JdsGooner90 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Bet 104 Gaziantep vs Malatyaspor Gaziantep +3 £26.65 @ 1.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 hours ago, JdsGooner90 said: Bet 104 Gaziantep vs Malatyaspor Gaziantep +3 £26.65 @ 1.01 Void - Postponed due to snow. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Bet 104 Vitesse Arnheim vs SV DVS Ermelo Over 0.5 goals £26.65 @ 1.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Bet 105 Fulham vs Birmingham Over 0.5 goals £27.17 @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 Bet 106 Brighton vs Chelsea (0-0 11) Chelsea +3 £28.24 @ 1.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 18, 2022 Author Share Posted January 18, 2022 106/106 Bank @ £73.51 (£45.00 banked) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Bet 107 Trabzonspor U19 vs Giresunspor U19 Over 0.5 goals £28.51 @ 1.02 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 1 hour ago, JdsGooner90 said: Bet 107 Trabzonspor U19 vs Giresunspor U19 Over 0.5 goals £28.51 @ 1.02 0-0 FT. The odds were 1.01 right up till kick off so was happy when 1.02 was matched thinking it should come in easy but wasn’t to be Decent run but not good enough, £30.00 profit banked. I will be back for another try. aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Off we go again Bet 1 SL Benfica U19 vs Setubal U19 (0-0 3) Over 0.5 goals £15.00 @ 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 8 hours ago, JdsGooner90 said: 0-0 FT. The odds were 1.01 right up till kick off so was happy when 1.02 was matched thinking it should come in easy but wasn’t to be Decent run but not good enough, £30.00 profit banked. I will be back for another try. I replied to this earlier, cant have hit reply button or something strange happened! Decent run and you pocketed a few pennies along the way. You have a target to beat next run ? Good luck next run. ? JdsGooner90 and harry_rag 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 106 in a row then I find two 0-0s Hopefully thats them out the way now and i can get on another good run Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 Geez, really unlucky with those odds 2 bets in a row! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 19, 2022 Author Share Posted January 19, 2022 Tottenham somehow winning against Leicester tops off a miserable day for me We go again Bet 1 Palmeiras U20 vs Oeste U20 (1-0 4) Over 1.5 goals £15.00 @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 19, 2022 Share Posted January 19, 2022 I bet there was a lot of money lost / won in those last few mins in the Tottenham game. ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Bet 2 Alanyaspor U19 vs Hatayspor U19 Over 0.5 goals £15.58 @ 1.04 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Bet 3 Galatasary U19 vs Kasimpasa U19 Over 0.5 goals £16.03 @ 1.03 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 hours ago, JdsGooner90 said: Bet 3 Galatasary U19 vs Kasimpasa U19 Over 0.5 goals £16.03 @ 1.03 Crazy times - another 0-0! 3 0-0s I have now found in 4 bets on the over 0.5 market aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I'd stay clear of the 0-0 market! harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 2 minutes ago, aldric said: I'd stay clear of the 0-0 market! Well if we accept the suggestion that few, if any, of us on here know enough about these various youth leagues to regularly beat the odds, and that we don't know for sure that the markets are inefficient in some way, then it's inevitable that 0-0s are going to crop up every 30 games or so. Place a large number of bets (as is the case for this thread) and you'll see both extremes; good luck that sees you string a huge number of winning bets together, bad luck that sees a cluster of losers. It would be more amazing if it didn't happen than if it did (e.g. if every 30th bet was a loser in a perfect sequence). As punters we have a tendency to attribute our good runs to the quality of our selections and our freakishly bad runs to bad luck. There's more luck in our winning runs than we tend to realise and nothing unlikely about the extreme bad losing runs. Torque 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 8 minutes ago, harry_rag said: Well if we accept the suggestion that few, if any, of us on here know enough about these various youth leagues to regularly beat the odds, and that we don't know for sure that the markets are inefficient in some way, then it's inevitable that 0-0s are going to crop up every 30 games or so. Place a large number of bets (as is the case for this thread) and you'll see both extremes; good luck that sees you string a huge number of winning bets together, bad luck that sees a cluster of losers. It would be more amazing if it didn't happen than if it did (e.g. if every 30th bet was a loser in a perfect sequence). As punters we have a tendency to attribute our good runs to the quality of our selections and our freakishly bad runs to bad luck. There's more luck in our winning runs than we tend to realise and nothing unlikely about the extreme bad losing runs. Definitely a lot of luck involved whenever anyone hits a decent run of 100+ winning bets. I agree every 30 or so games there would be a few 0-0s but 3 in 4 games? Bad luck that. What I have started thinking about is if these odds are accurate for the youth games we all have no idea about. Using the last bet for example I backed at 1.03, is it really 1.03 or should it be higher? Who knows but going by recent results odds could and probably should be higher. harry_rag 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harry_rag Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 10 minutes ago, JdsGooner90 said: I agree every 30 or so games there would be a few 0-0s but 3 in 4 games? Bad luck that. As will be obvious from my ramblings on here, I'm no statistician but I suspect there's a number of bets where it tips over to being more likely than not that you'd see that happen, e.g. in ten bets it's bad luck but in 1000 it's inevitable. With my anytime goalscorer betting (prices typically between evens and 5/2) I've seen runs like 1 winner in 20 and 10 consecutive winning bets, with an overall strike rate of around 33%. In my first month of selling I hit 28 consecutive winning bets and got an average of +17 points for every bet. 2 and a half years (and over 3500 bets) later those numbers are still the standout. Place a large enough number of bets and pretty much everything that can happen will happen but it still strikes us as remarkable when it does. 19 minutes ago, JdsGooner90 said: What I have started thinking about is if these odds are accurate for the youth games we all have no idea about. Using the last bet for example I backed at 1.03, is it really 1.03 or should it be higher? Who knows but going by recent results odds could and probably should be higher. Without any specialist knowledge it's fair to assume that the market knows at least as much as we do so you're probably betting at fair odds at best. One thing I will say, from my early observations of tracking some of the bets in this section, is that I've been surprised by how often I can get better odds than those taken in the original post. I guess, sometimes, that people are more concerned with getting the bet on than securing the best possible price, to the slight detriment of getting the best value. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Surely this won’t be 0-0 Good start from Arsenal Bet 1 Arsenal vs Liverpool (0-0 7) Over 0.5 goals £15.00 @ 1.07 aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 I'd take 0-0 ? Or any Arsenal goals ?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 3 minutes ago, aldric said: I'd take 0-0 ? Or any Arsenal goals ?? Harsh on Arsenal we started the better but thats football. Bet 2 Roma vs Lecce (0-0 6) Over 0.5 goals £16.03 @ 1.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 5 minutes ago, JdsGooner90 said: Harsh on Arsenal we started the better but thats football. Very poor goal, frustrating that Arsenal didn't make the most of their very strong start. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 1 minute ago, aldric said: Very poor goal, frustrating that Arsenal didn't make the most of their very strong start. We need the next goal or it could get nervy for you! If it goes to 0-2 wouldn’t rule out 0-3 Bet 3 Roma vs Lecce (0-1 17) Over 1.5 goals £16.81 @ 1.07 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldric Posted January 20, 2022 Share Posted January 20, 2022 15 minutes ago, JdsGooner90 said: We need the next goal or it could get nervy for you! If it goes to 0-2 wouldn’t rule out 0-3 Steady tiger!! ?? JdsGooner90 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Bet 4 Ajax vs Excelsior Maassluis (5-0 HT) Over 5.5 goals £17.95 @ 1.05 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Bet 5 Setubal vs Santarem (3-1 89) Under 5.5 goals £18.83 @ 1.01 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JdsGooner90 Posted January 20, 2022 Author Share Posted January 20, 2022 Bet 6 Arsenal vs Liverpool (0-2 90) Under 3.5 goals £19.01 @ 1.01 aldric 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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