JdsGooner90 Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Bet 7 Adelaide W vs Wellington W (0-0 3) Over 0.5 goals £19.20 @ 1.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Bet 8 15:40 @ Dundalk Lay Paddytheirishman @ 85 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Bet 9 16:45 @ Dundalk Lay Five Zeros @ 120 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 21, 2022 Author Share Posted January 21, 2022 Bet 10 MVV vs Volendam Over 0.5 goals £20.05 @ 1.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 11 Independiente vs La Equidad (0-1 89) Under 2.5 goals £20.44 @ 1.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 12 Opava vs Hlucin Over 0.5 goals £20.64 @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 13 Hapoel Ramat Gan U19 vs Ironi Nesher U19 (0-0 13) Over 0.5 goals £21.44 @ 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 14 SV Ried vs Juniors Over 0.5 goals £22.06 @ 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 15 Basel vs Neuchatel (0-0 4) Over 0.5 goals £22.71 @ 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 16 West Brom vs Peterborough Over 0.5 goals £23.37 @ 1.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 17 Inter vs Venezia Over 0.5 goals £24.50 @ 1.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 18 Southampton vs Man City Over 0.5 goals £24.98 @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 22, 2022 Author Share Posted January 22, 2022 Bet 19 AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur Over 0.5 goals £25.95 @ 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 15 hours ago, JdsGooner90 said: Bet 19 AZ Alkmaar vs Cambuur Over 0.5 goals £25.95 @ 1.03 0-0 FT Try again later next week. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 I think you are better going for the under rather than over market. Won't get as many bets in but at least you don't have to have something happen for the bet to win. (If that makes sense!) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 23, 2022 Author Share Posted January 23, 2022 1 hour ago, aldric said: I think you are better going for the under rather than over market. Won't get as many bets in but at least you don't have to have something happen for the bet to win. (If that makes sense!) It makes sense. I feel I would eventually come across a 7 goal thriller if went down the under 6.5 goals route though. Will thrown them in every now and then maybe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 More than likely, we are always going to lose at some point. Just the 0-0 seems to happen a lot more than the crazy 7 or 8 goal matches. I'd rather do unders bets before a match rather than the last few minutes of a game. Multiple late goals seem to happen frequently, like Athletico Madrid last night and Tottenham midweek. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 (edited) 2 hours ago, aldric said: Just the 0-0 seems to happen a lot more than the crazy 7 or 8 goal matches. Well, goalless games are more common in the "major leagues" than the "silly" ones, by way of the lower average goals per game. If you take Chelsea v Spurs later (goals expectation 2.5) the the odds for 0-0 are around 12.18 while the odds for 8+ goals are around 235, For Hertha v Bayern (3.6 goals) it's 36.6 for 0-0 but only 32.48 for 8+ goals. So, when the goals expectation gets as high as that it starts to become more likely that we'll see 8+ goals than 0. (All simplistic calculations using spread total goals expectations and poisson.) 2 hours ago, aldric said: I'd rather do unders bets before a match rather than the last few minutes of a game. Multiple late goals seem to happen frequently, like Athletico Madrid last night and Tottenham midweek. I think there's a degree of what we do and don't remember at play here; i.e. we remember the unusual late scoring games but not the majority that pass with an uneventful last few minutes. I think in terms of when you bet it's an irrelevance, either it's a good price for the outcome or it's a poor price. A fair 1.03 shot is no more or less likely to bust if it was placed pre-game or near the end. To put it another way, I think it's personal preference about how to bet at play there rather than anything with a real basis in the probability of winning or losing. (I also have a preference for betting pre-game rather than in-running, for a mixture of reasons, some no doubt more valid than others. I do suspect though that a lot of value goes begging in play in some of the markets I do best in.) Edited January 23, 2022 by harry_rag Corrected "7+" to "8+" aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 23, 2022 Share Posted January 23, 2022 Absolutely agree with what you are saying and I just know from personal experience I manage to pick a lot of 0-0 and when I bet on unders at the end of games goals fly in. You always remember these lost bets rather than the tens or hundreds of successful ones. harry_rag and Torque 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 We go again. Bet 1 Fram vs Throttur (1-0 3) Over 1.5 goals £15.00 @ 1.02 harry_rag and aldric 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Bet 2 Rangers vs Livingston (0-0 3) Over 0.5 goals £15.29 @ 1.07 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Bet 3 RCD Carabanchel vs Villaviciosa (2-2 89) Under 5.5 goals £16.34 @ 1.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Bet 4 Villa Nova vs Atletico MG Over 0.5 goals £16.50 @ 1.06 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 26, 2022 Author Share Posted January 26, 2022 Bet 5 West Indies vs England (England 182/6 - require 43 from 14 balls) West Indies win £17.47 @ 1.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 Bet 6 Australia vs Vietnam Over 0.5 goals £17.81 @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 Bet 7 Southampton U23 vs Bournemouth U23 Over 0.5 goals £18.50 @ 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 Bet 8 Southampton U23 vs Bournemouth U23 (0-1 11) Over 1.5 goals £19.04 @ 1.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 0-1 FT Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 Going to have to reduce the starting stake soon if I continue to struggle! Bet 1 F91 Dudelange vs Molde (0-0 5) Over 0.5 goals £15.00 @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 27, 2022 Author Share Posted January 27, 2022 Bet 2 F91 Dudelange vs Molde (0-1 12) Over 1.5 goals £15.58 @ 1.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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