, with goals in both nets.

Arsenal AH +0.5 @ 1.55

BTTS Yes @ 1.52

Correct score 1:1 @ 7.50

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Everton vs Manchester United

Everton, who won their previous game, will hope for a similar result following the 2-1 Premier League success over Southampton. It was their second straight win and the 7th game without a defeat in all competitions. Fewer than three goals per match were recorded in 5 of the last six meetings in which Everton has been a participant. Regarding the goal distribution during this period, their opponents scored a total of 3, and Everton managed a tally of 6. Jordan Pickford (Thigh Problems), Andros Townsend (Cruciate Ligament Injury), Mason Holgate (Knee Injury), Abdoulaye Doucouré (Hamstring Injury), Andy Lonergan (Knee Problems), Yerry Mina (Ankle Injury), Nathan Patterson (Ankle Injury) will not be taking part for Everton boss Frank Lampard.

After tasting defeat last time out to Manchester City in Premier League competition, Manchester United and their fans will hope to get a better result this time. Although the Red Devils celebrated in Cyprus in Europa League, they need to improve their performance. Erik ten Hag's Manchester United have found the back of the net a total of 10 times in the course of their most recent six matches. The overall goals that have been scored against them during the equivalent period come to 8. Owing to a completely injury-free group to choose from, Manchester United manager Erik ten Hag has zero fitness concerns to report ahead of this game.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Manchester United struggles with consistency, while Everton has been involved in many draws lately. We believe the Toffees can remain undefeated in this game, and they should extend their unbeatable run.

Goals Market Prediction

Although Everton’s recent matches haven’t been very efficient lately, we think the crowd should enjoy some goals at Goodison Park. Neither team should keep the clean sheet on Sunday evening.

Everton AH +0.5 @ 1.85

BTTS Yes @ 1.70

Correct score 1:1 @ 7.00

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Crystal Palace vs Leeds

The Premier League offers a solid schedule on Sunday with four matches taking place. Crystal Palace play Leeds in a 2pm BST kick-off from Selhurst Park with both teams looking cautiously over their shoulder at the relegation spaces. These two sides have shown enough already to suggest they shouldn't be concerned with the drop this season but it's a long campaign and the longer winless runs go on, the harder it is to end them.

Crystal Palace haven't looked like a team that will be troubled by relegation this season but they are down in 17th place after 7 league games and only outside the relegation zone due to a superior goal difference to Wolves. Patrick Vieira's men have endured a tough start to their season in terms of their fixtures with the Eagles facing the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool, Manchester City, and Chelsea already and it'll be games like this that give us a more accurate reading of how they'll do this season. That said, it's hard to shake poor morale and low confidence inflicted by tough fixtures. It's been just 1 win from their 7 league matches so far but they have taken 4 points from their 2 home league matches played against teams outside of the "established top six". Palace have actually taken the lead in 5 of their league games this season but have ended up dropping 10 points from leading positions. It's interesting to see that Wilfried Zaha may well be the top scorer for Palace this season but he's failed to score in 9 league appearances against this game's opponents.

Leeds had started this season very well with the club surprising a few people, including myself, by going their first three league matches unbeaten. However, it's all been downhill since then with the Whites failing to win any of their 4 league games since leaving them down in 13th position. It's also a concern that despite being undefeated at home this season, the Yorkshire have only taken 1 point from their 3 away league games up until now. Getting the first goal will be crucially important for Leeds from a psychological perspective because they haven't lost a league game in 2022 when they have scored first and have even gone on to win in 6 of those 9 occasions. Striker Patrick Bamford is one goal short of hitting 100 career league goals. Wouldn't it be ironic if he managed to reach that landmark by scoring against his former club who he played for briefly back in 2015 and failed to score a single goal for during his short time with them.

It's a worry for Crystal Palace that they haven't even managed to score a goal against Leeds in their past three league meetings. The London club have only been able to pick up 1 victory in the last 8 encounters with the Yorkshire club but I have a feeling they could break that duck here. I feel Palace are better than their league position suggests where as Leeds are on a bit of a slope right now. Can Jesse Marsch turn things around? I doubted them at the start of the season and I'm continuing to doubt them now.

Crystal Palace to Win @ 2.10 with SportNation

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.97 with SBK

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West Ham vs Fulham

The second 2pm BST kick-off in the Premier League on Sunday afternoon will pit West Ham and Fulham against each other at the London Stadium in a battle between the west and east sides of the capital city. The home team finally showed their old selves in their last league game and they'll be looking to build on that against a visiting team who have started their new life in the top flight well but had a dose of reality last weekend.

West Ham currently sit in 15th position after picking up just 2 wins from their first 8 league games of the season. David Moyes was briefly seeing his name circulated in the talk for next manager to be sacked but it was always a bit fanciful to expect that given his progress with the squad and their continued solid performances in the Europa Conference League. The Hammers ended a winless run of 3 league matches with a 2-0 win over Wolves last round. That win also ended a spell of 7 home league games without a win which was the club's worst home run in the league in 19 years. Moyes comes into this one having won 13 of his 14 matches managed against Fulham. However, the club have lost 2 of their last 3 league games against newly promoted teams. West Ham have also only taken 1 point from their previous 6 London derbies.

Fulham will be pleased with their start to life back in the top division of English football with the club in 9th place after 8 league matches. Marco Silva will probably have wanted to see more consistency in terms of their results but their performances so far cannot be questioned. This problem of inconsistency is summed up by the Cottagers switching between a win and a loss in each of their previous 6 league games. The progress under Silva is evident in the fact that the 3 league wins the team have earned already is just as many as they had earned in their previous 30 league matches at this level. Unfortunately, the club has the worst London derby record in Premier League history with a win rate of just 18%. They have now picked up just 1 win from their last 27 London derbies. Silva himself has won 4 of his 5 matches against West Ham as a manager though.

It's fascinating to see how Moyes had a hoodoo over Fulham and Silva has a clamp on West Ham so something has to give here. West Ham are undefeated in their last 11 home Premier League matches against Fulham. You have to wonder how Fulham are set mentally after last weekend's 4-1 humbling at home to Newcastle. Having to now go away against a team like West Ham who have already won two games in the last 7 days. It's not ideal for them and I can see West Ham notching up another victory here.

West Ham to Win @ 1.75 with SpreadEx

BTTS @ 1.80 with William Hill

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Arsenal vs Liverpool

Here we go! The big one this weekend is a fixture that is historically packed with goals, action, and drama. It's Arsenal versus Liverpool in a 4:30pm BST kick-off on Sunday afternoon from the Emirates Stadium. The home side have emerged as the number one contenders to Manchester City's league title defence but they face a tough challenge here against a visiting team who have a proven track record in recent years of going the distance in the title race.

Arsenal made perhaps their biggest statement of the season so far with their 3-1 win in the North London Derby last weekend against Tottenham to stay 1 point clear at the top of the table with 7 wins from their first 8 league matches. Mikel Arteta's men must now do the business in front of their home fans again as they look to leapfrog Manchester City at the summit once more. The Gunners are enjoying their third best start to a Premier League season after earning 22 points from 8 league games in 2004/05 and 2007/08. It's now 7 wins in a row at home in the league. It's not all been perfect though. The team are now without a clean sheet in their previous 9 home league matches in a run that stretches back to March. Gabriel Jesus has been a superb addition to Arsenal's squad and his 8 goal involvements this season is only bettered by Erling Haaland's 12 goal involvements for Manchester City.

Liverpool have not had the start to the season they would have wanted. I've mentioned already in previous previews about Jurgen Klopp's 7th season issue at his previous clubs and you have to question if it's a problem here. The Reds are down in 10th position with just 10 points from their 7 league games played so far leaving them 13 points off the title pace set by Manchester City. As the old saying goes, you can't win a Premier League title in the first 10 games of the season but you can certainly lose it. I think we have arguably reached that stage with Liverpool now. There is a risk that Liverpool could fail to win any of their first 4 away league games of the season for the first time since 2010/11 under the management of Roy Hodgson. Starting games slowly is clearly a problem with Liverpool possessing the worst first half record in the division so far having gone into half-time losing in 5 of their 7 league games. Diogo Jota is a shout for anytime scorer having scored 6 goals in 8 league games against Arsenal. Roberto Firmino is another shout with 5 goals in 6 league games this season.

This is always an exciting fixture full of goals and intensity but Arsenal have only won 1 of their last 14 league meetings with Liverpool including losing the past 4 league encounters. Liverpool have also won on each of their last 2 league visits to the Emirates Stadium. Arsenal have also failed to keep a clean sheet in their last 13 league matches in this fixture. Despite all those stats weighing heavily against them I still feel that these two clubs are in completely different places to where they were even 6 months ago. I am wary that maybe Klopp has a hold over Arteta so I'll back the draw but if either team is going to win this then I'd say Arsenal are the favourites.

Draw @ 3.75 with VBet

Total Goals Scored Over 3.5 @ 2.48 with SBK

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Everton vs Manchester United

The final game of the day on Sunday in the Premier League is the clash between Everton and Manchester United in the unorthodox kick-off time slot of 7pm BST from Goodison Park. You would have fancied the away team to pick up a standard win if this was played a few weeks ago but the form records have titled slightly recently so this might not be so cut and dry.

Everton have experienced quite the turnaround recently. Frank Lampard's men were being backed by many to struggle this season but it's now 6 league games unbeaten for the Toffees leaving them in 11th place and 4 points clear of the drop zone. Perhaps the most astonishing statistic is that Lampard has turned Everton into possessing the best defensive record in the top flight with just 7 goals conceded in their 8 league games. Jordan Pickford's save percentage of 81.6% has contributed strongly towards that. Only Bournemouth's keeper Neto boasts a higher percentage. Lampard has a chance to make club history in this game by becoming just the third Everton manager, after Dick Molyneux in 1892 and Roberto Martinez in 2014, to win his first two league games against Manchester United with the club.

Manchester United had looked to have turned a corner under Erik ten Hag after a dodgy start to their season. The Red Devils are in 7th position having won 4 of their last 5 league games but their most recent game saw all their frailties exposed in one fell swoop as they lost 6-3 to Manchester City in the Manchester Derby last weekend. Away form is still an ongoing problem for United in the league with the team now losing 8 of their last 10 away league games in the top flight. There is a risk that they could lose more than 3 of their opening 8 league games of a season for the first time since 1989. Cristiano Ronaldo is still waiting for the chance to score his 700th career league goal after being kept on the bench in the game last weekend.

Despite Manchester United generally dominating this fixture against Everton during the Premier League era, there is an opportunity for Everton to win back-to-back matches in this encounter for the first time in the Premier League. United have also only won 1 of their last 7 meetings with Everton. This is after United won 13 of their first 14 visits to Goodison Park after the Premier League rebranding took place. I have to say that I still feel Everton will hit a slump again soon and I wouldn't be surprised to see ten Hag outwit Lampard tactically in this one.

Manchester United to Win @ 2.10 with SpreadEx

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.84 with SBK

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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest will be hoping for a better result after a 4-0 Premier League loss in their previous game against Leicester City. That was Nottingham's fifth straight defeat, and they are currently hammered to the bottom of the table. It has been seldom in recent games where Nottingham Forest has kept a clean sheet. The facts show that Nottingham Forest has been scored against in 5 of their previous six clashes, letting in 18 goals along the way. They need to start picking points to remain in the English top flight. The Nottingham Forest manager Steve Cooper does not have any fitness concerns at all before this match, owing to a completely healthy group to choose from.

Last time out, Aston Villa drew 0-0 in the Premier League match with Leeds United. Although they snatched five points from the last three rounds, the visitors are just two points above the red line. Throughout their six most recent matches, Steven Gerrard's Aston Villa have seen their goal attempts be successful a total of 7 times, earning them goals scored per game average of 1.17. Coming into this fixture, Aston Villa hasn't been defeated by Nottingham Forest when they've played them away from home in the last two league games. Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard currently has to contend with reduced team options. Diego Carlos (Achilles tendon rupture), Lucas Digne (Ankle Injury), Jed Steer (Achilles tendon problems), and Boubacar Kamara (Knee Injury) can't be considered.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Nottingham Forest has been struggling recently, and Aston Villa could capitalize on the home side's poor form. Therefore, we think the visitors will record an important victory in this outing.

Goals Market Prediction

Nottingham's defense has been very leaky lately, allowing three or more goals in the previous four matches. Although Aston Villa struggles in the final third, we think this game will go over a 2.5 margin.

Aston Villa to Win @ 2.05

Over 2.5 FT @ 1.95

Correct score 1:2 @ 9.50

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Nottingham Forest vs Aston Villa

The Premier League delivers a cracking game on Monday night in an 8pm BST kick-off when bottom-placed Nottingham Forest play an improving Aston Villa at the City Ground. The pressure is cranking up on both of these teams to start picking up points otherwise they risk falling short of their own set of expectations. Defeat here could be potentially catastrophic for the suffering team.

Nottingham Forest are finding life back in the top flight of English football very tough. The Tricky Trees had shown promising signs initially but it's now been 6 league games without a win including 5 league matches lost in a row. Steve Cooper has just signed a new deal with the club so they're showing they have complete faith in him. Surely, they'll be disappointed that their £150 million plus investment in new players has left the club in 20th place after 8 league games. There is a real risk that Forest could lose 7 or more of their first 9 league games of a season for the first time since 1913. The team could also equal the club record of 6 defeats in a row in the top flight that was last set in 1992. They could also equal the Premier League record of conceding 3 or more goals in 5 consecutive league games which was also set by Sunderland in 2005 and Leeds in 2021. The 21 goals the team have conceded after 8 league games is a top flight record. It's all very negative reading isn't it!

Aston Villa had endured a poor start to the season with just 1 win from their opening 6 league games including losing 4 of their first 5 league matches. It saw Steve Gerrard's name linked with being the next manager casualty in the top flight. The Lions are now unbeaten in their previous 3 league games including keeping back-to-back clean sheets so the changes Gerrard has made appear to be working to an extent. The team have still only scored 6 league goals this season with only Wolves scoring fewer. The 0-0 draw away to Leeds last weekend ended a 4-game losing run on the road for Villa. One ongoing issue is that Villa have lost 3 of their last 4 league games against newly promoted teams and that includes already losing to a newly promoted club this season in Bournemouth on the opening day of the season. Gerrard will be demanding more from marquee signing Philippe Coutinho with the Brazilian playmaker only bagging 1 goal and no assists in his last 19 Premier League games played.

As if reading the information above wasn't demoralising enough, it is made worse by the fact that Nottingham Forest have only picked up 1 win against Aston Villa in their last 14 encounters across all competitions. Forest have also won just 1 of their 10 meetings in the Premier League but in a twist of fate it's amusing to read that the referee when Forest won that game back in 1994 was the father of their current manager, Keith Cooper! I'm just struggling to see where the next win is coming from for Forest. Cooper himself has stated they're failing at playing as a team. I'm not sure how easy that'll come with so many new faces arriving this summer. Until they show something better, we have to bet against them.

Aston Villa to Win @ 2.08 with SBK

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.95 with SBK

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