Premier League Predictions > May 22nd

[StevieDay1983]

[StevieDay1983]

Here are the odds and ratings for the final weekend of Premier League fixtures for the 2021/22 season. It's been a long and exciting campaign but the title, European qualification, and relegation will be decided in these last round of games. Give us your predictions down below! 

[StevieDay1983]

Arsenal vs Everton

The final day of Premier League action will see every team kick-off at 4pm BST on Sunday afternoon. The first game I'm going to preview could've been a real humdinger for both sides but is now set to simply be a battle to potentially decide the final Champions League qualification spot. It's Arsenal versus Everton at the Emirates Stadium but the game has less spice now the away team have secured their place in next season's top flight.

Arsenal head into this game knowing that they must win and hope that Tottenham somehow do a "Spursy" thing and lose to Norwich away. Let's be honest, we can't really see that happening. Surely, even Tottenham can't mess this one up! Mikel Arteta might be tempted to try something new for next season. The Gunners are in 5th place and looking Europa League-bound. Another season without Champions League football means it'll be tough for the club to attract top new signings. It's back-to-back defeats in the league without scoring a goal which has contributed to the team dropping down out of the top four. However, they have won their last two home league games so it may help them being back on home turf.

Everton secured their Premier League survival in dramatic fashion on Thursday night with a 3-2 win at home to Crystal Palace. It's just 1 loss from the last 5 league games for the Toffees now with the club up to 16th in the table and 4 points above the drop zone. It'll be a huge relief for Frank Lampard who has just about done enough to keep the team up. Away form is still an issue though with Everton having lost 8 of their last 10 away matches. However, those two games where they avoided defeat have come on their last two away trips. Just 2 wins from their 18 away league games so far this season shows you how much of a struggle trips on the road have been for Everton.

Even though you might think that this is Arsenal's game to lose it's crazy to see that Everton have actually won the last three meetings between these two sides. In fact, Arsenal have only managed to win 1 of the last 6 encounters between these two clubs. I do think that Arsenal will break that duck here though. Now the pressure is off Everton I think they might have spent themselves emotionally and physically on Thursday so can see the home team sealing their end to the season with a win.

Arsenal HT/FT @ 2.10 with SportNation

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.62 with William Hill

[StevieDay1983]

Brentford vs Leeds

The second game that I'm previewing ahead of the final round of Premier League games this Sunday afternoon is the 4pm BST clash between mid-table Brentford and relegation-threatened Leeds at the Brentford Community Stadium. All the pressure is on the away team who know that they need to get a better result here than Burnley manage in their fixture versus Newcastle at home to guarantee their survival.

Brentford will be satisfied with their debut season in the Premier League. The Londoners have managed to take themselves to 11th place in the top flight with the opportunity to finish in the top half of the table heading into this final game. Thomas Frank deserves a lot of credit for this achievement. The Bees have finished this season strongly with just 1 loss from their last 7 league games  including winning 5 of those matches. It's also back-to-back wins having scored 3 goals per game in the league. There's no doubt the signing of Christian Eriksen has rejuvenated the Brentford attacking creativity so it'll be interesting to see if they can keep him this summer.

Leeds are in a bit of a pickle. Jesse Marsch's men seem like the most likely side to go down with the club currently in 18th spot and inside the bottom three on goal difference. The Whites were briefly looking inspired under the American gaffer but things have taken a turn for the worst recently. The team has now failed to win their last 5 league games including losing 3 of those matches. The 1-1 draw at home to Brighton last weekend so a last gasp equaliser which has given the team hope heading into this game. If Burnley lose their match then a draw here will be enough. It's been 4 league games in a row without a clean sheet though and with suspensions and injuries piling up it's going to be a tall order.

Coming into this season and seeing this as a final day fixture you'd have put your house on Brentford being the team that'd need a result to stay up and not Leeds. I'm not sure how Leeds have got themselves in this mess. Marcelo Bielsa and the board's decision to not strengthen in January could be critical. Marsch is receiving criticism already but that's a bit harsh. I'm not sure they can get the right result here. They may sneak a draw but even that's looking a big ask. Even if they get something then it's all redundant if Burnley's result equals or betters it. Brace yourselves, Leeds fans!

Brentford Draw No Bet @ 1.80 with Bet365

Total Goals Scored Over 2.5 @ 1.66 with Unibet

[thfc]

5 hours ago, StevieDay1983 said:

Tottenham somehow do a "Spursy" thing and lose to Norwich away

To be fair Arsenal have been bigger bottlers than we have this season!

But i'm not going to lie, I am a bit nervous! As a spurs fan of 30+ years we are good at this sort of thing!  I've even heard rumours of food poisoning in the spurs camp, surely not another dodgy lasagne?

Personally, i'm not so sure that Arsenal will win.  They needed to win on Monday but didn't play like it.  The atmosphere might be either flat or hostile, and the players just don't seem up for it.  Everton will be on a high after their comeback, and although it is a quick turnaround for them, I think they can get a draw here.  Arsenal don't score many so a 0-0 or 1-1 seems more than achievable for Everton here, maybe even a win, especially if it is clear quite early on that spurs are not going to lose their game.

[StevieDay1983]

Brighton vs West Ham

The next preview from the final round of Premier League games on Sunday afternoon is the 4pm BST kick-off between mid-table Brighton and Europa League-chasing West Ham at the Amex Stadium. The home side appear to be ending their campaign on a positive note but can they get a win against an away team that have already confirmed their spot in next season's Europa Conference League but could qualify for the Europa League if they win and Manchester United fail to beat Crystal Palace away?

Brighton have endured their fair share of ups and downs this season so their fans will be delighted that they are ending this season on a high. It's just 1 loss from their last 8 league matches leaving the club in 10th position heading into these last games. The Seagulls are unbeaten in their last 4 league games so confidence is high within the camp. The club have lost the final match of the season in 3 of their last 4 league campaigns. It's also been an historic season for Graham Potter's men who have earned a club record Premier League points tally. However, only Watford have earned fewer points from their home league games than Brighton have this season.

West Ham still have an opportunity to give themselves another shot at Europa League glory next season if they manage to win here with Manchester United slipping up in their final league game. The Hammers are in 7th spot and just 2 points behind the Red Devils. David Moyes deserves a huge amount of credit for leading West Ham to European qualification once again with a Europa League Semi-Final appearance also thrown into the mix. The club have tasted victory in 4 of their last 5 final league games of the season. Unfortunately, one depressing statistic is that the team have failed to win a single away league game against any side placed in the top 10. Mark Noble is set to make his final appearance for the club today and given he scored his first ever competitive goal for the club against Brighton surely it's worth a romantic punt to back him to score here?

Wow, so it turns out that Brighton are undefeated in each of their 9 league games played against West Ham in the Premier League. You have to say that given the difference in form between the two sides coming into this game that you'd back that unbeaten run to continue. Just 1 win from the last 6 league games shows West Ham have tailed off. I think backing the draw is the most sensible option here.

Draw @ 3.65 with SBK

BTTS @ 1.66 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Burnley vs Newcastle

The relegation battle is the focus of our attention for the next preview with Burnley hosting Newcastle in a 4pm BST start at Turf Moor on Sunday afternoon knowing full well that if they equal or better the result Leeds get away to Brentford then they will secure their place in next season's Premier League. Do they have enough about them to get the job done without asking the Bees for a favour?

Burnley are currently in 17th position in the table and only safe from the bottom three due to a superior goal difference compared to Leeds. Mike Jackson saw his team pick up a vital point in their 1-1 away draw with Aston Villa in midweek which has shifted their own fate into their own hands for this last game. The winless run extends to 3 league games though and the club have lost their last league game of the season for the last 5 top flight seasons. It is 3 wins from their last 4 home league matches though so that should give them self belief ahead of this one.

Newcastle were looking like a side that could be facing a return to the Championship but Eddie Howe has managed to turn their fortunes around with the club now up to 12th place with their eyes on a top half of the table finish. Only Liverpool, Manchester City, and Tottenham have earned more league points in 2022 than Newcastle. The Magpies have struggled on the road recently though losing 4 of their last 5 away league games in the top flight.  Bruno Guimaraes has been a key addition and he's bagged 4 goals in his last 6 league appearances. Howe's record against his former club Burnley isn't the best either. He's lost 6 of his 9 encounters in the Premier League with them. 

It's been Newcastle that have dominated this fixture over recent times winning each of the last 3 league meetings. I feel that Burnley have the ability to get something from this game but I'd be cautious about backing them to get more than a draw. Newcastle are a stubborn beast under Howe now so I can see a draw being played out. It will just depend if Brentford can do Burnley a favour in their game against Leeds.

Draw @ 3.50 with Betfred

Total Goals Scored Under 2.5 @ 1.98 with SBK

[malabgd]

Arsenal vs Everton

2022-05-22T17:00+02:00

 

Arsenal

Doubtful:

Out (injuries/other): Takehiro Tomiyasu (21/0 d), Thomas Partey (24/2 m), Kieran Tierney (22/1 d)

Suspended:

 

Everton

Doubtful: Yerry Mina (13/0 d), Richarlison de Andrade (30/10 f, top scorer)

Out (injuries/other): Fabian Delph (11/0 m), Andros Townsend (21/3 m), Nathan Patterson (0/0 d)

Suspended: Jose Salomon Rondon (20/1 f)

 

Daily updated injuries and suspensions information from more than 100 football leagues and competitions worldwide at: www.injuriesandsuspensions.com

 

Over/Under Goals
Arsenal 18 home games	Everton 18 away games

83%	Over 1.5 goals	89%
56%	Over 2.5 goals	61%
22%	Over 3.5 goals	28%
0%	Over 4.5 goals	11%
0%	Over 5.5 goals	0%
17%	Under 1.5 goals	11%
44%	Under 2.5 goals	39%
61%	Over 0.5 goals at half-time	72%
33%	Over 1.5 goals at half-time	39%
11%	Over 2.5 goals at half-time	17%

[StefanBB]

Arsenal vs Everton

Arsenal will be looking for an improved result after a 2:0 Premier League loss in their previous game against Newcastle United. It was their second straight defeat that saw them drop to 5th place on the table. Fixtures involving Arsenal have tended to be absorbing encounters lately, with a lot of goalmouth action being a common characteristic. Over their past six clashes alone, a total of 21 goals has been recorded for both sides combined (at an average of 3.5 goals per game), with 11 of them coming from Arsenal. However, the hosts need a win here to keep their chances of securing the Champions League ticket. Thomas Partey (Unknown Injury) and Kieran Tierney (Knee Surgery) aren’t available for Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta.

Everton heads into the clash following a 3:2 Premier League win with the downing of Crystal Palace in their most recent fixture. Although they trailed 2:0 at halftime, a great turnaround helped them stay clear from relegation. Throughout their six latest matches, Frank Lampard's Everton has found the back of the net eight times, earning them a goals per game average of 1.33. Ahead of this clash, Everton is undefeated in their last two league matches away from home. Now, the visitors can play without any pressure and try to capitalize on Arsenal’s poor form.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

It’s a must-win game for the Gunners, and they don’t have any space for another mistake. Only the victory can keep them in the game for the 4^th-spot finish, and they should secure their advantage already at halftime.

Goals Market Prediction

Both teams have been involved in high-scoring matches lately, and this one shouldn’t be much different. We believe the crowd will enjoy an entertaining encounter with at least a goal in each net.

Arsenal HT-FT @ 2.00

BTTS Yes @ 1.80

Correct score 3:1 @ 12.00

[StefanBB]

Manchester City vs Aston Villa

Manchester City heads into this match following on from a 2:2 Premier League drawn result against West Ham United. They missed the chance to win and let Liverpool get just one point behind them. Fixtures with Manchester City have proved to be engaging affairs recently, with plenty of scoring expected. Over their past half dozen clashes alone, a total of 30 goals have been scored for both sides combined (at an average of 5 goals per game), with 21 of them being chalked up by Manchester City. The Citizens need to bounce back and return to the winning track to remain ahead of the Reds.

In their last fixture, Aston Villa drew 1:1 in the Premier League tie with Burnley. It was their second straight draw and the third match in a row without winning. In the course of their six previous matches, Steven Gerrard's Aston Villa have slotted home eight times - giving them goals scored per game average of 1.33. Although this game cannot see the Villans improve a lot, Steve G would like to help Liverpool bring the title back to Anfield. Due to a fully injury-free squad available to choose from, the Aston Villa manager Steven Gerrard has zero fitness concerns whatsoever before this game.

Full-Time Winner Odds & Prediction                                                                            

Manchester City shouldn’t allow any surprise in front of the home fans, and the hosts should lock the top spot in the table. We believe they should win this game by at least two goals.

Goals Market Prediction

City’s last seven games produced four or more goals each, and we anticipate another high-scoring game at Etihad Stadium. The hosts might continue in the same fashion and drive this match to over a 3.5 margin.

Manchester City AH-2 @ 1.80

Over 3.5 FT @ 2.10

Correct score 4:1 @ 17.00

[StevieDay1983]

Chelsea vs Watford

It's a dead rubber game for the next preview as Chelsea play Watford in a 4pm BST kick-off at Stamford Bridge on Sunday afternoon. The home side have already confirmed their place in next season's Champions League but they'll be looking to end their season on a positive note against a visiting team that will be playing Championship football next season and will simply want to avoid finishing bottom of the Premier League table.

Chelsea will have mixed feelings about this season having tasted success with two trophy wins but also suffering the controversy of the change of ownership and losing two domestic cup finals whilst also not coming close to challenging for the title. Thomas Tuchel appears set to remain in charge for next season but the pressure will be on for the German gaffer to deliver success next season. The Blues are undefeated in their previous 11 final day home league games of the season. Unfortunately, Chelsea's recent home form in the league has left a bit to be desired with the team dropping points in 9 of their last 13 home league matches.

Watford may well know they are playing in the second tier of English football next season with a new head coach already appointed in Rob Edwards but it's Roy Hodgson in the managerial hot seat for this last game. The Hornets are 1 point above the bottom of the table and a win would prevent them from propping up the table. Watford have only managed to win 1 of their 7 final Premier League games of the season. The 26 league defeats the club have suffered this season is the most they have endured in a single league campaign since the 28 losses they incurred back in 1971/72. Watford are also without a win in their last 24 Premier League against teams from London. It doesn't help that Hodgson himself has lost each one of his last 7 visits to Stamford Bridge.

You have to say that even if Tuchel does go ahead with the squad rotation that he's mentioned he's considering then doing anything other than backing a Chelsea win seems controversial. Watford just haven't been close to good enough this season and that's been under three different head coaches. I can see them ending their disastrous Premier League campaign with a whimper here.

Chelsea HT/FT @ 1.67 with Coral

Total Goals Scored Under 3.5 @ 1.81 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Crystal Palace vs Manchester United

The fight for qualification into next season's Europa League is the plot line for this 4pm BST kick-off on Sunday between Crystal Palace and Manchester United at Selhurst Park. The away team need a victory to ensure they qualify for that competition next season otherwise risk falling down into the Europa Conference League. Can the home team end their season on a high?

Crystal Palace will look back on this season as a positive one stepping in the right direction. The Eagles head into this game in 13th place and having lost just 1 of their last 5 league games. That single defeat did come in a 3-2 loss away in their last league outing though. Palace boast an impressive record of never losing a final day home game of a Premier League season. The fact that the team will end the season with a positive goal difference for the first time in the top flight since 1991 unless they lose by 3 goals or more here shows the progress being made under Patrick Vieira. It's 5 home league games unbeaten for Palace coming into this fixture as well and they also have a chance to keep 5 straight home league clean sheets for the first time since 1992.

Manchester United are about to enter a new era with new head coach Erik ten Hag set to be in attendance at this game before he officially begins his role for next season. The Red Devils are in 6th position and 2 points inside the Europa League qualification spots but possess an inferior goal difference to West Ham who are in 7th place. If West Ham win then United also need to win to stay in the position they are in. United's away form under Ralf Rangnick has plummeted with the team losing their last 5 away league matches. The team are unbeaten in their last 11 away games played on the final day of the league season. Rangnick is set to depart his role as United head coach with the worst win ratio of any of their managers in the Premier League era.

It doesn't bode well that Crystal Palace have failed to win any of their 12 home Premier League games played against Manchester United down the years but you feel if it's ever going to happen then it could be now. The last time Palace tasted a home league victory against United was back in 1991. Can they do it here? I'm not sure they'll win but I'd certainly back them to get something from the game. So I'll sway towards a draw.

Draw @ 3.75 with Boylesports

BTTS @ 1.63 with SBK

[StevieDay1983]

Leicester vs Southampton

It's a relatively meaningless game here when mid-table sides Leicester and Southampton meet at the King Power Stadium for this 4pm BST kick-off on Sunday in the final round of Premier League matches. Both sides could see their final league positions change from what they are now but European qualification and relegation are no longer a concern so playing for pride is the main aim.

Leicester have rallied their form in these final games of the season to move on up the table. The Foxes come into this last game of the campaign in 9th place with the chance to finish in the top 8 if they win and Wolves fail to beat Liverpool. Brendan Rodgers has seen his team go unbeaten in their last 3 league games including winning two of those. Home form has been key in Leicester moving back up the table after a slow start having lost just 2 of their last 12 home league matches. The club haven't won their final league games of a season since 2015 though. Striker Jamie Vardy does love the last day of the season having scored 6 goals on this day in the Premier League down the years.

Southampton will just want this season to be over now. At one point, it was looking very positive for the Saints but it seems as soon as they looked to have realistically avoided the threat of relegation their form has nose-dived. Ralph Hasenhuttl's team have just 1 win from their last 11 league games including losing 8 of those matches. It has left the club down in 15th position and at risk of finishing the season in a lower league position than Everton. If they win this game then they'll end the campaign in exactly the position and on exactly the same number of points as last season. One ominous statistic is that Southampton haven't won their final Premier League game that was played away since 2003.

These two sides appear to be moving in two contrasting directions if you look at their form. Leicester are looking like a team that are getting back to their best and Southampton just feel like a team that have been on the beach mentally for the past 2-3 months. I can't find a reason to back Southampton to get anything from this game so I'm going to have to back a solid Leicester victory.

Leicester to Win @ 1.87 with SpreadEx

Anytime Scorer: Jamie Vardy @ 1.91 with Betfred

[StevieDay1983]

Liverpool vs Wolves

The Premier League title race could be decided at Anfield at 4pm BST on Sunday afternoon when Liverpool play Wolves. If the home team win and Manchester City fail to beat Aston Villa at home then they will secure an unlikely title. Any other outcome (unless City lose by a huge margin or Liverpool win by a massive amount) will see City retain the title they won last season. I think that's the maths done correctly? I was awful at maths in school mind! 

Liverpool are still fighting for the title with the team currently in 2nd on 89 points and just 1 point off the pace of the league leaders Manchester City. It's now 18 league games unbeaten for the Reds with the team winning 15 of those matches. Jurgen Klopp's men have also won each of their last five final day league games under his management. The club are the only team in the top five European leagues to not suffer a league defeat in 2022 so far. Anfield has once again become the fortress that Klopp will have wanted with the team unbeaten in their last 22 league matches played at the venue. It seems bizarre that Mohamed Salah has now failed to score in 13 of his last 14 matches for the club across all competitions.

Wolves will be disappointed with how this season is unravelling for them. Bruno Lage's men are in 8th place and need to win this game to avoid dropping down even further in the table. It's a bitter pill to swallow for their fans who were even dreaming of Champions League qualification at the turn of the year. Where has it all gone wrong? That's for the club's owners and management to decide. Wanderers don't have a great record in their final day of action in the Premier League having lost 6 of their last 7 such games. Add to that the fact they are without a win in their last 6 league games and you start to wonder how they can even compete here. Social media posts showing players going abroad inbetween games and coming out slating squad selection decisions. The club needs to be careful right now.

I'm not sure how it's all gone so wrong so quickly for Wolves. They were looking to be moving back in the right direction under Lage but 8 losses from their last 13 league matches should set alarm bells ringing. Liverpool will be on a mission to do their business and even though I think City will retain the title I can't see Liverpool doing anything other than winning this game convincingly.

Liverpool HT/FT @ 1.60 with SBK

Liverpool to Win to Nil @ 1.87 with Boylesports

[StevieDay1983]

Manchester City vs Aston Villa

The other game that will have an impact on the destination of the Premier League title is taking place at 4pm BST from the Etihad Stadium where league leaders Manchester City will look to keep their fate in their own hands against mid-table Aston Villa to retain the league title they won last season. Can former Liverpool player Steven Gerrard do his hometown club a favour here by leading the away team to a shock result?

Manchester City simply have to win here to secure the top flight league title in English football for the 8th time in their history and their 6th triumph in the Premier League era. Pep Guardiola boasts a 100% win record for games played on the final day of the season with City in the Premier League so there is a little bit of expectation attached to this one. The Citizens could win a 4th Premier League title under Guardiola with only Sir Alex Ferguson's 13 league titles being more. There is no denying Guardiola's impressive ability to win domestic league trophies with the Spaniard winning the league title in 9 of his last 12 seasons as a manager. It's just 1 loss from their last 27 league games and there is a chance for the team to equal the club record of 22 clean sheets in a single league season which was set back in 1999 when the club was in the third tier.

Aston Villa have a mission here of being the party poopers. Despite the team being written off before a ball has been kicked, we've been here before back in 2012 when City were firm favourites against QPR but needed two goals in the dying minutes to seal a historic title. Gerrard has seen his team struggle for form recently with just 2 wins from their last 10 league games. However, they have only lost 1 of their previous 6 league games even though they are winless from their last 3 league encounters. Villa have a terrible away record against league leaders at this level having won just 1 of their last 21 away league games against top of the table in the top flight. That single win came way back in 2000 as well. They are also without a win in their last 16 league games against the Premier League leaders both home and away. Could Ollie Watkins be a cheeky anytime scorer bet having scored in each of his last 3 appearances against the reigning champions of English football?

It's really hard to see Manchester City messing this up. Yes, comparisons have been made with 2011/12 when they nearly ballsed it up before that "AGUEEEEEEEEEROOOOOOO!!!" moment but the team is a different beast these days. Aston Villa's form is placid at best and even though Gerrard will want to help Liverpool out I'm not sure the players have it in them to cause a shock. I'm going to back a solid home win to see City over the line.

Manchester City HT/FT @ 1.67 with Coral

Manchester City to Win & BTTS @ 2.75 with Betway

[StevieDay1983]

Norwich vs Tottenham

The final preview from this epic last day of Premier League games is the 4pm BST kick-off between already-relegated Norwich and the Champions League qualification hopefuls Tottenham at Carrow Road. It's a sad day for the home fans who say goodbye to the top flight once again but can they cause carnage for the visitors by pulling off a shock win and giving Arsenal an unlikely route back into the top four at the death?

Norwich have had another season to forget in the top flight with the club currently in 20th place with just 22 points from 37 league games played so far. Dean Smith faces a huge challenge to pick the mood up at the club as they head into a Championship campaign where anything less than bouncing right back at the first time of asking will be deemed a failure. The Canaries have now won just 1 of their last 15 league games including losing 11 of those matches. The team's record against teams currently in the top four this season is dreadful too having played 9, lost 9, scored 2, and conceded 28. Norwich have also only won 2 of their last 9 final day games played in the Premier League.

Tottenham will have the opportunity to book their place in next season's Champions League if they get at least a draw here. Such is the superiority of their goal difference over rivals Arsenal that even if they end up on the same points it would take nothing short of a scandalous miracle to see the goal difference overturned. Antonio Conte has done a superb job at helping turn the fortunes of Spurs around. It's 7 wins from their last 10 top flight league matches. There is a word of warning from history though. Tottenham have lost against already-relegated teams three times on the final day of the season in the Premier League down the years but they have won their last league game of the season in 8 of the last 11 campaigns. Striker Harry Kane has also scored 8 goals on the last league game of the Premier League season.

I appreciate there are the sceptical fans out there who think Tottenham can still mess this up. We have seen @thfc offer his thoughts earlier in the thread. I think the job is done though. Norwich are a spent force. Yes, they ground out a 1-1 draw with Wolves away last weekend but Wolves themselves are all over the place at the moment. I'm not saying Tottenham will make light work of this and I do anticipate them having a scare moment maybe even with Norwich scoring but they should get the win.

Tottenham HT/FT @ 1.91 with Coral

First Goalscorer: Harry Kane @ 4.00 with SBK