richard-westwood Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 Irish cambridgshire That's just dandy 9.0 20/1 7 places Good heavens 8.6 8/1 6 places Imposing supreme 8.2 50/1 7 places Very Tough race ....a lot could hinge on draw too ...but these 3 are a little clear so I'll try 5pt ew all 3 ? MinellaWorksop, black rabbit, alexcaruso808 and 7 others 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted August 25, 2022 Share Posted August 25, 2022 You’re on the ball early Richard, are you trying to get in before @The Brigadier? I reckon he is writing up his selections and will be posting them shortly. The Brigadier, kensland, black rabbit and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 25, 2022 Author Share Posted August 25, 2022 1 hour ago, alexcaruso808 said: You’re on the ball early Richard, are you trying to get in before @The Brigadier? I reckon he is writing up his selections and will be posting them shortly. I'm doing long shifts next couple days so just looking while I've got time ? kensland, alexcaruso808, The Brigadier and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Brigadier Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Beverley 1.30 A 7F 96 yard class 4 handicap starts proceedings for the ITV cameras today with the ground riding just on the slow side. The track is a turning one with those drawn low having an advantage. The most unexposed is the top weight Majestic who makes his handicap debut here for Mick Channon who has booked Ben Curtis for the ride. He’s drawn nicely in four and is the one I like. From stall two Mark Walford’s It Just Takes Time may be the biggest danger. He won a brace of handicap this summer at Thirsk and York and wasn’t disgraced at Doncaster last time when runner up to Giogiobbo. He does take a bit of a hold and it maybe best to let him roll along the fence making his own fractions. Gemma Tutty’s Tangled is on a winning mark but I don’t like his wide draw. Outrun The Storm is another with a chance at the head of the market for owners Middleham Park and trainer Richard Fahey. He’s in good form and should be thereabouts. Not a very inspiring handicap but in the hope that Majestic is better than his initial mark of 82 I’ll take him to lead home It Just Takes Time. MAJESTIC 2 points win @ 9/2 William Hill Goodwood 1.50 Nine go to post for this 7F group 3 Prestige fillies stakes for two year olds. With the ground riding on the slow side the only horse in the field who has actually raced on soft ground is Richard Hannon’s June course winner Bet Here. He subsequently finished 6 1/4L behind the re-opposing Godolphin filly Fairy Cross in listed company at Sandown so is hard to fancy too much unless she’s a filly that is ground dependent. The aforementioned Fairy Cross probably bumped into a smart one at Sandown when runner up to the Johnstone’s Dance In The Grass (pair pulled clear) and if handling conditions today has to be a major player. Karl Burke has some nice two year olds this season and his Bright Diamond was very impressive when putting 9L between herself and her rivals in a 6 runner Newmarket maiden on her debut three weeks ago. Visually she looked smart that day and like Fairy Cross if she handles conditions should be thereabouts. David Loughnane’s, Amo Racing owned Queen Olly is the other filly at the head of the market. She’s shown decent form at Royal Ascot and Newmarket’s July meeting in group races and also holds claims. It’s a tough call as none of the principals have encountered slow ground so I’ll keep stakes small and back the impressive debut winner Bright Diamond. BRIGHT DIAMOND 1 point win @ 9/2 bet365 Beverley 2.05 The day’s nap runs here in this 1m 2F class 2 handicap. Roger Varian saddles his King Power owned three year old gelding by Holy Roman Emperor who has won two of his five starts this season. His best effort however came last time out when chasing home Ajero in a decent Goodwood handicap where he came from the back finding plenty of trouble. He can be marked up from that effort and with Kevin Stott replacing Ray Dawson can take the spoils today. The James Tate trained Wait To Excel is chasing a hat trick having won his maiden at Hamilton and a class 4 handicap at Ripon. The form of his handicap win has however not really worked out and I’m happy to oppose him. William Haggas saddles Post Impressionist who looked a horse to follow earlier in the season when he chased home the current St Leger second favourite Eldar Eldarov on the all weather at Newcastle. He’s flopped in his two subsequent starts though and with the handicapper only dropping him a pound and wearing a first time tongue tie has questions to answer. For me Kitsune Power should be favourite and he’s worth a bet. KITSUNE POWER 3 points win @ 7/2 bet365 Goodwood 2.25 Eleven go to post for this 7F class 2 handicap where like the Golden Mile at the Festival here it pays to be drawn low on the fence as they’re always on the turn till turning into the home straight. Likely favourite Orbaan arrives in excellent form having won the aforementioned Golden Mile Handicap and followed up over today’s trip at Ascot before finishing 4th in the Clipper Logistics Handicap at York where he got no sort of run and that 4th can be marked up. He’s in stall one and should be thereabouts for trainer David O’Meara and jockey Jason Watson. O’Meara also runs Rhoscolyn and he has track form and is drawn alongside his stablemate today. He has finished behind Orbaan in his last two starts mind and it maybe the same scenario here. Richard Hannon’s Tacarib Bay is one of just two three years old in the race and will love the soggy underfoot conditions. I’m put off him mind by his stall of 11. The best outsider for me is the John Quinn trained veteran Safe Voyage who adores cut in the ground, is well berthed in four for one that likes to go forward and is below his last winning mark. I’ll play Orbaan here but can’t resist a small stakes saver on the nine year old Safe Voyage. ORBAAN 2 points win @ 4/1 William Hill SAFE VOYAGE 1/2 point win each way @ 20/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Beverley 2.40 The feature race at the day at the Yorkshire track is the 5F Beverley Bullet where a low draw on the far side against the rail has always been seen as an advantage. The best in at the weights today is the Clive Cox trained Tis Marvellous who’s only two starts at this track have come in the last two runnings of this race when an unlucky 5th in 2020 and when winning well in this last year, taking it up with a furlong to go and pushed out to win by 3 3/4L. He started from stall 6 last season and has drawn stall 7 this time around. You always need luck on the sharp 5F here but if he gets the breaks he looks sure to be thereabouts. 5lb behind on ratings is Ainsdale who’s drawn on the rail, Existent drawn alongside with this being a drop in class and three year old Korker. They all have claims but for me this all about last year’s winner Tis Marvellous under Paul Hanagan and with many bookmakers paying 4 places is worth backing each way. TIS MARVELLOUS 2 points each way @ 7/2 Betfred 1/5th 1234 Goodwood 3.00 A very disappointing turnout of just four here for the group 3 1m 6F March Stakes. George Boughey’s smart three year old Hoo Ya Mal is officially 18lb, 32lb and 52lb better than his three rivals and it will be a major surprise were he not to win this with his head in his chest. Runner up in this year’s Epsom Derby when in the care of Andrew Balding at 150/1 he’s since joined Boughey en route to a career in Australia and ran well when third to St Leger favourite New London in Goodwood’s Gordon Stakes. There’s no real punting angle here although William Haggas’s Perfect Alibi looks sure to finish runner up. Newmarket 3.15 With 31mm of rain Wednesday night and a further 9mm on Thursday morning the ground is likely to ride on the soft side which has hardly been seen this flat season so it’s worth searching around for the soft ground performers in this 6f listed race. Charlie Fellowes’ Vadream was a group 3 winner at Ascot on soft ground last October as well as a very credible 5th beaten 3L in the group one Champions Sprint there a fortnight later. She’s not fired this season but back on her favoured ground can be competitive. I’m not sure what to make of favourite Great Ambassador, trained by the in form Ed Walker. His wily trainer is in print in this week’s Weekender stating that he wouldn’t run on good to firm but the horse has been withdrawn twice before due to the ground being too soft. Maybe he ideally needs good ground? One things for sure win or lose he’s poor value at around the 7/2 mark to these eyes even though he is the highest rated in the field following an eye catching run last time in the Stewards Cup. Last weekends winner Summerghand won this contest last season by 2 1/2L and has claims now he’s found the winning way again. Simon and Ed Crisford train the promising three year old Daneh but we haven’t seen him since this weekend last year so there has to be a question mark over her. An outside I think can run well and out run his odds is the Adrian Nicholls trained Mo Celita. The mare started out last season by winning three soft ground sprint sellers and progressed through the handicap ranks to win in listed company at Deauville in August as well as finishing 4th in the Prix de l’Abbaye on Arc weekend. She’s not shown much in two starts this season but this is her ground (form figures on good to soft or worse 111151437) and the booking of Frankie Dettori very much takes the eye. An open sprint but I’ll chance Mo Celita each way with the enhanced 4th place. MO CELITA 1 point each way @ 20/1 bet365 1/5th 1234 Goodwood 3.35 The Celebration Mile is a group 2 event which has attracted just the five runners. Warm favourite is the Charlie Hills trained Mutasaabeq who is the highest rated here. He’s won twice on soft/heavy ground so conditions will hold no fears. He’s run well all four starts this season placing in group company on his last three starts having started his campaign with a win at Thirsk. He’ll be hard to beat. Escobar is 0 from 8 here but has run well in defeat here and is officially just 3lb inferior to Mutasaabeq having run a stormer 9 days ago when beaten a head in a competitive York handicap. Simon and Ed Crisford saddle a brace of runners in Finest Sound and Jadoomi with slight preference for the latter who was last seen winning a listed race at Claiefontaine in France in July. I think the favourite will win but wouldn’t be surprised if Ed Walker’s veteran Stormy Antarctic gives him the most to do. He’s officially only 4lb inferior to the selection with his form figures on soft or heavy reading 4174112811, a decent strike rate of 5 wins from 10 starts. It maybe worth a small straight forecast the favourite to beat him as well as backing Mutasaabeq. MUTASAABEQ 2 points win @ 11/10 bet365 MUTASAABEQ to beat STORMY ANTARCTIC 1 point straight forecast Wildgarden, MinellaWorksop, fd1972uk and 10 others 12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ipswich45 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 Ryan Moore flies out to Saratoga for 1 ride in the 2205 (Race 10) for the Sword Dancer Stakes which is a Grade 1 contest run over 1m 4f, he goes out there to ride #3 Broome for A O'Brien and faces 9 opponents calva decoy, maxironchin, BBBC and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 1.30 Bev I like TANGLED e?w 12/1 bog 4p in this but for a poor draw i would be having a really decent bet on it loves it here now back off a good mark but draw does concern me so i have also had a bit on well drawn BRIAN THE SNAIL 25/1 bod 4p really good mark first run for new yard 7f is a bit of a question mark worth the risk at the price. 2.25 GW I really like RHOSCOLYN 15/2 has slipped a bit in the weights and ran ok lto over a mile drop back to 7f suits much better & the softer ground a plus. Orbaan will be probably be all the rage in the betting and has beaten my selection twice over a mile recently but not for me today at 4/1 could well win but happy to take him on with e/w shot today 2.40 Bev Not really my type of race but thought there was a bit of e/w value to be had on MONDAMMEJ with WH 11/1 5 places not bog. black rabbit, alexcaruso808, The Equaliser and 8 others 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 (edited) 4 hours ago, ipswich45 said: Ryan Moore flies out to Saratoga for 1 ride in the 2205 (Race 10) for the Sword Dancer Stakes which is a Grade 1 contest run over 1m 4f, he goes out there to ride #3 Broome for A O'Brien and faces 9 opponents Cheers @ipswich45 Wondered why when there's lots of Group racing at The Curragh tomorrow he's not on any of Aidan's . Without even looking at Broome's opposition tomorrow I always fancy the European horses in the US especially 10-12f though I don't fair well at Saratoga unfortunately . 11/4 sky bet ( with boost ) Edited August 26, 2022 by calva decoy Zilzalian, kensland, MCLARKE and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 3.10 Bev I have backed outsider in this RORY got 16/1 4 places not bog with sky bet when markets opened i think the Goldie trained runner will go well here now back to 5F hasn't traveled from Scotland just for the day out! 4.15 Curr- Wide open some of these ran in this last year the of those the two i backed was last years 4th & 6th SALTONSTALL 25/1 & CRYSTAL BLACK 40/1 both have been drawn low so also backed a higher drawn horse SIR JACK THOMAS 25/1 all e/w bog 7places! The Brigadier, BBBC, The Equaliser and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richard-westwood Posted August 26, 2022 Author Share Posted August 26, 2022 225 good Orbaan 9.1 4/1 Rhoscolyn 9.0 5/1 Oo de lally 8.7 I'll try 5pt wins top 2 and 2pt win doubles with these 2 and top 3 in irish race ? BBBC, black rabbit, azzybear and 6 others 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 (edited) Windsor. Single 7.35. Timestamp 5/1 Double. 3.50. Newm. Sam Cooke 9/2..... 1st 4.54. Bevl. Jupitor and Mars 9/2.... 2nd singles & double. Good luck all. Edited August 27, 2022 by kensland azzybear, The Equaliser, alexcaruso808 and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tumbleweed King Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 PUNTERS LOUNGE ACCUMULATOR - SATURDAY 27th AUGUST 2022 4-10 Goodwood Keep Bidding (6/4) has been a model of consistency so far this season and has so far been somewhat unfortunate not to get her head in front already. If improving for that most recent run following a two-month break, the daughter of Ribchester ought to take some stopping. Ralph Beckett won this race under similar going conditions when Lullaby Moon struck. She really ought to have won that race last time at Kempton but for hanging badly left across the track. All being well Rob Hornby can prevent a repeat of those circumstances and the filly can finally shed her maiden tag. 4-41 Redcar Taritino (6/5) showed significant improvement when taking a step up from his debut at Lingfield to record a first ever career success last time at this track. Prominent from the very outset, the son of Buratino made all the running over a full furlong further. This slight step back in trip should not prove to be too much of an inconvenience and Stefano Cherchi maintains the ride for Amy Murphy. That form is head and shoulders above what any of his experienced rivals have produced on the racetrack thus far and he should prove a tough nut to crack. 5-25 Curragh Karaoke (7/4) has been progressive in her two starts to date so far. Having made her debut at Gowran Park over seven furlongs, she then stepped back to six next time out and asserted herself to beat Alabama Pearl by a little under a length at Dundalk last time. This marks her handicap debut and Joseph has asked a five-pound claimer to take the ride and alleviate some of her weight. The daughter of Acclamation looks the type to progress again and she can go onto bigger and brighter things. black rabbit, kensland, alexcaruso808 and 5 others 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calva decoy Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 On 8/25/2022 at 4:14 PM, richard-westwood said: Irish cambridgshire That's just dandy 9.0 20/1 7 places Good heavens 8.6 8/1 6 places Imposing supreme 8.2 50/1 7 places Very Tough race ....a lot could hinge on draw too ...but these 3 are a little clear so I'll try 5pt ew all 3 ? That's Just Dandy one of Timeforms " flagged " horses for Saturday , Tiz Marvelous in the Bullet another . alexcaruso808, azzybear, richard-westwood and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
alexcaruso808 Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 2 hours ago, Tedthewolf said: 3.10 Bev I have backed outsider in this RORY got 16/1 4 places not bog with sky bet when markets opened i think the Goldie trained runner will go well here now back to 5F hasn't traveled from Scotland just for the day out! 4.15 Curr- Wide open some of these ran in this last year the of those the two i backed was last years 4th & 6th SALTONSTALL 25/1 & CRYSTAL BLACK 40/1 both have been drawn low so also backed a higher drawn horse SIR JACK THOMAS 25/1 all e/w bog 7places! Rory is a good spot, the only thing that concerns me is the jockey. But, having said that, over such a short race surely the horse won’t need too much guidance from jockey and will just do its thing, right? azzybear, kensland, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 8 minutes ago, alexcaruso808 said: Rory is a good spot, the only thing that concerns me is the jockey. But, having said that, over such a short race surely the horse won’t need too much guidance from jockey and will just do its thing, right? Well she rode a winner tonight at Hamilton beating the yards more fancied runner in a close finish and the fact she take 5lb off i am happy enough.. kensland, The Equaliser, alexcaruso808 and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted August 26, 2022 Share Posted August 26, 2022 (edited) Windsor. Single. 7.05. Snapcracklepop 5/1. 1st Good luck all. Edited August 27, 2022 by kensland The Brigadier, black rabbit, azzybear and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tedthewolf Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 18 hours ago, Tedthewolf said: BRIAN THE SNAIL 25/1 bod 4p really good mark first run for new yard 7f is a bit of a question mark worth the risk at the price. NR Worth watching out for if they run it over 6f imho. kensland, black rabbit and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kensland Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 (edited) Double. 4.10. Goodw. Keep Bidding 6/4.... 2nd 4.20. Bevly. Creatively 7/1..... 2nd singles & doubles. Good luck all. Edited August 27, 2022 by kensland azzybear, black rabbit and The Equaliser 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maxironchin Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 3.15 Newmarket Vadream 2pt EW As noted by @TheBrigadier the ground is a significant aspect. On firmer ground others have the advantage, but the selection has good form on soft ground and could just pull off a surprise today. azzybear, The Equaliser, black rabbit and 2 others 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
black rabbit Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 (edited) The turpinator - 2 25 GWD 1/10 PT WIN 17/1 Arecibo - 2 40 BEV/ 1/10 PT WIN 18/1 Mo celita - 315 NWM/ 1/10 PT WIN 18/1 Lipsink - 4 58 NWM/ 1/10 pt win 12/1 Star habour - 4 15 CURR/ - 1/10 pt win 20/1 Celtic crown 4 15 CURR/ 1/10 pt win 25/1 Edited August 27, 2022 by black rabbit selection The Equaliser, azzybear and kensland 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 outrun the storm 1.30 The Equaliser, black rabbit and The Brigadier 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Trotter Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 System selections for today I usually stick to handicaps with my system and it's been pretty successful on the whole But for a change I'll try it out on the group and listed races mainly because there's enough of them to make it worthwhile if I include the Irish races at The Curragh. I'm also including the two year old races as well though logically the system should be better suited to horses with more back form that RPR has built in to the database. Obviously any system that includes a form rating 'should' be less effective with horses that haven't run very often and haven't got much form to their name But we'll see how it goes ...... Good 1.50 - Fairy Cross Curr 1.55 - La Dolce Vita Curr 2.30 - Treasure Trove and Studio City (joint top rated) Bev 2,40 - Tis Marvellous Good 3.00 - Perfect Alibi Newm 3.15 - Daneh Good 3.35 - Jadoomi Curr 3.40 - Seisai Wind 6.05 - Desert Encounter Wind 6.35 - Majestic Dawn kensland, black rabbit, azzybear and 4 others 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 16 hours ago, calva decoy said: Cheers @ipswich45 Wondered why when there's lots of Group racing at The Curragh tomorrow he's not on any of Aidan's . Without even looking at Broome's opposition tomorrow I always fancy the European horses in the US especially 10-12f though I don't fair well at Saratoga unfortunately . 11/4 sky bet ( with boost ) is it on dirt or grass? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 cowboy justice 4.15 The Equaliser 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 (edited) 12 minutes ago, Zilzalian said: is it on dirt or grass? Just looked its on grass so is a good bet imo another under the radar is alerta roja 205 baden baden trained by prescott owned by rowling has run lots of races in germany. looks a good double for the short odds players @9/1 the dble Edited August 27, 2022 by Zilzalian MCLARKE, black rabbit, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 BET365 4/1 TV offer selections BEVE 1.30 Majestic (4) 4/1 GOOD 1.50 Bright Diamond (6) 4/1 GOOD 2.25 Rhoscolyn (2) 4/1 NEWM 3.15 Summerghand (2) 4/1 black rabbit, The Brigadier, kensland and 3 others 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Le Doyen Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 Gd 2.25 Oo De Lally 15/2 Ascot Adventure 10/1 Both 4 Plcs Cu 4.15 Casanova 33/1 Big Baby Bull 33/1 Both 7 Plcs The Brigadier, azzybear, The Equaliser and 1 other 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
azzybear Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 throw in ...Escobar ..3.35 kensland and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MCLARKE Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 Trends for the Irish Cambridgeshire (Curragh 4.15) Finished 8th to 13th last time, 4 from 35, AE 2.61 This leaves 3, SPANISH TENOR, NO MORE PORTER and MONAASIB Drawn less than 14, 2 from 91. This removes NO MORE PORTER Last ran less than 29 days ago, 3 from 120 This leaves MONAASIB at 22/1, 7 places richard-westwood and The Equaliser 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 was pondering the 3 omeara horses, orbaan, summerghand and Escobar theoretically (imo) all should win, i will be interested to see how it pans out. kensland 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zilzalian Posted August 27, 2022 Share Posted August 27, 2022 @MCLARKE Going back to what i was saying about the bookies careless pricing of french and german races i have backed all Shiergan horses at baden baden the first Nasomo has won at 3/1, 10/1 this morning. MCLARKE and kensland 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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