Fader Posted February 14, 2021 Share Posted February 14, 2021 The Welsh Open gets started on Monday. It starts early on Monday, with games beginning at 10am and it's a big tournament and so I'm going to get my preview and tips up early. As usual, I'm going to take one main pick from the top and one from the bottom and then throw in a few outsider fancies. In the top half, I'm going to take a chance with Ding. I think it's quite open at the top half. Murphy will be defending the title and has a chance to go deep but I feel like he doesn't practice enough, based on some of his performances in and amongst the balls and relies on his long potting. As a big outsider price, I'll take Milkins. The bottom half looks a much harder half to win. I like Mark Allen in this half. He looked good in and amongst the balls with his new cue, at the Shootout. He doesn't like that event and so we can write off anything negative there. I also like the look of Ali Carter, who I've just backed to get out of the Championship League group and he has indeed won that group. He came top of the group prior to that too and has only really lost to Ronnie and McGill in the last 12 matches in that event. I'm going to give Yuelong one more chance. Purely based on his huge price for a player with such quality. 2pts M. Allen to win Welsh Open 16/1 betvictor 1.5pts E/W D.Junhui to win Welsh Open 20/1 betvictor 1pt E/W Z.Yuelong to win Welsh Open 80/1 willhill 1pt E/W A.Carter to win Welsh Open 100/1 bet365 ----------------------------------------------------------------- 0.5pts E/W R.Milkins to win Welsh Open 300/1 boylesports ElPrincipito007 and vikki37 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 14, 2021 Author Share Posted February 14, 2021 1pt A. Carter to win Quarter 4 16/1 bet365 vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted February 15, 2021 Share Posted February 15, 2021 I always find this tournament tough to bet on Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 rather annoyingly, I had a good couple to go with yesterday but I've had some power outages in the mornings around here. Couple I'm going with today : McManus and Pengfei have always had close matches. Craigie had some decent form and takes on Un-Nooh. Un-Nooh's form is quite patchy and he went into the Shootout bang out of form. He had only his second cue and is getting used to it and so I think Craigie is value there. 2.5pts A.McManus to beat T.Pengfei 11/10 paddypower 4pts S.Craigie to beat T.Un-Nooh 11/8 paddypower 1pt accy - O.Lines / McManus / Craigie / Milkins 28.5/1 paddypower (money back if one leg loses) vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 Full house, including a near 30/1 accy Welsh Open +36.75pts kroni, ElPrincipito007 and vikki37 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 Let's remember this moment as proof that things don't always go against us despite our countless bad luck stories:-) even Carter managed to win when it looked like he should have lost. And Craigie was 3-0 down. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 14 minutes ago, charliepie said: Let's remember this moment as proof that things don't always go against us despite our countless bad luck stories:-) even Carter managed to win when it looked like he should have lost. And Craigie was 3-0 down. haha, yeah, I did think that when Craigie come back. It's nice to have some luck go the other way. Not sure Carter "should have lost though" he battled well and got in and won the last frame in practically one go. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 16, 2021 Author Share Posted February 16, 2021 With the completion of the 1st round tonight, we're onto round 2 tomorrow. There are a couple that I will be going with tomorrow. Guodong looks to be a good choice, against the out-of-form Gary Wilson. Guodong had a great week, last week. He has reached the Last 16 of the UK Championship already this year. Jamie Jones looks a goof price against Mark King, who got a bye, thanks to Robertson withdrawing. Jones beat Sijun in round 1. 4-1. Finally, I'll go with Joe O'Connor against Higginson. O'Connor looked very impressive in round 1. 2.75pts X.Guodong to beat G.Wilson 10/11 bet365 2.75pts JJones to beat M.King 8/11 bet365 2.75pts J.O'Connor to beat A.Higginson 8/11 bet365 ---------------------------------------------------------------------- 1pt accy - Guodong / Jamie Jones / O'Connor / Doherty 12.5/1 paddypower (money back if one leg loses) vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 16, 2021 Share Posted February 16, 2021 I probably should have said Carter "could" have lost not should have lost, lol:-) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 Yeah, Wells played well. I'm glad I got to watch quite a few matches today. Carter looked decent. Milkins did well too. All the outrights through to tomorrow's round 2. However, Ronnie looked pretty awesome. vikki37 and ElPrincipito007 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 17, 2021 Author Share Posted February 17, 2021 More what I expect from Jamie Jones. 3-1 up and loses 4-3 to Mark King. Mark king! joke of a performance from Ding. Milkins 2-0 up. 3-2 up. Loses 4-3. Fair to say the "good luck" is rare. +0.75pts Welsh Open +37.50pts vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Always a big day on the Thursday as we go from 32 players, down to just 8. The players will have to play two rounds today. One in the morning and the victors will have to play again in the evening. Here's my fancies for the morning. McGill seems to back to playing some nice stuff. He had a good Championship League group, where he reached the final and was one frame away from winning the group until Ali Carter came back and won it. He has continued that form here. Ursenbacher, the little s**t who beat Milkins from 2-0 down, goes up against Jordan Brown today. If Ursenbacher can reproduce that kind of form, he should win this one. Yuelong takes on Gilbert at 1pm. Both players have won both matches 4-0. Gilbert looks to have changed his form around abit recently and he was one I was tempted to back in his quarter, but chose to go with Yuelong. I like Yuelong here. 2.5pts A.McGill to beat B.Hawkins 13/10 willhill 2.75pts A.Ursenbacher to beat J.Brown 10/11 willhill 2.5pts Z.Yuelong to beat D.Gilbert evens bet365 1pt accy - McGill / Ursenbacher / Yuelong / Junxu all to win 14/1 paddypower (money back if one leg loses) vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 Ursenbacher mocks me by not only beating my guy 4-3 (from 3-1 down) but he also goes 3-1 up and loses 4-3 when I back him. Classic. Yuelong wins for a small loss for the day. Allen, Yuelong and Carter through but Yuelong has Ronnie (who looks like winning every match 4-0) and Allen plays Carter (from which the winner plays Ronnie ) Welsh Open +33.75pts vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 Ronnie may throw in a bad one, could be tonight...at least Carter still going strong for you! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 18, 2021 Author Share Posted February 18, 2021 5 minutes ago, charliepie said: Ronnie may throw in a bad one, could be tonight...at least Carter still going strong for you! Yeah, I'm hoping Ronnie gets bored, having to play again in an hour or so. Carter would need to beat Ronnie to win the quarter. vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
owenclass Posted February 18, 2021 Share Posted February 18, 2021 I think Ronnie to win Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 Looks unstoppable at moment and also is getting some luck too. Looks very much like a Selby vs Ronnie final. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 I'm going to take Tom Ford to beat Williams today. I noticed with Williams that he has having alot of issues with the tip on the cue. He is also going for alot more than he normally would, such as doubles etc and I think Ford's price is too big. I'll also take a stab at an accy 4pts T.Ford to beat M.Williams 1pt accy - Murphy / O'Sullivan -2.5 / Selby -1.5 / Ford 10/1 paddypower (money back if one leg loses) vikki37 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 ^^ T.Ford to beat M.Williams is 6/4 also paddypower Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 Bollox, just heard Carter has withdrawn from the tournament - health reasons? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 Ali Carter has pulled out ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 Just now, charliepie said: Bollox, just heard Carter has withdrawn from the tournament - health reasons? bout right when I have a 100/1 in a quarter final Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 The bad beats have returned with a vengence! Was quite looking forward to the match too. Fader 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 what makes it even funnier, is he has taken Mark Allen's chance (another outright pick) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 19, 2021 Share Posted February 19, 2021 That's a right kick in the bollocks! Pleased that Brown beat Selby though it looked like Selby was going to pull it off again after needing snookers(and getting them) in a couple of frames! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 19, 2021 Author Share Posted February 19, 2021 yeah, Selby missed a pretty easy black to win it. Looks good for Murphy though in that Semi. Only good news is I've had all my bets refunded on Ali Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 20, 2021 Share Posted February 20, 2021 Haha, 1000/1 shot on Betvictor reaches the final - well done to Jordie Brown! Fader 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fader Posted February 21, 2021 Author Share Posted February 21, 2021 22 hours ago, charliepie said: Haha, 1000/1 shot on Betvictor reaches the final - well done to Jordie Brown! crazy. Had a nice draw until he had Selby. That was a great result for him. He would have fallen off tour and now he's in he Players Championship. Not to mention he's 3-1 up in the final. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Cracking match so far 6-6 so still anyones but surely Ronnie will be stronger and JB will capitulate? He's made a few quid by getting to the final and for the PC starting tomorrow! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
charliepie Posted February 21, 2021 Share Posted February 21, 2021 Can't believe the result, just wish I'd had some of the 1000/1 on offer! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.
Note: Your post will require moderator approval before it will be visible.